The following college football betting trends piece is a collection of analytical data, betting systems and strength ratings featured on VSiN and qualified for the college football games of Week 11. This report is meant to emulate the process that Steve Makinen and other members of the VSiN Analytics team undergo when handicapping each week’s college football board.

AJ’s Angles

These are the top trends and systems for this week’s CFB games, handpicked by VSiN analyst AJ Makinen.

 

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— UNDER the total is 8-0 in the last eight of the Ohio-Kent State series at Kent State
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total in Ohio-Kent State (o/u at 52)

— College football teams seeking revenge and having at least four more wins on the season than their opponent have been very successful, going 97-15 SU and 75-32-5 ATS (70.1%) since 2016.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): MIAMI FL (-11 at Georgia Tech), INDIANA (-14 vs. Michigan), IOWA STATE (-3 at Kansas), WESTERN KENTUCKY (-18 at New Mexico State)

— DUKE is on a 1-16 ATS skid in conference games when coming off a blowout loss of 20 points or more
System Match (FADE): DUKE (+3 at NC State)

— BALL STATE has won its last 10 games ATS in MAC play when coming off an upset win
System Match (PLAY): BALL STATE (+11.5 Miami OH)

— UAB is 20-7 (74.1%) ATS at Home since 2020
System Match (PLAY): UAB (+6 vs. UConn)

— SOUTH CAROLINA is 7-1-1 ATS versus Vanderbilt since 2015
System Match (PLAY): SOUTH CAROLINA (-3.5 at Vanderbilt)

— LOUISIANA is 12-10 SU and 15-7 ATS (68.2%) in revenge mode since 2016
System Match (PLAY): LOUISIANA (-16.5 vs. Arkansas State)

#1 UNDERPRICED FAVORITE according to the MAKINEN BETTORS RATINGS projections:
NAVY -3 at USF (+12.1 difference)

Strategies using CFB DraftKings Betting Splits data

One of the most touted features on VSiN.com, and a feature that we believe to be a fantastic resource for bettors is the betting splits pages. These systems have updated language and records heading into the 2024 season. Note that these systems include only games matching two FBS opponents against one another.

Here are the college football betting trend systems and qualifying plays for this week’s games as of Tuesday afternoon. These can and will change, so continue to track and qualify the systems up until kickoff for best usage. There will be an updated betting splits article on Saturday morning.

CFB DK Betting Splits system #1: Going back to the start of the 2022 season, when 80% or more of the handle was on a particular side of an ATS wager, this majority group has gone just 82-97 ATS (45.8%). This angle has produced at around a 46% consistently since first discovered. If you see the big GREEN lights on the VSiN betting splits HANDLE page 80% or higher, it is best to fade it.
System Matches (FADE ALL): MIAMI OH, OHIO, RICE, NEW MEXICO, SOUTH FLORIDA, MINNESOTA, UCONN, SAN JOSE STATE, INDIANA, TULANE, KENNESAW STATE, JACKSONVILLE STATE, LOUISIANA, NOTRE DAME, PITTSBURGH, BYU, WASHINGTON ST

CFB DK Betting Splits system #2: When 75%+ of the number of bets were on a particular side of an ATS wager since start of the 2022 season, this majority group has gone just 164-188 ATS (46.6%). In 2022 it was 46.5%, in 2023 it was 46.7%, maintaining incredible consistency. Again, if you see the big GREEN lights on the VSiN betting splits # of BETS page 75% or higher, it is best to fade it.
System Matches (FADE ALL): IOWA, MIAMI FL, MINNESOTA, UCONN, IOWA STATE, GEORGIA, ARMY, INDIANA, CLEMSON, COLORADO, JACKSONVILLE STATE, OREGON, NOTRE DAME, PITTSBURGH, BOISE STATE, PENN STATE, UNLV, FRESNO STATE, BYU, WASHINGTON STATE

