Week 7 College Football Betting Trends:
The following college football betting trends are a collection of analytical data, betting systems and strength ratings featured on VSiN and qualified for the college football games of Week 7. This report is meant to emulate the process that Steve Makinen and other members of the VSiN Analytics team undergo when handicapping each week’s college football board.
AJ’s Angles
* Sun Belt non-Saturday conference games have gone Under the total at a 50-24-1 (67.6%) rate since 2015 (including 21-4 (84%) when total is >= 59)
System Match (PLAY UNDER): SOUTHERN MISS-GEORGIA SOUTHERN (o/u at 59.5)
* Teams that lose as favorites of 19.5 points or more have gone just 42-68 SU and 39-67-4 ATS (36.8%) in the follow-up game since 2012.
System Match (FADE): PENN STATE (-21.5 vs. Northwestern)
* BALL STATE has won its last 11 games ATS in MAC play when coming off an upset win
Trend Match (PLAY): BALL STATE (+8.5 at Western Michigan)
* LSU is 14-5 ATS in its last 19 SEC games when coming off a road loss
Trend Match (PLAY): LSU (-8.5 vs. South Carolina)
* OLE MISS is 18-5 ATS (78.3%) in non-conference games in five seasons under head coach Lane Kiffin
Trend Match (PLAY): OLE MISS (-32.5 vs. Washington State)
* Road teams are 10-2 ATS in the last 12 of Miami OH-Akron series
Trend Match (PLAY): MIAMI OH (-11.5 at Akron)
#1 DIFFERENTIAL in EYPP ratings with actual point spread: OLD DOMINION -14.5 at Marshall (+22.8 difference, heavily favoring ODU)
#1 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOG according to the Makinen Power Ratings: COASTAL CAROLINA +3 vs. Louisiana-Monroe (projections have line at CCU -2.9)
College Football Systems Based On AP Poll Rankings
The following college football betting systems take into account whether or not teams in a non-neutral field game are ranked in the AP poll.
CFB AP Poll Rankings System #1 – Games featuring two ranked teams
In games featuring two ranked teams since 2017, home teams are 205-101 SU and 179-119-8 ATS (60.1%).
System Matches (PLAY ALL): MISSOURI (+3 vs. Alabama), ILLINOIS (+14.5 vs. Ohio State), OREGON (-7.5 vs. Indiana)
Digging deeper into that data, when the home team has been ranked better, those teams have gone 118-27 SU and 88-53-4 ATS (62.4%).
System Match (PLAY): OREGON (-7.5 vs. Indiana)
Adding another point spread wrinkle to the last angle, when better-ranked home teams have been single-digit favorites or underdogs, they have gone 60-24 SU and 53-28-3 ATS (65.4%) since ’17.
System Match (PLAY): OREGON (-7.5 vs. Indiana)
College Football Conference Play Systems and Trends
These were from an article posted in September 2024 detailing top trends and systems for college football conference play.
* Teams playing as conference road dogs of more than seven points after not having played in 14 days are on a 144-110 ATS (56.7%) surge since 2010.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): LOUISIANA (+17.5 at James Madison), STANFORD (+19.5 at SMU), INDIANA (+7.5 at Oregon), ARKANSAS (+12.5 at Tennessee), SOUTH CAROLINA (+8.5 at LSU)
* Big Ten road road favorites of -4 or less have gone 25-9 SU and 23-11 ATS (67.6%) since 2021
System Match (PLAY): IOWA (-3.5 at Wisconsin)
* Big Ten home favorites in the -17 to -30.5 line range with a total of <= 56 have gone Under the total at a 37-15 (71.2%) rate since 2017
System Match (PLAY UNDER): NORTHWESTERN-PENN STATE (o/u at 47.5)
* Sun Belt non-Saturday games have gone Under the total at a 50-24-1 (67.6%) rate since 2015 (including 21-4 (84%) when total is >= 59)
System Match (PLAY UNDER): SOUTHERN MISS-GEORGIA SOUTHERN (o/u at 59.5)
* Sun Belt road favorites in the -3.5 to -10 line range are 61-27 SU and 52-36 (59.1%) ATS since 2015
