The following college football betting trends is a collection of analytical data, betting systems and strength ratings featured on VSiN and qualified for the college football games of Week 5. This report is meant to emulate the process that Steve Makinen and other members of the VSiN Analytics team undergo when handicapping each week’s college football board.

 

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AJ’s Angles

These are the top college football betting trends and systems for this week’s CFB games, handpicked by VSiN Analyst AJ Makinen.

-Teams seeking revenge against a team that is currently allowing 35 PPG or more have been very successful, going 207-162 ATS (56.1%) since 2016.
System Match (PLAY): TULSA (+6.5 at North Texas) 

*The last eight games of the MIN-MIC series have gone Over the total
System Match: PLAY OVER the total in Minnesota-Michigan (o/u at 36) 

*OHIO STATE is on runs of 8-0 SU and 7-0 ATS vs. Michigan State
System Match: PLAY OHIO STATE (-24 at MSU)

-Over the last decade, college football teams that won a conference game despite gaining less than 250 yards of offense have used that victory to build momentum, going 74-43 ATS (63.2%) in the follow-up contest.
System Match (PLAY ALL): BUFFALO (+5.5 at UConn), BYU (+3.5 at Baylor)

• NAVY is on 29-6 ATS run in conference games when coming off a home win
System Match (PLAY): NAVY (-3.5 at UAB) 

– In college football games featuring two ranked team with the home team being a double-digit favorite, Under the total boasts an impressive 37-15 (71.2%) record since the beginning of the 2017 season. When adding a qualifier of totals higher than 56 to that system, the Under record jumps to 22-7 (75.9%).
System Match (PLAY UNDER): Illinois-Penn State (o/u at 48)

* NEW MEXICO is 3-16 (15.8%) ATS as favorite since 2018
System Match: FADE NEW MEXICO (-9 at NMSU)

* SAM HOUSTON STATE is 15-4 (78.9%) ATS as Underdog since 2017
System Match: PLAY SAM HOUSTON STATE (+8 vs Texas State)

CFB DK Betting Splits system #6: When the majority of number of bets has backed a team in an ATS wager in non-Saturday games, their 2022 and 2023 season record was 150-90 (62.5%)! This goes to show that public bettors can be better performers with less games to choose from. A lot of times their mistake proves to be taking too many games on a Saturday.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): Thursday – ARMY
Friday – MIAMI (FL), RUTGERS

#1 UNDERPRICED UNDERODG according to Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections: OLD DOMINION +9.5 (+11.7 difference)

Strategies Using CFB DraftKings Betting Splits Data

One of the most touted features on the VSiN.com website, and a feature that we believe to be a fantastic resource for bettors is the betting splits pages. These systems have updated language and records heading into the 2024 season. Note that these systems only include games matching two FBS opponents against one another.

Here are the college football betting trend systems and qualifying plays for this week’s games as of Tuesday afternoon. These can and will change, so continue to track and qualify the systems up until kickoff for best usage. There will be an updated betting splits article on Saturday morning. 

CFB DK Betting Splits system #1: Going back to the start of the 2022 season, when 80% or more of the handle was on a particular side of an ATS wager, this majority group has gone just 82-97 ATS (45.8%). This angle has produced at around a 46% consistently since first discovered. If you see the big green lights on the VSiN betting splits handle page 80% or higher, it is best to fade it.
System Matches (FADE ALL): ARMY, MIAMI (FL), UCONN, BOSTON COLLEGE, NEBRASKA, MICHIGAN, JAMES MADISON, EASTERN MICHIGAN, CENTRAL MICHIGAN, AKRON, MIAMI (OH), KANSAS, UNLV, USC, OKLAHOMA, TEXAS, BOWLING GREEN, LOUISIANA TECH, IOWA ST, CHARLOTTE, NORTH TEXAS, MEMPHIS, ILLINOIS, SMU, AIR FORCE

