The following college football betting trends piece is a collection of analytical data, betting systems and strength ratings featured on VSiN and qualified for the college football games of Week 10. This report is meant to emulate the process that Steve Makinen and other members of the VSiN Analytics team undergo when handicapping each week’s college football board.

AJ’s Angles

These are the top trends and systems for this week’s CFB games, handpicked by VSiN analyst AJ Makinen.

 

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— In a game involving two AP-ranked teams, when the better-ranked home team has been a single-digit favorite or underdog, they have gone 55-17 SU and 48-21-3 ATS (69.6%) since 2017.
System Match (PLAY): PENN STATE (+3.5 vs Ohio State)

— UCF has lost its last 10 games ATS as a favorite in conference play.
System Match (FADE): UCF (-6.5 vs Arizona)

— College football teams seeking revenge and having at least four more wins on the season than their opponent have been very successful, going 96-15 SU and 74-32-5 ATS (69.8%) since 2016.
System Match (PLAY): INDIANA (-7.5 at Michigan State)

— Texas-San Antonio has won 10 of its last 11 conference games ATS when coming off an outright loss.
System Match (PLAY): Texas-San Antonio (+7.5 vs Memphis)

— Over the last decade, teams that won a conference game despite gaining less than 250 yards of offense have used that victory to build momentum, going 78-45 ATS (63.4%) in the follow-up contest.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): SAM HOUSTON STATE (-10 vs Louisiana Tech), VIRGINIA TECH (-4 at Syracuse), PITTSBURGH (+7 at SMU)

— CLEMSON has won all eight ACC games versus Louisville and is on a 6-0 ATS streak.
System Match: PLAY CLEMSON (-10.5 vs Louisville)

— UNDERDOGS are on an 8-0 ATS streak and UNDER the total has converted in 11 straight in the Air Force-Army rivalry.
Systems Match: PLAY AIR FORCE (+22.5 at Army), also PLAY UNDER the total in AF-Army (o/u at 41.5)

— NEW MEXICO is 6-16 (27.3%) ATS as Favorite since 2018.
Systems Match: FADE NEW MEXICO (-7.5 vs Wyoming)

#1 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOG according to MAKINEN BETTORS RATINGS projections:
APPALACHIAN STATE +2.5 vs Old Dominion (+9.0 difference)

Strategies using CFB DraftKings Betting Splits data

One of the most touted features on VSiN.com, and a feature that we believe to be a fantastic resource for bettors is the betting splits pages. These systems have updated language and records heading into the 2024 season. Note that these systems include only games matching two FBS opponents against one another.

Here are the college football betting trend systems and qualifying plays for this week’s games as of Tuesday afternoon. These can and will change, so continue to track and qualify the systems up until kickoff for best usage. There will be an updated betting splits article on Saturday morning.

CFB DK Betting Splits system #1: Going back to the start of the 2022 season, when 80% or more of the handle was on a particular side of an ATS wager, this majority group has gone just 82-97 ATS (45.8%). This angle has produced at around 46% consistently since first discovered. If you see the big green lights on the VSiN betting splits handle page 80% or higher, it is best to fade it.
System Matches (FADE ALL): SAM HOUSTON STATE, UCONN, SOUTH FLORIDA, VIRGINIA TECH, ARMY, TOLEDO, OLD DOMINION, UAB, LOUISIANA-MONROE, INDIANA, NORTH CAROLINA, UTEP, NAVY, ARIZONA STATE, TENNESSEE

CFB DK Betting Splits system #2: When 75%+ of the number of bets were on a particular side of an ATS wager since start of the 2022 season, this majority group has gone just 164-188 ATS (46.6%). In 2022 it was 46.5%, in 2023 it was 46.7%, maintaining incredible consistency. Again, if you see the big green lights on the VSiN betting splits # of BETS page 75% or higher, it is best to fade it.
System Matches (FADE ALL): TULANE, ARMY, ILLINOIS, MEMPHIS, VANDERBILT, OLD DOMINION, INDIANA, NORTH CAROLINA, GEORGIA, UTEP, KANSAS STATE, NEBRASKA, OREGON, NAVY, MISSISSIPPI STATE, FRESNO STATE, CLEMSON, SOUTH ALABAMA, USC, TEXAS A&M, TENNESSEE, PITTSBURGH, COLORADO STATE