System Match (PLAY): SOUTHERN MISS (-3.5 at Georgia Southern)
* AAC favorites in the -7 to -12 line range have gone 108-15 SU and 72-46-5 (61%) ATS since 2015
System Matches (PLAY ALL): NAVY (-9.5 at Temple), UTSA (-12 vs. Rice)
* Over the total is 18-5 (78.3%) in SEC non-neutral expected-tight matchups (within a field goal -3 to +3) with totals <= 51.5 since 2021
System Match (PLAY OVER): ALABAMA-MISSOURI (spread at Alabama -3, total at 51.5)
ALSO WATCH FOR GEORGIA-AUBURN (spread at Georgia -3.5, total at 45.5)
* Mountain West home favorites of a touchdown or less (-0.5 to -7) with a total of >=60.5 have seen the total go Under at a 16-5 (76.2%) rate since 2016
System Match (PLAY UNDER): AIR FORCE-UNLV (spread at UNLV -6.5, total at 66.5)
* FAVORITES of >= 4 points on Mountain West Friday nights have gone 55-3 SU (~+40.20 units) since 2016
System Match (PLAY): FRESNO STATE ML (-238 at Colorado State)
Top Team Trends in Conference Games
Negative FADE trends:
• UCF is on a 1-13 ATS skid in conference games when coming off a close of seven points or less
Trend Match (FADE): UCF (+10.5 at Cincinnati)
• USC has lost 13 of its last 17 games ATS as a favorite in conference play
Trend Match (FADE): USC (-2.5 vs. Michigan)
• HAWAII is just 3-18 ATS in its last 21 conference games when favored by single digits
Trend Match (FADE): HAWAII (-1.5 vs. Utah State)
• NEBRASKA is just 3-11-1 ATS in its last 15 games as a Big Ten favorite
Trend Match (FADE): NEBRASKA (-7 at Maryland)
Positive FOLLOW trends:
• BALL STATE has won its last 11 games ATS in MAC play when coming off an upset win
Trend Match (PLAY): BALL STATE (+8.5 at Western Michigan)
• UTSA has won 11 of its last 12 conference games ATS when coming off an outright loss
Trend Match (PLAY): UTSA (-12.5 vs. Rice)
• TROY has won 10 of its last 12 Sun Belt road games ATS
• TROY is on a 16-4 ATS run in Sun Belt play when coming off a win
Trends Match (PLAY): TROY (+9.5 at Texas State)
• NAVY is on a 31-8 ATS run in conference games when coming off a home win
Trend Match (PLAY): NAVY (-9.5 at Temple)
• MICHIGAN is 13-5 ATS in its last 18 games vs. Big Ten foes when coming off a home win
Trend Match (PLAY): MICHIGAN (+2.5 at USC)
• NORTHERN ILLINOIS is a 16-4 ATS MAC road underdog in its last 20 tries
Trend Match (PLAY): NORTHERN ILLINOIS (*if they become an underdog at EMU, -1.5 currently*)
• LSU is 14-5 ATS in last 19 SEC games when coming off a road loss
Trend Match (PLAY): LSU (-8.5 vs. South Carolina)
College Football Revenge Handicapping
The following are methodologies for handicapping revenge situations in college football, including the best and worst teams in revenge mode, and the best betting systems uncovered. Revenge is defined by having lost a game to a specific opponent in the prior or current season only.
Best and Worst College Football Revenge Teams (since 2016)
* WISCONSIN is 12-8 SU and 13-7 ATS (65%) in revenge mode since 2016
Trend Match (PLAY): WISCONSIN (+3.5 vs. Iowa)
* UTAH is 15-9 SU and 16-8 ATS (66.7%) in revenge mode since 2016
Trend Match (PLAY): UTAH (-6 vs. Arizona State)
Neutral field underdogs are great in revenge
Since the start of the 2016 season, neutral-field underdogs playing in revenge mode have gone 49-30 ATS (62%).
System Match (PLAY): OKLAHOMA (+1.5 vs. Texas)
Home/road revenge line range angles that have thrived
Double-digit road favorites have been solid producers in the revenge role, going 52-41 ATS (55.9%) since 2016.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): OLD DOMINION (-14.5 at Marshall), TOLEDO (-10.5 at Bowling Green)
Revenge teams that lost as double-digit favorites last time out
Teams looking to avenge outright losses where they were double-digit favorites have struggled, going just 112-124 ATS (47.5%) since 2016.
