Best College Football Bowl Game Series Betting Trends:
As I continue my in-depth look at the trends & betting systems behind the entire 2025-26 college football bowl game schedule, the next subject focuses on trends for each bowl series. Despite the matchups for each bowl series changing every year, there are definite betting patterns that have emerged in each game. Naturally, when you have different types of weather environments, specific conference vs. conference matchups, and other traditions in play, there’s always the chance for repeating results. You’ll see that along with the details of the games, the teams/lines. etc, (as of Monday 12/15), I have listed some trends that have developed and which side or total betting option they favor. The games are listed in date and board order. Enjoy this next part of a series of bowl trend articles I am putting together for VSiN.
Wednesday, December 17, 2025
StaffDNA Cure Bowl – Camping World Stadium – Orlando, Florida
(201) OLD DOMINION (-5/56.5) vs. (202) SOUTH FLORIDA (-2.5/53.5)
* Underdogs have pulled outright upsets in five of the last nine Cure Bowl games and are 8-1 ATS – FAVORS OLD DOMINION
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68 Ventures Bowl – Hancock Whitney Stadium – Mobile, Alabama
(203) LA LAFAYETTE (-3/62.5) vs. (204) DELAWARE
* Sun Belt teams are 11-1 SU and 9-3 ATS in the last 12 years of this Mobile, AL bowl series formerly known as Lending Tree Bowl – FAVORS LA LAFAYETTE
* The last five 68 Ventures Bowl games, as well as nine of the last 11, went Over the total – FAVORS OVER THE TOTAL
Friday, December 19, 2025
Union Home Mortgage Gasparilla Bowl – Raymond James Stadium – Tampa, Florida
(207) MEMPHIS vs. (208) NC STATE (-6/57.5)
* Since 2012, 10 of the 13 most recent Gasparilla Bowl games went Under the total – FAVORS UNDER THE TOTAL
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Monday, December 22, 2025
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl – Albertsons Stadium – Boise, Idaho
(209) WASHINGTON STATE vs. (210) UTAH STATE (-3/52.5)
* Over the total is 14-4 in the last 18 Famous Idaho Potato Bowl games – FAVORS OVER THE TOTAL
* Outright winners are on a 26-2 ATS surge in the Famous Idaho Potato Bowl series
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Tuesday, December 23, 2025
Boca Raton Bowl – Flagler Credit Union Stadium – Boca Raton, Florida
(211) TOLEDO vs. (212) LOUISVILLE (-8.5/44.5)
* The designated home team is on an 8-1 SU and 9-0 ATS streak in the Boca Raton Bowl series – FAVORS LOUISVILLE
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New Orleans Bowl – Caesars Superdome – New Orleans
(213) WESTERN KENTUCKY (-4/56.5) vs. (214) SOUTHERN MISS
* New Orleans Bowl games are 16-4 Over the total since 2005 – FAVORS OVER THE TOTAL
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Scooter’s Coffee Frisco Bowl – Ford Center at The Star – Frisco, Texas
(215) UNLV (-4.5/62.5) vs. (216) OHIO U
* The last five Frisco Bowl series games went Over the total, producing 70.4 PPG – FAVORS OVER THE TOTAL
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Friday, December 26, 2025
Rate Bowl – Chase Field – Phoenix
(221) NEW MEXICO vs. (222) MINNESOTA (-2.5/46.5)
* Favorites have swept the last seven Rate Bowl games while going 6-1 ATS – FAVORS MINNESOTA
* 10 of the last 13 Guaranteed Rate Bowl games went Under the total – FAVORS UNDER THE TOTAL
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SERVPRO First Responder Bowl – Gerald J. Ford Stadium – Dallas
(223) FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL vs. (224) TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO (-8.5/59.5)
* Favorites are a perfect 13-0 SU in the First Responders Bowl series, going 9-3-1 ATS – FAVORS TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO
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Saturday, December 27, 2025
Bad Boy Mowers Pinstripe Bowl – Yankee Stadium – Bronx, New York
(227) PENN STATE vs. (228) CLEMSON (-3.5/48.5)
* Big Tem teams are 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS vs. ACC teams in the last 10 years of the Pinstripe Bowl game – FAVORS PENN STATE
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Pop-Tarts Bowl – Camping World Stadium – Orlando, Florida
(231) GEORGIA TECH vs. (232) BYU (-4.5/56.5)
* Under the total has converted in 15 of the last 20 games of this Orlando bowl series – FAVORS UNDER THE TOTAL
* Favorites have gone 8-1 SU and 7-2 ATS in the last nine years of Pop Tart Bowl games – FAVORS BYU
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Snoop Dogg Arizona Bowl – Arizona Stadium – Tucson, Arizona
(233) MIAMI (OH) vs. (234) FRESNO STATE (-4.5/42.5)
* MAC teams are on a 3-1 SU and 3-0-1 ATS run in the Arizona Bowl game series – FAVORS MIAMI (OH)
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TaxSlayer Gator Bowl – EverBank Stadium – Jacksonville, Florida
(237) VIRGINIA vs. (238) MISSOURI (-7/48.5)
* Bettors are on a 2-12 slide when moving totals in the last 14 Gator Bowl games – FAVORS OVER THE TOTAL (opened at 50.5)
* Favorites are on a run of 24-3 SU and 19-8 ATS in Gator Bowl games – FAVORS MISSOURI
