One of the many pieces of information that I utilize each week in preparing my college football wagering list is the head-to-head series trends between opponents. There are certain opponents that consistently bring out the best or worst in teams. There are also certain rivalries in which home-field advantage means a ton or nothing. That’s just the nature of such rivalry series. Let’s take a look at what I found to be 135 of the more intriguing head-to-head series trends that will be impacting the 2025 college football season. Pin these to your calendar and jump on them when they arise, because trust me, most of them will likely continue. 

If you don’t bookmark this piece, which I would suggest, don’t fret, as these will be republished weekly in our upcoming College Football Analytics Reports, a can’t-miss feature for any regular CFB bettor. 

 

Bet these games now as they stand at various sportsbooks or wait till the week or day arrives. Note that these games begin as early as…

Week 1

Friday, August 29, 2025

WESTERN MICHIGAN at MICHIGAN STATE
Trend: HOME TEAMS are 6-1 ATS in the last seven of the in-state rivalry between Western Michigan and Michigan State

Saturday, August 30, 2025

CALIFORNIA at OREGON STATE
Trend: Over the total is 8-2-1 in the last 11 of the CAL-OSU series, including 5-1 in the last six in Corvallis

Week 2

Saturday, September 6, 2025

KANSAS at MISSOURI
Trend: Underdogs are on an 8-2 ATS run in the last 10 of the Kansas-Missouri rivalry 

OLE MISS at KENTUCKY
Trend: Underdogs have won the last five games, both SU and ATS, in the Ole Miss-Kentucky SEC series 

IOWA at IOWA STATE
Trend: Under the total is 15-5 in the last 20 years of the Iowa-Iowa State rivalry

Week 3

Thursday, September 11, 2025

NC STATE at WAKE FOREST
Trend: Home teams are on a 19-6 ATS run in WF-NCST head-to-head series since 2000 *although two straight road covers*

Saturday, September 13, 2025

FLORIDA ATLANTIC at FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
Trend: FAU is 7-0 SU and ATS in the last seven of the rivalry with FIU

BUFFALO at KENT STATE
Trend: Favorites are 7-2 ATS in the last nine of the BUFF-KSU series 

CLEMSON at GEORGIA TECH
Trend: CLEMSON is on a 12-0 SU and 9-2-1 ATS surge versus GA Tech 

VANDERBILT at SOUTH CAROLINA
Trend: SOUTH CAROLINA is on runs of 16-0 SU and 8-1-1 ATS versus Vanderbilt 

GEORGIA at TENNESSEE
Trend: GEORGIA is on an 8-1 SU and ATS run versus Tennessee 

ARKANSAS at OLE MISS
Trend: ARKANSAS is on a 10-2 ATS run overall versus Ole Miss

Week 4

Saturday, September 20, 2025

FLORIDA at MIAMI (FL)
Trend: MIAMI (FL) is on a 6-2 SU and 7-1 ATS run vs. Florida 

WEST VIRGINIA at KANSAS
Trend: Over the total is 7-1 in the last eight of the WVU-KU head-to-head series 

WASHINGTON at WASHINGTON STATE
Trend: WASHINGTON is 8-3 SU and 9-2 ATS in the last 11 in-state visits to Pullman 

SYRACUSE at CLEMSON
Trend: Under the total is 9-2 in the Syracuse-Clemson head-to-head series since 2013

SOUTH CAROLINA at MISSOURI
Trend: Under the total is 10-3 in the last 13 of the MIZZOU-SC head-to-head series
Trend: MISSOURI is on a 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS surge versus SC 

SMU at TCU
Trend: Road teams are on an 8-2 ATS run in the SMU-TCU rivalry

Week 5

Saturday, September 27, 2025

ARKANSAS STATE at LA MONROE
Trend: ARKANSAS STATE is on a 15-0 SU and ATS run versus LA Monroe 

CONNECTICUT at BUFFALO
Trend: CONNECTICUT is 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS in the last 10 head-to-head meetings with Buffalo 

TULANE at TULSA
Trend: Favorites are on an absurd 18-1 SU and 17-2 ATS surge in the Tulane-Tulsa head-to-head series 

BOWLING GREEN at OHIO
Trend: Favorites are 10-1 SU and 9-2 ATS in the last 11 of the BGSU-OHIO head-to-head series 

