The following college football betting trends are a collection of analytical data, betting systems and strength ratings featured on VSiN and qualified for the college football games of Week 13. This report is meant to emulate the process that Steve Makinen and other members of the VSiN Analytics team undergo when handicapping each week’s college football board.

 

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AJ’s Angles

These are the top college football betting trends and systems for this week’s CFB games, handpicked by VSiN Analyst AJ Makinen. 

-CFB teams that see their point spread in one game being at least 52 points worse than the prior game have performed very well in that follow-up contest since 2012, going 94-65 ATS (59.1%).

System Match (PLAY): KENTUCKY (+20.5 at Texas)

-Teams playing at home in conference games and coming off a blowout loss by more than 45 points are just 44-74 ATS (37.3%) since 2010.

System Match (FADE): SOUTHERN MISS (+22.5 vs S Alabama)

-UCF is on a 1-12 ATS skid in conference games when coming off a close of 7-points or less

Trend Match (FADE): UCF (-3 at WVU)

-In college football games featuring TWO RANKED TEAMS with the home team being a double-digit favorite, UNDER the total boasts an impressive 40-16 (71.4%) record since the beginning of the 2017 season.

System Match (PLAY UNDER): Indiana-Ohio St (o/u at 52)

-College football teams seeking revenge and having at least four more wins on the season than their opponent have been very successful, going 100-18 SU & 76-37-5 ATS (67.3%) since 2016.

System Matches (PLAY ALL): JAMES MADISON (-7 at App State), LA LAFAYETTE (-10.5 vs Troy)

* UNDERDOGS are 10-1-1 ATS in L12 of PUR-MSU h2h series

Trend Match: PLAY PURDUE (+13.5 at Michigan St)

-BOISE ST takes care of business as a Mountain West favorite of 20+ points, 12-2-1 ATS in its L15

Trend Match (PLAY): BOISE ST (-23 at Wyoming)

#1 UNDERPRICED FAVORITE according to the MAKINEN BETTORS RATINGS projections: NORTH TEXAS -3 vs East Carolina (+10.6 difference)

Strategies Using CFB DraftKings Betting Splits Data

One of the most touted features on the VSiN.com website, and a feature that we believe to be a fantastic resource for bettors is the betting splits pages. These systems have updated language and records heading into the 2024 season. Note that these systems only include games matching two FBS opponents against one another.

Here are the college football betting trends, systems and qualifying plays for this week’s games as of Tuesday afternoon. These can and will change, so continue to track and qualify the systems up until kickoff for best usage. There will be an updated betting splits article on Saturday morning.

Here are the systems with updated language and records (from midway through this season) we will continue to track for the rest of the 2024 season.

CFB DK Betting Splits system #1: Going back to the start of the 2022 season, when 80% or more of the HANDLE was on a particular side of an ATS wager, this majority group has gone just 116-133 ATS (46.6%), although a slight improvement at 34-36 ATS in ‘24. This angle has produced at around 46% consistently since first discovered, so I would expect an end of season slow down. If you see the big GREEN lights on the VSiN betting splits HANDLE page 80% or higher, it is best to fade it.

System Matches (FADE ALL): WESTERN MICHIGAN, UTSA, SAN JOSE ST, SMU, ILLINOIS, TENNESSEE, BOWLING GREEN, RICE, CHARLOTTE, SOUTH ALABAMA, COASTAL CAROLINA, SOUTH FLORIDA, PITTSBURGH, ARKANSAS, MISSOURI, TEXAS ST, BAYLOR, OLD DOMINION, IOWA ST, VIRGINIA TECH, FRESNO ST

CFB DK Betting Splits system #2: When 75%+ of the number of BETS were on a particular side of an ATS wager since start of ’22 season, this majority group has gone just 231-251 ATS (47.9%). In 2022 it was 46.5%, in 2023 it was 46.7%, maintaining incredible consistency. This year it is actually 67-63 ATS, so I would expect this to cool down over the rest of the season. Again, if you see the big GREEN lights on the VSiN betting splits # of BETS page 75% or higher, it is best to fade it.

