The following is a collection of analytical data, betting systems and strength ratings featured on VSiN and qualified for the college football games of Week 9. This report emulates the process Steve Makinen and other members of the VSiN Analytics team use to handicap each week’s college football board.

AJ’s Angles

These are the top trends and systems for this week’s CFB games, handpicked by VSiN Analyst AJ Makinen.

* Higher-ranked home teams playing as single-digit favorites or underdogs against a worse-ranked opponent have gone 69-30 SU and 61-35-3 ATS (63.5%) since 2017.
System Match (PLAY): TEXAS TECH (-3.5 vs Arizona)

* Teams coming off losses in which they were road dogs of less than 3 points are just 71-121 ATS (37%) in the follow-up game since 2018.
System Matches (FADE ALL): BAYLOR (+1.5 at UCF), WESTERN MICHIGAN (-13.5 vs Bowling Green), UNLV (-23.5 vs Northern Illinois)

* Teams that have won back-to-back conference games both SU and ATS while being defensively dominant (<12 PPG allowed in those two games) have been tremendous when playing on the road in the next game, 60-35 ATS (63.2%) since 2019.
System Match (PLAY): LOUISIANA TECH (-5.5 at South Alabama)

* Teams playing at home in conference games as dogs of more than 3 points when coming off a huge upset win as a double-digit road underdog have been a play against team, 32-50 ATS (39%) since 2010.
System Matches (FADE ALL): CHARLOTTE (+10 vs Tulane), LA MONROE (+3.5 vs Southern Miss)

* GEORGIA SOUTHERN is 6-3 SU and 8-1 ATS in the last nine matchups with App State
Trend Match (PLAY): GEORGIA SOUTHERN (-5.5 vs Appalachian State)

* RUTGERS is 13-2 (86.7%) to the Over as a home underdog since 2021
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): MICHIGAN-RUTGERS (o/u at 46.5)

* UAB is 2-16-1 ATS (11.1%) in the last 19 following up a SU win
* SOUTH FLORIDA is 9-1 ATS (90%) in the last 10 post-bye week games
Trends Match (PLAY): SOUTH FLORIDA (-8.5 vs UAB)

#1 TOTAL PROJECTION FAVORING OVER according to the MAKINEN EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS: MINNESOTA-INDIANA OVER 41.5 (simulation has total at 46.9)

College Football Systems Based Upon AP Poll Rankings

The following college football betting systems take into account whether or not teams in a non-neutral field game are ranked in the AP poll

CFB Ranked Team System #1 – Games featuring two ranked teams
– In games featuring two ranked teams since 2017, home teams are now 236-123 SU and 205-145-9 ATS (58.6%).
System Match (PLAY): TEXAS TECH (-3.5 vs Arizona)

– Digging deeper into that data, you will find that when the home team has been ranked better, those teams have gone 131-34 SU and 98-63-4 ATS (60.9%).
System Match (PLAY): TEXAS TECH (-3.5 vs Arizona)

– Adding another point spread wrinkle to the last angle, when better-ranked home teams have been single-digit favorites or underdogs, they have gone 69-30 SU and 61-35-3 ATS (63.5%) since 2017.
System Match (PLAY): TEXAS TECH (-3.5 vs Arizona)

CFB Ranked Team System #5: Unranked teams that favored over ranked teams in Power 4 conference games boast a record of 64-33 SU and 53-40-4 ATS (57%) dating back to November 2016.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): IOWA (-3.5 vs Wisconsin), OREGON (-3.5 vs Northwestern)

CFB Ranked Team System #6: Ranked home favorites of more than 14 points are 368-29 SU but just 174-219-4 ATS (44.3%) versus unranked conference opponents since October 2015.
System Matches (FADE ALL): INDIANA (-20.5 vs Minnesota), BYU (-16.5 vs Arizona St), TEXAS (-20.5 vs Mississippi State)

CFB Ranked Team System #8: Teams coming off an upset win over a Top 15-ranked team are 129-95 SU but just 98-125-1 ATS (43.9%) in the follow-up contest dating back to November 2016.
System Matches (FADE ALL): UCF (-1.5 vs Baylor), FLORIDA (+11.5 vs Georgia), MINNESOTA (+20.5 at Indiana), CINCINNATI (+6.5 vs Utah)

CFB Ranked Team System #9: Teams coming off a home loss to a top-10-ranked team are just 145-152 SU and 132-163-2 ATS (44.7%) in their next game since October of 2016.
System Match (FADE): MICHIGAN (-14 at Rutgers)

CFB Ranked Team System #10: Ranked teams coming off a close loss of 7 points or fewer and playing an unranked team are 126-31 SU but just 65-88-4 ATS (42.5%) since December of 2015.
System Matches (FADE ALL): NOTRE DAME (-30.5 vs Navy), OLE MISS (-13.5 vs Auburn)

CFB Ranked Team System #11: Ranked teams coming off a close win of 7 points or fewer where they didn’t cover the point spread are on a 235-55 SU and 167-120-3 ATS (58.2%) surge when favored in the next game since October of 2015.
System Match (PLAY): INDIANA (-20.5 vs Minnesota)

CFB Ranked Team System #12: Ranked teams coming off of double-digit losses have responded nicely of late, going 68-30 SU and 57-40-1 ATS (58.8%) in the next game since November of 2021.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): TEXAS TECH (-3.5 vs Arizona), MISSOURI (-10 at Arkansas)

CFB Ranked Team System #13: Teams still unranked even after beating a ranked team in the prior game are 89-42 SU but just 57-72-2 ATS (44.2%) when favored in the follow-up contest since November of 2015.
System Match (FADE): UCF (-1.5 vs Baylor)

CFB Ranked Team System #14: Teams still ranked even after losing as 7-point favorites or more are 78-38 SU but 46-68-2 ATS (40.4%) in the follow-up games. These teams are also 68-47-1 Under the total (59.1%) in these next contests since September of 2016.
System Matches (FADE ALL): NOTRE DAME (-30.5 vs Navy), TEXAS TECH (-3.5 vs Arizona), GEORGIA (-11.5 vs Florida), BYU (-16.5 vs Arizona State)
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): NOTRE DAME-NAVY (o/u at 56.5), TEXAS TECH-ARIZONA (o/u at 54.5), FLORIDA-GEORGIA (o/u at 55.5), ARIZONA ST-BYU (o/u at 48.5)

CFB Ranked Team System #15: Teams coming off a win over a ranked team and playing another ranked team are just 75-106 SU and 77-101-3 ATS (43.3%) since September 2019. These teams are also 88-50 Under the total (63.8%) in these next contests dating back to September of 2021.
System Matches (FADE ALL): FLORIDA (+11.5 at Georgia), MINNESOTA (+20.5 at Indiana), CINCINNATI (+6.5 vs Utah)
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): FLORIDA-GEORGIA (o/u at 55.5), MINNESOTA-INDIANA (o/u at 41.5), UTAH-CINCINNATI (o/u at 56.5)

CFB Ranked Team System #16: Teams playing in the middle game(s) of what winds up being 3+ straight games versus ranked opponents have been quite successful, going 103-83 SU and 112-72-2 ATS (60.9%) dating back to November 2015.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): MINNESOTA (+20.5 at Indiana), CINCINNATI (+6.5 vs Utah)

These detail top trends and systems for college football conference play.