* Designated home teams have won the last 11 Gator Bowl games ATS – FAVORS MISSOURI
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Kinder’s Texas Bowl – NRG Stadium – Houston, Texas
(239) LSU vs. (240) HOUSTON (-3/41.5)
* Outright winners are 22-1-1 ATS in the history of the Texas Bowl series
* Designated home teams have won the last seven Texas Bowl games SU and ATS – FAVORS HOUSTON
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Tuesday, December 30, 2025
Radiance Technologies Independence Bowl – Independence Stadium – Shreveport, Louisiana
(243) COASTAL CAROLINA vs. (244) LOUISIANA TECH (-8.5/50.5)
* Favorites own a 14-7 ATS edge in the last 21 Independence Bowl games, including wins in each of the last two years – FAVORS LOUISIANA TECH
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Liberty Mutual Music City Bowl – Nissan Stadium – Nashville, Tennessee
(245) TENNESSEE (-3/60.5) vs. (246) ILLINOIS
* Outright winner is 23-2-1 ATS in previous 26 Music City Bowl games
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Valero Alamo Bowl – Alamodome – San Antonio
(247) USC (-6/59.5) vs. (248) TCU
* Big 12 teams have gone 11-5 ATS in the last 16 years of the Alama Bowl series – FAVORS TCU
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Wednesday, December 31, 2025
ReliaQuest Bowl – Raymond James Stadium – Tampa, Florida
(249) IOWA vs. (250) VANDERBILT (-5.5/47.5)
* Underdogs boast an 18-8 ATS record in the ReliaQuest Bowl series since 2000 – FAVORS IOWA
* Designated road teams are on a significant 13-3 ATS run in the ReliaQuest Bowl series – FAVORS IOWA
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Tony the Tiger Sun Bowl – Sun Bowl Stadium – El Paso, Texas
(251) ARIZONA STATE vs. (252) DUKE (-3/49.5)
* Underdogs are on extended run of 21-7-1 ATS in the Sun Bowl series since 1995 – FAVORS ARIZONA STATE
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Cheez-It Citrus Bowl – Camping World Stadium – Orlando, Florida
(253) MICHIGAN vs. (254) TEXAS (-7.5/46.5)
* Outright winners are on a 24-0 ATS run in Citrus Bowl games since 2002
* Big Tem teams are just 3-10 SU and ATS in their last 13 Citrus Bowl appearances – FAVORS TEXAS
* Favorites are on 11-4 SU and ATS run in the last 15 Citrus Bowl games – FAVORS TEXAS
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CFP Quarterfinal at the Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic – AT&T Stadium – Arlington, Texas
(257) TBD vs. (258) OHIO STATE
* Favorites are on runs of 8-2 SU and ATS and 12-4 SU and ATS in Cotton Bowl series – FAVORS OHIO STATE
* Outright winners are on a 22-0-1 ATS run in the last 23 Cotton Bowl games
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Thursday, January 1, 2026
CFP Quarterfinal at the Rose Bowl Game – Rose Bowl – Pasadena, California
(261) TBD vs. (262) INDIANA
* Big Ten teams have gone Over the total in 13 of the last 17 Rose Bowl games – FAVORS OVER THE TOTAL
* Favorites are on a 15-3 SU and 12-6 ATS run in the last 17 years of Rose Bowl games – FAVORS INDIANA
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CFP Quarterfinal at the Allstate Sugar Bowl – Caesars Superdome – New Orleans
(263) TBD vs. (264) GEORGIA
* Outright winners are 24-1-1 ATS since 2000 in the Sugar Bowl
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Friday, January 2, 2026
AutoZone Liberty Bowl – Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium – Memphis, Tennessee
(267) NAVY (-6.5/53.5) vs. (268) CINCINNATI
* Underdogs are 16-5 ATS in the last 21 Liberty Bowl games, including 5-0 ATS in the last five – FAVORS CINCINNATI
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Duke’s Mayo Bowl – Bank of America Stadium – Charlotte, North Carolina
(269) WAKE FOREST (-6.5/42.5) vs. (270) MISSISSIPPI STATE (-2.5/56.5)
* ACC reps are just 4-12 ATS in the last 16 games of the Duke’s Mayo bowl series, including six straight current losing streak – FAVORS MISSISSIPPI STATE
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Trust & Will Holiday Bowl – Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego, CA
(271) ARIZONA (-3/51.5) vs. (272) SMU
* Underdogs are 7-4 SU and 10-1 ATS in the last 11 installments of the Holiday Bowl series – FAVORS SMU
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Thursday, January 8, 2026
CFP Semifinal at the Vrbo Fiesta Bowl – State Farm Stadium – Glendale, Arizona
TBD vs. TBD
* Outright winners have lost ATS just twice in the last 33 Fiesta Bowl games
* Favorites have gone 7-1 SU and ATS in the last eight Fiesta Bowl games – FAVORS TBD
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Friday, January 9, 2025
CFP Semifinal at the Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl – Mercedes-Benz Stadium – Atlanta
TBD vs. TBD
* Underdogs own 22-9-1 ATS edge in the Peach Bowl series since 1993 – FAVORS TBD
Monday, January 19, 2025
CFP National Championship Game – Orange Bowl Stadium – Miami Gardens
TBD vs. TBD
* Favorites have swept the last six National Championship games both SU and ATS – FAVORS TBD
* Bettors are on a 0-12-2 swoon when moving totals in the National Championship game – FAVORS TBD