CFB DK Betting Splits system #3: When the majority of the handle was on road favorites for an ATS wager since the start of the 2022 season, this majority group is just 164-190 ATS (46.3%). Recreational bettors love road favorites because they are most often the better team. The point spread is the great equalizer. Bettors improved slightly on this system in 2023, but there is still plenty of reason to believe in and fade these over-backed road favorites.
System Matches (FADE ALL): BOWLING GREEN, MIAMI OH, OHIO, NORTHERN ILLINOIS, CALIFORNIA, IOWA, MIAMI FL, MINNESOTA, LIBERTY, UCONN, IOWA STATE, GEORGIA, ARMY, CLEMSON, COLORADO, JACKSONVILLE STATE, ALABAMA, UNLV, FRESNO STATE, BYU

CFB DK Betting Splits system #4: When the majority of the handle has been on road underdogs for an ATS wager since the start of the 2022 season, this majority group has gone 142-132 ATS (51.8%). This is less than the usual systems I like to present to readers, but this is a nice advantage against the usual majority win rates and goes to show that being on the “smart” side of the majority handle can pay off.
System Matches (SLIGHT PLAY ALL): FLORIDA ATLANTIC, APPALACHIAN STATE, RICE, NEW MEXICO, FLORIDA, SYRACUSE, SAN JOSE STATE, KENNESAW STATE, MISSISSIPPI STATE

CFB DK Betting Splits system #5: When the majority number of bets has backed road underdogs for an ATS wager over the past two seasons, this majority group has gone 126-111 ATS (53.2%). This is even better than the handle numbers in #4 actually, and though it was down a bit for 2023, it suggests that following public bettors getting behind road dogs can be an actionable strategy.
System Matches (SLIGHT PLAY ALL): FLORIDA, SYRACUSE, DUKE, OKLAHOMA STATE, MISSISSIPPI STATE

CFB DK Betting Splits system #6: When the majority of number of bets has backed a team in an ATS wager in non-Saturday games, their 2022 and 2023 season record was 150-90 (62.5%). This goes to show that public bettors can be better performers with fewer games to choose from. A lot of times their mistake proves to be taking too many games on a Saturday.
System Matches (PLAY ALL):
Tuesday: BOWLING GREEN, MIAMI OH
Wednesday: OHIO, NORTHERN ILLINOIS
Thursday: EAST CAROLINA, COASTAL CAROLINA
Friday: CALIFORNIA, MEMPHIS, IOWA, SAN DIEGO STATE

CFB DK Betting Splits system #7: When the majority of the handle backed the team with more season wins in an FBS vs. FBS game for an ATS wager over the past two seasons, this majority group has gone just 313-354 ATS (46.9%). More than not, bettors like to back the “better team” in a matchup, regardless of what the point spread indicates. Again, the point spread is always the eternal equalizer.

CFB DK Betting Splits system #8: The average college football total has steadied at about 54. In games since the start of the 2022 season when the totals reached 57 or higher and oddsmakers thus expected them to be a little more explosive, when majority handle bettors favored the Under, they have been relatively sharp, going 51-38 (57.3%). This is pretty rare, as it occurred in only 89 of 1567 games.
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): ARKANSAS STATE-LOUISIANA, MISSISSIPPI STATE-TENNESSEE, UTAH STATE-WASHINGTON STATE

CFB DK Betting Splits system #9: Since the start of the 2022 season, on games with totals of 45 or lower, 70%+ super majority handle bettors siding with the Under have gone 25-13 (63.2%). Because not many public bettors embrace betting Unders, this doesn’t produce a lot of plays, but the super handle majority has been sharp.
System Matches (PLAY UNDER): OKLAHOMA-MISSOURI

CFB DK Betting Splits system #10: Since the start of the 2022 season, on games with totals of 45 or lower, 75%+ super majority number of bets bettors bucking the low total and siding with the Over have gone 52-34 (60.5%). This system improved its win percentage in 2023. Again, not a ton of plays here in the grand scheme, but the more public option of number of bets has been pretty good when going against the grain.
System Matches (PLAY OVER ALL): IOWA-UCLA, KENNESAW STATE-UTEP, FLORIDA STATE-NOTRE DAME, OKLAHOMA-MISSOURI, FRESNO STATE-AIR FORCE, BYU-UTAH

College Football Revenge Handicapping

The following college football betting trends are methodologies for handicapping revenge situations in college football, including the best and worst teams in revenge mode, and the best betting systems uncovered. Revenge is defined as having lost a game to a specific opponent in the prior or current season only.