System Matches (FADE ALL): SMU, ILLINOIS, TENNESSEE, JAMES MADISON, COLORADO, TEXAS TECH, MISSOURI, TEXAS ST, BOISE ST, WASHINGTON ST, TEXAS A&M, ALABAMA

CFB DK Betting Splits system #3: When the majority of the HANDLE was on ROAD FAVORITES for an ATS wager since the start of the ’22 season, this majority group is just 219-241 ATS (47.6%). Recreational bettors love road favorites because they are most often the better team. The point spread is the great equalizer. Bettors improved slightly on this system in ’23 and again in ’24 so far but there is still plenty of reason to believe in and fade these over-backed road favorites.

System Matches (FADE ALL): AKRON, WESTERN MICHIGAN, SMU, OLE MISS, ILLINOIS, BOWLING GREEN, RICE, JAMES MADISON, CHARLOTTE, FIU, SOUTH ALABAMA, PENN ST, TEXAS TECH, MISSOURI, BAYLOR, BOISE ST, WASHINGTON ST, IOWA ST, TEXAS A&M, ALABAMA, VIRGINIA TECH, USC

CFB DK Betting Splits system #4: When the majority of the HANDLE has been on ROAD UNDERDOGS for an ATS wager since the start of the ’22 season, this majority group has gone 177-167 ATS (51.5%). This is less than the usual systems I like to present to readers, but this is a nice advantage against the usual majority win rates, and goes to show that being on the “smart” side of majority handle can pay off.

System Matches (SLIGHT PLAY ALL): UCONN, INDIANA, NEW MEXICO ST, LA MONROE, WISCONSIN, NORTHWESTERN, SAN DIEGO ST, KENTUCKY, PITTSBURGH, VANDERBILT, CINCINNATI, AIR FORCE

CFB DK Betting Splits system #5: When the majority NUMBER of BETS has backed ROAD UNDERDOGS for an ATS wager over the past two seasons, this majority group has gone 146-124 ATS (54.1%). This is even better than the handle numbers in #4 actually, and it is off to a strong 20-13 ATS start in ’24.  It suggests that following public bettors getting behind road dogs can be an actionable strategy.

System Matches (PLAY ALL): INDIANA, ARIZONA, WISCONSIN, BYU, STANFORD, PITTSBURGH, MARSHALL, VANDERBILT, AIR FORCE, COLORADO ST

CFB DK Betting Splits system #6: When the majority of NUMBER of BETS has backed a team in an ATS wager in NON-SATURDAY games, their 2022 & 2023 season record was 62.5%! This year it’s just 18-25 ATS, dropping the overall system mark to 168-115 ATS (59.4%). Still it goes to show that public bettors can be better performers with less games to choose from.

System Matches (PLAY ALL): Tuesday: AKRON, WESTERN MICHIGAN, MIAMI OH

Wednesday: TOLEDO, EASTERN MICHIGAN

Thursday: GEORGIA TECH

Friday: UTSA, MICHIGAN ST, UNLV

CFB DK Betting Splits system #7: When the majority of the HANDLE backed the team with more season wins in a FBS vs. FBS contest for an ATS wager over the past two seasons, this majority group has gone just 405-444 ATS (47.7%), even after a 92-90 ATS start to this season. More than not, bettors like to back the “better team” in a matchup, regardless of what the point spread indicates. Again, the point spread is always the eternal equalizer.

CFB DK Betting Splits system #8: The average college football total has steadied at about 52. In games since the start of the ’22 season where the totals reached 57 or higher and odds makers thus expected them to be a little more explosive, when majority HANDLE bettors favored the UNDER, they have been relatively sharp, going 57-44 (56.4%). This remains pretty rare, as it occurred in only 12 of 406 games this season.

