The following college football betting trends are a collection of analytical data, betting systems and strength ratings featured on VSiN and qualified for the college football games of Week 2. This report is meant to emulate the process that Steve Makinen and other members of the VSiN Analytics team undergo when handicapping each week’s college football board.

 

AJ’s Angles

These are the top trends and systems for this week’s CFB games, handpicked by VSiN Analyst AJ Makinen.

* Home teams are 12-3 SU and ATS in the last 15 non-neutral meetings between Houston and Rice
Trend Match (PLAY): RICE (+12.5 vs. Houston)

* Teams that are double-digit conference favorites in Game 2 after having just an FCS opening game under their belt have gone just 7-4 SU and 2-9 ATS (18.1%) over the last 13 seasons (1-2 ATS in 2024).
System Match (FADE): NAVY (-21 vs. UAB)

* CFB FBS teams that benefitted from a +5 turnover differential or greater but failed to score at least 44 points in that game have responded by going just 38-56 ATS (40.4%) in their next game since 2012.
System Matches (FADE ALL): MARYLAND (-18.5 vs. Northern Illinois), TULANE (-10.5 at South Alabama), ARIZONA (vs. Weber State)

* TROY is 19-6 (76%) ATS in Road/Neutral games since 2021
Trend Match (PLAY): TROY (+33.5 at Clemson)

* BOISE STATE is on an 11-3 (78.6%) ATS run following a SU loss
Trend Match (PLAY): BOISE STATE (vs. Eastern Washington)

#1 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOG according to the Makinen Effective Strength Ratings: OKLAHOMA STATE +28.5 at Oregon (projections have line at +20.9)

College Football Stability Score Plays for Week 1

Hopefully by now, you’re already familiar with the methodology I’ve used for the last 13 years or so regarding college football Stability Scores heading into the start of each season. I know Bill Adee has been effusive in sharing its details in the VSiN Newsletter for the last few years around this time. If you’re not, in a nutshell, what these scores are is a quantitative way to determine each team’s level of stability as compared to how they left us in the prior season. It is one of the foremost strategies I employ every year to find value early. The thought behind it is that teams that are in more stable year-to-year situations are better bets early, while those that have undergone a lot of change in the offseason should be faded. 

Steve keeps a handy chart on the Stability Scores of each FBS team and publishes them weekly for Week 0-3. He has found that a Stability Mismatch score of 8 is the minimum on which he will consider a play for this thought process. Here are this week’s qualifying plays. (There is a separate article on VSiN that goes in-depth about these plays and scores.

Saturday, September 6, 2025

(325) LIBERTY (-6) at (326) JACKSONVILLE STATE
Stability Advantage: LIBERTY by 13

(327) CENTRAL MICHIGAN at (328) PITTSBURGH (-21.5)
Stability Advantage: PITTSBURGH by 11

(337) KENNESAW STATE at (338) INDIANA (-36.5)
Stability Advantage: INDIANA by 11

(339) UTAH STATE at (340) TEXAS A&M (-29.5)
Stability Advantage: TEXAS A&M by 12

(349) FRESNO STATE at (350) OREGON STATE (-3)
Stability Advantage: OREGON STATE by 8

(355) BOWLING GREEN at (356) CINCINNATI (-21.5)
Stability Advantage: CINCINNATI by 17

(359) TEXAS STATE at (360) TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO (-4.5)
Stability Advantage: TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO by 9

(373) MISSOURI STATE (+10) at (374) MARSHALL
Stability Advantage: MISSOURI STATE by 15

(383) W KENTUCKY at (384) TOLEDO (-7)
Stability Advantage: TOLEDO by 13

(389) LOUISIANA TECH at (390) LSU (-37.5)
Stability Advantage: LSU by 8

(393) BALL STATE at (394) AUBURN (-42.5)
Stability Advantage: AUBURN by 10

(405) UCLA (-2.5) at (406) UNLV
Stability Advantage: UCLA by 9

(411) SAN DIEGO STATE (+1.5) at (412) WASHINGTON STATE
Stability Advantage: SAN DIEGO STATE by 9

Strategies Using CFB DraftKings Betting Splits Data

One of the most touted features on VSiN.com, and a feature that we believe to be a fantastic resource for bettors is the betting splits pages. These systems have updated language and records heading into the 2025 season. Note that these systems only include games matching TWO FBS OPPONENTS against one another.