CFB DK Betting Splits system #2: When 75%+ of the number of bets were on a particular side of an ATS wager since start of ’22 season, this majority group has gone just 164-188 ATS (46.6%). In 2022 it was 46.5%, in 2023 it was 46.7%, maintaining incredible consistency. Again, if you see the big green lights on the VSiN betting splits # of bets page 75% or higher, it is best to fade it.
System Matches (FADE ALL): ARMY, MIAMI (FL), INDIANA, BOSTON COLLEGE, NEBRASKA, NAVY, MICHIGAN, JAMES MADISON, EASTERN MICHIGAN, LIBERTY, WAKE FOREST, COLORADO, KANSAS, OKLAHOMA, EAST CAROLINA, TEXAS, BOWLING GREEN, IOWA STATE, NORTH TEXAS, ILLINOIS, AIR FORCE, UTAH

CFB DK Betting Splits system #3: When the majority of the handle was on road favorites for an ATS wager since the start of the 2022 season, this majority group is just 164-190 ATS (46.3%). Recreational bettors love road favorites because they are most often the better team. The point spread is the great equalizer. Bettors improved slightly on this system in 2023 but there is still plenty of reason to believe in and fade these over-backed road favorites.
System Matches (FADE ALL): ARMY, NEBRASKA, NAVY, EASTERN MICHIGAN, LIBERTY, OKLAHOMA, LA TECH, IOWA STATE, OHIO STATE, GEORGIA, NEW MEXICO, AIR FORCE, OREGON

CFB DK Betting Splits system #4: When the majority of the handle has been on road underdogs for an ATS wager since the start of the 2022 season, this majority group has gone 142-132 ATS (51.8%). This is less than the usual systems I like to present to readers, but this is a nice advantage against the usual majority win rates, and goes to show that being on the “smart” side of majority handle can pay off.
System Matches (SLIGHT PLAY ALL): NORTHERN ILLINOIS, SOUTH FLORIDA, AKRON, COLORADO, WESTERN MICHIGAN, LOUISVILLE, NORTH CAROLINA, LA MONROE, STANFORD, CHARLOTTE, ILLINOIS, SOUTH ALABAMA, WASHINGTON STATE, ARIZONA

CFB DK Betting Splits system #5: When the majority number of bets has backed road underdogs for an ATS wager over the past two seasons, this majority group has gone 126-111 ATS (53.2%). This is even better than the handle numbers in #4 actually, and though it was down a bit for 2023, it suggests that following public bettors getting behind road dogs can be an actionable strategy.
System Matches (SLIGHT PLAY ALL): NORTHERN ILLINOIS, OKLAHOMA STATE, BYU, COLORADO, CHARLOTTE, ILLINOIS, WASHINGTON STATE

CFB DK Betting Splits system #6: When the majority of number of bets has backed a team in an ATS wager in non-Saturday games, their 2022 and 2023 season record was 150-90 (62.5%)! This goes to show that public bettors can be better performers with less games to choose from. A lot of times their mistake proves to be taking too many games on a Saturday.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): Thursday – ARMY
Friday – MIAMI (FL), RUTGERS

CFB DK Betting Splits system #7: When the majority of the handle backed the team with more season wins in a FBS vs. FBS contest for an ATS wager over the past two seasons, this majority group has gone just 313-354 ATS (46.9%). More than not, bettors like to back the “better team” in a matchup, regardless of what the point spread indicates. Again, the point spread is always the eternal equalizer.
System Matches (FADE ALL): ARMY, MIAMI (FL), OLE MISS, MICHIGAN, INDIANA, NEBRASKA, NAVY, JAMES MADISON, SAM HOUSTON STATE, OKLAHOMA, LIBERTY, CENTRAL MICHIGAN, EASTERN MICHIGAN, TEXAS, BOWLING GREEN, IOWA STATE, LA MONROE, NORTH TEXAS, ILLINOIS, MEMPHIS, SMU, AIR FORCE, WASHINGTON STATE, OREGON