System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): WAKE FOREST-MIAMI FL, W KENTUCKY-LIBERTY, BOWLING GREEN-BALL ST, GA SOUTHERN-C CAROLINA, UCF-W VIRGINIA, TULSA-S FLORIDA, SAN DIEGO ST-UTAH ST, TEXAS TECH-OKLAHOMA ST, GEORGIA ST-TEXAS ST, BOISE ST-WYOMING

CFB DK Betting Splits system #9: Since the start of the ’22 season, on games with totals of 45 or lower, 70%+ super majority HANDLE bettors siding with the UNDER have gone 26-15 (63.4%). Because not many public bettors embrace betting UNDER’s, this doesn’t produce a lot of plays but the super handle majority has been sharp.

System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): OHIO-TOLEDO, NORTHWESTERN-MICHIGAN, AIR FORCE-NEVADA

CFB DK Betting Splits system #10: Since the start of the ’22 season, on games with totals of 45 or lower, 75%+ super majority number of BETS bettors bucking the low total and siding with the OVER have gone 76-49 (60.8%), improving this season a bit after a 24-15 start. This system improved also its win percentage in ’23 so it’s on an upward climb. Again, not a ton of plays here in the grand scheme but the more public option of number of BETS has been pretty good when going against the grain.

System Matches (PLAY OVER ALL): N ILLINOIS-MIAMI OH, FIU-KENNESAW ST, PENN ST-MINNESOTA, NOTRE DAME-ARMY

CFB DK Betting Splits system #11: Since the start of the ’24 season, on games in which there has been a slight majority NUMBER of MONEY LINE BETS on a team (51-60%), bettors boast a respectable 26-19 SU (57.7%) record for +5.37 units of profit and a ROI of 11.9%. This has happened in only about one of every ten games on average, so it is rare.

System Matches (PLAY ALL on ML): EASTERN MICHIGAN, OLE MISS, INDIANA, UAB, KENNESAW ST, ARIZONA, BYU, TEXAS TECH, DUKE

CFB DK Betting Splits system #12: Since the start of the ’24 season, on games in which there has been a majority NUMBER of MONEY LINE BETS on a ROAD UNDERDOG of +3-points or fewer, bettors are 12-8 SU (60%) for +6.04 units of profit and a ROI of 30.2%. This is an angle in which bettors tend to go away from their comfort zone and have been rewarded.

System Matches (PLAY ALL on ML): WISCONSIN, BYU, EAST CAROLINA

College Football Revenge Handicapping

The following are methodologies for handicapping revenge situations in college football, including the best and worst teams in revenge mode and the best betting systems uncovered. Revenge is defined by having lost a game to a specific opponent in the prior or current season only.

Best and Worst College Football Revenge Teams (since ’16)

Best

* COASTAL CAROLINA is 11-10 SU & 14-7 ATS (66.7%) in revenge mode since ’16

System Match (PLAY): COASTAL CAROLINA (-2.5 vs GA Southern)

* LA LAFAYETTE is 13-10 SU & 16-7 ATS (69.6%) in revenge mode since ’16

System Match (PLAY): LA LAFAYETTE (-10.5 vs Troy)

* KENT ST is 9-22 SU & 19-12 ATS (61.3%) in revenge mode since ’16

System Match (PLAY): KENT ST (+10 vs Akron)

* C MICHIGAN is 17-13 SU & 16-13 ATS (55.2%) in revenge mode since ’16

System Match (SLIGHT PLAY): CENTRAL MICHIGAN (+5.5 vs WMU)

* BUFFALO is 14-14 SU & 18-10 ATS (64.3%) in revenge mode since ’16

System Match (PLAY): BUFFALO (-1 at EMU)

* OREGON ST is 16-30 SU & 27-18 ATS (60%) in revenge mode since ’16

System Match (PLAY): OREGON ST (+12.5 vs WSU) 

College Football Revenge Systems 

Home/Road revenge line range angles that have thrived

1) Double-digit road favorites have been solid producers in the revenge role, going 51-41 ATS (55.4%) since 2016.

System Match: *WATCH FOR BAYLOR (-8 currently at Houston)*

Current won-lost records are a good indicator of revenge chances

2) College football teams seeking revenge and having at least four more wins on the season than their opponent have been very successful, going 100-18 SU & 76-37-5 ATS (67.3%) since 2016.