System Match (FADE): TENNESSEE (-12.5 vs. Arkansas)
Extreme Stat Next-Game CFB Betting Systems
Huge week-to-week point spread movement
CFB teams that see their point spread in one game being at least 52 points worse than the prior game have performed very well in that follow-up contest since 2012, going 101-70 ATS (59.1%).
System Match (PLAY): NC STATE (+22.5 at Notre Dame)
Upset losses as huge favorites snowball
Teams that lose as favorites of 19.5 points or more have gone just 42-68 SU and 39-67-4 ATS (36.8%) in the follow-up game since 2012.
System Match (FADE): PENN STATE (-21.5 vs. Northwestern)
Conference wins while struggling offensively are momentum builders
Over the last 12 years, teams that won a conference game despite gaining less than 250 yards of offense have used that victory to build momentum, going 80-53 ATS (60.2%) in the follow-up game.
System Match (PLAY): LOUISIANA TECH (-6.5 at Kennesaw State)
Strategies Using CFB DraftKings Betting Splits Data
One of the most touted features on VSiN.com, and a feature that we believe to be a fantastic resource for bettors is the betting splits pages. These systems have updated language and records heading into the 2025 season. Note that these systems only include games matching TWO FBS OPPONENTS against one another.
Here are the systems and qualifying plays for this week’s games as of 3:15 p.m. ET on Tuesday. These can and will change, so continue to track and qualify the systems up until kickoff for best usage. There will be an updated betting splits article on Saturday morning.
CFB DK Betting Splits system #1: Going back to the start of the 2022 season, when more than 75% of the handle was on a particular side of an ATS wager, this majority group has gone just 505-568 ATS (47.1%). This angle has produced consistently over the last few seasons and blindly fading these majority bettors during this span who have given you a small profit in three straight years.
System Matches (FADE ALL): UTEP, LOUISIANA TECH, SOUTHERN MISS, JACKSONVILLE STATE, WASHINGTON, MIAMI OH, OHIO STATE, HOUSTON, OLE MISS, NORTHERN ILLINOIS, OLD DOMINION, GEORGIA STATE, IOWA STATE, OKLAHOMA, UNLV, TEMPLE, TENNESSEE, FLA ATLANTIC, IOWA, LOUISIANA-MONROE, SAN JOSE STATE, CLEMSON, TEXAS TECH, UTSA, BOISE STATE, SAN DIEGO STATE
CFB DK Betting Splits system #2: When 76%+ of the number of bets were on the home side of an ATS wager since the start of the ’22 season, this majority group has gone just 192-220 ATS (46.6%). In 2022, it was 46.5%; in 2023, it was 46.7%; in 2024, it was 46.6%. This is incredible consistency. Again, if you see the big green lights on the VSiN betting splits # of bets page 75% or higher, it is best to fade it.
System Matches (FADE ALL): OLE MISS, UNLV, TENNESSEE, FLORIDA ATLANTIC, TEXAS TECH
CFB DK Betting Splits system #3: When the majority of the handle was on road favorites for an ATS wager since the start of the ’22 season, this majority group is just 263-297 ATS (47%). Recreational bettors love road favorites because they are most often the better team. The point spread is the great equalizer. Bettors improved slightly on this system in ’24, but there is still plenty of reason to believe in and fade these over-backed road favorites.
System Matches (FADE ALL): MISSOURI STATE, LOUISIANA TECH, SOUTHERN MISS, JACKSONVILLE STATE, SOUTH FLORIDA, FRESNO STATE, MIAMI OH, ALABAMA, OHIO STATE, HOUSTON, NORTHERN ILLINOIS, OLD DOMINION, IOWA STATE, NEBRASKA, TCU, IOWA, LA MONROE, SAN JOSE STATE, CLEMSON, GEORGIA, SAN DIEGO STATE
CFB DK Betting Splits system #4: When a 58% or greater majority of the handle has been on road underdogs for an ATS wager since the start of the ’22 season, this majority group has gone 132-113 ATS (53.9%). This is less than the usual systems I like to present to readers, but this is a nice advantage against the usual majority win rates, and goes to show that being on the side of majority handle when it goes against the grain can pay off.