* Road teams in conference games coming off very close losses of less than 3 points have struggled lately, 90-125 ATS (41.9%) since 2011.
System Matches (FADE): BAYLOR (+1.5 at UCF)

* Teams playing as conference road dogs of more than 7 points after not having played since 14 days ago are on a 153-129 ATS (54.3%) surge since 2010.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): UAB (+8.5 at South Florida), UTEP (+24.5 at North Dakota State), PURDUE (+7.5 at Penn State), WASHINGTON (+7.5 at Nebraska)

* Teams playing at home in conference games as dogs of more than 3 points when coming off a huge upset win as a double-digit road underdog have been a play against team, 32-50 ATS (39%) since 2010.
System Matches (FADE ALL): CHARLOTTE (+10 vs Tulane), LA MONROE (+3.5 vs Southern Miss)

* Conference home favorites coming off a double-digit conference loss are just 220-300 ATS (42.3%) since 2016
System Matches (FADE ALL): MISSOURI STATE (-6 vs Sam Houston State), TEXAS TECH (-3.5 vs Arizona), PITTSBURGH (-7.5 vs Georgia Tech), OREGON (-3.5 vs Northwestern), UNLV (-23.5 vs Northern Illinois)

* Teams playing in a home conference game after losing and yielding 48+ points to another conference rival the previous game are just 75-108 ATS (41%) since 2020
System Matches (FADE ALL): MISSOURI STATE (-6 vs Sam Houston State), PITTSBURGH (-7.5 vs Georgia Tech), SAN DIEGO STATE (-2.5 vs Washington State), COLORADO (+1.5 vs Kansas State)

* Teams playing as road underdogs in conference play after a game in which they turned the ball over 4+ times have been huge Under plays on totals, 130-89 (59.4%) since 2016.
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): WASHINGTON-NEBRASKA (o/u at 49.5), NORTHERN ILLINOIS-UNLV (o/u at 53.5)

* Big 10 road favorites of -4 or less have gone 30-13 SU and 27-16 ATS (62.8%) in conference play since 2021.
System Match (PLAY): ILLINOIS (-2.5 at Maryland)

* Big 10 home favorites in the -17 to -30.5 line range with a total of <= 56 have gone Under the total at a 42-21 (66.7%) rate in conference play since 2017.
System Match (PLAY UNDER): MINNESOTA-INDIANA (o/u at 41.5)

* Under the total is 32-13-1 (71.1%) in ACC matchups with spreads >= 13 points and totals >= 60.5 since 2016.
System Match (PLAY UNDER): STANFORD-LOUISVILLE (spread LOU -22.5, o/u at 60.5)

* AAC favorites in the -7 to -12 line range have gone 120-19 SU and 77-56-6 ATS (57.9%) in conference play since 2015.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): TULANE (-10 at Charlotte), SOUTH FLORIDA (-8.5 vs UAB)

* Sun Belt non-Saturday games have gone Under the total at a 57-33-1 (63.3%) rate since 2015.
System Match (PLAY UNDER): TROY-JAMES MADISON (o/u at 49.5)

* Sun Belt small home favorites/pick ‘ems in the PK to -5.5 line range and totals within the 52.5-65 range have had these totals go Under at a 44-21 (67.7%) rate since 2015.
System Match (PLAY UNDER): APPALACHIAN STATE-GEORGIA SOUTHERN (spread GASO -5.5, o/u at 56.5)

* Sun Belt road favorites in the -3.5 to -10 line range are 72-30 SU and 61-41 ATS (59.8%) in conference play since 2015.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): LOUISIANA TECH (-5.5 at South Alabama), SOUTHERN MISS (-3.5 at LA Monroe)

* Under the total is 60-41-1 (59.4%) in Conference USA expected-tight matchups (-3 to +2.5 line range) since 2015.
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): DELAWARE-WESTERN KENTUCKY (spread WKU -1.5, o/u at 55.5), KENNESAW STATE-MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE (spread MTSU -2.5, o/u at 50.5)

Negative FADE trends:
MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE is on a 1-11 ATS skid in conference play when coming off an upset win
Trend Match (FADE): MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE (-2.5 vs Kennesaw State)

UCF has lost 14 of its last 16 games ATS as a favorite in conference play
Trend Match (FADE): UCF (-1.5 vs Baylor)

RUTGERS is on a 4-13 ATS skid as a Big Ten home underdog
Trend Match (FADE): RUTGERS (+14 vs Michigan)

NEBRASKA is just 5-13-2 ATS in its last 20 games as a Big Ten favorite
Trend Match (FADE): NEBRASKA (-7.5 vs Washington)

MEMPHIS is on an 11-22 ATS skid in conference games when coming off an outright win
Trend Match (FADE): MEMPHIS (-6 vs Army)

Positive FOLLOW trends:
FRESNO STATE is on a 10-1 ATS streak as a home underdog in conference play
Trend Match (PLAY): FRESNO STATE (+5.5 vs Oregon State)

TROY has won 14 of its last 18 Sun Belt road games ATS
Trend Match (PLAY): TROY (+21 at James Madison)

TEXAS TECH is on a 10-game ATS winning streak in conference play when coming off a road loss
Trend Match (PLAY): TEXAS TECH (-3.5 vs Arizona)

OLD DOMINION has won 11 of its last 18 games ATS as a conference underdog
Trend Match (PLAY): OLD DOMINION (+2.5 vs Marshall)

SAN JOSE STATE is on an 11-3 ATS surge as a double-digit conference underdog
Trend Match (PLAY): SAN JOSE STATE (+14.5 vs New Mexico)

LOUISVILLE is on an impressive 14-8 ATS surge as an ACC home favorite
Trend Match (PLAY): LOUISVILLE (-22.5 vs Stanford)

NORTHERN ILLINOIS is a 16-7 ATS conference road underdog in its last 23 tries
Trend Match (PLAY): NORTHERN ILLINOIS (+23.5 at UNLV)

Extreme Stat Next Game CFB Betting Systems

Upset losses as huge favorites snowball
Teams that lose in a college football game as favorites of 19.5 points or more have gone just 44-73 SU and 43-70-4 ATS (38.1%) in the follow-up contest since 2012.
System Match (FADE): GEORGIA (-11.5 vs Florida)

Conference wins while struggling offensively are momentum builders
Over the last thirteen years, CFB teams that won a conference game despite gaining less than 250 yards of offense have used that victory to build momentum, going 89-67-2 ATS (57.1%) in the follow-up contest.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): WISCONSIN (+3.5 at Iowa), MINNESOTA (+20.5 at Indiana), INDIANA (-20.5 vs Minnesota), LA MONROE (+3.5 vs Southern Miss), TEXAS STATE (+11.5 at Boise State)

Road favorites struggle when coming off a close loss
Road favorites coming off a close loss of 10 points or fewer are just 78-113 ATS (40.8%) since 2022. Over the total is also 112-82 (57.7%) in these games.
System Match (FADE): MICHIGAN (-14 at Rutgers)
System Match (PLAY OVER): MICHIGAN-RUTGERS (o/u at 46.5)

Road underdogs solid when coming off a blowout loss
Road underdogs of +27 or fewer are 128-74 ATS (63.4%) coming off a loss of 27 points or more since 2022. Under the total is also 113-89 (55.9%) in those games.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): KENNESAW STATE (+2.5 at Middle Tennessee State), CALIFORNIA (+7 at NC State), NORTHERN ILLINOIS (+23.5 at UNLV)
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): KENNESAW STATE-MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE (o/u at 50.5), CALIFORNIA-NC STATE (o/u at 56.5), NORTHERN ILLINOIS-UNLV (o/u at 53.5)

Ride teams off uber-dominant performances
Any team coming off a game scoring 60+ points is 87-63 ATS (58%) in the follow-up game since 2022.
System Match (PLAY): DELAWARE (+1.5 at Western Kentucky)

Big upsets turn into focused defensive efforts next time out
Teams coming off a road conference upset loss in which they were favored by -7 or more have been big Under the total teams, 67-49 (57.8%) since 2021. These teams’ defensive points allowed fell from 31.8 PPG to 21.7 PPG.
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): TROY-JAMES MADISON (o/u at 49.5), WISCONSIN-IOWA (o/u at 36.5), ARIZONA-TEXAS TECH (o/u at 54.5), UCONN-AIR FORCE (o/u at 53.5), ARIZONA STATE-BYU (o/u at 48.5), NORTHWESTERN-OREGON (o/u at 47.5), CALIFORNIA-NC STATE (o/u at 56.5)

Small road underdog losses can be demoralizing
Teams coming off losses in which they were road dogs of less than 3 points are just 71-121 ATS (37%) in the follow-up game since 2018.
System Matches (FADE ALL): BAYLOR (+1.5 at UCF), WESTERN MICHIGAN (-13.5 vs Bowling Green), UNLV (-23.5 vs Northern Illinois)

Home favorites off a small conference upset haven’t been good bets
Teams coming off outright conference upsets when a dog of +3 points or fewer are just 67-100 ATS (40.1%) when favored at home in the follow-up game.
System Matches (FADE ALL): WESTERN KENTUCKY (-1.5 vs Delaware), DUKE (-7 vs Boston College)

CFB Streaks Provide Some Advantages for Bettors

The following betting systems focus on winning and losing streaks. Below are the ones that have qualifying plays for this week’s action.