Here are the systems and qualifying plays for this week’s games as of 1:30 PM ET on Tuesday. These can and will change, so continue to track and qualify the systems up until kickoff for best usage. There will be an updated betting splits article on Saturday morning. 

CFB DK Betting Splits system #1: Dating to the start of the 2022 season, when more than 75% of the handle was on a particular side of an ATS wager, this majority group has gone just 505-568 ATS (47.1%). This angle has produced consistently over the last few seasons, and blindly fading these majority bettors during this span has given you a small profit in three straight years.
System Matches (FADE ALL): MARYLAND, PENN STATE, TEXAS TECH, TEXAS, IOWA STATE, ILLINOIS, OLE MISS, MISSOURI, NORTH TEXAS, CLEMSON, CINCINNATI, OREGON, WISCONSIN, WEST VIRGINIA, SOUTH FLORIDA, CHARLOTTE, MEMPHIS, TULANE, RICE, VANDERBILT, USC, ALABAMA, UCLA, TULSA, SAN DIEGO STATE

CFB DK Betting Splits system #2: When 76%+ of the number of bets were on the home side of an ATS wager since the start of the 2022 season, this majority group has gone just 192-220 ATS (46.6%). In 2022, it was 46.5%, in 2023 it was 46.7%, in 2024 it was 46.6%. This is incredible consistency. Again, if you see the big green lights on the VSiN betting splits # of bets page 75% or higher, it is best to fade it.
System Matches (FADE ALL): TEXAS, IOWA STATE, OREGON STATE, CLEMSON, USC, ALABAMA, BYU

CFB DK Betting Splits system #3: When the majority of the handle was on road favorites for an ATS wager since the start of the 2022 season, this majority group is just 263-297 ATS (47%). Recreational bettors love road favorites because they are most often the better team. The point spread is the great equalizer. Bettors improved slightly on this system in 2024, but there is still plenty of reason to believe in and fade these over-backed road favorites.
System Matches (FADE ALL): ILLINOIS, OLE MISS, NORTH TEXAS, WEST VIRGINIA, MEMPHIS, TULANE, UCLA, TULSA

CFB DK Betting Splits system #4: When a 58% or greater majority of the handle has been on road underdogs for an ATS wager since the start of the 2022 season, this majority group has gone 132-113 ATS (53.9%). This is less than the usual systems I like to present to readers, but this is a nice advantage against the usual majority win rates, and goes to show that being on the side of majority handle when it goes against the grain can pay off.
System Matches (SLIGHT PLAY ALL): BAYLOR, MIAMI OHIO, SOUTH FLORIDA, VANDERBILT, SAN DIEGO STATE

CFB DK Betting Splits system #5: When a majority of 55% or more of number of bets has backed road underdogs for an ATS wager over the past three seasons, this majority group has gone 129-106 ATS (54.9%). This is even better than the handle numbers in #4 actually, and it suggests that following public bettors getting behind road dogs can be an actionable strategy.
System Match (PLAY): VANDERBILT

CFB DK Betting Splits system #6: When the majority of number of bets has backed a team in an ATS wager in non-Saturday games, their 2022-24 record was 213-163 (56.6%)! This goes to show that public bettors can be better performers with fewer games to choose from. A lot of times, their mistake proves to be taking too many games on a Saturday.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): LOUISVILLE, MARYLAND

CFB DK Betting Splits system #7: Contrary to popular belief, majority handle bettors have been very good when getting behind huge home favorites, specifically those favored by 27.5 points or more. Typically, I would fear this as a prototypical public bet, but these groups are 60-40 ATS (60%) over the last three seasons.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): PENN STATE, TEXAS TECH, TEXAS, INDIANA, TEXAS A&M, CLEMSON, OREGON, WISCONSIN, LSU, AUBURN, NEBRASKA, USC, ALABAMA

CFB DK Betting Splits system #9: Since the start of the 2022 season, on games with totals of 49 or lower, 72%+ super majority handle bettors siding with the Under have gone 57-42 (56.7%). Because not many public bettors embrace betting Unders, this doesn’t produce a lot of plays, but the super handle majority has been sharp.
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): MIAMI OH-RUTGERS, BOWLING GREEN-CINCINNATI, MIDDLE TENN STATE-WISCONSIN, BOSTON COLLEGE-MICHIGAN STATE, MICHIGAN-OKLAHOMA