System Matches (SLIGHT PLAY ALL): CHARLOTTE, LOUISIANA, BALL STATE, FLORIDA, PURDUE, SOUTH CAROLINA
CFB DK Betting Splits system #5: When a majority of 55% or more of number of bets has backed road underdogs for an ATS wager over the past three seasons, this majority group has gone 129-106 ATS (54.9%). This is even better than the handle numbers in #4 actually, and it suggests that following public bettors getting behind road dogs can be an actionable strategy.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): BALL STATE, MICHIGAN, PURDUE, ARIZONA STATE
CFB DK Betting Splits system #6: When the majority of number of bets has backed a team in an ATS wager in non-Saturday games, their 2022-24 season record was 213-163 (56.6%)! This goes to show that public bettors can be better performers with fewer games to choose from. A lot of times, their mistake proves to be playing too many games on a Saturday.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): MISSOURI STATE, LIBERTY, LOUISIANA TECH, TULANE, SOUTHERN MISS, JACKSONVILLE STATE, SOUTH FLORIDA, FRESNO STATE, WASHINGTON
CFB DK Betting Splits system #7: Contrary to popular belief, majority handle bettors have been very good when getting behind huge home favorites, specifically those favored by 27.5 points or more. Typically, I would fear this as a prototypical public bet, but these groups are 60-40 ATS (60%) over the last three seasons.
System Match (PLAY): OLE MISS
CFB DK Betting Splits system #8: The average college football total has steadied at about 53. In games since the start of the ’22 season where the totals reached 59 or higher and oddsmakers thus expected them to be a little more explosive, when majority handle bettors favored the Under, they have been relatively sharp, going 61-47 (56.5%). This is pretty rare, as it occurred in only 108 of 2364 games.
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): NC STATE-NOTRE DAME, AIR FORCE-UNLV, UAB-FLORIDA ATLANTIC, NEW MEXICO-BOISE STATE
CFB DK Betting Splits system #9: Since the start of the ’22 season, in games with totals of 49 or lower, 72%+ super majority handle bettors siding with the Under have gone 57-42 (56.7%). Because not many public bettors embrace betting Unders, this doesn’t produce a lot of plays, but the super handle majority has been sharp.
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): NORTHERN ILLINOIS-EASTERN MICHIGAN, BALL STATE-WESTERN MICHIGAN,
CFB DK Betting Splits system #10: Since the start of the ’22 season, on games with totals of 46.5 or lower, 72%+ super majority number of bets bettors bucking the low total and siding with the Over have gone 157-127 (55.3%). This system improved its win percentage in ’24 (57.8%). This does not produce a ton of plays here in the grand scheme, but the more public option of number of bets has been pretty good when going against the grain.
System Matches (PLAY OVER ALL): MIAMI OH-AKRON, HOUSTON-OKLAHOMA STATE, BALL STATE-WESTERN MICHIGAN, OKLAHOMA-TEXAS, FLORIDA-TEXAS A&M, GEORGIA-AUBURN, SOUTH CAROLINA-LSU, SAN DIEGO STATE-NEVADA
This Week’s College Football Strength Ratings
The following are taken from today’s MAKINEN DAILY RATINGS page under the NFL tab on VSiN.com. Listed by team, current line, and difference between rating and current line (in parentheses).