CFB Streaks Betting System #3: Teams that have won back-to-back conference games both SU and ATS while being defensively dominant (<12 PPG allowed in those two games) have been tremendous when playing on the road in the next game, 60-35 ATS (63.2%) since 2019.
System Match (PLAY): LOUISIANA TECH (-5.5 at South Alabama)

CFB Streaks Betting System #4: Teams that have won and covered three straight conference games are just 26-43 ATS (37.7%) in their last 69 games when going out of conference for the next contest.
System Match (FADE): UCLA (-22.5 vs Nevada)

CFB Streaks Betting System #5: Teams that have lost their last three games SU and ATS, all in conference play, have gone just 64-96 ATS (40%) when hosting a conference foe in the next game.
System Matches (FADE ALL): SACRAMENTO STATE (+10 vs Kent State), PITTSBURGH (-7.5 vs Georgia Tech)

CFB Streaks Betting System #6: Teams either on 4-game ATS winning streaks or 4-game ATS losing streaks have been bad bets as small favorites (-4.5 or shorter) in the next contest, going just 93-105 SU and 78-117-3 ATS (40%) since 2016.
System Match (FADE): NONE YET BUT WATCH FOR: GEORGIA SOUTHERN vs Appalachian State (-5.5 CURRENTLY)

CFB Streaks Betting System #7: Road/Neutral teams who have won their last four ATS have been solid bets as larger favorites (-7.5 or higher) in the next game, going 88-18 SU and 58-44-4 ATS (56.9%) since 2016.
System Match (PLAY): OKLAHOMA STATE (-8.5 at Iowa State)

CFB Streaks Betting System #8: Home teams coming off of four straight SU losses but are now favored by more than a field goal (-3.5 or higher) have performed well, going 77-18 SU and 58-35-2 ATS (62.4%) since 2016.
System Match (PLAY): PENN STATE (-7.5 vs Purdue)

CFB Team Strength Systems

The following handicapping information details betting systems for CFB teams based on various team strength indicators or line scenarios.

CFB Team Strength Betting System #1:
In FBS vs. FBS games in Week 5 or later with home favorites of -25 or higher, Over the total is 77-48 (61.6%) since 2020.
System Match (PLAY OVER): NONE YET BUT WATCH FOR UTEP-NORTH DAKOTA STATE (spread NDSU -24.5, o/u at 42.5)

College Football Revenge Handicapping

The following are methodologies for handicapping revenge situations in college football, including the best and worst teams in revenge mode, and the best betting systems uncovered. Revenge is defined as having lost a game to a specific opponent in the prior or current season only.

Best and Worst College Football Revenge Teams (since 2016)

Best
* WISCONSIN is 12-11 SU and 14-9 ATS (60.9%) in revenge mode since 2016
Trend Match (PLAY): WISCONSIN (+3.5 at Iowa)
* NAVY is 17-26 SU but 26-17 ATS (60.5%) in revenge mode since 2016
Trend Match (PLAY): NAVY (+30.5 vs Notre Dame)
* OREGON STATE is 18-34 SU but 30-21 ATS (58.8%) in revenge mode since 2016
Trend Match (PLAY): OREGON STATE (-5.5 at Fresno State)

Worst
* NEW MEXICO is 10-36 SU and 17-27 ATS (38.6%) in revenge mode since 2016
Trend Match (FADE): NEW MEXICO (-14.5 at San Jose State)
* CINCINNATI is 11-16 SU and 9-18 ATS (33.3%) in revenge mode since 2016
Trend Match (FADE): CINCINNATI (+6.5 vs Utah)

College football revenge systems

Neutral field underdogs are great in revenge
Since the start of the 2016 season, neutral field underdogs playing in revenge mode have gone 58-37 ATS (61.1%).
System Matches (PLAY ALL): NAVY (+30.5 vs Notre Dame), FLORIDA (+11.5 vs Georgia)

Home/road revenge line range angles that have thrived
Teams seeking revenge at home in a competitive line range (-3.5 to +3.5) after getting blown out by this team on the road (>= 20-point loss) last time have been solid bets, going 94-76 SU and 99-67-4 ATS (59.6%) since 2017.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): UCF (-1.5 vs Baylor), OLD DOMINION (+2.5 vs Marshall), LA MONROE (+3.5 vs Southern Miss), SAN DIEGO STATE (-2.5 vs Washington State)

Double-digit road favorites have been good producers in the revenge role, going 54-47 ATS (53.4%) since 2016.
System Match (PLAY): NEW MEXICO (-14.5 at San Jose State)

Teams who lost as underdogs but are now seeking revenge as road favorites of -4.5 or higher have performed well, going 54-12 SU and 42-23-1 ATS (64.6%) since 2017.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): OKLAHOMA STATE (-8.5 at Iowa State), NEW MEXICO (-14.5 at San Jose State)

Revenge teams that lost as double-digit favorites last time out
Teams looking to avenge outright losses where they were double-digit favorites have struggled, going just 123-136 ATS (47.5%) since 2016.
System Match (SLIGHT FADE): OLD DOMINION (+2.5 vs Marshall)

These are some of the top situational trends that have developed with teams in recent years of action:

* AIR FORCE is 34-21 (61.8%) ATS in non-Conference games since 2014
* AIR FORCE is 25-7-1 (78.1%) to the Under in non-Conference regular season games since 2018
Trends Match: PLAY AIR FORCE (-2.5 vs UConn), also PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 53.5)

* ARIZONA is 22-35 (38.6%) ATS in road/neutral games since 2016
* TEXAS TECH is 18-4 ATS (81.8%) after a SU loss over the last five seasons
Trends Match (PLAY): TEXAS TECH (-3.5 vs Arizona)

* ARIZONA STATE is 32-19-1 (62.7%) ATS as underdog since 2018
Trend Match (PLAY): ARIZONA ST (+16.5 at BYU)

* MISSOURI is 13-7 ATS (65%) in road/neutral games in the last three seasons
* ARKANSAS is 4-18 (18.2%) ATS coming off SU win since 2020
Trends Match (PLAY): MISSOURI (-10 at Arkansas)

* BOSTON COLLEGE is 33-18 (64.7%) ATS in Conference games since 2020
Trend Match (PLAY): BOSTON COLLEGE (+7 at Duke)

* BOWLING GREEN is 22-35 (38.6%) ATS as underdog since 2019
Trend Match (FADE): BOWLING GREEN (+13.5 at Western Michigan)

* CALIFORNIA is 33-24 (57.9%) ATS as underdog since 2018
Trend Match (PLAY): CALIFORNIA (+7 at NC State)

* CINCINNATI is 8-20 ATS (28.6%) as an underdog since 2021
* CINCINNATI is 12-25 (32.4%) ATS in Conference games since 2022
Trends Match (FADE): CINCINNATI (+6.5 vs Utah)

* TULANE is 13-5-1 ATS (72.2%) as road favorite since 2020
* CHARLOTTE is 5-23 (17.9%) ATS in the last 28 home games
Trends Match (PLAY): TULANE (-10 at Charlotte)