CFB DK Betting Splits system #8: The average college football total has steadied at about 54. In games since the start of the 2022 season where the totals reached 57 or higher and oddsmakers thus expected them to be a little more explosive, when majority handle bettors favored the Under, they have been relatively sharp, going 51-38 (57.3%). This is pretty rare, as it occurred in only 89 of 1567 games.
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): USF-TULANE, LIBERTY-APPALACHIAN STATE, MISSISSIPPI STATE-TEXAS, TULSA-NORTH TEXAS, MTSU-MEMPHIS

CFB DK Betting Splits system #9: Since the start of the 2022 season, on games with totals of 45 or lower, 70%+ super majority handle bettors siding with the Under have gone 25-13 (63.2%). Because not many public bettors embrace betting Unders, this doesn’t produce a lot of plays but the super handle majority has been sharp.
System Matches (PLAY UNDER): BUFFALO-UCONN 

CFB DK Betting Splits system #10: Since the start of the 2022 season, on games with totals of 45 or lower, 75%+ super majority number of bets bettors bucking the low total and siding with the Over have gone 52-34 (60.5%). This system improved its win percentage in 2023. Again, not a ton of plays here in the grand scheme, but the more public option of number of bets has been pretty good when going against the grain.
System Matches (PLAY OVER ALL): BUFFALO-UCONN, MINNESOTA-MICHIGAN, IOWA STATE-HOUSTON, AIR FORCE-WYOMING 

College Football Revenge Handicapping

The following college football betiting trends are methodologies for handicapping revenge situations in college football, including the best and worst teams in revenge mode, and the best betting systems uncovered. Revenge is defined by having lost a game to a specific opponent in the prior or current season only.

Best & Worst College Football Revenge Teams (since 2016)

Best

* UTAH is 15-8 SU and 16-7 ATS (69.6%) in revenge mode since 2016
System Match: PLAY UTAH (-11 vs. Arizona)

* KENT STATE is 9-17 SU and 16-10 ATS (61.5%) in revenge mode since 2016
System Match: PLAY KENT STATE (+15 vs. EMU) 

* TULSA is 10-20 SU and 18-11 ATS (62.1%) in revenge mode since 2016
System Match: PLAY TULSA (+6.5 at North Texas)

Worst

* NEW MEXICO is 7-35 SU and 15-25 ATS (37.5%) in revenge mode since 2016
System Match: FADE NEW MEXICO (-9.5 at NM State)

* MASSACHUSETTS is 3-23 SU and 11-15 ATS (42.3%) in revenge mode since 2016
System Match: FADE UMASS (+18 at Miami (OH)) 

College Football Revenge Systems

Neutral field underdogs are great in revenge
Since the start of the 2016 season, neutral field underdogs playing in revenge mode have gone 46-29 ATS (61.3%).
System Match (PLAY): ARKANSAS (+3.5 vs. Texas A&M)

Home/Road revenge line range angles that have thrived
Double-digit road favorites have been solid producers in the revenge role, going 48-34 ATS (58.5%) since 2016.
System Match (PLAY): NEW MEXICO (*if they become double-digit favorite at NMSU, -9.5 currently)

Revenge teams that lost as double-digit favorites last time out
Teams looking to avenge outright losses where they were double-digit favorites have struggled, going just 104-116 ATS (47.3%) since 2016.
System Match (FADE): KANSAS STATE (-4.5 vs OK State) 

Key stats of the team seeking revenge matter
Better defensive teams are more successful in exacting revenge than prolific offense. Since the start of the 2016 season, teams allowing 24 PPG or less have gone 623-546 ATS (53.3%).
System Matches (PLAY ALL): EAST CAROLINA, DUKE, INDIANA, KANSAS STATE, UTAH, UAB, LA MONROE, UNLV, ARKANSAS, NOTRE DAME, ILLINOIS, MINNESOTA, GEORGIA, MICHIGAN STATE 