CFB DK Betting Splits system #3: When the majority of the handle was on road favorites for an ATS wager since the start of the 2022 season, this majority group is just 164-190 ATS (46.3%). Recreational bettors love road favorites because they are most often the better team. The point spread is the great equalizer. Bettors improved slightly on this system in 2023, but there is still plenty of reason to believe in and fade these over-backed road favorites.
System Matches (FADE ALL): TULANE, SOUTH FLORIDA, VIRGINIA TECH, TOLEDO, OHIO STATE, OLD DOMINION, INDIANA, NORTH CAROLINA, KANSAS STATE, OREGON, NAVY, ARIZONA STATE, USC, COLORADO STATE

CFB DK Betting Splits system #4: When the majority of the handle has been on road underdogs for an ATS wager since the start of the 2022 season, this majority group has gone 142-132 ATS (51.8%). This is less than the usual systems I like to present to readers, but this is a nice advantage against the usual majority win rates and goes to show that being on the “smart” side of the majority handle can pay off.
System Matches (SLIGHT PLAY ALL): NEW MEXICO STATE, LOUISIANA, JACKSONVILLE STATE, LOUISIANA-MONROE, HAWAII, PITTSBURGH

CFB DK Betting Splits system #5: When the majority number of bets has backed road underdogs for an ATS wager over the past two seasons, this majority group has gone 126-111 ATS (53.2%). This is even better than the handle numbers in #4 actually, and though it was down a bit for 2023, it suggests that following public bettors getting behind road dogs can be an actionable strategy.
System Matches (SLIGHT PLAY ALL): NEW MEXICO STATE, LOUISIANA, VANDERBILT, PITTSBURGH

CFB DK Betting Splits system #6: When the majority of number of bets has backed a team in an ATS wager in non-Saturday games, their 2022 and 2023 season record was 150-90 (62.5%). This goes to show that public bettors can be better performers with fewer games to choose from. A lot of times their mistake proves to be taking too many games on a Saturday.
System Matches (PLAY ALL):
Tuesday: NEW MEXICO STATE, LOUISIANA, SAM HOUSTON STATE
Wednesday: LIBERTY, WESTERN KENTUCKY
Thursday: TULANE
Friday: UCONN, SOUTH FLORIDA, BOISE STATE

CFB DK Betting Splits system #7: When the majority of the handle backed the team with more season wins in an FBS vs. FBS game for an ATS wager over the past two seasons, this majority group has gone just 313-354 ATS (46.9%). More than not, bettors like to back the “better team” in a matchup, regardless of what the point spread indicates. Again, the point spread is the eternal equalizer.

CFB DK Betting Splits system #8: The average college football total has steadied at about 54. In games since the start of the 2022 season when the totals reached 57 or higher and oddsmakers thus expected them to be a little more explosive, when majority handle bettors favored the Under, they have been relatively sharp, going 51-38 (57.3%). This is pretty rare, as it occurred in only 89 of 1567 games.
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): OLD DOMINION-APPALACHIAN STATE, WYOMING-NEW MEXICO, UMASS-MISSISSIPPI STATE, ARIZONA STATE-OKLAHOMA STATE, GEORGIA SOUTHERN-SOUTH ALABAMA, TCU-BAYLOR

CFB DK Betting Splits system #9: Since the start of the 2022 season, on games with totals of 45 or lower, 70%+ super majority handle bettors siding with the Under have gone 25-13 (63.2%). Because not many public bettors embrace betting Unders, this doesn’t produce a lot of plays, but the super handle majority has been sharp.
System Matches (PLAY UNDER): MINNESOTA-ILLINOIS

CFB DK Betting Splits system #10: Since the start of the 2022 season, on games with totals of 45 or lower, 75%+ super majority number of bets bettors bucking the low total and siding with the Over have gone 52-34 (60.5%). This system improved its win percentage in 2023. Again, not a ton of plays here in the grand scheme, but the more public option of number of bets has been pretty good when going against the grain.
System Matches (PLAY OVER ALL): AIR FORCE-ARMY, UCLA-NEBRASKA, TEXAS A&M-SOUTH CAROLINA

College Football Revenge Handicapping

The following college football betting trends are methodologies for handicapping revenge situations in college football, including the best and worst teams in revenge mode, and the best betting systems uncovered. Revenge is defined as having lost a game to a specific opponent in the prior or current season only.