This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. COASTAL CAROLINA +3 (+5.9)
2. TEMPLE +9.5 (+5.5)
3. KANSAS +14.5 (+4.0)
4. GEORGIA SOUTHERN +3.5 (+3.9)
5. NEVADA +7.5 (+3.4)
This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. ARMY -17.5 (+4.6)
2. WESTERN MICHIGAN -8.5 (+4.2)
3. LSU -8.5 (+3.9)
4 (tie). ALABAMA -3 (+3.0)
IOWA STATE -3 (+3.0)
This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. TEMPLE +9.5 (+10.4)
2. EAST CAROLINA +6.5 (+8.5)
3. NEW MEXICO +16.5 (+8.2)
4. PURDUE +8.5 (+7.2)
5. WASHINGTON STATE +32.5 (+6.7)
This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. JAMES MADISON -17.5 (+4.8)
2. BYU -1.5 (+3.8)
3. NOTRE DAME -22.5 (+3.4)
4. TENNESSEE -12.5 (+3.3)
5. NORTHERN ILLINOIS -1.5 (+2.2)
This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. FLORIDA-TEXAS A&M OVER 46.5 (+3.7)
2. EAST CAROLINA-TULANE OVER 53.5 (+3.5)
3. IOWA-WISCONSIN OVER 35.5 (+2.9)
4. NORTHERN ILLINOIS-EASTERN MICHIGAN OVER 47.5 (+2.8)
5. MIAMI OH-AKRON OVER 45.5 (+2.5)
This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1 (tie). NAVY-TEMPLE UNDER 53.5 (-2.6)
PITTSBURGH-FLORIDA STATE UNDER 57.5 (-2.6)
3. SOUTH CAROLINA-LSU UNDER 44.5 (-2.2)
4. SOUTH FLORIDA-NORTH TEXAS UNDER 67.5 (-1.9)
5. NEW MEXICO-BOISE STATE UNDER 59.5 (-1.8)
This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. ARKANSAS +12.5 (+10.1)
2 (tie). UMASS +2.5 (+8.1)
NEVADA +7.5 (+8.1)
4. UCF +10.5 (+6.9)
5. COASTAL CAROLINA +3 (+6.3)
This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. PENN STATE -21.5 (+10.2)
2. SMU -19.5 (+7.3)
3. LSU -8.5 (+6.0)
4. USC -2.5 (+4.8)
5. LIBERTY -1.5 (+4.5)
This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. LOUISIANA MONROE-COASTAL CAROLINA OVER 43.5 (+6.1)
2. OKLAHOMA-TEXAS OVER 42.5 (+5.6)
3. BYU-ARIZONA OVER 47.5 (+5.0)
4. NEBRASKA-MARYLAND OVER 47.5 (+4.9)
5. SOUTH CAROLINA-LSU OVER 44.5 (+4.6)
This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. AIR FORCE-UNLV UNDER 65.5 (-6.7)
2. WASHINGTON STATE-OLE MISS UNDER 58.5 (-4.5)
3. UAB-FLORIDA ATLANTIC UNDER 69.5 (-4.0)
4. UCLA-MICHIGAN STATE UNDER 55.5 (-3.6)
5. NAVY-TEMPLE UNDER 53.5 (-1.9)
Comparing Effective Play-by-Play ratings to this week’s matchups
The following are taken from an article posted on Tuesday, September 16, 2025, looking at how Steve Makinen comes up with his ratings and any edges in games each weekend. As far as actionable items, here are the top 15 games for this weekend, showing the differential of Effective Play-by-Play ratings versus actual point spreads, with home-field advantage built into the differences. Track these games to see how they fare, or back them already if you agree with the logic. Starting from Week 4 of 2025, these plays are 27-18 ATS (60%).
1. (133) OLD DOMINION at (134) MARSHALL
Actual Line: MARSHALL +14.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: MARSHALL +37.3
Difference: 22.8, Favors: OLD DOMINION
2. (119) RUTGERS at (120) WASHINGTON
Actual Line: WASHINGTON -10.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: WASHINGTON -33.1
Difference: 22.6, Favors: WASHINGTON
3. (205) UTAH STATE at (206) HAWAII
Actual Line: HAWAII -1.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: HAWAII +18
Difference: 19.5, Favors: UTAH STATE
4. (151) MIAMI OHIO at (152) AKRON
Actual Line: AKRON +11.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: AKRON +27.6
Difference: 16.1, Favors: MIAMI OHIO
5. (179) FLORIDA at (180) TEXAS A&M
Actual Line: TEXAS A&M -7.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: TEXAS A&M -21.1
Difference: 13.6, Favors: TEXAS A&M
6. (153) TOLEDO at (154) BOWLING GREEN
Actual Line: BOWLING GREEN +10.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: BOWLING GREEN +23.6
Difference: 13.1, Favors: TOLEDO
7. (143) VIRGINIA TECH at (144) GEORGIA TECH