Revenge is sweet against porous defensive foes
Teams seeking revenge against a team that is currently allowing 35 PPG or more have been very successful, going 207-162 ATS (56.1%) since 2016.
System Match (PLAY): TULSA (+6.5 at North Texas)

College Football Systems Based Upon AP Poll Rankings

The following college football betting trends take into account whether or not teams in a non-neutral field game are ranked in the AP poll

CFB AP Poll Rankings System #1 – Games featuring two ranked teams
In games featuring two ranked teams since 2017, home teams are now 173-88 SU and 147-106-8 ATS (58.1%).
System Matches (PLAY ALL): KANSAS STATE (-4.5 vs. OK State), NOTRE DAME (-6 vs Louisville), ALABAMA (+2 vs. Georgia), PENN STATE (-18 vs Illinois)

Digging deeper into that data, you will find that when the home team has been ranked better, those teams have gone 104-19 SU & 76-43-4 ATS (63.9%).
System Match (PLAY): PENN STATE (-18 vs. Illinois)

CFB AP Poll Rankings System #4: In college football games featuring two ranked teams with the home team being a double-digit favorite, Under the total boasts an impressive 37-15 (71.2%) record since the beginning of the 2017 season. When adding a qualifier of totals higher than 56 to that system, the Under record jumps to 22-7 (75.9%).
System Match (PLAY UNDER): Illinois-Penn State (o/u at 48)

These college football betting trends were from an article posted in September 2024 detailing top trends and systems for college football conference play.

Teams playing as conference road dogs of more than 7-points after not having played since 14 days ago are on a 132-99 ATS (57.1%) surge since 2010.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): ARIZONA (+11 at Utah), WISCONSIN (+16 at USC)

Teams playing at home in conference games and coming off a blowout loss by more than 45 points are just 41-72 ATS (36.3%) since 2010.
System Match (FADE): KENT ST (+15 vs. EMU) 

Top Team Trends in Conference Games

Negative FADE trends:
• LOUISIANA TECH has lost its last eight games ATS against conference foes when coming off an outright home loss
System Match (FADE): LOUISIANA TECH (-2.5 at FIU)

• MICHIGAN STATE is on a 1-12 ATS skid in conference play when coming off an upset win
System Match (FADE): FADE MICHIGAN STATE (+24 vs. Ohio State) 

• USC has lost its last seven games ATS as a favorite in conference play
System Match (FADE): USC (-16 vs. Wisconsin)

• UCF has lost its last seven games ATS as a favorite in conference play
System Match (FADE): UCF (-14.5 vs. Colorado) 

• RUTGERS has lost its last seven games ATS at home in conference play when coming off a road victory
System Match (FADE): RUTGERS (-2.5 vs. Washington)

• NEBRASKA is just 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games as a Big Ten favorite
System Match (FADE): NEBRASKA (-10 at Purdue)

• AKRON is on a 3-14 ATS skid in MAC play when coming off a road loss
System Match (FADE): AKRON (+12 at Ohio)

Positive PLAY trends:

• TROY is on 14-2 ATS run in Sun Belt play when coming off a win
System Match (PLAY): TROY (-7 vs. ULM)

• NAVY is on 29-6 ATS run in conference games when coming off a home win
System Match (PLAY): NAVY (-3.5 at UAB)

• KANSAS STATE is on a 10-1 ATS run in Big 12 action when coming off a blowout loss of 20+ points
System Match (PLAY): KANSAS ST (-4.5 vs. OK State) 

• PENN STATE has become a very reliable Big Ten favorite, 17-4 ATS in its last 21
System Match (PLAY): PENN STATE (-18 vs. Illinois)

• MICHIGAN is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games vs. Big Ten foes when coming off a home win
System Match (PLAY): MICHIGAN (-9 vs. Minnesota)