BAYLOR at OKLAHOMA STATE
Trend: OKLAHOMA STATE is 10-2 SU and ATS in the last 12 games hosting Baylor

ALABAMA at GEORGIA
Trend: Underdogs are 6-5 SU and 9-2 ATS in the last 13 of the Bama-UGA head-to-head series
Trend: Over the total is 10-3 in the Bama-UGA head-to-head series since 2002 

KENTUCKY at SOUTH CAROLINA
Trend: Under the total is 9-1 in the last 10 of the South Carolina-Kentucky rivalry 

LSU at OLE MISS
Trend: Home teams are on an 11-1 ATS surge in the Ole Miss-LSU series 

NEW MEXICO STATE at NEW MEXICO
Trend: NEW MEXICO STATE is on an 8-2 ATS run versus New Mexico, including 7-1 ATS in the last eight visits to Albuquerque

Week 6

Saturday, October 4, 2025

NEW MEXICO at SAN JOSE STATE
Trend: SAN JOSE STATE has covered all six head-to-head meetings with New Mexico since 2006 

WISCONSIN at MICHIGAN
Trend: Over the total is 8-2 in the last 10 of the UW-UM head-to-head series 

UNLV at WYOMING
Trend: Over the total is 7-0-1 in the last eight of the UNLV-WYO head-to-head series in Laramie 

KANSAS STATE at BAYLOR
Trend: Underdogs are 11-3 ATS in the last 14 head-to-head matchups between KSU-BU, including 7-1 ATS in the last eight in Waco

SOUTH ALABAMA at TROY
Trend: Under the total is 9-3-1 in the last 13 of the USA-Troy head-to-head series 

NEVADA at FRESNO STATE
Trend: ROAD TEAMS are 11-2-1 ATS in L14 of FSU-NEV rivalry 

MIAMI (OH) at NORTHERN ILLINOIS
Trend: MIAMI (OH) is 9-1 ATS in the last 10 vs. Northern Illinois 

MIAMI (FL) at FLORIDA STATE
Trend: Road teams are on a 15-4 ATS surge in the FSU-MIA ACC series
Trend: Under the total is 6-1 in the last seven of the head-to-head series in Tallahassee

Week 7

Thursday, October 9, 2025

EAST CAROLINA at TULANE
Trend: Under the total is 12-3 in the last 15 of the ECU-Tulane head-to-head series

Saturday, October 11, 2025

PURDUE at MINNESOTA
Trend: Underdogs are 7-4 SU and 9-2 ATS in the last 11 of the PUR-MINN head-to-head rivalry 

TCU at KANSAS STATE
Trend: Under the total is 8-1 in the last nine of the TCU-KSU head-to-head series

BALL STATE at WESTERN MICHIGAN
Trend: Over the total is 8-1 in the BALL ST-WMU head-to-head series since 2016 

NEW MEXICO at BOISE STATE
Trend: Under the total is 7-0 in the last seven of the UNM-Boise State head-to-head MW rivalry in Boise 

AIR FORCE at UNLV
Trend: Over the total is 11-3 in the last 14 of the AF-UNLV head-to-head series 

MIAMI (OH) at AKRON
Trend: Road teams are 10-2 ATS in the last 12 of Miami (OH)-Akron head-to-head series 

CLEMSON at BOSTON COLLEGE
Trend: Road teams are 8-2-1 ATS in the CLEM-BC head-to-head series

VIRGINIA TECH at GEORGIA TECH
Trend: Road teams are on a 14-3 ATS surge in the GT-VT ACC series

Week 8

Friday, October 17, 2025

SAN JOSE STATE at UTAH STATE
Trend: UTAH STATE is 10-1 SU and 9-2 ATS in the last 11 head-to-head meetings with SJSU 

LOUISVILLE at MIAMI (FL)
Trend: Favorites are 7-0 ATS in the LOU-MFL head-to-head series since 2006

Saturday, October 18, 2025

WYOMING at AIR FORCE
Trend: WYOMING is 13-2 ATS in the last 15 head-to-head matchups with Air Force 

PURDUE at NORTHWESTERN
Trend: Road teams are 9-4 SU and 10-2-1 ATS in the last 13 of the PUR-NW head-to-head series 

UT-SAN ANTONIO at NORTH TEXAS
Trend: Home teams are 10-2 SU and 10-1-1 ATS in the last 12 of the UTSA-UNT head-to-head in-state rivalry 