Best & Worst College Football Revenge Teams (since 2016)

Best

* WISCONSIN is 12-6 SU and 13-5 ATS (72.2%) in revenge mode since 2016
System Match (PLAY): WISCONSIN (+3 at Iowa)

* KENTUCKY is 15-18 SU and 20-13 ATS (60.6%) in revenge mode since 2016
System Match (PLAY): KENTUCKY (+16.5 at Tennessee)

* SOUTH FLORIDA is 6-26 SU and 19-13 ATS (59.4%) in revenge mode since 2016
System Match (PLAY): SOUTH FLORIDA (-2.5 at FAU)

Worst

* NEW MEXICO is 9-35 SU and 17-25 ATS (40.5%) in revenge mode since 2016
System Match (FADE): NEW MEXICO (-7.5 vs Wyoming)

* APPALACHIAN STATE is 6-5 SU and 5-6 ATS (45.5%) in revenge mode since 2016
System Match (FADE): APPALACHIAN STATE (+2.5 vs Old Dominion)

College football revenge systems

Neutral-field underdogs are great in revenge
Since the start of the 2016 season, neutral-field underdogs playing in revenge mode have gone 47-30 ATS (61%).
System Match (PLAY): FLORIDA (+16.5 vs. Georgia)

Revenge teams that lost as double-digit favorites last time out
Teams looking to avenge outright losses where they were double-digit favorites have struggled, going just 107-118 ATS (47.6%) since 2016.
System Match (FADE): AIR FORCE (+22.5 at Army)

Current won-lost records are a good indicator of revenge chances
College football teams seeking revenge and having at least four more wins on the season than their opponent have been very successful, going 96-15 SU and 74-32-5 ATS (69.8%) since 2016.
System Match (PLAY): INDIANA (-7.5 at Michigan State)

Key stats of the team seeking revenge matter
Better defensive teams are more successful in exacting revenge than prolific offense. Since the start of the 2016 season, teams allowing 24 PPG or less have gone 659-571 ATS (53.6%).
System Match (PLAY ALL): LOUISIANA TECH, TEXAS STATE, UCONN, SAN DIEGO STATE, VANDERBILT, ARKANSAS, MINNESOTA, INDIANA, FLORIDA, ARIZONA STATE, HOUSTON, USC, WISCONSIN, SOUTH CAROLINA, KENTUCKY, PENN STATE

Revenge is sweet against porous defensive foes
Teams seeking revenge against a team that is currently allowing 35 PPG or more have been very successful, going 215-168 ATS (56.1%) since 2016.
System Match (PLAY ALL): FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL (-7.5 vs. New Mexico State), UTEP (-3 vs. Middle Tennessee State)

College Football Systems Based on AP Poll Rankings

The following college football betting systems take into account whether or not teams in a non-neutral field game are ranked in the AP poll. 

CFB AP Poll Rankings System #1 – Games featuring two ranked teams
In games featuring two ranked teams since 2017, HOME TEAMS are NOW 185-90 SU and 159-108-8 ATS (59.6%).
System Matches (PLAY ALL): PENN STATE (+3.5 vs. Ohio State), SMU (-7.5 vs. Pitt)

Digging deeper into that data, you will find that when the home team has been ranked better, those teams have gone 108-20 SU and 79-45-4 ATS (63.7%).
System Match (PLAY): PENN STATE (+3.5 vs. Ohio State)

Adding another point spread wrinkle to the last angle, when better-ranked home teams have been single-digit favorites or underdogs, they have gone 55-17 SU and 48-21-3 ATS (69.6%) since 2017.
System Match (PLAY): PENN STATE (+3.5 vs. Ohio State)

These college football betting trends are from an article posted in September 2024 detailing top trends and systems for college football conference play.

Road teams in conference games coming off very close losses of less than three points have struggled lately, 75-103 ATS (42.1%) since 2011.
System Matches (FADE ALL): TEXAS TECH (+14 at Iowa State), DUKE (+21 at Miami FL)

Teams playing as conference road dogs of more than seven points after not having played since 14 days ago are on a 135-103 ATS (56.7%) surge since 2010.
System Matches (PLAY): NEW MEXICO STATE (+7.5 at FIU)

Top Team Trends in Conference Games

Negative FADE trends:

• USC has lost nine of its last 11 games ATS as a favorite in conference play
System Match (FADE): USC (-2.5 at Washington)

• UCF has lost its last 10 games ATS as a favorite in conference play
System Match (FADE): UCF (-6.5 vs. Arizona)

• NEBRASKA is just 2-9-1 ATS in its last 12 games as a Big Ten favorite
System Match (FADE): NEBRASKA (-6.5 vs. UCLA)