Extreme Stat Next Game CFB Betting Systems

Unexpected blowout games are bad future indicators for both teams
Both college football teams coming off a game which was decided by a margin 38 points or more different from the final point spread, either win or lose, have struggled in the next contest, going just 131-177-1 ATS (42.5%) over the last decade-plus.
System Matches (FADE ALL): APPALACHIAN STATE (+3.5 vs. Liberty), SOUTH ALABAMA (+21.5 at LSU) 

Dismal offensive performances carry over
College football teams that gained 100 yards or fewer in a game have not bounced back well in the next, going just 24-34-1 ATS (41.4%) in their L59 tries.
System Match (FADE): KENT STATE (+15 vs. EMU)

Conference wins while struggling offensively are momentum builders
Over the last decade, college football teams that won a conference game despite gaining less than 250 yards of offense have used that victory to build momentum, going 74-43 ATS (63.2%) in the follow-up contest.
System Match (PLAY ALL): BUFFALO (+5.5 at UConn), BYU (+3.5 at Baylor) 

This Week’s College Football Strength Ratings

The following college football betting trends are taken from today’s MAKINEN DAILY RATINGS page under the NFL tab on VSiN.com. Listed by team, current line, and difference between rating and current line (in parenthesis).

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. COLORADO +14.5 (+6.2)
2. NEW MEXICO STATE +9 (+5.4)
3. UAB +3.5 (+5.4)
4. ALABAMA +2 (+4.7)
5. SAN DIEGO STATE +3 (+4.5)

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1(tie). MIAMI (OH) -17.5 (+6.5)
MICHIGAN -9 (+6.5)
3(tie). OKLAHOMA -1.5 (+3.7)
TULANE -6 (+3.7)
5. IOWA STATE -13.5 (+2.5) 

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. SOUTH ALABAMA +21.5 (+13.0)
2. NORTHERN ILLINOIS +6 (+11.0)
3. MIDDLE TENN STATE +25.5 (+8.6)
4(tie). ALABAMA +2 (+7.2)
ILLINOIS +18 (+7.2)

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. TEXAS -38.5 (+7.4)
2. BOWLING GREEN -9.5 (+3.8)
3(tie). INDIANA -6.5 (+3.4)
OKLAHOMA -1.5 (+3.4)
5. MARSHALL -4 (+2.9)

This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. BUFFALO-UCONN OVER 44 (+8.3)
2. CHARLOTTE-RICE OVER 47 (+6.6)
3. NEBRASKA-PURDUE OVER 49 (+5.3)
4. LOUISVILLE-NOTRE DAME OVER 46.5 (+4.0)
5. AKRON-OHIO OVER 46 (+3.6)

This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. TULSA-NORTH TEXAS UNDER 68.5 (-7.9)
2. OKLAHOMA STATE-KANSAS STATE UNDER 55.5 (-4.6)
3. WISCONSIN-USC UNDER 51 (-3.5)
4(tie). SOUTH FLORIDA-TULANE UNDER 64.5 (-3.2)
IOWA STATE-HOUSTON UNDER 43 (-3.2)

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. OLD DOMINION +9.5 (+11.7)
2. MISSISSIPPI ST +38.5 (+10.7)
3. VIRGINIA TECH +19.5 (+9.7)
4. WYOMING +4 (+7.7)
5(tie). KENT STATE +15 (+7.6)
WISCONSIN +16 (+7.6)

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. LSU -21.5 (+14.4)
2. NC STATE -6 (+9.3)
3. PENN STATE -18 (+5.6)
4. TROY -7 (+5.4)
5. OKLAHOMA -1.5 (+4.4) 

This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. BYU-BAYLOR OVER 45.5 (+8.6)
2(tie). NEBRASKA-PURDUE OVER 49 (+5.2)
FRESNO STATE-UNLV OVER 50.5 (+5.2)
4. ARIZONA-UTAH OVER 49 (+4.9)
5(tie). TCU-KANSAS OVER 59.5 (+4.4)
AIR FORCE-WYOMING OVER 34 (+4.4)