Best and Worst College Football Revenge Teams (since 2016)

Best

* LSU is 16-6 SU and 14-6 ATS (70%) in revenge mode since 2016
System Match (PLAY): LSU (+3 vs. Alabama)

* LOUISIANA is 12-10 SU and 15-7 ATS (68.2%) in revenge mode since 2016
System Match (PLAY): LOUISIANA (-16.5 vs. Arkansas State)

* KENT STATE is 9-20 SU and 18-11 ATS (62.1%) in revenge mode since 2016
System Match (PLAY): KENT STATE (+18.5 vs. Ohio)

* NAVY is 15-24 SU and 25-14 ATS (64.1%) in revenge mode since 2016
System Match (PLAY): NAVY (-3.5 at USF)

Worst

* OLE MISS is 12-21 SU and 11-20 ATS (35.5%) in revenge mode since 2016
System Match (FADE): OLE MISS (+2.5 vs. Georgia)

* CINCINNATI is 10-12 SU and 8-14 ATS (36.4%) in revenge mode since 2016
System Match (FADE): CINCINNATI (-5 vs. West Virginia)

College football revenge systems

Home/Road revenge line range angles that have thrived
Double-digit road favorites have been solid producers in the revenge role, going 51-38 ATS (57.3%) since 2016.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): MIAMI FL (-11 at Georgia Tech), WESTERN KENTUCKY (-18 at New Mexico State)

Revenge teams that lost as double-digit favorites last time out
Teams looking to avenge outright losses where they were double-digit favorites have struggled, going just 108-118 ATS (47.8%) since 2016.
System Match (FADE): MIAMI FL (-11 at Georgia Tech)

Current won-lost records are a good indicator of revenge chances
College football teams seeking revenge and having at least four more wins on the season than their opponent have been very successful, going 97-15 SU and 75-32-5 ATS (70.1%) since 2016.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): MIAMI FL (-11 at Georgia Tech), INDIANA (-14 vs. Michigan), IOWA STATE (-3 at Kansas), WESTERN KENTUCKY (-18 at New Mexico State)

Key stats of the team seeking revenge matter
Better defensive teams are more successful in exacting revenge than prolific offense. Since the start of the 2016 season, teams allowing 24 PPG or less have gone 668-577 ATS (53.7%).
System Matches (PLAY ALL): CINCINNATI, IOWA STATE, MIAMI FL, OLE MISS, VANDERBILT, LOUISIANA-MONROE, LOUISIANA, INDIANA, LOUISIANA TECH, WESTERN KENTUCKY, LSU, HAWAII

Revenge is sweet against porous defensive foes
Teams seeking revenge against a team that is currently allowing 35 PPG or more have been very successful, going 216-169 ATS (56.1%) since 2016.
System Match (PLAY): WESTERN KENTUCKY (-18 at New Mexico State)

College Football Systems Based on AP Poll Rankings

The following college football betting systems take into account whether or not teams in a non-neutral field game are ranked in the AP poll. 

CFB AP Poll Rankings System #1 – Games featuring two ranked teams
In games featuring two ranked teams since 2017, HOME TEAMS are NOW 186-91 SU and 160-109-8 ATS (59.5%).
System Matches (PLAY ALL): OLE MISS (+2.5 vs. Georgia), LSU (+3 vs. Alabama)

These college football betting trends are from an article posted in September 2024 detailing top trends and systems for college football conference play.

Road teams in conference games coming off very close losses of less than three points have struggled lately, 76-104 ATS (42.2%) since 2011.
System Matches (FADE ALL): NORTHERN ILLINOIS (-2 at Western Michigan), IOWA STATE (-3 at Kansas), FRESNO STATE (-10.5 at Air Force)

Teams playing as conference road dogs of more than seven points after not having played since 14 days ago are on a 136-104 ATS (56.7%) surge since 2010.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): TEMPLE (+26.5 at Tulane), ARKANSAS STATE (+16.5 at Louisiana), MARYLAND (+25 at Oregon), VIRGINIA (+7.5 at Pitt)

Teams playing at home in conference games as dogs of more than three points when coming off a huge upset win as a double-digit road underdog have been a play-against team, 27-46 ATS (37%) since 2010.
System Matches (FADE ALL): TEXAS TECH (+3.5 vs. Colorado), HAWAII (+13 vs. UNLV)