CFB DK Betting Splits system #10: Since the start of the 2022 season, on games with totals of 46.5 or lower, 72%+ super majority number of bets bettors bucking the low total and siding with the Over have gone 157-127 (55.3%). This system improved its win percentage in 2024 (57.8%). This does not produce a ton of plays here in the grand scheme, but the more public option of number of bets has been pretty good when going against the grain.
System Matches (PLAY OVER ALL): ARMY-KANSAS STATE, HOUSTON-RICE, STANFORD-BYU

College Football Game 2 Reactionary Systems

These systems take into account traits about a team’s season opener and how they affect their second game. 

CFB Game 2 Reactionary System #1 — FCS letdown: Teams that faced an FBS foe in Game 1 and are favored by 30 points or more versus an FCS opponent for Game 2 have gone just 85-114-6 ATS (42.7%) since 2012. This includes a 12-21-1 ATS mark since 2023.
POTENTIAL System Matches (FADE ALL after confirming final lines): BOISE STATE, NORTHWESTERN, ARIZONA, BUFFALO, CALIFORNIA, COLORADO STATE, EAST CAROLINA, FLORIDA STATE, GEORGIA, GEORGIA TECH, MIAMI, MINNESOTA, OHIO STATE, SOUTH CAROLINA, TENNESSEE, UCF, UTAH, WASHINGTON

CFB Game 2 Reactionary System #2 — FCS Game 2 foes not an easy rebound: Teams coming off an FBS loss in Game 1 and favored big (>=24 points) over an FCS team in Game 2 have gone just 44-70-2 ATS (38.6%) since 2012 (2-6-1 ATS since start of 2024 season).
POTENTIAL System Matches (FADE ALL after confirming final lines): BOISE STATE, NORTHWESTERN, BUFFALO, COLORADO STATE, EAST CAROLINA, EASTERN MICHIGAN, FLORIDA ATLANTIC, LOUISIANA

CFB Game 2 Reactionary System #3 — FCS foes not adequate prep for conference play: Teams that are double-digit conference favorites in Game 2 after having just an FCS opening game under their belt have gone just 7-4 SU and 2-9 ATS (18.1%) over the last 13 seasons (1-2 ATS in 2024).
System Match (FADE): NAVY (-21 vs. UAB)

CFB Game 2 Reactionary System #4 — Home cooking not enough to revive struggling offense: Teams that scored 10 points or fewer in their season-opening losses of 17 points or more have responded with just a 44-60-2 ATS (42.3%) record when playing at home in Game 2 over the last decade-plus.
System Match (FADE ALL): BOISE STATE, FLORIDA ATLANTIC, GEORGIA STATE, MARSHALL, MASSACHUSETTS, NORTHWESTERN, WESTERN MICHIGAN

CFB Game 2 Reactionary System #5 — Oddsmakers don’t have a true grasp on some teams early: Teams whose lines swing grossly from Game 1 to Game 2 have performed predictably, with 52 points being the benchmark. Those teams whose lines are 52 points or more worse in Game 2 than their opener are on a 40-19 ATS (67.8%) run. Teams whose lines are >=52 points better than the opener have gone just 19-27-2 ATS (41.3%) over the last 13 seasons.
POTENTIAL System Matches (PLAY ALL based on final lines qualifying): FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL (+41.5 at Penn State), DELAWARE (+23.5 at Colorado), LOUISIANA TECH (+37.5 at LSU), TROY (+33.5 at Clemson), KANSAS (+6.5 at Missouri)
(FADE ALL): OHIO STATE (-53.5 or more vs. Grambling), MIAMI FLA (-49 or more vs. Bethune-Cookman), FLORIDA STATE (-38.5 or more vs. East Texas A&M), COLORADO STATE (-29.5 or more vs. Northern Colorado), BUFFALO (-35.5 or more vs. St. Francis Pa.), NEW MEXICO (-17.5 or more vs. Idaho State)

College Football Revenge Handicapping

The following are methodologies for handicapping revenge situations in college football, including the best and worst teams in revenge mode, and the best betting systems uncovered. Revenge is defined by having lost a game to a specific opponent in the prior or current season only.