* CLEMSON is 14-9 (60.9%) ATS in the last 23 following up a SU loss
* FLORIDA STATE is 15-28-1 (34.9%) ATS in conference games since 2021
Trends Match (PLAY): CLEMSON (+6 at Florida State)

* KANSAS STATE is 14-9 ATS (60.9%) following up a SU loss in the last five seasons
* COLORADO is 13-8 (61.9%) ATS in the last 21 games following a SU loss
Trends Match: 1 PLAY KANSAS STATE, 1 PLAY COLORADO (spread KSU -2.5)

* FLORIDA ATLANTIC is 10-19 (34.5%) ATS in the last 29 games following a SU win
Trend Match (FADE): FLA ATLANTIC (+13.5 at North Texas)

* FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL is 20-32-1 (38.5%) in Conference games over the last seven seasons
Trend Match (FADE): FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL (+14 at Liberty)

* OREGON STATE is 30-16 (65.2%) ATS coming off a SU Win since 2016
* FRESNO STATE is 43-28-1 (60.6%) Under the total since 2021
Trends Match: PLAY OREGON STATE (-5.5 at Fresno St), also PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 57.5)

* GEORGIA is 28-18 (60.9%) ATS in road/neutral games since 2020
Trend Match (PLAY): GEORGIA (-11.5 vs Florida)

* GEORGIA SOUTHERN is 24-7 ATS (77.4%) as a home favorite since 2018
Trend Match (PLAY): GEORGIA SOUTHERN (-5.5 vs Appalachian State)

* GEORGIA STATE is 9-17 (34.6%) ATS in home games since 2022
Trend Match (FADE): GEORGIA STATE (-6.5 vs Coastal Carolina)

* ILLINOIS is 20-10 (66.7%) ATS in road/neutral games since 2021
* MARYLAND is 0-12 SU and 2-10 ATS (16.7%) in the last 12 post-bye week games
Trends Match (PLAY): ILLINOIS (-2.5 at Maryland)

* IOWA STATE is 20-11 (64.5%) ATS as underdog since 2021
Trend Match (PLAY): IOWA STATE (+8.5 vs Oklahoma State)

* TROY is 25-10 (71.4%) ATS in road/neutral games since 2021
* JAMES MADISON is 35-20 (63.6%) ATS as favorite since 2020
Trends Match: 1 PLAY TROY, 1 PLAY JAMES MADISON (spread JMU -21)

* KANSAS is 19-7 (73.1%) to the Over as a road/neutral underdog since 2021
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): KANSAS-TCU (o/u at 46.5)

* LA MONROE is 3-13 ATS (18.8%) as a single-digit underdog in Conference games since 2019
Trend Match (FADE): LA MONROE (+3.5 vs Southern Miss)

* LOUISIANA TECH is 46-33-1 (58.2%) Over the total since 2019
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): LOUISIANA TECH-SOUTH ALABAMA (o/u at 57.5)

* MICHIGAN is 21-13 (61.8%) ATS in Road/Neutral games in the last five seasons
* RUTGERS is 13-2 (86.7%) to the Over as a home underdog since 2021
Trends Match: PLAY MICHIGAN (-14 at Rutgers), also play over the total (o/u at 46.5)

* MINNESOTA is 13-6-2 ATS (68.4%) as a double-digit underdog in Conference games since 2014
Trend Match (PLAY): MINNESOTA (+20.5 at Indiana)

* WASHINGTON is 5-10 ATS (23.3%) in road/neutral games and 4-13 ATS (23.5%) following outright wins since 2024
* NEBRASKA is 12-18-3 (40%) ATS at home in the last 33
Trends Match: 1 FADE WASHINGTON, 1 FADE NEBRASKA (spread NEB -7.5)

* NOTRE DAME is 34-14 ATS (70.8%) in road/neutral games in the last seven seasons
Trend Match (PLAY): NOTRE DAME (-30.5 at Navy)

* OLD DOMINION is 12-28 (30%) ATS at home since 2019
Trend Match (FADE): OLD DOMINION (+2.5 vs Marshall)

* OLE MISS is 18-25-2 (41.9%) ATS in Conference games since 2021
Trend Match (FADE): OLE MISS (-13.5 vs Auburn)

* PENN STATE is 14-25 (35.9%) ATS coming off SU Loss since 2015
Trend Match (FADE): PENN STATE (-7.5 vs Purdue)

* GEORGIA TECH is 9-1 ATS (90%) in the last 10 as a single-digit underdog in Comference games
* PITTSBURGH is 51-32 (61.4%) Over the total since 2020
Trends Match: PLAY GEORGIA TECH (+7.5 at Pittsburgh), also PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 54.5)

* SAN DIEGO STATE is 15-26 ATS (36.6%) as a home favorite since 2017
Trend Match (FADE): SAN DIEGO STATE (-2.5 vs Washington St)

* STANFORD is 9-25 ATS (26.5%) as a road underdog since 2019
Trend Match (FADE): STANFORD (+22.5 at Louisville)

* TEMPLE is 25-14-1 (64.1%) ATS coming off a SU loss since 2020
* TEMPLE is 11-19 (36.7%) ATS in road games over the last five seasons
Trends Match: 1 PLAY, 1 FADE of TEMPLE (+6 at East Carolina)

* UAB is 2-16-1 ATS (11.1%) following up an outright win and 8-19-1 (29.6%) in road/neutral games over the last four seasons
* SOUTH FLORIDA is 9-1 ATS (90%) in the last 10 post-bye week games
Trends Match (PLAY): SOUTH FLORIDA (-8.5 vs UAB)

* UCLA is 11-22 (33.3%) ATS in non-Conference games since 2015
Trend Match (FADE): UCLA (-22.5 vs Nevada)

* OHIO STATE is 15-6-1 (71.4%) to the Over in the last 22 post-bye week games
* USC is 39-22 (63.9%) Over the total in the last four seasons
Trends Match (PLAY OVER): OHIO ST-USC (o/u at 51.5)

* UTAH STATE is 12-2-1 ATS (85.7%) as a home favorite in Conference games since 2018
Trend Match (PLAY): UTAH STATE (-6.5 vs Colorado State)

* VIRGINIA is 13-3-1 ATS (81.3%) in the last 17 games as road underdog vs ranked opponents
* WAKE FOREST is 16-7 ATS (69.6%) as a double-digit favorite since 2019
Trends Match: 1 PLAY VIRGINIA, 1 PLAY WAKE FOREST (spread WF -12.5)

These are the top head-to-head series trends between teams from recent years’ action:

(121) MARSHALL at (122) OLD DOMINION
* Road teams are 6-1 ATS in the last seven of the Thundering Herd-Monarchs set
Trend Match (PLAY): MARSHALL (-2.5 at Old Dominion)

(129) TEMPLE at (130) EAST CAROLINA
* Favorites are 9-0 SU and 7-2 ATS in the last nine of the Owls-Pirates series
Trend Match (PLAY): EAST CAROLINA (-6 vs Temple)

(133) GEORGIA TECH at (134) PITTSBURGH
* Road teams are 7-4 SU and 9-2 ATS in the last 11 of the Yellow Jackets-Panthers ACC set
Trend Match (PLAY): GEORGIA TECH (+7.5 at Pittsburgh)

(137) MICHIGAN at (138) RUTGERS
* Over the total has gone 5-0 in the Wolverines-Scarlet Knights series in Piscataway, NJ since 2014
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): MICHIGAN-RUTGERS (o/u at 46.5)

(139) APPALACHIAN ST at (140) GEORGIA SOUTHERN
* GEORGIA SOUTHERN is 6-3 SU and 8-1 ATS in the last nine matchups with App State
Trend Match (PLAY): GEORGIA SOUTHERN (-5.5 vs Appalachian State)

(141) MIAMI (FL) at (142) NORTH CAROLINA
* NORTH CAROLINA is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 instances hosting Miami (FL)
Trend Match (PLAY): NORTH CAROLINA (+14.5 vs Miami (FL))
* Over the total is 8-2 in these ten games as well
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): MIAMI (FL)-NORTH CAROLINA (o/u at 52.5)