System Matches (PLAY ALL): JAMES MADISON (-7 at App State), LA LAFAYETTE (-10.5 vs Troy)

Key stats of the team seeking revenge matter

3) Better defensive teams are more successful in exacting revenge than prolific offense. Since the start of the 2016 season, teams allowing 24 PPG or less have gone 675-590 ATS (53.4%).

System Matches (PLAY ALL): UNLV, SAM HOUSTON ST, JAMES MADISON, NEBRASKA, INDIANA, WESTERN KENTUCKY, LA LAFAYETTE, AUBURN, USC

Revenge is sweet against porous defensive foes

4) Teams seeking revenge against a team that is currently allowing 35 PPG or more have been very successful, going 216-172 ATS (55.7%) since 2016.

System Matches (PLAY ALL): KENT ST (+10 vs Akron), SAN DIEGO ST (+4 at Utah St), MIDDLE TENNESSEE ST (-3.5 vs NMSU)

College Football Systems Based on AP Poll Rankings

The following college football betting trends and systems take into account whether or not teams in a non-neutral field game are ranked in the AP poll

CFB AP Poll Rankings System #1 – Games featuring two ranked teams

·        In games featuring two ranked teams since 2017, HOME TEAMS are NOW 189-92 SU & 162-111-8 ATS (59.3%).

System Matches (PLAY ALL): OHIO ST (-13 vs Indiana), ARIZONA ST (-3 vs BYU)

·        Digging deeper into that data, you will find that when the home team has been ranked better, those teams have gone 109-21 SU & 79-47-4 ATS (62.7%).

System Match (PLAY): OHIO ST (-13 vs Indiana)

CFB AP Poll Rankings System #2 – Road ranked teams vs. non-ranked hosts

In games week 12 or later in the season, RANKED ROAD TEAMS are now 121-30 SU & 84-64-3 ATS (56.8%) vs. non-ranked home teams since 2017.

System Matches (PLAY ALL): UNLV, SMU, OLE MISS, ILLINOIS, PENN ST, BOISE ST, WASHINGTON ST, IOWA ST, TEXAS A&M, ALABAMA

Digging deeper into this data, you will find that when these RANKED ROAD TEAMS are favored by more than 6-points against non-ranked hosts, they have gone 104-12 SU & 67-46-3 ATS (59.3%) in that same week 12 & later time span.

System Matches (PLAY ALL): UNLV, SMU, OLE MISS, PENN ST, BOISE ST, WASHINGTON ST, IOWA ST, ALABAMA

CFB AP Poll Rankings System #3 – Home ranked teams vs. non-ranked visitors

In games week 12 or later in the season, there has been a huge discrepancy in the performance of RANKED HOME TEAMS against non-ranked visitors at the 12-point favorite line mark. As favorites of 12-points or more, they have gone 101-12 SU but just 45-62-2 ATS (42.1%), but at any other line, including underdog, they are 35-8 SU & 27-16 ATS (62.8%) since ’17.

System Matches (FADE ALL): BIG FAVORITES – MIAMI FL, GEORGIA, TENNESSEE, TEXAS

CFB AP Poll Rankings System #4

In college football games featuring TWO RANKED TEAMS with the home team being a double-digit favorite, UNDER the total boasts an impressive 40-16 (71.4%) record since the beginning of the 2017 season. When adding a qualifier of totals higher than 56 to that system, the UNDER record jumps to 22-7 (75.9%).

System Match (PLAY UNDER): Indiana-Ohio St (o/u at 52)

3)  Teams playing as conference road dogs of more than 7-points after not having played since 14 days ago are on a 140-106 ATS (56.9%) surge since 2010.

System Matches (PLAY ALL): INDIANA (+13 at Ohio St), VANDERBILT (+7.5 at LSU)

5)  Teams playing at home in conference games and coming off a blowout loss by more than 45 points are just 44-74 ATS (37.3%) since 2010.