Top Team Trends in Conference Games

Negative FADE trends:

• MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE is on a 0-9 ATS skid in conference play when coming off an upset win
System Match (FADE): MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE (+10.5 vs. Liberty)

• DUKE is on a 1-16 ATS skid in conference games when coming off a blowout loss of 20 points or more
System Match (FADE): DUKE (+3 at NC State)

• RUTGERS is on a 1-10 ATS skid as Big Ten home underdog
System Match (FADE): RUTGERS (+6 vs. Minnesota)

• TEMPLE is 3-14 ATS in its last 17 conference games when coming off a road loss
System Match (FADE): TEMPLE (+26.5 at Tulane)

Positive FOLLOW trends:

• BALL STATE has won its last 10 games ATS in MAC play when coming off an upset win
System Match (PLAY): BALL STATE (+11.5 Miami OH)

• WESTERN KENTUCKY is on a 13-1 ATS surge in conference play when coming off a win at home
System Match (PLAY): WESTERN KENTUCKY (-18 at New Mexico State)

• PURDUE has a respectable 12-2 ATS record in its last 14 games as a Big Ten dog of 20+ points
System Match (PLAY): PURDUE (+37.5 at Ohio State)

• BOISE STATE takes care of business as a Mountain West favorite of 20+ points, 12-1-1 ATS in its last 14
System Match (PLAY): BOISE STATE (-24 vs. Nevada)

• PENN STATE has become a reliable Big Ten favorite, 18-7 ATS in its last 25
System Match (PLAY): PENN STATE (-13.5 vs. Washington)

• GEORGIA STATE is on a solid road Sun Belt run of 14-3 ATS
System Match (PLAY): GEORGIA STATE (+17 at James Madison)

• LSU is 14-3 ATS in last 17 SEC games when coming off a road loss
System Match (PLAY): LSU (+3 vs. Alabama)

Extreme Stat Next Game CFB Betting Systems

Conference wins while struggling offensively are momentum-builders
Over the last decade, college football teams that won a conference game despite gaining less than 250 yards of offense have used that victory to build momentum, going 78-48 ATS (61.9%) in the follow-up game.
System Match (PLAY): VANDERBILT (+3.5 vs. South Carolina)E (-10 vs. Louisiana Tech), VIRGINIA TECH (-4 at Syracuse), PITTSBURGH (+7 at SMU)

This week’s College Football Strength Ratings

The following are taken from today’s MAKINEN POWER RATINGS page under the College Football tab on VSiN.com. Listed by team, current line, and difference between rating and current line (in parenthesis).

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:

Ratings Matches:
1. MISSOURI +3 (+5.5)
2. OKLAHOMA STATE +11 (+3.0)
3. NORTH TEXAS +5.5 (+2.8)
4 (tie). DUKE +3 (+2.5)
GEORGIA STATE +17 (+2.5)

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:

Ratings Matches:
1. TULANE -26.5 (+5.1)
2. PITTSBURGH -7.5 (+4.5)
3. IOWA -5.5 (+4.0)
4. BOISE STATE -24 (+3.9)
5. BYU -3.5 (+3.7)

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:

Ratings Matches:
1. OLE MISS +2.5 (+8.8)
2. TEMPLE +26.5 (+7.5)
3. UTAH STATE +20.5 (+7.2)
4. WAKE FOREST +7 (+4.8)
5. NORTH TEXAS +5.5 (+4.6)

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:

Ratings Matches:
1. OHIO STATE -38 (+7.3)
2. TENNESSEE -24 (+6.0)
3. OHIO -19 (+5.1)
4. NOTRE DAME -26 (+4.8)
5. WESTERN KENTUCKY -18 (+4.5)

This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:

Ratings Matches:
1. BOWLING GREEN-CENTRAL MICHIGAN OVER 48 (+4.5)
2. PURDUE-OHIO STATE OVER 53.5 (+4.3)
3. KENNESAW STATE-UTEP OVER 42 (+3.7)
4. SOUTH CAROLINA-VANDERBILT OVER 45.5 (+3.0)
5. WESTERN KENTUCKY-NEW MEXICO STATE OVER 52 (+2.9)