• MEMPHIS is on a 4-18 ATS skid in conference games when coming off an outright win
System Match (FADE): MEMPHIS (-7.5 at Texas-San Antonio)

Positive FOLLOW trends:

• Texas-San Antonio has won 10 of its last 11 conference games ATS when coming off an outright loss
System Match (PLAY): Texas-San Antonio (+7.5 vs. Memphis)

• BOISE STATE is a perfect 8-0 ATS in Mountain West play when coming off a close win of seven points or fewer
System Match (PLAY): BOISE STATE (-23 vs. San Diego State)

• TEXAS TECH is on an eight-game ATS winning streak in conference play when coming off a road loss
System Match (PLAY): TEXAS TECH (+14 at Iowa State)

• BOISE STATE takes care of business as a Mountain West favorite of 20+ points, 11-1-1 ATS in its last 13
System Match (PLAY): BOISE STATE (-23 vs. San Diego State)

• MICHIGAN is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games vs. Big Ten foes when coming off a home win
System Match (PLAY): MICHIGAN (+15 vs. Oregon)

Extreme Stat Next Game CFB Betting Systems

Upset losses as huge favorites snowball
Teams that lose in a college football game as favorites of 19.5 points or more have gone just 40-66 SU and 36-66-4 ATS (35.3%) in the next game since 2012.
System Match (FADE): LIBERTY (-2.5 vs. Jacksonville State)

Not taking advantage enough of turnovers can be a red flag
FBS teams that benefited from a +5 turnover differential or greater but failed to score 44+ points in that game have responded by going just 37-54 ATS (40.7%) in their next contest since 2012.
System Matches (FADE): *SMU and PITTSBURGH both qualify but play each other this week*

Conference wins while struggling offensively are momentum-builders
Over the last decade, teams that won a conference game despite gaining less than 250 yards of offense have used that victory to build momentum, going 78-45 ATS (63.4%) in the follow-up contest.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): SAM HOUSTON STATE (-10 vs. Louisiana Tech), VIRGINIA TECH (-4 at Syracuse), PITTSBURGH (+7 at SMU)

This week’s College Football Strength Ratings

The following are taken from today’s MAKINEN POWER RATINGS page under the College Football tab on VSiN.com. Listed by team, current line, and difference between rating and current line (in parenthesis).

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. FLORIDA STATE +2.5 (+5.1)
2. RICE +11 (+4.9)
3. OKLAHOMA STATE +2.5 (+4.2)
4. FLORIDA ATLANTIC +3 (+3.4)
5. VANDERBILT +6.5 (+2.5)

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL -7.5 (+5.6)
2. BAYLOR -3 (+4.2)
3 (tie). UCONN -7.5 (+4.0)
TENNESSEE -16.5 (+4.0)
5. BOISE STATE -23 (+3.9)

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. SAN DIEGO STATE +23 (+7.9)
2. MICHIGAN STATE +7.5 (+7.6)
3. AIR FORCE +22.5 (+7.0)
4. STANFORD +9.5 (+6.9)
5. FLORIDA +16.5 (+5.7)

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. TULANE -16.5 (+7.5)
2. MISSISSIPPI STATE -18.5 (+4.3)
3. OLD DOMINION -2.5 (+4.0)
4. KANSAS STATE -13 (+3.1)
5. NAVY -11 (+2.9)

This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. NEW MEXICO STATE-FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL OVER 43.5 (+7.9)
2. NORTHWESTERN-PURDUE OVER 46.5 (+6.7)
3. WISCONSIN-IOWA OVER 40.5 (+3.9)
4. GEORGIA STATE-UCONN OVER 48.5 (+3.8)
5. MINNESOTA-ILLINOIS OVER 45 (+3.0)

This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. MEMPHIS-UTSA UNDER 60.5 (-5.1)
2. LOUISIANA-TEXAS STATE UNDER 60 (-3.8)
3. VANDERBILT-AUBURN UNDER 48 (-2.8)
4. SAN DIEGO STATE-BOISE STATE UNDER 56 (-2.0)
5. LOUISIANA-MONROE-MARSHALL UNDER 47 (-1.7)

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. APPALACHIAN STATE +2.5 (+9.0)
2. FLORIDA STATE +2.5 (+8.1)
3 (tie). STANFORD +9.5 (+6.2)
OKLAHOMA STATE +2.5 (+6.2)
5. MICHIGAN STATE +7.5 (+6.0)