System Match (FADE): SOUTHERN MISS (+22.5 vs USA)

Negative fade trends:

•    UCF is on a 1-12 ATS skid in conference games when coming off a close of 7-points or less

•    UCF has lost 10 of its L11 games ATS as a favorite in conference play

Trends Match (FADE): UCF (-3 at WVU)

•    USC has lost 10 of its L13 games ATS as a favorite in conference play

Trend Match (FADE): USC (-3 at WVU)

•    RUTGERS has lost 7 of its L8 games ATS at home in conference play when coming off a road victory

•    RUTGERS is on a 2-10 ATS skid as Big Ten home underdog

Trend Match (FADE): RUTGERS (+1 vs Illinois)

•    NEBRASKA is just 2-10-1 ATS in its L13 games as a Big Ten favorite

Trend Match (FADE): NEBRASKA (-2.5 vs Wisconsin)

•    AKRON is on a 5-15 ATS skid in MAC play when coming off a road loss

Trend Match (FADE): AKRON (-10 at Kent St)

Positive FOLLOW trends:

•    TROY has won 10 of its L11 Sun Belt road games ATS

•    TROY is on 15-3 ATS run in Sun Belt play when coming off a win

Trend Match (PLAY): TROY (+10.5 at La Lafayette)

•    BOISE ST takes care of business as a Mountain West favorite of 20+ points, 12-2-1 ATS in its L15

Trend Match (PLAY): BOISE ST (-23 at Wyoming)

•    PENN ST has become a reliable Big Ten favorite, 20-7 ATS in its L27

Trend Match (PLAY): PENN ST (-11.5 at Minnesota)

•    LA LAFAYETTE is on 14-2 ATS surge in Sun Belt play when coming off a home loss

Trend Match (PLAY): LA LAFAYETTE (-10.5 vs Troy)

•    GEORGIA ST is on a solid road Sun Belt run of 14-4 ATS

Trend Match (PLAY): GEORGIA ST (+20.5 at Texas St)

•    LOUISVILLE is on an impressive 11-3 ATS surge as an ACC home favorite

Trend Match (PLAY): LOUISVILLE (-7.5 vs Pitt)

•    NORTHERN ILLINOIS is a 16-3 ATS MAC road underdog in its L19 tries

Trend Match (PLAY): NORTHERN ILLINOIS (+1.5 at Miami OH)

•    LSU is 14-4 ATS in L18 SEC games when coming off a road loss

Trend Match (PLAY): LSU (-7.5 vs Vandy)

Extreme Stat Next Game College Football Betting Trend Systems 

Huge week-to-week point spread movement

5) CFB teams that see their point spread in one game being at least 52 points worse than the prior game have performed very well in that follow-up contest since 2012, going 94-65 ATS (59.1%).

System Match (PLAY): KENTUCKY (+20.5 at Texas)

Upset losses as huge favorites snowball

6) Teams that lose in a college football game as favorites of 19.5-points or more have gone just 40-67 SU & 36-67-4 ATS (35%) in the follow-up contest since 2012.

System Match (FADE): LOUISVILLE (-8 vs Pitt)

Unexpected blowout games are bad future indicators for both teams

7) Both college football teams coming off a game which was decided by a margin 38 points or more different from the final point spread, either win or lose, have struggled in the next contest, going just 137-185-1 ATS (42.5%) over the last decade-plus.

System Match (FADE): UTAH ST (-4 vs SDSU)

Not taking advantage enough of turnovers can be a red flag

8) CFB FBS teams that benefitted from a +5 turnover differential or greater but failed to score 44+ points in that game have responded by going just 38-55 ATS (40.9%) in their next contest since ’12.

System Match (FADE): TOLEDO (-2 vs Ohio)

Ride teams off of uber-dominant performances

9) Over the course of the last decade, CFB teams that scored 58 or more points in a game while allowing fewer than 10 have carried on the momentum well in the next outing, going 139-103 ATS (57.4%).