PITTSBURGH at SYRACUSE
Trend: Under the total is 10-3 in the last 13 of the PITT-SU head-to-head series, including 6-0 in the last six at Syracuse 

NORTHERN ILLINOIS at OHIO
Trend: Underdogs are 9-1 ATS in the last 10 of the NIU-OHIO head-to-head series

SOUTHERN MISS at LA LAFAYETTE

Trend: SOUTHERN MISS is 6-1 SU and 7-0 ATS in all seven matchups with LA-Lafayette since 2001 

MICHIGAN STATE at INDIANA
Trend: Road teams are 6-1 SU and 7-0 ATS in the last seven of the IND-MSU series 

LSU at VANDERBILT
Trend: Road teams are 6-0-1 ATS in the seven head-to-head matchups between LSU and Vandy since 2004 

GEORGIA TECH at DUKE
Trend: Underdogs are on a run of 6-4 SU and 8-0-2 ATS in the Duke-GT series

USC at NOTRE DAME
Trend: Favorites are 10-2 ATS in the last 12 of the Notre Dame-USC rivalry

OHIO STATE at WISCONSIN
Trend: Home teams are 7-1-1 ATS in the last nine non-neutral head-to-head matchups between OSU and UW

Week 9

Saturday, October 25, 2025

AUBURN at ARKANSAS
Trend: Over the total is 9-2 in the last 11 of the Arkansas-Auburn set 

BOSTON COLLEGE at LOUISVILLE
Trend: Over the total is 8-1 in the BC-UL head-to-head series since 2016 

TCU at WEST VIRGINIA
Trend: WEST VIRGINIA is 9-2 ATS in the last 11 head-to-head games versus TCU 

COLORADO at UTAH
Trend: Under the total is 6-1 in the last seven of the COL-UTAH head-to-head rivalry in Salt Lake City 

OHIO U at EASTERN MICHIGAN
Trend: OHIO U is on a 7-1 SU and ATS run versus Eastern Michigan 

OKLAHOMA STATE at TEXAS TECH
Trend: Road teams are 11-3 ATS in the last 14 of the TTU-OSU set

BOWLING GREEN at KENT STATE
Trend: Road teams are 11-2 ATS run in the KSU-BGSU series

TENNESSEE at KENTUCKY
Trend: TENNESSEE is on a 14-4 ATS overall run vs. Kentucky, including a 9-1 ATS surge in Lexington 

SOUTH FLORIDA at MEMPHIS
Trend: Road teams are on a 10-0-1 ATS run in the MEM-USF head-to-head series

Week 10

Saturday, November 1, 2025

ARMY at AIR FORCE
Trends: Underdogs are on a 9-0 ATS streak and Under the total has converted in 12 straight in the Air Force-Army rivalry 

TEXAS TECH at KANSAS STATE
Trend: KANSAS STATE is 12-1 SU and 10-2-1 ATS in the last 13 head-to-head games with TTU 

HAWAII at SAN JOSE STATE
Trend: Road teams are 8-3 SU and 9-2 ATS in the last 11 of the Hawaii-SJSU head-to-head series 

INDIANA at MARYLAND
Trend: Over the total is 9-1 in the last 10 of the MARY-IU series, including five straight Overs in College Park
Trend: HOME TEAMS are 8-1 ATS in the last nine of the MARY-IU series
 

UNLV at NEW MEXICO
Trend: Road teams are 6-1 SU and 7-0 ATS in the last seven of the UNLV-UNM head-to-head Mountain West rivalry, including five outright wins as road underdogs 

LA LAFAYETTE at SOUTH ALABAMA
Trend: Under the total is 10-2 in the ULL-USA head-to-head series since 2013 

OKLAHOMA ST at KANSAS
Trend: OKLAHOMA STATE is 8-1 SU and 7-1-1 ATS in the last nine versus KU 

MICHIGAN STATE at MINNESOTA
Trend: MINNESOTA is 9-1 ATS in the last 10 head-to-head games with MSU 

WAKE FOREST at FLORIDA STATE
Trend: Under the total is 7-1 in the last eight of the WF-FL ST head-to-head series in Tallahassee

Saturday, November 1, 2025 (AND Saturday, November 29, 2025)

WASHINGTON STATE versus OREGON STATE
Trend: Over the total is 10-2 in the last 12 of the WaSU-OSU head-to-head series