This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. NAVY-UAB UNDER 58 (-8.4)
2. COLORADO-UCF UNDER 63 (-6.4)
3. STANFORD-CLEMSON UNDER 58 (-5.0)
4. BALL STATE-JAMES MADISON UNDER 57.5 (-4.4)
5. ARKANSAS-TEXAS A&M UNDER 52.5 (-4.3)

These are some of the top situational college football betting trends that have developed with teams in recent years of action:

* ALABAMA is on a 21-8 ATS (72.4%) surge at Home
System Match: PLAY ALABAMA (+2 vs. UGA) 

* ARIZONA is 16-27 (37.2%) ATS in Road/Neutral games since 2016
System Match: FADE ARIZONA (+11 at Utah)

* ARKANSAS is 2-12 (14.3%) ATS coming off SU Win since 2020
System Match: FADE ARKANSAS (+4 vs. Texas A&M) 

* BALL STATE is 31-17 (64.6%) UNDER the total over the last four seasons
System Match: PLAY UNDER in BALL STATE-JMU (o/u at 57.5)

* BOWLING GREEN is 7-12 (36.8%) ATS in Non-Conference games since 2019
System Match: FADE BOWLING GREEN (-9.5 vs Old Dominion)

* E MICHIGAN is 38-15 (71.7%) ATS in Road/Neutral games since 2016
System Match: PLAY EASTERN MICHIGAN (-15 at Kent State)

* FLA INTERNATIONAL is 9-26 in Conference games over the last five seasons
System Match: FADE FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL (+2.5 vs. LA Tech)

* FLORIDA STATE is 10-18 (35.7%) ATS in Road/Neutral games since 2019
* FLORIDA STATE is 9-18 (33.3%) ATS in Conference games since ’21
Systems Match: FADE FLORIDA STATE (+6 at SMU) 

* FRESNO STATE is 27-15-1 (64.3%) Under the total since 2021
* FRESNO ST is 19-9 (67.9%) ATS coming off SU Win since 2021
Systems Match: PLAY FRESNO STATE (+4 at UNLV), also PLAY UNDER in Fresno St-UNLV (o/u at 50.5)

* GEORGIA is 21-10 (67.7%) ATS in Road/Neutral games since 2020
System Match: PLAY GEORGIA (-2 at Alabama) 

* JAMES MADISON is 20-8 (71.4%) ATS as Favorite since 2020
System Match: PLAY JAMES MADISON (-20.5 vs. Ball State) 

* KANSAS is 3-14 (17.6%) ATS as Favorite since 2018
* KANSAS is 33-18 (64.7%) OVER the total since 2019
Systems Match: FADE KANSAS (-2 vs. TCU), also PLAY OVER in TCU-KU (o/u at 59.5)

* KANSAS STATE is 41-24-2 (63.1%) ATS since 2019
System Match: PLAY KANSAS ST (-4.5 vs. OK State)

* KENT STATE is 6-19 (24%) ATS in last 25 games as an Underdog
System Match: FADE KENT STATE (+15 vs. EMU) 

* LOUISIANA TECH is 32-17-1 (65.3%) OVER the total since 2019
* LOUISIANA TECH is 6-17 ATS in Conference games over the last three seasons
Systems Match: FADE LOUISIANA TECH (-2.5 at FIU), also PLAY OVER in LA Tech-FIU (o/u at 51.5) 

* LOUISVILLE is 5-10 (33.3%) ATS in Non-Conference games since 2021
System Match: FADE LOUISVILLE (+6 at Notre Dame) 

* LSU is 22-9 (71%) Over the total since 2022
System Match: PLAY OVER in USA-LSU (o/u at 65)