System Match (PLAY): TEXAS ST (-20.5 vs Georgia St)

Conference wins while struggling offensively are momentum builders

10) Over the last decade, college football teams that won a conference game despite gaining less than 250 yards of offense have used that victory to build momentum, going 78-50 ATS (60.9%) in the follow-up contest.

System Matches (PLAY ALL): INDIANA (+13 at Ohio St), KANSAS (+2.5 vs Colorado)

This Week’s College Football Strength Ratings

The following college football betting trends are taken from today’s MAKINEN DAILY RATINGS page under the NFL tab on VSiN.com. Listed by team, current line, and difference between rating and current line (in parenthesis).

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:

1. BOSTON COLLEGE +3 (+3.8)
2. OKLAHOMA ST +3.5 (+3.5)
3. SOUTHERN MISS +22.5 (+3.3)
4(tie). MARSHALL +2 (+3.1)
OREGON ST +12.5 (+3.1)

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:

1. GEORGIA -42 (+9.0)
2. BOISE ST -23 (+4.7)
3. ARKANSAS -21.5 (+4.3)
4(tie). NEVADA -3 (+4.2)
TEXAS -20.5 (+4.2)

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:

1. INDIANA +13 (+6.9)
2. MARYLAND +6 (+4.8)
3. TULSA +17 (+3.7)
4. TEMPLE +16.5 (+3.6)
5. SAN JOSE ST +7.5 (+3.3)

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:

1. TENNESSEE -42 (+7.5)
2. GEORGIA -42 (+6.7)
3. TEXAS -20.5 (+5.8)
4. BOISE ST -23 (+5.3)
5. MIAMI FL -24.5 (+4.3)

This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:

1. PURDUE-MICHIGAN ST OVER 47.5 (+5.7)
2. IOWA-MARYLAND OVER 46 (+5.6)
3. BUFFALO-E MICHIGAN OVER 51.5 (+5.4)
4(tie). OHIO-TOLEDO OVER 44.5 (+4.4)
CHARLOTTE-FAU OVER 48.5 (+4.4)

This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:

1. TROY-LA LAFAYETTE UNDER 53.5 (-3.2)
2. JAMES MADISON-APP STATE UNDER 60.5 (-2.7)
3. CINCINNATI-KANSAS ST UNDER 53 (-2.5)
4. UMASS-GEORGIA UNDER 55.5 (-2.3)
5. COLORADO-KANSAS UNDER 59.5 (-2.1)

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:

1. SOUTHERN MISS +22.5 (+12.3)
2. TEMPLE +16.5 (+9.5)
3. TULSA +17 (+6.7)
4. GEORGIA ST +20.5 (+6.5)
5. SAN DIEGO ST +4 (+6.2)

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:

1. NORTH TEXAS -3 (+10.6)
2. GEORGIA -42 (+10.4)
3. ARKANSAS -21.5 (+8.8)
4. VIRGINIA TECH -3 (+8.5)
5. NEVADA -3 (+7.3)

This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:

1. CHARLOTTE-FAU OVER 48.5 (+7.1)
2. PURDUE-MICHIGAN ST OVER 47.5 (+5.4)
3. OHIO-TOLEDO OVER 44.5 (+5.1)
4(tie). BUFFALO-E MICHIGAN OVER 51.5 (+4.8)
ALABAMA-OKLAHOMA OVER 47.5 (+4.8) 

This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:

1. BOWLING GREEN-BALL ST UNDER 57 (-5.8)
2. UMASS-GEORGIA UNDER 55.5 (-5.6)
3(tie). UTEP-TENNESSEE UNDER 52.5 (-3.5)
TROY-LA LAFAYETTE UNDER 53.5 (-3.5)
5. N ILLINOIS-MIAMI OH UNDER 43 (-2.9)

These are some of the top situational college football betting trends that have developed with teams in recent years of action: 

* ARIZONA is 17-29 (37%) ATS in Road/Neutral games since ’16

System Match: FADE ARIZONA (+11.5 at TCU)