Actual Line: GEORGIA TECH -14.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: GEORGIA TECH -26.5
Difference: 12, Favors: GEORGIA TECH
8. (103) LIBERTY at (104) UTEP
Actual Line: UTEP +1.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: UTEP -9.4
Difference: 10.9, Favors: UTEP
9. (127) UAB at (128) FLORIDA ATLANTIC
Actual Line: FLORIDA ATLANTIC -5.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: FLORIDA ATLANTIC +4
Difference: 9.5, Favors: UAB
10. (199) WAKE FOREST at (200) OREGON STATE
Actual Line: OREGON STATE +3
Effective Play-by-Play Line: OREGON STATE +12.3
Difference: 9.3, Favors: WAKE FOREST
11. (177) ARKANSAS at (178) TENNESSEE
Actual Line: TENNESSEE -12.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: TENNESSEE -3.5
Difference: 9, Favors: ARKANSAS
12. (189) HOUSTON at (190) OKLAHOMA STATE
Actual Line: OKLAHOMA STATE +14.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: OKLAHOMA STATE +23.3
Difference: 8.8, Favors: HOUSTON
13. (137) NORTHWESTERN at (138) PENN STATE
Actual Line: PENN STATE -21.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: PENN STATE -13.2
Difference: 8.3, Favors: NORTHWESTERN
14. (185) STANFORD at (186) SMU
Actual Line: SMU -19.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: SMU -12
Difference: 7.5, Favors: STANFORD
15. (167) ARIZONA STATE at (168) UTAH
Actual Line: UTAH -6
Effective Play-by-Play Line: UTAH +1.3
Difference: 7.3, Favors: ARIZONA STATE
Top Team Situational College Football Betting Trends
These are some of the top situational college football betting trends that have developed with teams in recent years of action:
* AKRON is 17-30-1 (36.2%) ATS at home since ’16
Trend Match (FADE): AKRON (+11.5 vs. Miami OH)
* APPALACHIAN STATE is 8-24 ATS (25%) in its last 32 games as a favorite
Trend Match (FADE): APPALACHIAN STATE (-2.5 at Georgia State)
* ARIZONA STATE is 28-15-1 (65.1%) ATS as an underdog since ’18
Trend Match (PLAY): ARIZONA STATE (+6 at Utah)
* BALL STATE is 37-24-1 (60.7%) Under the total over the last five seasons
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): BALL STATE-WESTERN MICHIGAN (o/u at 43.5)
* BOISE STATE is on a 12-3 (80%) ATS run following a SU loss
Trend Match (PLAY): BOISE STATE (-16.5 vs. New Mexico)
* BOSTON COLLEGE is 26-16 (61.9%) ATS in conference games since ’20
Trend Match (PLAY): BOSTON COLLEGE (+14 vs. Clemson)
* BOWLING GREEN is 19-31 (38%) ATS as an underdog since ’19
Trend Match (FADE): BOWLING GREEN (+10.5 vs. Toledo)
* CLEMSON is 23-13 (63.9%) ATS in road/neutral games since ’20
Trend Match (PLAY): CLEMSON (-14 at BC)
* COLORADO is 10-2 ATS (90.9%) following up a SU loss in the last two seasons
Trend Match (PLAY): COLORADO (+3 vs. Iowa State)
* FLA ATLANTIC is 5-17 (23.8%) ATS in its last 22 games after a SU win
Trend Match (FADE): FLORIDA ATLANTIC (-5.5 vs. UAB)
* FLORIDA STATE is 11-23 (32.4%) ATS in conference games since ’21
Trend Match (FADE): FLORIDA STATE (-10.5 vs. Pitt)
* FRESNO STATE is 35-22-1 (61.4%) Under the total since ’21
* COLORADO STATE is 16-5-1 (76.2%) to the Under in home games since 2022
Trends Match (PLAY UNDER): FRESNO STATE-COLORADO STATE (o/u at 47.5)
* FRESNO STATE is 23-13 (63.9%) ATS coming off a SU win since ’21
Trend Match (PLAY): FRESNO STATE (-6.5 at Colorado State)
* GEORGIA is 23-15 (60.5%) ATS in road/neutral games since ’20
Trend Match (PLAY): GEORGIA (-3.5 at Auburn)
* GEORGIA TECH is 10-23-1 ATS (30.3%) as a favorite since ’18
Trend Match (FADE): GEORGIA TECH (-14.5 vs. Virginia Tech)
* HAWAII is 12-27 (30.8%) ATS as favorite since ’15
Trend Match (FADE): HAWAII (-1.5 vs. Utah State)
* IOWA is 22-8-1 (73.3%) ATS as road favorite since 2014
Trend Match (PLAY): IOWA (-3.5 at Wisconsin)
* IOWA STATE is 35-17-1 (67.3%) ATS in following a SU loss since 2015