This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:

Ratings Matches:
1. ARMY-NORTH TEXAS UNDER 63.5 (-4.0)
2. ARKANSAS STATE-LOUISIANA UNDER 60.5 (-3.0)
3. VIRGINIA-PITTSBURGH UNDER 57.5 (-2.4)
4. UNLV-HAWAII UNDER 50 (-2.3)
5. NEW MEXICO-SAN DIEGO STATE UNDER 66.5 (-2.2)

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:

Ratings Matches:
1. FLORIDA STATE +26 (+13.7)
2. UTAH +3.5 (+10.7)
3. CENTRAL MICHIGAN +14 (+8.1)
4. OKLAHOMA STATE +11 (+7.0)
5. TEXAS TECH +3.5 (+6.7)

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:

Ratings Matches:
1. NAVY -3 (+12.1)
2. MEMPHIS -9.5 (+9.0)
3. LIBERTY -10.5 (+8.6)
4. UCONN -6.5 (+8.0)
5. TEXAS STATE -7 (+7.1)

This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:

Ratings Matches:
1. OKLAHOMA-MISSOURI OVER 41.5 (+4.7)
2. BOWLING GREEN-CENTRAL MICHIGAN OVER 48 (+4.4)
3. FLORIDA-TEXAS OVER 48 (+4.3)
4. SYRACUSE-BOSTON COLLEGE OVER 53 (+4.1)
5. ARMY-NORTH TEXAS OVER 63.5 (+3.9)

This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. DUKE-NC STATE UNDER 52.5 (-5.6)
2. CALIFORNIA-WAKE FOREST UNDER 55 (-2.3)
3 (tie). RICE-MEMPHIS UNDER 52.5 (-1.8)
UTAH STATE-WASHINGTON STATE UNDER 69.5 (-1.8)
5. ARKANSAS STATE-LOUISIANA UNDER 60.5 (-1.7)

These are some of the top situational trends that have developed with teams in recent years:

* BALL STATE is 33-20 (62.3%) UNDER the total over the last five seasons
System Match: PLAY UNDER in Miami OH-Ball State (o/u at 48.5)

* BOSTON COLLEGE is 22-13 (62.9%) ATS in Conference games since 2020
System Match: PLAY BOSTON COLLEGE (-2.5 vs. Syracuse)

* CLEMSON is 20-10 (66.7%) ATS in Road/Neutral games since 2020
System Match: PLAY CLEMSON (-6.5 at Virginia Tech)

* FLORIDA STATE is 11-20 (35.5%) ATS in Road/Neutral games since 2019
System Match: FADE FLORIDA STATE (+26 at Notre Dame)

* FRESNO STATE is 31-16-1 (66%) UNDER the total since 2021
System Match: PLAY UNDER in Fresno State-Air Force (o/u at 41)

* GEORGIA is 22-12 (64.7%) ATS in Road/Neutral games since 2020
System Match: PLAY GEORGIA (-2.5 at Ole Miss)

* GEORGIA STATE is 20-8-1 (71.4%) ATS in its last 29 Road/Neutral games
System Match: PLAY GEORGIA STATE (+17 at James Madison)

* KANSAS is 36-19 (65.5%) OVER the total since 2019
System Match: PLAY OVER in Iowa State-Kansas (o/u at 50)

* KENT STATE is 8-21 (27.6%) ATS in its last 29 games as an Underdog
System Match: FADE KENT STATE (+18.5 vs. Ohio)

* LOUISIANA TECH is 34-20-1 (63%) OVER the total since 2019
* LOUISIANA TECH is 8-20 (28.6%) ATS in Conference games over the last four seasons
Systems Match: FADE LOUISIANA TECH (+10 vs. Jacksonville State), also PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 56)

* LSU is 23-12 (65.7%) OVER the total since 2022
System Match: PLAY OVER in Alabama-LSU (o/u at 58.5)

* MIAMI OHIO is on a 32-19 (62.7%) UNDER the total run over the last five seasons
System Match: PLAY UNDER in Miami OH-Ball State (o/u at 48.5)

* MICHIGAN is 31-20-1 (60.8%) ATS in the last four seasons (including 16-7 ATS in Road/Neutral games)
System Match: PLAY MICHIGAN (+14 at Indiana)

