The road to March Madness continues today with 40 College Basketball Conference Tournament games to choose from. Let’s examine where smart money is leaning for a trio of matchups using our VSiN CBB Betting Splits, which are updated every 5-minutes and come directly from DraftKings and Circa Sports.

 

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3:30 p.m. ET: Texas vs Vanderbilt (-2.5, 148.5)

This is the first round of the SEC Tournament.

Texas (17-14) is the 13-seed and has lost five of their last seven games, falling to Oklahoma 76-72 and losing outright as 5.5-point home favorites in their regular season finale. Meanwhile, Vanderbilt (20-11) is the 12-seed and has dropped two straight, losing to Georgia 79-68 and failing to cover as 5.5-point road dogs in their final regular season game.

This line opened with Vanderbilt listed as a 1.5-point neutral site favorite. Sharps have jumped on the Commodores laying short chalk, steaming Vanderbilt up from -1.5 to -2.5.

At DraftKings, Vanderbilt is receiving 66% of spread bets and 71% of spread dollars, indicating modest public support but also respected sharp action in the form of a “low bets, higher dollars” bet split.

Ken Pom has Vanderbilt winning by one point (78-77). With this in mind, many pros have looked to protect themselves by playing the Commodores on the moneyline at -140. At DraftKings, Vanderbilt is receiving nearly 70% of moneyline bets and dollars, signaling heavy one-way support in favor of a Vanderbilt straight up victory.

Vanderbilt has the better offensive efficiency (25th vs 48th), offensive rebound percentage (32% vs 30%) and is better at forcing turnovers (41st vs 197th).

These teams faced off once during the regular season and Vanderbilt won 86-78 at home.

Vanderbilt will also enjoy a friendly home crowd. This is technically a neutral court game but it will be played at Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, Tennessee, not far from the Vanderbilt campus.

8:30 p.m. ET: USC (-1.5, 152.5) vs Rutgers

This is the first round of the Big Ten Tournament.

USC (15-16) is the 14-seed and has dropped six of their last seven games, getting crushed by UCLA 90-63 and failing to cover as 9.5-point road dogs in their final regular season game. On the flip side, Rutgers (15-16) is the 11-seed and just snapped a two-game losing skid with a 75-67 overtime win over Minnesota, covering as 5.5-point home favorites in their regular season finale.

This line opened with USC listed as 1-point neutral site favorite. The public thinks the wrong team is favored and 77% of spread bets at DraftKings are backing Rutgers plus the point.

However, despite this lopsided betting in favor of Rutgers we’ve actually seen this line move further toward USC -1 to -1.5. This indicates sharp “fade the trendy dog” reverse line movement in favor of the Trojans, as the line has moved in their direction despite being the unpopular play.

At DraftKings, USC is taking in 23% of spread bets but 51% of spread dollars. At Circa, USC is receiving 64% of spread bets but 91% of spread dollars. Both books are showing a sharp “low bets, higher dollars” bet split in favor of the Trojans.

Ken Pom has USC winning by one point (80-79). As a result, a cheap moneyline price on the Trojans (-120) makes sense for savvy bettors who are looking to avoid a close win that doesn’t cover the spread.

USC has the better offensive efficiency (39th vs 53rd), defensive efficiency (110th vs 123rd), effective field goal percentage (48th vs 185th), three-point shooting (37% vs 33%) and free-throw shooting (74% vs 72%).

USC also enjoys a one-day rest advantage, having last played on March 8th compared to Rutgers last playing on March 9th.

9:30 p.m. ET: Oklahoma vs Georgia (-3.5, 147.5)

This is the first round of the SEC Tournament.

Oklahoma (19-12) is the 14-seed and is riding a two-game winning streak, having just taken down Texas 76-72 and winning outright as 5.5-point road dogs in their final regular season game. On the other hand, Georgia (20-11) is the 11-seed and has won four in a row, dismissing Vanderbilt 79-68 and covering as 5.5-point home favorites in their regular season finale.

This line opened with Georgia listed as a 2.5-point neutral site favorite. Wiseguys seem to think this opener was a bit short and have gotten down on the Bulldogs, steaming Georgia up from -2.5. to -3.5.

At DraftKings, Georgia is receiving 70% of spread bets and 78% of spread dollars, indicating both Pro and Joe support in the form of a “low bets, higher dollars” bet discrepancy.

Ken Pom has Georgia winning by two points (75-73). For those looking to follow the sharp move but also mitigate some risk, the Bulldogs might be worth a look on the moneyline (-170) instead of laying the points.

Georgia has the better defensive efficiency (25th vs 68th) and offensive rebound percentage (36% vs 27%). The Bulldogs limit their opponents to an effective field goal percentage of 47% (25th) compared to 51% (174th) for the Sooners. Georgia also has the better scoring defense (69 PPG allowed vs 75 PPG allowed) and grabs more rebounds per game (37 vs 32).

These teams played each other once during the regular season and Georgia won 72-62 at home.

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