* MIAMI (OH) is on a 31-15 (67.4%) Under the total run over the last four seasons
System Match: PLAY UNDER in UMass-Miami (OH) (o/u at 46.5)

* MICHIGAN is 30-16-1 (65.2%) ATS in the last three seasons (including 16-5 ATS in Road/Neutral games)
System Match: PLAY MICHIGAN (-9 vs. Minnesota)

* MISSISSIPPI STATE is 25-16 (61%) Under the total since 2021
System Match: PLAY UNDER in Mississippi State-Texas (o/u at 62.5)

* NEW MEXICO is 3-16 (15.8%) ATS as Favorite since 2018
System Match: FADE NEW MEXICO (-9 at NMSU)

* NEW MEXICO STATE is 27-17 (61.4%) ATS in the last three seasons (including 11-4 ATS as a favorite)
System Match: PLAY NEW MEXICO STATE (+9 vs. UNM)

* OLE MISS is 6-15-2 (28.6%) ATS in Conference games since 2021
System Match: FADE OLE MISS (-17.5 vs. UK)

* PENN STATE is 31-12 (72.1%) ATS coming off SU Win since 2019
System Match: PLAY PENN STATE (-18 v.s Illinois) 

* PURDUE is 16-11 (59.3%) ATS as Underdog since 2020
System Match: PLAY PURDUE (+10 vs. Nebraska) 

* S ALABAMA is 16-34 (32%) ATS coming off SU Win since 2014
System Match: FADE SOUTH ALABAMA (+21.5 at LSU)

* SAM HOUSTON STATE is 15-4 (78.9%) ATS as Underdog since 2017
System Match: PLAY SAM HOUSTON STATE (+8 vs Texas State) 

* SAN DIEGO STATE is 42-19 (68.9%) Under the total since 2019
System Match: PLAY UNDER in SDSU-CMU (o/u at 53.5) 

* TULANE is 42-21 (66.7%) ATS as Favorite since 2014
System Match: PLAY TULANE (-6 vs USF)

* TULSA is 24-8-1 (75%) ATS in Road/Neutral games over the last four seasons
System Match: PLAY TULSA (+6.5 at North Texas)

* UAB is 19-5 (79.2%) ATS at Home since 2020
System Match: PLAY UAB (+3.5 vs. Navy)

* UNLV is on a 14-4 (77.8%) ATS run following a SU win
System Match: PLAY UNLV (-4 vs. Fresno St)

These are the top head-to-head series college football betting trends between teams from recent years’ action:

Week 5

(103) ARMY at (104) TEMPLE
*TEMPLE is on a 7-1 ATS run versus Army
System Match: PLAY TEMPLE (+13.5 vs Army)

(131) MARYLAND at (132) INDIANA
*Over the total is 8-1 in the last nine of the series
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 55)

(145) NEBRASKA at (146) PURDUE
*Underdogs are on 9-1 ATS run in NEB-PUR rivalry
System Match: PLAY PURDUE (+10 vs Nebraska)

(151) OKLAHOMA ST at (152) KANSAS ST
*Home teams are on 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS runs in OKST-KST rivlary
System Match: PLAY KANSAS STATE (-4.5 vs. OK State)

(195) MINNESOTA at (196) MICHIGAN
*The last eight games of the MIN-MIC series have gone Over the total
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 36)

(203) NEW MEXICO at (204) NEW MEXICO STATE
*NEW MEXICO STATE is on 8-1 ATS run versus New Mexico
System Match: PLAY NEW MEXICO STATE (+9.5 vs. UNM) 

(205) OHIO ST at (206) MICHIGAN STATE
*OHIO STATE is on runs of 8-0 SU and 7-0 ATS vs. Michigan State
System Match: PLAY OHIO STATE (-24 at MSU) 

(207) AIR FORCE at (208) WYOMING
*WYOMING is on 4-0 SU and 6-0 ATS runs hosting Air Force
System Match: PLAY WYOMING (+4 vs. AF)

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