(147) BOWLING GREEN at (148) WESTERN MICHIGAN
* Under the total is 10-2 in the last 12 of the Falcons-Broncos MAC rivalry
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): BOWLING GREEN-WESTERN MICHIGAN (o/u at 44.5)
* Favorites are 6-0 SU and ATS in the last six of the series in Kalamazoo, MI as well
Trend Match (PLAY): WESTERN MICHIGAN (-13.5 vs BGSU)

(149) BOSTON COLLEGE at (150) DUKE
* Underdogs are 2-4 SU but 5-1 ATS in the last six of the BC-Duke set
Trend Match (PLAY): BOSTON COLLEGE (+7 at Duke)

(151) VIRGINIA at (152) WAKE FOREST
* WAKE FOREST is 6-3 SU and 8-0-1 ATS in the last nine meetings with UVA
Trend Match (PLAY): WAKE FOREST (-12.5 vs Virginia)

(153) MINNESOTA at (154) INDIANA
* MINNESOTA is 6-1 SU and ATS in the last seven matchups with IU
Trend Match (PLAY): MINNESOTA (+20.5 at Indiana)

(155) PURDUE at (156) PENN STATE
* Road teams are 6-4 SU and 8-1-1 ATS in the last 10 of the Boilermakers-Nittany Lions series
Trend Match (PLAY): PURDUE (+7.5 at Penn State)

(157) CLEMSON at (158) FLORIDA STATE
* Favorites are on an 8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS surge in the Tigers-Seminoles set
Trend Match (PLAY): FLORIDA ST (-6 vs Clemson)

(165) COASTAL CAROLINA at (166) GEORGIA STATE
* Road teams are 8-1 ATS in the last nine of the Chanticleers-Panthers series, but did lose last year
Trend Match (PLAY): COASTAL CAROLINA (+6.5 at Georgia State)

(173) OKLAHOMA STATE at (174) IOWA STATE
* Underdogs are 3-7 SU but 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings between OSU and ISU
Trend Match (PLAY): IOWA STATE (+8.5 vs Oklahoma State)

(179) KANSAS STATE at (180) COLORADO
* Underdogs are 3-6 SU but 7-2 ATS in the last nine of the Wildcats-Buffaloes series
Trend Match (PLAY): COLORADO (+2.5 vs Kansas State)

(181) NEW MEXICO at (182) SAN JOSE STATE
* SAN JOSE STATE is 6-1 SU and 7-0 ATS versus New Mexico since 2006
Trend Match (PLAY): SAN JOSE STATE (+14.5 vs New Mexico)

(191) AUBURN at (192) MISSISSIPPI
* Road teams are 7-1-2 ATS in the Tigers-Rebels SEC series since 2014, including five straight covers by Auburn in Oxford
Trend Match (PLAY): AUBURN (+13.5 at Ole Miss)

 (199) SOUTHERN MISS at (200) LA MONROE
* Favorites are 5-1 SU and ATS in the last six of the Golden Eagles-Warhawks set
Trend Match (PLAY): SOUTHERN MISS (-3.5 at LA Monroe)

(201) WISCONSIN at (202) IOWA
* IOWA is 5-2 SU and 6-1 ATS in the last seven of the Big 10 West rivalry with Wisconsin
Trend Match (PLAY): IOWA (-3.5 vs Wisconsin)

(205) COLORADO STATE at (206) UTAH STATE
* Underdogs are 2-4 SU but 5-0-1 in the last six of the Rams-Aggies series
Trend Match (PLAY): COLORADO STATE (+6.5 at Utah State)

Strategies Using CFB DraftKings Betting Splits Data

One of the most touted features on the VSiN.com website, and a feature that we believe to be a fantastic resource for bettors is the betting splits pages. Note that these systems only include games matching TWO FBS OPPONENTS against one another.

Here are the systems and qualifying plays for this week’s games as of 6:45 p.m. ET on Tuesday. These can and will change, so continue to track and qualify the systems up until kickoff for best usage. There will be an updated betting splits article on Saturday morning.

CFB DK Betting Splits system #1: Going back to the start of the 2022 season, when more than 75% of the handle was on a particular side of an ATS wager, this majority group has gone just 652-718 ATS (47.6%).
System Matches (FADE ALL): JAMES MADISON, TULANE, WISCONSIN, MARYLAND, NOTRE DAME, CALIFORNIA, UAB, WESTERN MICHIGAN, EAST CAROLINA, LOUISIANA TECH, LOUISVILLE, BYU, NORTHWESTERN, TCU, WAKE FOREST, SAN JOSE STATE, UCLA, GEORGIA SOUTHERN, FLORIDA STATE, OKLAHOMA STATE, SAN DIEGO STATE, NORTH CAROLINA, MISSISSIPPI STATE, ARKANSAS, MEMPHIS, WASHINGTON, BOISE STATE, NORTHERN ILLINOIS, OREGON STATE

CFB DK Betting Splits system #2: When 76%+ of the number of bets were on the home side of an ATS wager since the start of the 2022 season, this majority group has gone just 289-309 ATS (48.3%). In 2022 it was 46.5%, in 2023 it was 46.7%, in 2024 it was 46.6%. Last year it was 6 games over-.500.
System Matches (FADE ALL): NORTH TEXAS, JAMES MADISON, GEORGIA STATE, EAST CAROLINA, UCLA, GEORGIA SOUTHERN, SAN DIEGO STATE

CFB DK Betting Splits system #3: When the majority of the handle was on road favorites for an ATS wager since the start of the 2022 season, this majority group is just 417-468 ATS (47.1%).
System Matches (FADE ALL): JACKSONVILLE STATE, TULANE, MARSHALL, KANSAS STATE, LOUISIANA TECH, UTAH, OKLAHOMA STATE, OREGON STATE

CFB DK Betting Splits system #4: When a 68%+ majority of the handle was on small home favorites of 7 points or fewer for an ATS wager since the start of the 2023 season, this majority group is 97-77 ATS (55.7%).
System Matches (PLAY ALL): EAST CAROLINA, TCU, GEORGIA SOUTHERN, FLORIDA STATE, SAN DIEGO STATE, MEMPHIS

CFB DK Betting Splits system #5: When a 58% or greater majority of the handle has been on road underdogs for an ATS wager since the start of the 2022 season, this majority group has gone 177-156-2 ATS (53.2%).
System Matches (SLIGHT PLAY ALL): SAM HOUSTON STATE, FLORIDA ATLANTIC, BAYLOR, WISCONSIN, CALIFORNIA, UAB, NORTHWESTERN, UTEP, FLA INTERNATIONAL, SOUTH CAROLINA, PURDUE, GEORGIA TECH, MISSISSIPPI STATE, WASHINGTON, NORTHERN ILLINOIS

CFB DK Betting Splits system #6: When a majority of 55% or more of number of bets has backed road underdogs for an ATS wager over the past four seasons, this majority group has gone 172-146-1 ATS (54.1%).
System Matches (SLIGHT PLAY ALL): WISCONSIN, CALIFORNIA, AUBURN, UCONN, MINNESOTA, NORTHWESTERN, FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL, SOUTH CAROLINA, PURDUE, MISSISSIPPI STATE

CFB DK Betting Splits system #7: When the majority of number of bets has backed a team in an ATS wager in non-Saturday games, their record since the start of 2022 is 315-263 (54.5%)! This goes to show that public bettors can be better performers with less games to choose from.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): WESTERN KENTUCKY, MISSOURI STATE, MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE, JACKSONVILLE STATE, NORTH TEXAS, JAMES MADISON, TULANE, UCF, KENT STATE

CFB DK Betting Splits system #9: The average college football total has steadied at about 53. In games since the start of the 2022 season where the totals reached 59 or higher and oddsmakers thus expected them to be a little more explosive, when majority handle bettors favored the Under, they have been relatively sharp, going 68-52 (56.7%).
System Match (PLAY UNDER): STANFORD-LOUISVILLE