Best and Worst College Football Revenge Teams (since 2016)

Worst
* OLE MISS is 13-21 SU and 12-20 ATS (37.5%) in revenge mode since 2016
Trend Match (FADE): OLE MISS (-10 at Kentucky)

College Football Revenge Systems

Home/Road revenge line range angles that have thrived
Double-digit road favorites have been solid producers in the revenge role, going 51-41 ATS (55.4%) since 2016.
System Match (PLAY): OLE MISS (-10 at Kentucky)

Revenge teams that lost as double-digit favorites last time out
Teams looking to avenge outright losses in which they were double-digit favorites have struggled, going just 109-120 ATS (47.6%) since 2016.
System Matches (FADE ALL): OLE MISS (-10 at Kentucky), VIRGINIA TECH (-1.5 vs. Vanderbilt)

Revenge is sweet against porous defensive foes
Teams seeking revenge against a team that is currently allowing 35 PPG or more have been successful, going 220-175 ATS (55.7%) since 2016.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): CONNECTICUT (+7 at Syracuse), HAWAII (-7 vs. Sam Houston), CHARLOTTE (+14 vs. UNC)

College Football Systems Based On AP Poll Rankings

The following college football betting systems take into account whether or not teams in a non-neutral field game are ranked in the AP poll. 

CFB AP Poll Rankings System #1 — Games featuring two ranked teams
In games featuring two ranked teams since 2017, home teams are 198-95 SU and 171-114-8 ATS (60%).
System Match (PLAY): OKLAHOMA (-5.5 vs. Michigan)

These were from an article posted in September 2024 detailing top trends and systems for college football conference play.

Positive follow team trend:
• NAVY is on 30-6 (83.3%) ATS run in conference games when coming off a home win
Trend Match (PLAY): NAVY (-21 vs. UAB)

Extreme Stat Next-Game CFB Betting Systems

Not taking advantage of turnovers enough can be a red flag
FBS teams that benefited from a +5 turnover differential or greater but failed to score 44+ points in that game have responded by going just 38-56 ATS (40.4%) in their next game since 2012.
System Matches (FADE ALL): MARYLAND (-18.5 vs. Northern Illinois), TULANE (-10.5 at South Alabama), ARIZONA (vs. Weber State)

Ride teams off of uber-dominant performances
Over the course of the last 12 years, teams that scored 58 or more points in a game while allowing fewer than 10 have carried on the momentum well in the next outing, going 139-105 ATS (57%).
System Matches (PLAY ALL): TEXAS (-47.5 vs. Kent State), PITTSBURGH (-21.5 vs. Central Michigan), OLE MISS (-10 at Kentucky), MISSOURI (-6.5 vs. Kansas), BYU (-18.5 vs. Stanford)

This Week’s College Football Strength Ratings

The following are taken from today’s MAKINEN DAILY RATINGS page under the NFL tab on VSiN.com. Listed by team, current line, and difference between rating and current line (in parentheses).

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. KENT STATE +47.5 (+5.5)
2. NORTHERN ILLINOIS +18.5 (+4.6)
3. AKRON +34.5 (+4.4)
4 (tie). MICHIGAN +5.5 (+4.1)
NEW MEXICO STATE +4 (+4.1)

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. SYRACUSE -7 (+4.9)
2. SMU -2.5 (+4.7)
3. TEXAS A&M -28.5 (+4.5)
4. OLE MISS -10 (+4.0)
5. ALABAMA -36.5 (+3.7)

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. OKLAHOMA STATE +28.5 (+7.6)
2. UTAH STATE +28.5 (+6.1)
3. NORTHERN ILLINOIS +18.5 (+5.8)
4. ARMY +17.5 (+5.0)
5. SAN DIEGO STATE +1.5 (+4.5)

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. TEXAS -36.5 (+4.3)
2. TOLEDO -7 (+4.2)
3. VIRGINIA TECH -1.5 (+3.7)
4. WISCONSIN -28.5 (+3.5)
5. BYU -18.5 (+3.1)

This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. HOUSTON-RICE OVER 39.5 (+2.9)
2. NORTH CAROLINA-CHARLOTTE OVER 47.5 (+2.6)
3 (tie). ARKANSAS STATE-ARKANSAS OVER 63.5 (+2.3)
BOSTON COLLEGE-MICHIGAN STATE OVER 45.5 (+2.3)
5. STANFORD-BYU OVER 46.5 (+2.2)