Week 11

Wednesday, November 5, 2025

NORTHERN ILLINOIS at TOLEDO
Trend: Road teams are 11-2 ATS run in the TOL-NIU series

Friday, November 7, 2025

HOUSTON at UCF
Trend: Road teams have covered eight straight ATS in the UH-UCF head-to-head series

Saturday, November 8, 2025

TEXAS STATE UNIV at LA LAFAYETTE
Trend: LA LAFAYETTE is on a 12-0 SU and 11-1 ATS run versus TSU 

FLORIDA STATE at CLEMSON
Trend: Favorites are on a 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS streak in the Clemson-FSU rivalry

BOWLING GREEN at EASTERN MICHIGAN
Trend: Road teams are 8-1 ATS in the last nine of the BGSU-EMU head-to-head series 

UNLV at COLORADO STATE
Trend: COLORADO STATE is 9-2 ATS in the last 11 head-to-head games with UNLV, including seven straight covers when hosting the Rebels 

FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL at MIDDLE TENN STATE
Trend: Home teams are 9-3 SU and 10-2 ATS in the last 12 of the FIU-MTSU head-to-head series 

UAB at RICE
Trend: Home teams are 10-2 ATS in the last 12 of the UAB-RICE head-to-head series

NEVADA at UTAH STATE
Trend: Home teams are 10-2 ATS in the NEV-USU head-to-head series since 2005 

WAKE FOREST at VIRGINIA
Trend: WAKE FOREST is 7-0-1 ATS in the last eight head-to-head games with UVA, including 5-0 ATS as road underdog when visiting Charlottesville 

GEORGIA STATE at COASTAL CAROLINA
Trend: Road teams are a perfect 8-0 SU and ATS in the CCU-GSU series since 2017

Week 12

Saturday, November 15, 2025

KANSAS STATE at OKLAHOMA STATE
Trend: Home teams are on a 6-1 SU and 7-0 ATS run in the OKST-KST rivalry 

VIRGINIA at DUKE
Trend: VIRGINIA is 8-1 SU and ATS in the last nine head-to-head games with Duke 

EASTERN MICHIGAN at BALL STATE
Trend: Road teams are 9-2 ATS in the last 11 of the EMU-BSU head-to-head series 

COLORADO STATE at NEW MEXICO
Trend: COLORADO STATE is on a 9-1-1 ATS run versus New Mexico
Trend: Under the total has converted in six straight CSU-UNM head-to-head games

Week 13

Wednesday, November 19, 2025

MIAMI (OH) at BUFFALO
Trend: Favorites are on runs of 23-1 SU and 13-2-1 ATS in head-to-head matchups between Miami (OH) and Buffalo

CENTRAL MICHIGAN at KENT STATE
Trend: Over the total is 6-0 in the CMU-KSU head-to-head MAC series since 2007

Thursday, November 20, 2025

LA LAFAYETTE at ARKANSAS STATE
Trend: Home teams are on a 9-2 SU and ATS surge in the ASU-ULL Sun Belt rivalry

Saturday, November 22, 2025

FLORIDA STATE at NC STATE
Trend: Under the total is 7-1 in the last eight of the FSU-NCST head-to-head series 

MICHIGAN STATE at IOWA
Trend: Over the total is 7-1 in the last eight of the MSU-IOWA head-to-head series in Iowa City

SAN JOSE STATE at SAN DIEGO STATE
Trend: Under the total is 8-2 in the last 10 SJSU-SDSU head-to-head matchups 

ILLINOIS at WISCONSIN
Trend: Over the total is 7-1 in the last eight of the ILL-WISC head-to-head series in Madison 

ARIZONA STATE at COLORADO
Trend: Home teams are 8-1-1 ATS in the ASU-COL head-to-head series since 2013 

LA MONROE at TEXAS STATE
Trend: Road teams are 11-2 ATS in the ULM-TSU head-to-head series since 2000

NEW MEXICO at AIR FORCE
Trend: Over the total is 10-1 in the last 11 of the Air Force-New Mexico series 

TENNESSEE at FLORIDA
Trend: FLORIDA is on a 5-2 SU and 6-1 ATS versus Tennessee 

DUKE at NORTH CAROLINA
Trend: Underdogs are 9-3-1 ATS in the last 13 of the Duke-UNC rivalry