CFB DK Betting Splits system #10: Since the start of the 2022 season, on games with totals of 49 or lower, 72%+ super majority handle bettors siding with the Under have gone 79-63 (55.6%).
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): KENT STATE-SACRAMENTO STATE, WISCONSIN-IOWA, UAB-SOUTH FLORIDA, BOWLING GREEN-WESTERN MICHIGAN, MICHIGAN-RUTGERS, ARIZONA STATE-BYU, MINNESOTA-INDIANA, UTEP-NORTH DAKOTA STATE, NEVADA-UCLA, WASHINGTON STATE-SAN DIEGO STATE

CFB DK Betting Splits system #11: Since the start of the 2022 season, on games with totals of 46.5 or lower, 72%+ super majority number of bets bettors bucking the low total and siding with the Over have gone 225-198 (53.2%).
System Matches (PLAY OVER ALL): MARSHALL-OLD DOMINION, NEW MEXICO-SAN JOSE STATE, SOUTH CAROLINA-OKLAHOMA

This Week’s College Football Strength Ratings

The following are taken from today’s MAKINEN DAILY RATINGS page under the NCAAF tab on VSiN.com. Listed by team, current line, and difference between rating and current line (in parentheses).

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. MISSISSIPPI STATE +20.5 (+5.4)
2. ARIZONA STATE +16.5 (+4.3)
3. KENNESAW STATE +2.5 (+4.2)
4. WASHINGTON STATE +2.5 (+4.1)
5. SAM HOUSTON STATE +6 (+3.6)

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. TULANE -10 (+8.6)
2. UCLA -22.5 (+6.4)
3. KANSAS STATE -1.5 (+6.3)
4. PENN STATE -7.5 (+5.5)
5. OREGON -3.5 (+5.4)

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. SAN JOSE STATE +14.5 (+9.0)
2. SYRACUSE +10 (+7.4)
3. USC +6.5 (+5.8)
4. MISSISSIPPI STATE +20.5 (+5.4)
5. STANFORD +22.5 (+4.3)

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. NORTH DAKOTA STATE -24.5 (+5.8)
2. MIAMI (FL) -14.5 (+5.7)
3. NOTRE DAME -30.5 (+5.4)
4. NORTH TEXAS -13.5 (+3.8)
5. INDIANA -20.5 (+3.5)

This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1(tie). JACKSONVILLE STATE-NEW MEXICO STATE OVER 49.5 (+5.4)
MINNESOTA-INDIANA OVER 41.5 (+5.4)
3. SOUTH CAROLINA-OKLAHOMA OVER 44.5 (+4.8)
4. OHIO STATE-USC OVER 51.5 (+4.4)
5. ILLINOIS-MARYLAND OVER 54.5 (+4.1)

This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. AUBURN-OLE MISS UNDER 57.5 (-5.5)
2. TEXAS STATE-BOISE STATE UNDER 64.5 (-5.2)
3. FLORIDA ATLANTIC-NORTH TEXAS UNDER 77.5 (-5.1)
4. APPALACHIAN STATE-GEORGIA SOUTHERN UNDER 56.5 (-4.6)
5. WISCONSIN-IOWA UNDER 36.5 (-4.2)

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. VIRGINIA +12.5 (+13.3)
2. NORTHERN ILLINOIS +23.5 (+10.9)
3. MISSISSIPPI STATE +20.5 (+9.0)
4. FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL +14 (+8.6)
5. FLORIDA ATLANTIC +13.5 (+7.4)

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. OREGON -3.5 (+12.0)
2. TULANE -10 (+7.5)
3. DUKE -7 (+7.1)
4. TEXAS TECH -3.5 (+6.3)
5. PENN STATE -7.5 (+5.2)

This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. UAB-SOUTH FLORIDA OVER 42.5 (+5.9)
2. MISSISSIPPI STATE-TEXAS OVER 50.5 (+5.0)
3. MICHIGAN-RUTGERS OVER 46.5 (+4.8)
4. BAYLOR-UCF OVER 47.5 (+4.7)
5. CLEMSON-FLORIDA STATE OVER 49.5 (+4.2)

This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. COLORADO STATE-UTAH STATE UNDER 63.5 (-5.9)
2. FLORIDA ATLANTIC-NORTH TEXAS UNDER 77.5 (-5.2)
3. APPALACHIAN STATE-GEORGIA SOUTHERN UNDER 56.5 (-4.8)
4. WASHINGTON STATE-SAN DIEGO STATE UNDER 48.5 (-3.2)
5. NOTRE DAME-NAVY UNDER 56.5 (-2.1)

Comparing Effective Yards Per Play Ratings to this Week’s Matchups

The following are taken from an article posted on Tuesday, October 27, 2026, looking at how Steve Makinen comes up with his ratings and any edges in games each weekend. Track these games to see how they fare, or back them already if you agree with the logic. Each of the last three weeks has produced winning records.

(113) FLORIDA ATLANTIC at (114) NORTH TEXAS
Actual Home Line: NORTH TEXAS -13.5
EYPP Home Line: NORTH TEXAS -36.8
Difference: 23.3 – Favors: NORTH TEXAS
FORECASTED EYPP Home Line: NORTH TEXAS -36
Difference: 22.5 – Favors: NORTH TEXAS

(193) MISSISSIPPI STATE at (194) TEXAS
Actual Home Line: TEXAS -21
EYPP Home Line: TEXAS -5
Difference: 16 – Favors: MISSISSIPPI STATE
FORECASTED EYPP Home Line: TEXAS -15.3
Difference: 5.7 – Favors: MISSISSIPPI STATE

(153) MINNESOTA at (154) INDIANA
Actual Home Line: INDIANA -20.5
EYPP Home Line: INDIANA -35.9
Difference: 15.4 – Favors: INDIANA
FORECASTED EYPP Home Line: INDIANA -37.8
Difference: 17.3 – Favors: INDIANA

(187) OREGON STATE at (188) FRESNO STATE
Actual Home Line: FRESNO STATE +5.5
EYPP Home Line: FRESNO STATE +20.1
Difference: 14.6 – Favors: OREGON STATE
FORECASTED EYPP Home Line: FRESNO STATE +21.7
Difference: 16.2 – Favors: OREGON STATE

(151) VIRGINIA at (152) WAKE FOREST
Actual Home Line: WAKE FOREST -12.5
EYPP Home Line: WAKE FOREST -26
Difference: 13.5 – Favors: WAKE FOREST
FORECASTED EYPP Home Line: WAKE FOREST -32.1
Difference: 19.6 – Favors: WAKE FOREST

(177) CONNECTICUT at (178) AIR FORCE
Actual Home Line: AIR FORCE -2.5
EYPP Home Line: AIR FORCE +10.7
Difference: 13.2 – Favors: CONNECTICUT
FORECASTED EYPP Home Line: AIR FORCE +9.7
Difference: 12.2 – Favors: CONNECTICUT

(131) STANFORD at (132) LOUISVILLE
Actual Home Line: LOUISVILLE -22.5
EYPP Home Line: LOUISVILLE -35.1
Difference: 12.6 – Favors: LOUISVILLE
FORECASTED EYPP Home Line: LOUISVILLE -36.6
Difference: 14.1 – Favors: LOUISVILLE

(189) OHIO STATE at (190) USC
Actual Home Line: USC +6.5
EYPP Home Line: USC +17.5
Difference: 11 – Favors: OHIO STATE
FORECASTED EYPP Home Line: USC +14.5
Difference: 8 – Favors: OHIO STATE

(209) TEXAS STATE UNIV at (210) BOISE STATE
Actual Home Line: BOISE STATE -11.5
EYPP Home Line: BOISE STATE -0.6
Difference: 10.9 – Favors: TEXAS STATE UNIV
FORECASTED EYPP Home Line: BOISE STATE -3.3
Difference: 8.3 – Favors: TEXAS STATE UNIV

