Today we have a loaded slate of midweek College Hoops action with nearly 50-games to choose from. Let’s examine where smart money is leaning using our VSiN CBB Betting Splits, which are updated every 5-minutes and come directly from DraftKings and Circa Sports.

 

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6:30 p.m. ET: Stanford at Wake Forest (-7, 141)

Stanford (11-5) has won two straight games and just took down Virginia 88-65, easily covering as 8.5-point home favorites. Similarly, Wake Forest (12-4) has won three in a row and just outlasted Miami 88-78, covering as 3.5-point road favorites.

This line opened with Wake Forest listed as a 7.5-point home favorite. The public expects a Demon Deacons cover at home and 64% of spread bets at DraftKings are laying the points with Wake Forest. However, despite receiving roughly two-thirds of tickets we’ve seen Wake Forest fall from -7.5 to -7. This indicates smart money grabbing the points with the road dog Cardinal, triggering sharp reverse line movement in favor of Stanford.

At DraftKings, Stanford is only receiving 36% of spread bets but 53% of spread dollars, a sharp contrarian “low bets, higher dollars” bet discrepancy. Ken Pom has Wake Forest winning by five points (72-67), which provides an actionable edge on Stanford at the current price of +7. Those looking to play Stanford would be wise to shop around for the hook, as a couple outlier books are still offering Cardinal +7.5 (-120).

Stanford has the better offensive efficiency (54th vs 157th), offensive rebound percentage (34% vs 29%), three-point shooting (34% vs 29%) and free-throw shooting (77% vs 74%). Stanford also takes better care of the ball, ranking 32nd in fewest turnovers committed compared to Wake Forest ranking 198th.

9 p.m. ET: SMU (-6, 134.5) at Virginia

SMU (12-4) just snapped a two-game losing skid with a 93-71 win over Georgia Tech, easily covering as 11-point home favorites. On the other hand, Virginia (8-8) has dropped three in a row and just got crushed by Stanford 88-65, failing to cover as 8.5-point road dogs.

This line opened with SMU listed as a 6.5-point road favorite. The public thinks this line is a bit too short and they’re laying the chalk with the road favorite Mustangs. However, despite receiving 65% of spread bets at DraftKings we’ve seen SMU fall from -6.5 to -6. This signals sharp reverse line movement on the home dog Cavaliers, as the line has moved in their direction despite being the unpopular play.

While the public is all over SMU at DraftKings, we are seeing sharps grab the points with Virginia out in Vegas. At Circa, the Cavs are taking in 67% of spread bets but a whopping 98% of spread dollars, a “low bets, higher dollars” sharp bet split indicating pros in the desert playing the home dog plus the points. Ken Pom has Virginia losing by five points (71-66), which provides a small edge on Virginia at the current price of +6. Those looking to play Virginia should shop around for a hook, as a couple books are still offering Cavs +6.5 (-120).

Virginia will lean on their defense to keep this close, as the Cavs are giving up 64 PPG compared to 73 PPG allowed by SMU. Virginia also has buy-low value as an unpopular conference dog on a losing streak. Virginia is 7-2 at home this season. SMU is 1-2 on the road.

9 p.m. ET: Rhode Island at Loyola Chicago (-3.5, 145)

Rhode Island (13-3) has rotated wins and losses over their last four games and just edged Richmond 67-64 in overtime, covering as 2-point road favorites. Meanwhile, Loyola Chicago (10-6) has dropped five of their last six games and just got crushed by Saint Joseph’s 93-57, failing to cover as 5-point road dogs.

This line opened with Loyola Chicago listed as a 4-point home favorite. Sharps have jumped on Rhode Island plus the points, dropping Loyola Chicago from -4 to -3.5, with some shops even inching down toward -3. At DraftKings, Rhode Island is only taking in 55% of spread bets but 63% of spread dollars, indicating slight public support but also respected sharp action in the form of a “low bets, higher dollars” bet split.

At Circa, Rhode Island is receiving 80% of spread bets and a hefty 98% of spread dollars, a massive sharp bet split indicating pro money backing the road dog out in Vegas. Ken Pom has Loyola Chicago winning by one point (74-73), which provides an edge on Rhode Island at the current price of +3.5. Ken Pom also has Rhode Island ranked higher (101st vs 144th).

Rhode Island has the better offensive efficiency (173rd vs 182nd), defensive efficiency (71st vs 136th) and free-throw shooting (71% vs 65%). Rhode Island averages 41 rebounds per game compared to 36 for Loyola Chicago. The Rams also rank 22nd in the country in effective defensive field goal percentage. The Ramblers rank 177th.

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