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. OLE MISS -7 (+8.6)
2. BOISE STATE -23 (+7.7)
3. GEORGIA -16.5 (+5.9)
4. FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL -7.5 (+5.7)
5. TULANE -16.5 (+5.3)

This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. OHIO STATE-PENN STATE OVER 45 (+7.0)
2. AIR FORCE-ARMY OVER 41.5 (+3.7)
3. NEW MEXICO STATE-FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL OVER 43.5 (+3.4)
4. TEXAS A&M-SOUTH CAROLINA OVER 44 (+3.2)
5. UCLA-NEBRASKA OVER 40 (+3.1)

This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. UMASS-MISSISSIPPI STATE UNDER 60 (-4.2)
2. BUFFALO-AKRON UNDER 48 (-2.9)
3. VANDERBILT-AUBURN UNDER 48 (-2.7)
4. TOLEDO-EASTERN MICHIGAN UNDER 53.5 (-2.6)
5. INDIANA-MICHIGAN STATE UNDER 51.5 (-2.5)

These are some of the top situational trends that have developed with teams in recent years:

* AIR FORCE is 28-19 (59.6%) ATS in Non-Conference games since 2014
System Match: PLAY AIR FORCE (+22.5 at Army)

* AKRON is 14-29-1 (32.6%) ATS at Home since 2016
System Match: FADE AKRON (+1 vs. Buffalo)

* ARIZONA is 17-28 (37.8%) ATS in Road/Neutral games since 2016
System Match: FADE ARIZONA (+6.5 at UCF)

* ARKANSAS is 3-13 (18.8%) ATS coming off SU Win since 2020
System Match: FADE ARKANSAS (+7 vs. Ole Miss)

* CHARLOTTE is 3-12 (20%) ATS at Home since 2022
System Match: FADE CHARLOTTE (+16.5 vs. Tulane)

* FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL is 12-27 (30.8%) in Conference games over the last six seasons
System Match: FADE FIU (-8.5 vs. New Mexico State)

* FLORIDA STATE is 11-20 (35.5%) ATS in Conference games since 2021
System Match: FADE FLORIDA STATE (+2.5 vs. North Carolina)

* FRESNO STATE is 30-16-1 (65.2%) UNDER the total since 2021
* FRESNO STATE is 20-10 (66.7%) ATS coming off SU Win since 2021
Systems Match: PLAY FRESNO STATE (-13.5 vs. Hawaii), also PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 48.5)

* GEORGIA is 22-11 (66.7%) ATS in Road/Neutral games since 2020
System Match: PLAY GEORGIA (-16.5 vs. Florida)

* GEORGIA STATE is 20-8 (71.4%) ATS in its last 28 Road/Neutral games
System Match: PLAY GEORGIA STATE (+7.5 at UConn)

* IOWA is 43-27 (61.4%) UNDER the total in the last 70 games
System Match: PLAY UNDER in Wisconsin-Iowa (o/u at 40.5)

* KANSAS STATE is 43-26-2 (62.3%) ATS since 2019
System Match: PLAY KANSAS STATE (-13 at Houston)

* LOUISIANA TECH is 34-19-1 (64.2%) OVER the total since 2019
* LOUISIANA TECH is 7-20 (25.9%) ATS in Conference games over the last four seasons
Systems Match: FADE LOUISIANA TECH (+10 at Sam Houston State), also PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 45.5)

* MICHIGAN is 31-19-1 (62%) ATS in the last four seasons
System Match: PLAY MICHIGAN (+15 vs. Oregon)

* MISSISSIPPI STATE is 26-19 (57.8%) UNDER the total since 2021
* MISSISSIPPI STATE is 15-11 (57.7%) ATS at Home since 2021
Systems Match: PLAY MISSISSIPPI STATE (-18.5 vs. UMass), also PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 60)

* NEBRASKA is 4-13-2 (23.5%) ATS at Home in its last 19 games
System Match: FADE NEBRASKA (-6.5 vs. UCLA)

* NEW MEXICO is 19-39 (32.8%) ATS in Conference games since 2017
* NEW MEXICO is 6-16 (27.3%) ATS as Favorite since 2018
Systems Match: FADE NEW MEXICO (-7.5 vs. Wyoming)

* NEW MEXICO STATE is 28-19 (59.6%) ATS in the last four seasons
System Match: PLAY NEW MEXICO STATE (+8.5 at FIU)

* OLE MISS is 7-18-2 (28%) ATS in Conference games since 2021
System Match: FADE OLE MISS (-7 at Arkansas)

