Today we have a loaded slate of midweek College Hoops on tap with roughly 55 games to choose from. Let’s examine where smart money is leaning for a trio of matchups using our VSiN CBB Betting Splits, which are updated every 5 minutes and come directly from DraftKings and Circa Sports.
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7:30 p.m. ET: Marshall (-2.5, 154.5) at Old Dominion
Marshall (15-9) just saw their two-game win streak come to an end, falling to Miami Ohio 90-74 and failing to cover as 2-point home dogs. Meanwhile, Old Dominion (8-17) just snapped a two-game losing skid with a 78-72 win over Ohio, winning outright as 3.5-point home dogs.
This line opened with Marshall listed as a 1.5-point road favorite.
Wiseguys have jumped on the Thundering Herd laying short chalk on the road, pushing Marshall up from -1.5 to -2.5. Several books across the market are also juicing up Marshall -2.5 (-115), with a few others inching up to -3. Essentially, all movement and liability has come down in the direction of the Thundering Herd.
At DraftKings, Marshall is receiving 77% of spread bets and 85% of spread dollars, a “low bets, higher dollars” Pro and Joe bet split in their favor.
Ken Pom has Marshall winning by two points (77-75). He also has the Thundering Herd ranked far higher (170th vs 255th).
As a result, many bettors may prefer to protect themselves by playing Marshall on the moneyline at -150.
At DraftKings, Marshall is receiving 78% of moneyline bets and a hefty 92% of moneyline dollars, further evidence of one-way pro money backing the Thundering Herd to earn a straight up road victory.
Short road favorites -4 or less with at least a half point of line movement in their direction are 88-48 (65%) straight up with an 11% ROI this season.
Marshall has the better offensive efficiency (146th vs 261st), effective field goal percentage (76th vs 281st) and three-point shooting (57th vs 173rd).
The Thundering Herd also hold their opponents to a better effective field goal percentage (65th vs 143rd).
9:30 p.m. ET: Portland at San Diego (-2.5, 152.5)
Portland (12-14) has won two straight and just edged Seattle 54-53, winning outright as 3.5-point home dogs. On the other hand, San Diego (10-16) has dropped three straight and just got rolled by Loyola Marymount 83-63, failing to cover as 6.5-point road dogs.
This line opened with San Diego listed as a 1.5-point home favorite.
Sharps have pounced on San Diego, pushing the Toreros up from -1.5 to -2.5.
At DraftKings, San Diego is taking in 66% of spread bets and 69% of spread dollars, a “low bets, higher dollars” bet discrepancy indicating one-way support in favor of the home chalk.
This line move and bet split is even more meaningful considering this is an overlooked late night game. In other words, the public is largely bypassing this matchup but, based on the market reaction, pros have taken a keen interest in this low bet game and sided with the home team.
Those looking to follow the sharp move but also gain some added protection in the event of a close game may prefer a Toreros moneyline play at -140.
At DraftKings, San Diego is receiving 71% of moneyline bets but a whopping 96% of moneyline dollars, a massive “low bets, higher dollars” split signaling heavy sharp support in favor of a straight up Toreros win on their home court.
When two teams from the West Coast Conference play each other, the home favorite is 42-6 (88%) straight up with an 11% ROI this season.
San Diego has buy-low value as a short favorite on a losing skid against a sell-high dog on a winning streak.
The Toreros have the better offensive efficiency (182nd vs 222nd), three-point shooting (214th vs 328th) and free-throw shooting (97th vs 154th).
San Diego is 8-6 at home this season. Portland is 1-9 on the road.
10 p.m. ET: New Mexico at Grand Canyon (-1.5, 148.5)
New Mexico (18-6) has lost two straight and just came up short against Boise State 91-90, losing outright as 4-point home favorites. Meanwhile, Grand Canyon (15-8) just saw their two-game win streak come to an end, falling to UNLV 80-78 and losing outright as 2.5-point road favorites.
This line opened with Grand Canyon listed as a 1-point home favorite.
Sharps have pounced on the Lopes laying short chalk at home, pushing Grand Canyon up from -1 to -1.5.
At DraftKings, Grand Canyon is receiving 66% of spread bets and 86% of spread dollars. At Circa, Grand Canyon is taking in 50% of spread bets and 93% of spread dollars. Both books are showing a pronounced “low bets, higher dollars” sharp split in favor of the home chalk Lopes.
Ken Pom has Grand Canyon winning by one point (73-72).
With this in mind, many pros have looked to mitigate some risk by playing the Lopes on the moneyline at -120.
At DraftKings, Grand Canyon is taking in 61% of moneyline bets and 75% of moneyline dollars, another sharp discrepancy and further evidence of pro action backing the Lopes to earn a straight up victory.
When two teams in the Mountain West face off in conference play, the home favorite is 34-4 (90%) straight up with a 9% ROI this season.
Grand Canyon has the better defensive efficiency (21st vs 44th), free-throw shooting (84th vs 101st), hold their opponents to a better effective field goal percentage (24th vs 77th) and do a better job of limiting offensive rebounds to their opponents (33rd vs 63rd).
This is also a revenge game for the Lopes, who lost to the Lobos 87-64 on the road back in mid-January.