(211) NORTHERN ILLINOIS at (212) UNLV
Actual Home Line: UNLV -23.5
EYPP Home Line: UNLV -12.7
Difference: 10.8 – Favors: NORTHERN ILLINOIS
FORECASTED EYPP Home Line: UNLV -13.8
Difference: 9.7 – Favors: NORTHERN ILLINOIS

(171) ARIZONA at (172) TEXAS TECH
Actual Home Line: TEXAS TECH -3.5
EYPP Home Line: TEXAS TECH +6.3
Difference: 9.8 – Favors: ARIZONA
FORECASTED EYPP Home Line: TEXAS TECH +7
Difference: 10.5 – Favors: ARIZONA

(197) UTEP at (198) NORTH DAKOTA STATE
Actual Home Line: NORTH DAKOTA STATE -25.5
EYPP Home Line: NORTH DAKOTA STATE -16
Difference: 9.5 – Favors: UTEP
FORECASTED EYPP Home Line: NORTH DAKOTA STATE -22.9
Difference: 2.6 – Favors: UTEP

(169) LOUISIANA TECH at (170) SOUTH ALABAMA
Actual Home Line: SOUTH ALABAMA +5.5
EYPP Home Line: SOUTH ALABAMA +14.9
Difference: 9.4 – Favors: LOUISIANA TECH
FORECASTED EYPP Home Line: SOUTH ALABAMA +12.7
Difference: 7.2 – Favors: LOUISIANA TECH

(205) COLORADO STATE at (206) UTAH STATE
Actual Home Line: UTAH STATE -6.5
EYPP Home Line: UTAH STATE -15.8
Difference: 9.3 – Favors: UTAH STATE
FORECASTED EYPP Home Line: UTAH STATE -18.5
Difference: 12 – Favors: UTAH STATE

(181) NEW MEXICO at (182) SAN JOSE STATE
Actual Home Line: SAN JOSE STATE +14.5
EYPP Home Line: SAN JOSE STATE +6.2
Difference: 8.3 – Favors: SAN JOSE STATE
FORECASTED EYPP Home Line: SAN JOSE STATE +7.5
Difference: 7 – Favors: SAN JOSE STATE

(179) KANSAS STATE at (180) COLORADO
Actual Home Line: COLORADO +2.5
EYPP Home Line: COLORADO -5.8
Difference: 8.3 – Favors: COLORADO
FORECASTED EYPP Home Line: COLORADO -13.6
Difference: 16.1 – Favors: COLORADO

(119) ARMY at (120) MEMPHIS
Actual Home Line: MEMPHIS -6
EYPP Home Line: MEMPHIS -14.1
Difference: 8.1 – Favors: MEMPHIS
FORECASTED EYPP Home Line: MEMPHIS -11.9
Difference: 5.9 – Favors: MEMPHIS

(185) NEVADA at (186) UCLA
Actual Home Line: UCLA -22.5
EYPP Home Line: UCLA -29.6
Difference: 7.1 – Favors: UCLA
FORECASTED EYPP Home Line: UCLA -31.9
Difference: 9.4 – Favors: UCLA

(173) OKLAHOMA STATE at (174) IOWA STATE
Actual Home Line: IOWA STATE +8.5
EYPP Home Line: IOWA STATE +15.4
Difference: 6.9 – Favors: OKLAHOMA STATE
FORECASTED EYPP Home Line: IOWA STATE +24.6
Difference: 16.1 – Favors: OKLAHOMA STATE

(163) MISSOURI at (164) ARKANSAS
Actual Home Line: ARKANSAS +10
EYPP Home Line: ARKANSAS +16.7
Difference: 6.7 – Favors: MISSOURI
FORECASTED EYPP Home Line: ARKANSAS +19.3
Difference: 9.3 – Favors: MISSOURI

(143) UAB at (144) SOUTH FLORIDA
Actual Home Line: SOUTH FLORIDA -8.5
EYPP Home Line: SOUTH FLORIDA -2.2
Difference: 6.3 – Favors: UAB
FORECASTED EYPP Home Line: SOUTH FLORIDA -2.9
Difference: 5.6 – Favors: UAB

(117) BAYLOR at (118) UCF
Actual Home Line: UCF -1.5
EYPP Home Line: UCF -7.7
Difference: 6.2 – Favors: UCF
FORECASTED EYPP Home Line: UCF -7.3
Difference: 5.8 – Favors: UCF

(159) NOTRE DAME at (160) NAVY
Actual Home Line: NAVY +30.5
EYPP Home Line: NAVY +24.3
Difference: 6.2 – Favors: NAVY
FORECASTED EYPP Home Line: NAVY +22
Difference: 8.5 – Favors: NAVY

(105) KENNESAW STATE at (106) MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE
Actual Home Line: MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE -2.5
EYPP Home Line: MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE +3.6
Difference: 6.1 – Favors: KENNESAW STATE
FORECASTED EYPP Home Line: MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE +9.3
Difference: 11.8 – Favors: KENNESAW STATE

(161) SOUTH CAROLINA at (162) OKLAHOMA
Actual Home Line: OKLAHOMA -5.5
EYPP Home Line: OKLAHOMA +0.4
Difference: 5.9 – Favors: SOUTH CAROLINA
FORECASTED EYPP Home Line: OKLAHOMA +3
Difference: 8.5 – Favors: SOUTH CAROLINA

(139) APPALACHIAN STATE at (140) GEORGIA SOUTHERN
Actual Home Line: GEORGIA SOUTHERN -5.5
EYPP Home Line: GEORGIA SOUTHERN -11.4
Difference: 5.9 – Favors: GEORGIA SOUTHERN
FORECASTED EYPP Home Line: GEORGIA SOUTHERN -15.8
Difference: 10.3 – Favors: GEORGIA SOUTHERN

(121) MARSHALL at (122) OLD DOMINION
Actual Home Line: OLD DOMINION +2.5
EYPP Home Line: OLD DOMINION -3
Difference: 5.5 – Favors: OLD DOMINION
FORECASTED EYPP Home Line: OLD DOMINION -0.5
Difference: 3 – Favors: OLD DOMINION

(165) COASTAL CAROLINA at (166) GEORGIA STATE
Actual Home Line: GEORGIA STATE -6.5
EYPP Home Line: GEORGIA STATE -12
Difference: 5.5 – Favors: GEORGIA STATE
FORECASTED EYPP Home Line: GEORGIA STATE -21.3
Difference: 14.8 – Favors: GEORGIA STATE

(127) FLORIDA at (128) GEORGIA
Actual Home Line: GEORGIA -11.5
EYPP Home Line: GEORGIA -16.9
Difference: 5.4 – Favors: GEORGIA
FORECASTED EYPP Home Line: GEORGIA -20.1
Difference: 8.6 – Favors: GEORGIA

(157) CLEMSON at (158) FLORIDA STATE
Actual Home Line: FLORIDA STATE -6
EYPP Home Line: FLORIDA STATE -11.1
Difference: 5.1 – Favors: FLORIDA STATE
FORECASTED EYPP Home Line: FLORIDA STATE -12.6
Difference: 6.6 – Favors: FLORIDA STATE

(129) TEMPLE at (130) EAST CAROLINA
Actual Home Line: EAST CAROLINA -6
EYPP Home Line: EAST CAROLINA -1.1
Difference: 4.9 – Favors: TEMPLE
FORECASTED EYPP Home Line: EAST CAROLINA +1.4
Difference: 7.4 – Favors: TEMPLE

(147) BOWLING GREEN at (148) WESTERN MICHIGAN
Actual Home Line: WESTERN MICHIGAN -13.5
EYPP Home Line: WESTERN MICHIGAN -18.3
Difference: 4.8 – Favors: WESTERN MICHIGAN
FORECASTED EYPP Home Line: WESTERN MICHIGAN -16.4
Difference: 2.9 – Favors: WESTERN MICHIGAN

