College Football Bowl Game Betting Systems by Conference:

One of the intriguing things about college football bowl season is how the various conferences match up against one another. Some bowl series have specific conference vs. conference matchups lined up each year, while others vary from year to year. Specific matchups, which bowl games mean more to each conference, and how each conference is perceived by the oddsmakers are just a few of the things that can influence results. For instance, lower-level leagues may get more motivation from playing a power conference opponent. Alternatively, they may be simply overmatched in talent, and the bigger the bowl game, the more this point tends to be magnified. I believe that however a team perceives its respect level, not only for itself but for the conference it represents in its bowl, plays a big role in how that game eventually winds up going. 

I’ve separated all the college football conferences and determined their performance records in varied bowl game situations. Among these situations are line and total ranges, level of bowl game, where the bowl game is being played, and perhaps most importantly, how they fare against the other conferences. 

 

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I decided to make this simply a Top 25 list of some of the most potent or applicable conference betting systems now available. So, here’s the list for 2024-25 with the qualifying games. Other than my best bets for the rest of the games, this will conclude my bowl trend and system series for the season. Thanks for reading. Have a wonderful bowl and holiday season. 

Note that all records are as of the outset of the bowl season and do not include early results.

ACC

ACC teams are on a 13-5 SU and ATS run versus non-power conference foes in college football bowl games
Qualifying teams for 2024-25: NC State (vs. East Carolina), North Carolina (vs. Connecticut), Pittsburgh (vs. Toledo)

On totals, since 2010, when ACC bowl teams have been favored by 4 points or fewer, they are 30-14 Under the total.
Qualifying teams for 2024-25: Miami (FL) (vs. Iowa State), North Carolina (vs. Connecticut), Louisville (vs. Washington), Georgia Tech (vs. Vanderbilt)

American Athletic

In the last 37 bowl games featuring a team from the AAC, favorites are 28-15 ATS.
Qualifying teams for 2024-25: AGAINST East Carolina (vs. NC State), Army (vs. Louisiana Tech), AGAINST South Florida (vs. San Jose State), AGAINST Tulane (vs. Florida), AGAINST Navy (vs. Oklahoma), TX-San Antonio (vs. Coastal Carolina), AGAINST North Texas (vs. Texas State)

In the 19 past bowl games that American Athletic Conference teams have played as underdogs of +7 or less, they are just 3-16 SU and ATS!
Qualifying teams for 2024-25: AGAINST East Carolina (vs. NC State), AGAINST South Florida (vs. San Jose State), AGAINST Navy (vs. Oklahoma)

In AAC bowl games against the Group of 5 or Independent opponents, favorites are on a 16-3 ATS surge.
Qualifying teams for 2024-25: AGAINST South Florida (vs. San Jose State), TX-San Antonio (vs. Coastal Carolina), AGAINST North Texas (vs. Texas State) 

Big Ten

Big Ten teams are on a 12-2 SU and 11-3 ATS surge in bowl games versus teams from the ACC
Qualifying teams for 2024-25: Nebraska (vs. Boston College), Washington (vs. Louisville), Minnesota (vs. Virginia Tech)

Big Ten teams are on a 0-10 SU and 2-8 ATS skid as double-digit underdogs in college football bowl games
Qualifying teams for 2024-25: AGAINST Michigan (vs. Alabama), AGAINST Illinois???

Big 12

Since the end of the 2005 bowl season, Big 12 teams are a brutal 17-35 SU and 20-32 ATS as an underdog of 9 points or less.
Qualifying teams for 2024-25: AGAINST Iowa State (vs. Miami (FL)), AGAINST BYU (vs. Colorado), AGAINST Texas Tech (vs. Arkansas)

Big 12 teams as favorites are on a 16-7 ATS surge in bowl games
Qualifying teams for 2024-25: Colorado (vs. BYU), Kansas State (vs. Rutgers), Baylor (vs. LSU)