* BALL STATE is 33-21-1 (61.1%) UNDER the total over L5 seasons

System Match: PLAY UNDER in BGSU-Ball St (o/u at 57)

* BOSTON COLLEGE is 24-13 (64.9%) ATS in Conference games since ’20

System Match: PLAY BOSTON COLLEGE (+3 vs UNC)

* FLA INTERNATIONAL is 14-27 (34.1%) in Conference games over L6 seasons

System Match: FADE FIU (-8.5 at Kennesaw St)

* FRESNO ST is 31-17-1 (64.6%) UNDER the total since ’21

System Match: PLAY UNDER in Colorado St-Fresno St (o/u at 45.5)

* GEORGIA ST is 20-9-1 (69%) ATS in L30 Road/Neutral games

System Match: PLAY GEORGIA ST (+20.5 at Texas St)

* GEORGIA TECH is 8-19-1 ATS (29.6%) as a Favorite since 2018

System Match: FADE GEORGIA TECH (-9 vs NC State)

* JAMES MADISON is 23-11 (67.6%) ATS as Favorite since ’20

System Match: PLAY JAMES MADISON (-7 at App State)

* KANSAS is 37-20 (64.9%) OVER the total since 2019

System Match: PLAY OVER in Colorado-Kansas (o/u at 59.5)

* KANSAS STATE is 43-28-2 (60.6%) ATS since 2019

System Match: PLAY KANSAS ST (-8.5 vs Cincy)

* KENT ST is 9-22 (29%) ATS in L31 games as an Underdog

System Match: FADE KENT ST (+10 vs Akron)

* LIBERTY is 25-8 (75.8%) ATS as Underdog since ’14

System Match: PLAY LIBERTY (*if they become an underdog vs WKU, -1 currently*)

* LOUISIANA TECH is 35-21-1 (62.5%) OVER the total since 2019

System Match: PLAY OVER in LA Tech-Arkansas (o/u at 49.5)

* LSU is 23-14 (62.2%) OVER the total since 2022

System Match: PLAY OVER in Vandy-LSU (o/u at 53.5)

* MIAMI OHIO is on a 33-19-1 (63.5%) UNDER the total run over L5 seasons

System Match: PLAY UNDER in NIU-Miami OH (o/u at 43)

* MICHIGAN is 32-20-1 (61.5%) ATS in L4 seasons (including 17-7 ATS in Road/Neutral games)

System Match: PLAY MICHIGAN (-10.5 vs Northwestern)

* MISSISSIPPI ST is 27-20 (57.4%) UNDER the total since ’21

* MISSISSIPPI ST is 16-11 (59.3%) ATS at Home since ’21

Systems Match: PLAY MISSISSIPPI ST (+7.5 vs Mizzou), also PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 57.5)

* NEBRASKA is 4-14-2 (22.2%) ATS at Home in L20

System Match: FADE NEBRASKA (-2.5 vs Wisconsin)

* NEW MEXICO STATE is 30-20 (60%) ATS in L4 seasons (including 11-4 ATS as a favorite)

System Match: PLAY NEW MEXICO ST (+3.5 at MTSU)

* OLD DOMINION is 9-20 (31%) ATS at Home since ’19

System Match: FADE OLD DOMINION (-2 vs Marshall)

* OLE MISS is 9-18-2 (33.3%) ATS in Conference games since ’21

System Match: FADE OLE MISS (-10.5 at UF)

* OREGON ST is 26-10 (72.2%) ATS in Home games over L6 seasons

System Match: PLAY OREGON ST (+12.5 vs WSU)

* PENN ST is 33-16 (67.3%) ATS coming off SU Win since ’19

System Match: PLAY PENN ST (-11.5 at Minnesota)

* PITTSBURGH is 37-22 (62.7%) OVER the total since 2020

* PITTSBURGH is 1-7 ATS (12.5%) in L8 games as a Road Underdog

Systems Match: FADE PITTSBURGH (+8 at Louisville), also PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 57)

