Today we have a loaded midweek College Basketball slate on tap with 31-games to choose from. Let’s examine where smart money is leaning for a trio of matchups using our VSiN CBB Betting Splits, which are updated every 5-minutes and come directly from DraftKings and Circa Sports.

 

***Top College Basketball Betting Resources***

*Join thousands of other sports bettors and unlock access to picks, public betting splits data, & the VSiN live video broadcast by upgrading to VSiN Pro. Grab your first month for less than $10.*

7 p.m. ET: Pittsburgh (-2.5, 141.5) at NC State

Pittsburgh (16-13) has dropped three straight and just fell to Louisville 79-68, failing to cover as 10.5-point road dogs. Similarly, NC State (11-18) has lost three of their last four and just got rolled by Georgia Tech 87-62, failing to cover as 3.5-point road dogs.

This line opened with Pittsburgh listed as a 2-point road favorite. The public sees two struggling teams and doesn’t know whether to take the points or lay them. However, despite this even ticket split we’ve seen Pittsburgh creep up from -2 to -2.5. In a vacuum, a line shouldn’t move at all if the bets are even because, theoretically, the oddsmakers have balanced action and no need to adjust the price. So, based on the line move we can infer that pro action has sided with the Panthers.

At DraftKings, Pittsburgh is receiving 51% of spread bets but a whopping 94% of spread dollars. At Circa, Pittsburgh is taking in 50% of spread bets and 66% of spread dollars. Both books are showing a sharp “low bets, higher dollars” bet split in favor of the Panthers.

Ken Pom has Pittsburgh winning by four points (73-69). For those looking to follow the sharp move but also gain some added protection, the Panthers might be worth a look on the moneyline (-135) instead of laying the points.

Pittsburgh has the better offensive efficiency (37th vs 155th), defensive efficiency (90th vs 134th), effective field goal percentage (53% vs 48%), three-point shooting (35% vs 32%) and free-throw shooting (78% vs 72%).

8:30 p.m. ET: Marquette at Connecticut (-3.5, 144.5)

Marquette (22-7, ranked 20th) has won four of their last five and just brushed aside Georgetown 76-61, covering as 8.5-point road favorites. Similarly, Connecticut (20-9) has won three of their last four and just held off Providence 75-63, covering as 7.5-point road favorites.

This line opened with Connecticut listed as a 3.5-point home favorite. The public thinks this line is a bit high and they’re grabbing the points with Marquette, who has the better record and ranking. However, despite 55% of spread bets at DraftKings taking the Golden Eagles, we’ve seen the Huskies get juiced up -3.5 (-115) and even move up to -4 at some shops. This signals sneaky “fade the trendy dog” reverse line movement in favor of the Huskies at home.

Ken Pom has Connecticut winning by just one point (74-73). With this in mind, many pros have elected to mitigate some risk and play the Huskies on the moneyline (-170) instead of laying the points. At Circa, Connecticut is receiving 33% of moneyline bets but a hefty 64% of moneyline dollars, a sharp “low bets, higher dollars” bet split and further evidence of pros out in Vegas banking on a Huskies straight up victory on their home court.

Connecticut has the better offensive efficiency (13th vs 31st), effective field goal percentage (56% vs 52%), offensive rebound percentage (35% vs 31%), three-point shooting (35% vs 33%) and free-throw shooting (78% vs 73%).

The Huskies are 12-2 at home this season. Unranked home favorites vs ranked opponents are 27-18 (60%) straight up this season and 125-70 (64%) straight up since 2020. Big East home favorites are 55-10 (85%) straight up in conference play this season.

9:30 p.m. ET: Lindenwood vs. Morehead State (-1.5, 132.5)

This is the first round of the Ohio Valley Conference tournament. Lindenwood (15-16) is the 6-seed and just snapped a two-game losing skid by edging Tennessee Tech 76-74 and winning outright as 4.5-point road dogs. Meanwhile, Morehead State (15-16) is the 7-seed and just ended an eight-game losing streak with a 59-47 win over Tennessee Martin, winning outright as 5.5-point road dogs.

This line opened with Morehead State listed as a 1-point neutral site favorite. The public thinks the wrong team is favored and 80% of spread bets at DraftKings are backing Lindenwood. However, despite this heavily lopsided betting in favor of Lindenwood we’ve actually seen the line move further in favor of Morehead State -1 to -1.5. This indicates smart money backing Morehead State, as the line has moved in their direction despite being the highly unpopular play.

At DraftKings, Morehead State is only receiving 20% of spread bets but 51% of spread dollars, a notable sharp contrarian “low bets, higher dollars” bet discrepancy.

Ken Pom has Morehead State winning by one point (68-67). As a result, we’ve seen many sharps play the Eagles on the moneyline at -125. At DraftKings, Morehead State is taking in 53% of moneyline bets but 70% of moneyline dollars, a sharp split in favor of an Eagles straight up victory.

Morehead State has the better offensive efficiency (327th vs 352nd) and three-point shooting (31% vs 27%). The Eagles also do a better job of limiting offensive rebounds to their opponents (14th vs 265th).

RELATED ARTICLESMORE FROM AUTHOR