KENTUCKY at VANDERBILT
Trend: Road teams are 7-1 ATS in the last eight of the UK-Vandy head-to-head series 

BALL STATE at TOLEDO
Trend: BALL STATE is 8-1 ATS in the last nine visits to Toledo
Trend: Under the total is 10-2 in the last 12 of the BALL STATE-TOLEDO head-to-head series 

CALIFORNIA at STANFORD
Trend: Road teams are 12-3-1 ATS in the last 16 of the Stanford-Cal rivalry

Week 14

Friday, November 28, 2025

ARIZONA at ARIZONA STATE
Trend: Over the total is 11-2 in the last 13 games of the ASU-Arizona head-to-head series

OLE MISS at MISSISSIPPI STATE
Trend: Underdogs are on an 8-1-1 ATS run, and Under the total is 11-1 in the last 12 of the Egg Bowl series

BOISE STATE at UTAH STATE
Trend: BOISE STATE is on an 8-0 SU and ATS run vs. Utah State

GEORGIA at GEORGIA TECH
Trend: Road teams are 19-4-1 ATS in the UGA-GA Tech head-to-head in-state rivalry since 2000, including Georgia being a perfect 12-0 SU in Atlanta 

AIR FORCE at COLORADO STATE
Trend: Road teams are 8-0 ATS in the AF-CSU head-to-head rivalry since 2016 

INDIANA at PURDUE
Trend: Over the total is 8-0 in the last eight of the IND-PUR in-state rivalry in West Lafayette 

IOWA at NEBRASKA
Trend: Underdogs are on a 6-0-1 ATS streak in the Nebraska-Iowa series

Saturday, November 29, 2025

WISCONSIN at MINNESOTA
Trend: Road teams are on a 10-1 ATS surge in the MIN-WIS rivalry 

CLEMSON at SOUTH CAROLINA
Trend: Road teams are on a 6-1 SU and 7-0 ATS streak in the USC-Clemson head-to-head series 

FLORIDA STATE at FLORIDA
Trend: Road teams are 11-2 ATS in the Florida-FSU series since 2011 

NORTHWESTERN at ILLINOIS
Trend: Over the total is 11-3-1 ATS in the last 15 of the NW-ILL in-state rivalry 

KENTUCKY at LOUISVILLE
Trend: Road teams are 11-5 SU and 13-3 ATS in the UK-UL in-state rivalry since 2008

OREGON at WASHINGTON
Trend: OREGON is 7-1-1 ATS in the last nine visits to UW in Seattle 

TOLEDO at CENTRAL MICHIGAN
Trend: Favorites are 15-1 SU and 14-2 ATS in the last 16 of the TOL-CMU head-to-head series
Trend: Under the total is 9-1 in the last 10 of the TOL-CMU head-to-head series 

PENN STATE at RUTGERS
Trend: Under the total is 9-1 in the last 10 of the PSU-RUTG head-to-head series 

VIRGINIA TECH at VIRGINIA
Trend: VA TECH is 7-1 ATS in the last eight of the in-state rivalry with UVA 

FRESNO STATE at SAN JOSE STATE
Trend: Under the total is 7-1 in the last eight of the FSU-SJSU head-to-head series 

ALABAMA at AUBURN
Trend: Home teams are on an 8-0 ATS streak in the Iron Bowl rivalry 

MISSOURI at ARKANSAS
Trend: Home teams are 9-1-1 ATS in the last 11 of the ARK-MIS series

OHIO STATE at MICHIGAN
Trend: Over the total is 10-1 in the last 11 Michigan-Ohio State games 

MICHIGAN STATE vs MARYLAND
Trend: Under the total is 8-1-1 in the MSU-Maryland rivalry since 2014

Week 16

Saturday, December 13, 2025

Army vs. Navy
Trend: Underdogs are 10-4 ATS in the last 14 of the Army-Navy rivalry

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Steve Makinen
As one of the original founders of StatFox, Steve Makinen has been in the business of sports betting and data analysis for almost 25 years now. In his time in the industry, Steve has worked in a variety of capacities on both sides of the betting counter, from his early days of developing the StatFox business, to almost a decade of oddsmaking consulting for one of the world's leading sportsbooks, to his last seven years as Point Spread Weekly and Analytics Director with VSiN. Steve has always believed that number crunching and handicapping through foundational trends and systems is the secret to success and he shares this data with VSiN readers on a daily basis for all of the major sports.