* MISSISSIPPI STATE is 26-20 (56.5%) UNDER the total since 2021
System Match: PLAY UNDER in Mississippi State-Tennessee (o/u at 61)

* NEW MEXICO is 19-40 (32.2%) ATS in Conference games since 2017
System Match: FADE NEW MEXICO (+3 at San Diego State)

* NEW MEXICO STATE is 28-20 (58.3%) ATS in the last four seasons (including 11-4 ATS as a favorite)
System Match: PLAY NEW MEXICO STATE (+18 vs. Western Kentucky)

* OLE MISS is 8-18-2 (30.8%) ATS in Conference games since 2021
System Match: FADE OLE MISS (+2.5 vs. Georgia)

* OREGON STATE is 26-9 (74.3%) ATS in Home games over the last six seasons
System Match: PLAY OREGON STATE (-2.5 vs. San Jose State)

* PENN STATE is 8-20 (28.6%) ATS coming off SU loss since 2015
System Match: FADE PENN STATE (-13.5 vs. Washington)

* PITTSBURGH is 37-20 (64.9%) OVER the total since 2020
System Match: PLAY OVER in Virginia-Pitt (o/u at 57.5)

* PURDUE is 17-14 (54.8%) ATS as Underdog since 2020
System Match: PLAY PURDUE (+37.5 at Ohio State)

* SAN DIEGO STATE is 43-23 (65.2%) UNDER the total since 2019
System Match: PLAY UNDER in New Mexico State-San Diego State (o/u at 67.5)

* SOUTH CAROLINA is 12-5 (70.6%) ATS as a Favorite in the last five seasons
System Match: PLAY SOUTH CAROLINA (-3.5 at Vanderbilt)

* TEMPLE is 17-10 (63%) ATS coming off SU Loss since 2020
* TEMPLE is 5-15 (25%) ATS in Road games over the last four seasons
Systems Match: 1 PLAY, 1 FADE of TEMPLE (+26.5 at Tulane)

* TULANE is 46-22 (67.6%) ATS as Favorite since 2014
System Match: PLAY TULANE (-26.5 vs. Temple)

* UAB is 20-7 (74.1%) ATS at Home since 2020
System Match: PLAY UAB (+6 vs. UConn)

* UTEP is 7-20 (25.9%) ATS at Home since 2020
System Match: FADE UTEP (-4 vs. Kennesaw State)

* VANDERBILT is on a 5-12 (29.4%) ATS skid following a SU win
System Match: FADE VANDERBILT (+3.5 vs. South Carolina)

* WESTERN KENTUCKY is 12-22 (35.3%) ATS as Favorite since 2019
System Match: FADE WESTERN KENTUCKY (-18 at NMSU)

These are the top head-to-head series trends between teams from recent years’ action:

Week 11

(105) OHIO at (106) KENT STATE
* UNDER the total is 8-0 in the last eight of the series at Kent State
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 52)

(121) NEW MEXICO at (122) SAN DIEGO STATE
* UNDER the total is 7-2 in the last nine of the series at San Diego State
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 66.5)

(123) VIRGINIA at (124) PITTSBURGH
* ROAD TEAMS are on a 7-1 ATS run in this series
System Match: PLAY VIRGINIA (+7.5 at Pitt)

MIAMI FL at (132) GEORGIA TECH
* UNDERDOGS have won the last six ATS in the series
System Match: PLAY GEORGIA TECH (+11 vs. Miami FL)

(165) SOUTH CAROLINA at (166) VANDERBILT
* SOUTH CAROLINA is 7-1-1 ATS versus Vanderbilt since 2015
System Match: PLAY SOUTH CAROLINA (-3.5 at Vanderbilt)

(167) TEXAS STATE at (168) LOUISIANA-MONROE
* ROAD TEAMS are 9-2 ATS in the series since 2013
System Match: PLAY TEXAS STATE (-7 at Louisiana-Monroe)

(177) ARKANSAS STATE at (178) LOUISIANA
* HOME TEAMS are on an 8-2 SU and ATS surge in this Sun Belt rivalry
System Match: PLAY LOUISIANA (-16.5 vs. Arkansas State)