(191) AUBURN at (192) OLE MISS
Actual Home Line: OLE MISS -13.5
EYPP Home Line: OLE MISS -8.8
Difference: 4.7 – Favors: AUBURN
FORECASTED EYPP Home Line: OLE MISS -5.2
Difference: 8.3 – Favors: AUBURN

(101) DELAWARE at (102) WESTERN KENTUCKY
Actual Home Line: WESTERN KENTUCKY -1.5
EYPP Home Line: WESTERN KENTUCKY +3.1
Difference: 4.6 – Favors: DELAWARE
FORECASTED EYPP Home Line: WESTERN KENTUCKY -4.6
Difference: 3.1 – Favors: WESTERN KENTUCKY

(195) WASHINGTON at (196) NEBRASKA
Actual Home Line: NEBRASKA -7.5
EYPP Home Line: NEBRASKA -12
Difference: 4.5 – Favors: NEBRASKA
FORECASTED EYPP Home Line: NEBRASKA -11.2
Difference: 3.7 – Favors: NEBRASKA

(125) UTAH at (126) CINCINNATI
Actual Home Line: CINCINNATI +6.5
EYPP Home Line: CINCINNATI +2.2
Difference: 4.3 – Favors: CINCINNATI
FORECASTED EYPP Home Line: CINCINNATI -3
Difference: 9.5 – Favors: CINCINNATI

(199) SOUTHERN MISS at (200) LA MONROE
Actual Home Line: LA MONROE +3.5
EYPP Home Line: LA MONROE +7.1
Difference: 3.6 – Favors: SOUTHERN MISS
FORECASTED EYPP Home Line: LA MONROE +9.5
Difference: 6 – Favors: SOUTHERN MISS

(107) JACKSONVILLE STATE at (108) NEW MEXICO STATE
Actual Home Line: NEW MEXICO STATE +3.5
EYPP Home Line: NEW MEXICO STATE +0.3
Difference: 3.2 – Favors: NEW MEXICO STATE
FORECASTED EYPP Home Line: NEW MEXICO STATE +4
Difference: 0.5 – Favors: JACKSONVILLE STATE

(201) WISCONSIN at (202) IOWA
Actual Home Line: IOWA -3.5
EYPP Home Line: IOWA -6.6
Difference: 3.1 – Favors: IOWA
FORECASTED EYPP Home Line: IOWA -2
Difference: 1.5 – Favors: WISCONSIN

(167) KANSAS at (168) TCU
Actual Home Line: TCU -6
EYPP Home Line: TCU -8.7
Difference: 2.7 – Favors: TCU
FORECASTED EYPP Home Line: TCU -10.4
Difference: 4.4 – Favors: TCU

(183) NORTHWESTERN at (184) OREGON
Actual Home Line: OREGON -3.5
EYPP Home Line: OREGON -1.5
Difference: 2 – Favors: NORTHWESTERN
FORECASTED EYPP Home Line: OREGON -3.1
Difference: 0.4 – Favors: NORTHWESTERN

(135) ILLINOIS at (136) MARYLAND
Actual Home Line: MARYLAND +2.5
EYPP Home Line: MARYLAND +4.3
Difference: 1.8 – Favors: ILLINOIS
FORECASTED EYPP Home Line: MARYLAND +6.7
Difference: 4.2 – Favors: ILLINOIS

(115) TULANE at (116) CHARLOTTE
Actual Home Line: CHARLOTTE +10
EYPP Home Line: CHARLOTTE +8.2
Difference: 1.8 – Favors: CHARLOTTE
FORECASTED EYPP Home Line: CHARLOTTE +7.1
Difference: 2.9 – Favors: CHARLOTTE

(207) WASHINGTON STATE at (208) SAN DIEGO STATE
Actual Home Line: SAN DIEGO STATE -2.5
EYPP Home Line: SAN DIEGO STATE -4.2
FORECASTED EYPP Home Line: SAN DIEGO STATE -4.8
Difference: 2.3 – Favors: SAN DIEGO STATE

(133) GEORGIA TECH at (134) PITTSBURGH
Actual Home Line: PITTSBURGH -7.5
EYPP Home Line: PITTSBURGH -9.2
Difference: 1.7 – Favors: PITTSBURGH
FORECASTED EYPP Home Line: PITTSBURGH +0
Difference: 7.5 – Favors: GEORGIA TECH

(141) MIAMI (FL) at (142) NORTH CAROLINA
Actual Home Line: NORTH CAROLINA +14.5
EYPP Home Line: NORTH CAROLINA +12.8
Difference: 1.7 – Favors: MIAMI (FL)
FORECASTED EYPP Home Line: NORTH CAROLINA +12.8
Difference: 1.7 – Favors: NORTH CAROLINA

(103) SAM HOUSTON STATE at (104) MISSOURI STATE
Actual Home Line: MISSOURI STATE -5.5
EYPP Home Line: MISSOURI STATE -3.9
Difference: 1.6 – Favors: SAM HOUSTON STATE
FORECASTED EYPP Home Line: MISSOURI STATE -2.9
Difference: 2.6 – Favors: SAM HOUSTON STATE

(213) KENT STATE at (214) SACRAMENTO STATE
Actual Home Line: SACRAMENTO STATE +10
EYPP Home Line: SACRAMENTO STATE +9
Difference: 1 – Favors: SACRAMENTO STATE
FORECASTED EYPP Home Line: SACRAMENTO STATE +11.3
Difference: 1.3 – Favors: KENT STATE

(155) PURDUE at (156) PENN STATE
Actual Home Line: PENN STATE -7.5
EYPP Home Line: PENN STATE -8.5
Difference: 1 – Favors: PENN STATE
FORECASTED EYPP Home Line: PENN STATE +2.3
Difference: 9.8 – Favors: PURDUE

(123) CALIFORNIA at (124) NC STATE
Actual Home Line: NC STATE -7
EYPP Home Line: NC STATE -8
Difference: 1 – Favors: NC STATE
FORECASTED EYPP Home Line: NC STATE -4
Difference: 3 – Favors: CALIFORNIA

(137) MICHIGAN at (138) RUTGERS
Actual Home Line: RUTGERS +14
EYPP Home Line: RUTGERS +15
Difference: 1 – Favors: MICHIGAN
FORECASTED EYPP Home Line: RUTGERS +15.6
Difference: 1.6 – Favors: MICHIGAN

(175) ARIZONA STATE at (176) BYU
Actual Home Line: BYU -16.5
EYPP Home Line: BYU -15.5
Difference: 1 – Favors: ARIZONA STATE
FORECASTED EYPP Home Line: BYU -19.4
Difference: 2.9 – Favors: BYU

(203) FLORIDA ATLANTIC  at (204) LIBERTY
Actual Home Line: LIBERTY -14
EYPP Home Line: LIBERTY -13.1
Difference: 0.9 – Favors: FLORIDA ATLANTIC
FORECASTED EYPP Home Line: LIBERTY -48.4
Difference: 34.4 – Favors: LIBERTY

(145) SMU at (146) SYRACUSE
Actual Home Line: SYRACUSE +10
EYPP Home Line: SYRACUSE +10.7
Difference: 0.7 – Favors: SMU
FORECASTED EYPP Home Line: SYRACUSE +6
Difference: 4 – Favors: SYRACUSE

(111) TROY at (112) JAMES MADISON
Actual Home Line: JAMES MADISON -21
EYPP Home Line: JAMES MADISON -20.4
Difference: 0.6 – Favors: TROY
FORECASTED EYPP Home Line: JAMES MADISON -20.7
Difference: 0.3 – Favors: TROY

(149) BOSTON COLLEGE at (150) DUKE
Actual Home Line: DUKE -7
EYPP Home Line: DUKE -6.8
Difference: 0.2 – Favors: BOSTON COLLEGE
FORECASTED EYPP Home Line: DUKE -2.5
Difference: 4.5 – Favors: BOSTON COLLEGE

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