Today we have a loaded midweek slate of College Basketball action on tap with nearly 50-games to choose from. Let’s examine where smart money is leaning for a trio of matchups using our VSiN CBB Betting Splits, which are updated every 5-minutes and and come directly from DraftKings and Circa Sports.

 

***Top College Basketball Betting Resources***

*Join thousands of other sports bettors and unlock access to picks, public betting splits data, & the VSiN live video broadcast by upgrading to VSiN Pro. Grab your first month for less than $10.*

6:30 p.m. ET: Radford at Winthrop (-3.5, 151.5)

Radford (16-10) has rotated wins and losses over their last six games but just held off Longwood 71-69, winning outright as 3-point road dogs. On the other hand, Winthrop (17-9) has won four straight and just dismissed South Caroline Upstate 105-95, covering as 9.5-point road favorites.

This line opened with Winthrop listed as a 3-point home favorite. Sharps have quietly sided with the home chalk, pushing Winthrop up from -3 to -3.5. At DraftKings, Winthrop is receiving 73% of spread bets and 83% of spread dollars. It’s important to note that this an added/extra game, which means the public has little to no interest in this tiny, unpopular matchup. However, based on the line move and bet splits, we can infer that pros have taken a position on the home team.

Ken Pom has Winthrop winning by two points (78-76). As a result, savvy bettors may prefer to pay up for some added security and take Winthrop on the moneyline (-165) instead of laying the points. At DraftKings, Winthrop is receiving 85% of moneyline bets and 90% of moneyline dollars, indicating heavy one-way support.

Winthrop has the superior effective field goal percentage (52% vs 51%) and takes better care of the ball (173rd in turnover percentage vs 229th). Winthrop also does a better job at forcing turnovers (77th vs 224th).

Winthrop is 14-1 at home. Radford is 6-8 on the road.

6:30 p.m. ET: Iowa at Rutgers (-5.5, 161.5)

Iowa (13-10) has lost six of their last seven games and just fell to Wisconsin 74-63, failing to cover as 5.5-point home dogs. Similarly, Rutgers (12-12) has dropped four of their last six and just came up short against Maryland 90-81 but managed to push as 9-point road dogs.

This line opened with Rutgers listed as a 6.5-point home favorite. The public thinks this line is a bit short and they’re laying the points with the Scarlet Knights at home. However, despite receiving 58% of spread bets at DraftKings we’ve seen Rutgers fall from -6.5 to -5.5. This signals sharp reverse line movement on Iowa plus the points, as the line has moved in their direction despite being the unpopular play.

At DraftKings, Iowa is only receiving 42% of spread bets but 63% of spread dollars. At Circa, Iowa is taking in 69% of spread bets and 87% of spread dollars. Both books are showing a sharp “low bets, higher dollars” bet discrepancy in favor of the road dog Hawkeyes.

Ken Pom has Rutgers winning by five points (84-79), which means getting the hook with Iowa +5.5 could prove crucial. Iowa has the better offensive efficiency (31st vs 57th), effective field goal percentage (58% vs 50%) and three-point shooting (38% vs 33%). The Hawkeyes also have value as a “dog who can score” system match (85 PPG vs 76 PPG for Rutgers), thereby keeping pace or backdoor covering.

Iowa enjoys a one-day rest advantage, having last played on February 8th compared to Rutgers last playing on February 9th.

7 p.m. ET: Lehigh at Navy (-2.5, 138.5)

Lehigh (9-14) just saw their two-game win streak come to an end, falling to American 78-75 in overtime and losing outright as 2.5-point home favorites. Meanwhile, Navy (8-17) has dropped three in a row and just came up short against Lafayette 61-51, failing to cover as 2-point road dogs.

This line opened with Navy listed as a 1.5-point home favorite. Wiseguys have gotten down hard on the Midshipmen, steaming Navy up from -1.5 to -2.5. Some shops are even inching toward Navy -3. Essentially, we are seeing one-way movement in favor of the home team. At DraftKings, Navy is taking in 72% of spread bets and 75% of spread dollars. This is another added/extra game, which means the heavy splits are likely coming from pros who have targeted the game and not the betting public who isn’t interested in participating in this tiny, overlooked matchup.

Ken Pom has Navy winning by one point (72-71). For this reason, sharps have specifically targeted Navy on the moneyline at -145. At DraftKings, Navy is receiving 71% of moneyline bets and 91% of moneyline dollars, a notable “low bets, higher dollars” split in favor of the Midshipmen earning a victory at home.

Navy has a sizable edge in terms of offensive rebound percentage (31% vs 20%) and free-throw shooting (73% vs 68%). The Midshipmen also have fishy buy-low value as a favorite on a losing skid with a worse record than their opponent.

Navy is 5-5 at home. Lehigh is 2-10 on the road.

RELATED ARTICLESMORE FROM AUTHOR