As proof of how much stronger the SEC has been than the Big 12 recently, in bowl games with single-digit point spreads either way since 2002, Big 12 teams are just 14-28 SU and 13-28-1 ATS in the matchup. Incidentally, outright winners have covered the point spread in 22 of the last 23 bowl games between the Big 12 and SEC conferences.
Qualifying teams for 2024-25: AGAINST Texas Tech (vs. Arkansas), AGAINST Baylor (vs. LSU)

Big 12 teams are just 4-9 SU and 3-10 ATS in the last 13 bowl games against non-power conference foes
Qualifying teams for 2024-25: AGAINST TCU (vs. LA Lafayette)

Big 12 teams playing as favorites of 7 points or more in bowl games have gone 35-13 Over the total since 1993
Qualifying teams for 2024-25: OVER the total in Kansas State-Rutgers, OVER the total in TCU-LA Lafayette

Conference USA

Playing in the small underdog role of fewer than 7 points has not been kind to CUSA teams, with a record of 12-28 SU & 13-27 ATS since 2001.
Qualifying teams for 2024-25: AGAINST Liberty (vs. Buffalo)

Favorites are on an amazing 25-3 SU and 21-6-1 ATS run in bowl games between CUSA and MAC opponents.
Qualifying teams for 2024-25: OVER the total in Liberty-Buffalo

C-USA/Sun Belt bowl games have trended Over lately, as they are 20-6-1 on that side of the total.
Qualifying teams for 2024-25: Both CUSA-SBC bowl games have been played already, totals were 1-1

Conference USA bowl teams playing as favorites have gone 37-20 Under the total in the last 57 tries
Qualifying teams for 2024-25: ALL five 2024 CUSA bowl teams were installed as underdogs, but watch Liberty (+2) line closely

MAC

 MAC bowl teams have lost all 18 times outright while going 6-12 against the spread when playing as underdogs of 8 points or more, beaten by an average of 23.7 PPG.
Qualifying teams for 2024-25: AGAINST Toledo (vs. Pittsburgh)

Underdogs have ruled in bowl games between MAC & Sun Belt teams, going 12-11 SU and 18-5 ATS over the last 13 bowl seasons
Qualifying teams for 2024-25: AGAINST Bowling Green (vs. Arkansas State)

MAC teams have gone 2-19 SU and 5-16 ATS vs. Power Conference opponents in bowl games since 1997
Qualifying teams for 2024-25: AGAINST Toledo (vs. Pittsburgh)

Mountain West

Outright winners are on a 40-4-1 ATS surge in Mountain West bowl games
Qualifying teams for 2024-25: Five Mountain West Conference teams are playing in college football bowl games in 2024-25

As mid-range favorites of -3.5 to -9.5 points, Mountain West teams are 7-20 ATS in the last 27
Qualifying teams for 2024-25: AGAINST San Jose State (vs. South Florida)

SEC

SEC teams have been remarkably proficient when playing as small favorites in college football bowl games. As chalk of 3.5 points or less, SEC teams are 37-12 SU and 31-16-2 ATS since 2002.
Qualifying teams for 2024-25: Arkansas (vs. Texas Tech), Texas A&M (vs. USC), Missouri (vs. Iowa)

SEC bowl teams playing as very small favorites of 3 points or less are on a 23-10 Under the total surge. In 19 of those 33 games, the opponent failed to reach 20 points.
Qualifying teams for 2024-25: UNDER the total in Arkansas-Texas Tech, UNDER the total in Texas A&M-USC, UNDER the total in Missouri-Iowa

Sun Belt

Sun Belt bowl matchups against the Mountain West and Conference USA have been high scoring, with Over the total 25-11-1 in those games, including 13-3-1 in the last five years.
Qualifying teams for 2024-25: Both Sun Belt qualifying matchups have been played already, totals were 1-1. Although SBC teams have gone 17-11 in the last 28 bowl games against the MAC, they have struggled against the Vegas number, going 10-17-1 ATS
Qualifying teams for 2024-25: Against Arkansas State (vs. Bowling Green)

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