* PENN STATE is 32-15 (68.1%) ATS coming off SU Win since 2019
System Match: PLAY PENN STATE (+3.5 vs. Ohio State)

* PITTSBURGH is 36-20 (64.3%) OVER the total since 2020
* PITTSBURGH is 1-6 ATS (14.3%) in its last seven games as a Road Underdog
Systems Match: FADE PITTSBURGH (+7 at SMU), also PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 58.5)

* PURDUE is 17-14 (54.8%) ATS as Underdog since 2020
System Match: PLAY PURDUE (+1 vs. Northwestern)

* SOUTH ALABAMA is 17-35 (32.7%) ATS coming off SU Win since 2014
System Match: FADE SOUTH ALABAMA (-6.5 vs. Georgia Southern)

* SAN DIEGO STATE is 43-22 (66.2%) UNDER the total since 2019
System Match: PLAY UNDER in San Diego State-Boise State (o/u at 56)

* TULANE is 45-22 (67.2%) ATS as Favorite since 2014
System Match: PLAY TULANE (-16.5 at Charlotte)

* TULSA is 24-10-1 (70.6%) ATS in Road/Neutral games over the last five seasons
System Match: PLAY TULSA (+3 at UAB)

* TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO is 6-14 (30%) ATS at Home since 2021
System Match: FADE UTSA (+7.5 vs. Memphis)

* UAB is 19-7 (73.1%) ATS at Home since 2020
System Match: PLAY UAB (-3 vs. Tulsa)

* UTEP is 7-19 (26.9%) ATS at Home since 2020
System Match: FADE UTEP (-3 vs. MTSU)

* VIRGINIA TECH is 7-20 (25.9%) ATS in its last 27 games following a SU win
System Match: FADE VIRGINIA TECH (-4 at Syracuse)

* WASHINGTON is just 4-8 (33.3%) ATS in its last 12 games following a SU loss
System Match: FADE WASHINGTON (+2.5 vs. USC)

* WESTERN KENTUCKY is 12-21 (36.4%) ATS as Favorite since 2019
System Match: FADE WESTERN KENTUCKY (-24 vs. Kennesaw State)

These are the top head-to-head series trends between teams from recent years’ action:

Week 10

(305) LOUISIANA at (306) TEXAS STATE
* LOUISIANA is on a 11-0 SU and 10-1 ATS run versus Texas State
System Match: PLAY LOUISIANA (+4 at Texas State)

(319) SAN DIEGO STATE at (320) BOISE STATE
* UNDERDOGS are 5-4 SU and 8-1 ATS in last nine of rivalry
System Match: PLAY SAN DIEGO STATE (+23 at Boise State)

(323) LOUISVILLE at (324) CLEMSON
* CLEMSON has won all eight ACC games versus Louisville and is on a 6-0 ATS streak
System Match: PLAY CLEMSON (-10.5 vs. Louisville)

(329) AIR FORCE at (330) ARMY
* UNDERDOGS are on an 8-0 ATS streak and UNDER the total has converted in 11 straight in the Air Force-Army series
Systems Match: PLAY AIR FORCE (+22.5 at Army), also PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 41.5)

(333) OLE MISS at (334) ARKANSAS
* ARKANSAS is on a 10-1 ATS runs both overall and hosting Ole Miss
System Match: PLAY ARKANSAS (+7 vs. Ole Miss)

(345) NORTHWESTERN at (346) PURDUE
* NORTHWESTERN is 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS in its last six at Purdue
System Match: PLAY NORTHWESTERN (-1 at Purdue)

(349) INDIANA at (350) MICHIGAN STATE
* ROAD TEAMS are 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS in last six of this series
System Match: PLAY INDIANA (-7.5 at Michigan State)

(351) NORTH CAROLINA at (352) FLORIDA STATE
* UNDERDOGS are on a 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS streak in rivalry
System Match: PLAY FLORIDA STATE (+2.5 vs. North Carolina)

(373) COASTAL CAROLINA at (374) TROY
* OVER the total is 6-0 in last six of this series
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 52)

(377) USC at (378) WASHINGTON
* WASHINGTON is on a 9-3 ATS surge versus USC
System Match: PLAY WASHINGTON (+2.5 vs. USC)

(391) KENTUCKY at (392) TENNESSEE
* TENNESSEE is on a 14-3 ATS run vs. Kentucky
System Match: PLAY TENNESSEE (-16.5 vs. Kentucky)

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