This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. WEST VIRGINIA-OHIO UNDER 58.5 (-6.1)
2. MISSOURI STATE-MARSHALL UNDER 57.5 (-5.5)
3. CONNECTICUT-SYRACUSE UNDER 58.5 (-5.0)
4. BAYLOR-SMU UNDER 65.5 (-4.7)
5. OLE MISS-KENTUCKY UNDER 52.5 (-4.5)

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. OKLAHOMA STATE +28.5 (+9.0)
2. JAMES MADISON +14 (+7.6)
3. NORTHERN ILLINOIS +18.5 (+5.6)
4. KENT STATE +47.5 (+5.2)
5. MIAMI OHIO +14.5 (+3.9)

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1 (tie). PITTSBURGH -21.5 (+5.5)
TEXAS A&M -28.5 (+5.5)
3. SMU -2.5 (+5.1)
4. OLE MISS -10 (+3.6)
5. SYRACUSE -7 (+3.4)

This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. STANFORD-BYU OVER 46.5 (+9.8)
2. MEMPHIS-GEORGIA STATE OVER 54.5 (+9.7)
3. BOSTON COLLEGE-MICHIGAN STATE OVER 45.5 (+8.5)
4. IOWA-IOWA STATE OVER 41.5 (+6.3)
5. ILLINOIS-DUKE OVER 50.5 (+6.1)

This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1 (tie). KENNESAW STATE-INDIANA UNDER 50.5 (-5.1)
WEST VIRGINIA-OHIO UNDER 58.5 (-5.1)
3. MISSOURI STATE-MARSHALL UNDER 57.5 (-3.8)
4. CONNECTICUT-SYRACUSE UNDER 58.5 (-3.6)
5. SAN JOSE STATE-TEXAS UNDER 51.5 (-3.0)

These are some of the top situational college football betting trends that have developed with teams in recent years of action: 

* ALABAMA is on a 25-9 ATS (73.5%) surge at home
Trend Match (PLAY): ALABAMA (-36.5 vs. Louisiana-Monroe)

* APPALACHIAN STATE is 7-22 ATS (24.1%) in its last 29 games as a favorite
Trend Match (FADE): APPLACHIAN STATE (vs. Lindenwood)

* ARKANSAS is 3-15 (16.7%) ATS coming off a SU win since 2020
Trend Match (FADE): ARKANSAS (-23.5 vs. Arkansas State)

* BALL STATE is 35-22-1 (61.4%) Under the total over the last five seasons
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): Ball State-Auburn (o/u at 53.5)

* BOISE STATE is on an 11-3 (78.6%) ATS run following a SU loss
Trend Match (PLAY): BOISE STATE (vs. Eastern Washington)

* BOSTON COLLEGE is 32-15 (68.1%) ATS in non-conference games since 2014
Trend Match (PLAY): BOSTON COLLEGE (+3.5 at Michigan State)

* BOWLING GREEN is 16-30 (34.8%) ATS as an underdog since 2019
* BOWLING GREEN is 7-15 (31.8%) ATS in non-conference games since 2019
Trends Match (FADE): BOWLING GREEN (+21.5 at Cincinnati)

* BUFFALO is 22-11 (66.7%) ATS at home since 2019
Trend Match (PLAY): BUFFALO (vs. St. Francis Pa.)

* CHARLOTTE is 4-15 (22.2%) ATS in its last 19 home games
Trend Match (FADE): CHARLOTTE (+14 vs. UNC)

* CLEMSON is 12-4 (75%) ATS in its last 16 following a SU loss
Trend Match (PLAY): CLEMSON (-33.5 vs. Troy)

* COLORADO is 8-1 ATS (88.9%) following up a SU loss in the last two seasons
Trend Match (PLAY): COLORADO (-23.5 vs. Delaware)

* DUKE is 32-16 (66.7%) ATS in non-conference games since 2014
* DUKE is 9-1 (90%) ATS in its last 10 as a home underdog
Trends Match (PLAY): DUKE (+3 vs. Illinois)

* FLORIDA is 9-16-1 (36%) ATS in non-conference games in the last six seasons
Trend Match (FADE): FLORIDA (-17.5 vs. USF)

* FRESNO STATE is 33-20-1 (62.3%) Under the total since 2021
* FRESNO STATE is 21-11 (65.6%) ATS coming off a SU win since 2021
Trends Match: PLAY FRESNO STATE (+3 at Oregon State), also play Under the total (o/u at 47.5)