* S ALABAMA is 17-36 (32.1%) ATS coming off SU Win since ’14

System Match: FADE SOUTH ALABAMA (-22.5 at USM)

* SAM HOUSTON ST is 16-4 (80%) ATS as Underdog since ’17

System Match: PLAY SAM HOUSTON ST (+6 at Jax St)

* SAN DIEGO ST is 44-24 (64.7%) UNDER the total since ’19

System Match: PLAY UNDER in SDSU-Utah St (o/u at 61)

* SOUTH CAROLINA is 13-6 (68.4%) ATS as a Favorite in L5 seasons

System Match: PLAY SOUTH CAROLINA (vs Wofford)

* TEMPLE is 5-16 (23.8%) ATS in Road games over L4 seasons

System Match: FADE TEMPLE (+16.5 at UTSA)

* TENNESSEE is 14-1 (93.3%) ATS in Non-Conference games since 2021

System Match: PLAY TENNESSEE (-42 vs UTEP)

* TROY is 19-5 (79.2%) ATS in Road/Neutral games since ’21

System Match: PLAY TROY (+10.5 at La Lafayette)

* TULSA is 24-11-1 (68.6%) ATS in Road/Neutral games over L5 seasons

System Match: PLAY TULSA (+17 at USF)

* TX-SAN ANTONIO is 8-14 (36.4%) ATS at Home since ’21

System Match: FADE UTSA (-16.5 vs Temple)

* UAB is 20-8 (71.4%) ATS at Home since ’20

System Match: PLAY UAB (+6.5 vs Rice)

* UNLV is on a 16-7 (69.6%) ATS run following a SU win

System Match: PLAY UNLV (-7.5 at SJSU)

* W KENTUCKY is 12-24 (33.3%) ATS as Favorite since ’19

System Match: FADE WESTERN KENTUCKY (*if they become a favorite at Liberty, +1 currently*)

* WEST VIRGINIA has gone 17-11 ATS (60.7%) at HOME in L4 seasons

System Match: PLAY WEST VIRGINIA (+3 vs UCF)

These are the top head-to-head series college football betting trends between teams from recent years’ action: 

Week 13

Friday, November 22, 2024

(117) PURDUE at (118) MICHIGAN ST

* UNDERDOGS are 10-1-1 ATS in L12 of PUR-MSU h2h series

Trend Match: PLAY PURDUE (+13.5 at MSU)

(119) UNLV at (120) SAN JOSE ST

* SAN JOSE STATE is 8-2-1 ATS in L11 vs. UNLV

Trend Match: PLAY SAN JOSE ST (+7.5 vs UNLV)

Saturday, November 23, 2024

(137) VIRGINIA TECH at (138) DUKE

* UNDER the total is 5-1 in VT-Duke h2h series at Duke since 2011

Trend Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 47.5)

(179) STANFORD at (180) CALIFORNIA

* FAVORITES are 9-2-1 ATS in L12 of Stanford-Cal rivalry

Trend Match: PLAY CALIFORNIA (-14 vs Stanford)

(197) TEXAS TECH at (198) OKLAHOMA ST

* ROAD TEAMS are 10-3 ATS in L13 of TTU-OSU set

Trend Match: PLAY TEXAS TECH (-3.5 at Okla St)

(203) RICE at (204) UAB

* OVER the total is 6-0 in all six h2h meetings in Birmingham since 2005

Trend Match: PLAY OVER the total

(211) LA MONROE at (212) ARKANSAS ST

* ARKANSAS STATE is on 14-0 SU & ATS run versus LA Monroe

Trend Match: PLAY ARKANSAS ST (-3 vs ULM)

(217) BOISE ST at (218) WYOMING

* UNDER the total is 8-1 in L9 games of the BSU-Wyoming h2h series

Trend Match: PLAY UNDER in Boise St-Wyoming (o/u at 57.5)

(219) WASHINGTON ST at (220) OREGON ST

* OVER the total is 9-2 in L11 of WaSU-OSU h2h series

Trend Match: PLAY OVER in WaSU-OSU (o/u at 57)

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