* GEORGIA TECH is 9-21-1 ATS (30%) as a favorite since 2018
Trend Match (FADE): GEORGIA TECH (vs. Gardner-Webb)

* HAWAII is 11-26 (29.7%) ATS as a favorite since 2015
Trend Match (FADE): HAWAII (-7 vs. Sam Houston)

* ILLINOIS is 15-4 (78.9%) ATS in road games since 2021
Trend Match (PLAY): ILLINOIS (-3 at Duke)

* IOWA is 0-7 ATS in its last seven games vs. ranked opponents
Trend Match (FADE): IOWA (+3 at Iowa State)

* KANSAS is 37-23-1 (61.7%) Over the total since 2019
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): Kansas-Missouri (o/u at 50.5)

* KENT STATE is 9-24 (27.3%) ATS in its last 33 games as an underdog
Trend Match (FADE): KENT STATE (+47.5 at Texas Tech)

* LOUISIANA is 26-11 (70.3%) to the Under at home since 2019
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): McNeese State-Louisiana

* LOUISIANA TECH is 36-24-1 (60%) Over the total since 2019
* LSU is 25-16 (61%) Over the total since 2022
Trends Match (PLAY OVER): Louisiana Tech-LSU (o/u at 51.5)

* LOUISVILLE is 7-12 (36.8%) ATS in non-conference games since 2021
Trend Match (FADE): LOUISVILLE (-14 vs. James Madison)

* MARYLAND is 18-7 (72%) ATS in its last 25 non-conference games
Trend Match (PLAY): MARYLAND (-18.5 vs. Northern Illinois)

* MIAMI OHIO is on a 36-21-1 (63.2%) Under the total run over the last five seasons
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): Miami Ohio-Rutgers (o/u at 46.5)

* MICHIGAN is 19-7 ATS in road/neutral games in the last four seasons
Trend Match (PLAY): MICHIGAN (+5.5 at Oklahoma)

* MISSISSIPPI STATE is 29-21 (58%) Under the total since 2021
* MISSISSIPPI STATE is 16-12 (57.1%) ATS at home since 2021
Trends Match: PLAY MISSISSIPPI STATE (+6.5 vs. ASU), also play Under the total (o/u at 58.5)

* NEBRASKA is 5-14-2 (26.3%) ATS at Home in its last 21
Trend Match (FADE): NEBRASKA (-34.5 vs. Akron)

* NEW MEXICO is 6-18 (25%) ATS as a favorite since 2018
* NEW MEXICO is 19-6 (76%) Over the total in the last two seasons
Trends Match: FADE NEW MEXICO (vs. Idaho State), also play Over the total

* NEW MEXICO STATE is 31-22 (58.5%) ATS in the last four seasons
Trend Match (PLAY): NEW MEXICO STATE (+4.5 vs. Tulsa)

* NORTH CAROLINA is 1-8-1 ATS in its last 10 as a favorite
Trend Match (FADE): NORTH CAROLINA (-14 at Charlotte)

* OLD DOMINION is 9-21 (30%) ATS at home since 2019
Trend Match (FADE): OLD DOMINION (vs. NC Central)

* OLE MISS is 9-20-2 (31%) ATS in conference games since 2021
Trend Match (FADE): OLE MISS (-10 at Kentucky)

* OREGON STATE is 27-11 (71.1%) ATS in home games over the last six seasons
Trend Match (PLAY): OREGON STATE (-3 vs. Fresno State)

* PENN STATE is 30-14 ATS (68.2%) as a favorite over the last four seasons
* PENN STATE is 35-19 (64.8%) ATS coming off a SU win since 2019
Trends Match (PLAY): PENN STATE (-41.5 vs. FIU)

* PITTSBURGH is 40-23 (63.5%) Over the total since 2020
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): Central Michigan-Pitt (o/u at 51.5)

* PURDUE is 5-15 ATS (25%) at home over the last three seasons
Trend Match (FADE): PURDUE (vs. Southern Illinois)

* RUTGERS has gone 14-4 (77.8%) ATS in the last 18 non-conference games
Trend Match (PLAY): RUTGERS (-14.5 vs. Miami Ohio)

* SAM HOUSTON is 18-7 (72%) ATS as an underdog since 2017 (although 0-2 ATS in 2025)
Trend Match (PLAY): SAM HOUSTON (+7 at Hawaii)

* SAN DIEGO STATE is 45-26 (63.4%) Under the total since 2019
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): San Diego State-Washington State (o/u at 45.5)

* SAN JOSE STATE is 17-7 (70.8%) ATS as a road underdog since 2018
Trend Match (PLAY): SAN JOSE STATE (+36.5 at Texas)

* SOUTH ALABAMA is 17-38 (30.9%) ATS coming off a SU win since 2014
Trend Match (FADE): SOUTH ALABAMA (+10.5 vs. Tulane)

* SOUTH CAROLINA is 15-7 (68.2%) ATS as a favorite in the last five seasons
Trend Match (PLAY): SOUTH CAROLINA (vs. SC State)

* STANFORD is 10-28 ATS (26.3%) following a SU loss since 2019
Trend Match (FADE): STANFORD (+18.5 at BYU)

* TENNESSEE is 17-4 (81%) ATS in non-conference games since 2021
Trend Match (PLAY): TENNESSEE (vs. ETSU)

* TROY is 19-6 (76%) ATS in road/neutral games since 2021
Trend Match (PLAY): TROY (+33.5 at Clemson)

* TULANE is 49-24 (67.1%) ATS as a favorite since 2014
Trend Match (PLAY): TULANE (-10.5 at South Alabama)

* TULSA is 24-12-1 (66.7%) ATS in road/neutral games over the last five seasons
Trend Match (PLAY): TULSA (-4.5 at NMSU)

* TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO is 9-14 (39.1%) ATS at home since 2021
Trend Match (PLAY): TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO (-4.5 vs. Texas State)

* UAB is 0-13 ATS (0%) following up a SU win and 4-15 (21.1%) in road/neutral games over the last three seasons
Trends Match (FADE): UAB (+21 at Navy)

* UNLV is 25-7 (78.1%) ATS in non-conference games since 2017
* UNLV is on a 19-8 (70.4%) ATS run following a SU win
* UCLA is 9-20 (31%) ATS in non-conference games since 2015
Trends Match (PLAY): UNLV (+2.5 vs. UCLA)

* USC is 29-12 ATS (70.7%) Over the total in the last three seasons
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): Georgia Southern-USC (o/u at 61.5)

* UTAH STATE is 3-15 ATS (16.7%) in road/neutral games over the last three seasons
Trend Match (FADE): UTAH STATE (+29.5 at Texas A&M)

* UTEP is 8-20 (28.6%) ATS at home since 2020
* UTEP is 9-25 ATS (26.5%) in non-conference games since 2017
Trends Match (FADE): UTEP (vs. UT Martin)

* VANDERBILT is on a 5-13 (27.8%) ATS skid following a SU win
Trend Match (FADE): VANDERBILT (+1.5 at Virginia Tech)

* VIRGINIA TECH is 6-20 ATS (23.1%) in non-conference games since 2019
Trend Match (FADE): VIRGINIA TECH (-1.5 vs. Vanderbilt)

* WASHINGTON was 0-6 (0%) ATS following outright wins last season
Trend Match (FADE): WASHINGTON (vs. UC Davis)

These are the top head-to-head series college football betting trends between teams from recent years’ action:

Week 2

Saturday, September 6

(321) VIRGINIA at (322) NC STATE
* Underdogs are 4-2 SU and 5-1 ATS in the last six of the series
Trend Match (PLAY): VIRGINIA (+2.5 at NC STATE)

(329) IOWA at (330) IOWA STATE
* Road teams are on runs of 5-0 SU and 4-0 ATS in the Cy-Hawk rivalry
Trend Match (PLAY): IOWA (+3 at ISU)

(331) CONNECTICUT at (332) SYRACUSE
* Road teams have covered four straight ATS in the UConn-Syracuse series
Trend Match (PLAY): CONNECTICUT (+7 at Syracuse)

(341) OLE MISS at (342) KENTUCKY
* UNDERDOGS are 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS in the last five of the series
Trend Match (PLAY): KENTUCKY (+10 vs. Ole Miss)(385) HOUSTON at (386) RICE
* Home teams are 12-3 SU and ATS in the last 15 non-neutral meetings between Houston and Rice
Trend Match (PLAY): RICE (+12.5 vs. Houston)

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