Trend Match (PLAY): IOWA STATE (-3 at Colorado)
* JAMES MADISON is 27-14 (65.9%) ATS as a favorite since ’20
Trend Match (PLAY): JAMES MADISON (-17.5 vs. Louisiana)
* KANSAS is 39-25-1 (60.9%) Over the total since ‘19
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): KANSAS-TEXAS TECH (o/u at 59.5)
* KANSAS STATE is 12-6 ATS (66.7%) following up a SU loss in the last four seasons
Trend Match (PLAY): KANSAS STATE (+1.5 vs. TCU)
* LOUISIANA-MONROE is 16-4 (80%) to the Under as a favorite since 2018
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): ULM-COASTAL CAROLINA (o/u at 43.5)
* LOUISIANA TECH is 37-27-1 (57.8%) Over the total since ’19
* LOUISIANA TECH is 13-20 (39.4%) ATS in conference games over the last four seasons
Trends Match: FADE LOUISIANA TECH (-6.5 at Kennesaw State), also PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 45.5)
* MIAMI OHIO is on a 37-24-1 (60.7%) Under the total run over the last five seasons
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): MIAMI OH-AKRON (o/u at 45.5)
* MICHIGAN is 20-8 (71.4%) ATS in road/neutral games in the last four seasons
Trend Match (PLAY): MICHIGAN (+2.5 at USC)
* NAVY is 16-8 ATS (66.7%) following a SU win in the last four seasons
Trend Match (PLAY): NAVY (-9.5 at Temple)
* NEW MEXICO is 20-42 (32.3%) ATS in conference games since ’17
* NEW MEXICO is 21-8 (72.4%) Over the total in the last two seasons
Trends Match: FADE NEW MEXICO (+16.5 at Boise State), also PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 59.5)
* NC STATE is 4-13 ATS (23.5%) in non-conference games in the last three seasons
Trend Match (FADE): NC STATE (+22.5 at Notre Dame)
* OLE MISS is 18-5 ATS (78.3%) in non-conference games in five seasons under head coach Lane Kiffin
Trend Match (PLAY): OLE MISS (-32.5 vs. Washington State)
* OREGON STATE is 28-12 (70%) ATS in home games over the last six seasons
Trend Match (PLAY): OREGON STATE (+2.5 vs. Wake Forest)
* PENN STATE is 10-21 (32.3%) ATS coming off a SU loss since ’15
Trend Match (FADE): PENN STATE (-21.5 vs. Northwestern)
* PITTSBURGH is 43-24 (64.2%) Over the total since 2020
* PITTSBURGH is 1-9 ATS (10%) in its last 10 games as a road underdog
Trends Match: FADE PITTSBURGH (+10.5 at Florida State), also PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 57.5)
* SAN DIEGO STATE is 47-28 (62.7%) Under the total since ’19
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): SAN DIEGO STATE-NEVADA (o/u at 41.5)
* TROY is 21-6 (77.8%) ATS in road/neutral games since ’21
Trend Match (PLAY): TROY (+9.5 at Texas State)
* TULANE is 51-25 (67.1%) ATS as a favorite since ’14
Trend Match (PLAY): TULANE (-6.5 vs. East Carolina)
* TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO is 10-15 (40%) ATS at home since ’21
Trend Match (FADE): UTSA (-12.5 vs. Rice)
* UAB is 6-15 (28.6%) in road/neutral games over the last three seasons
Trend Match (FADE): UAB (+5.5 at FAU)
* USC is 32-13 ATS (71.1%) Over the total in the last three seasons
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): MICHIGAN-USC (o/u at 57.5)
* UTAH STATE is 5-15 ATS (25%) in road/neutral games over the last three seasons
Trend Match (FADE): UTAH STATE (+1.5 at Hawaii)
* UTEP is 9-22 (29%) ATS at home since ’20
Trend Match (FADE): UTEP (+1.5 vs. Liberty)
* WASHINGTON is 2-7 (22.2%) ATS following SU wins since 2024
Trend Match (FADE): WASHINGTON (-10.5 vs. Rutgers)
Top Head-to-Head Series College Football Betting Trends
These are the top head-to-head series college football betting trends between teams from recent years’ action:
Week 7
(113) EAST CAROLINA at (114) TULANE
* Under the total is 12-3 in the last 15 of the ECU-Tulane series
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): EAST CAROLINA-TULANE (o/u at 53.5)
(135) APPALACHIAN STATE at (136) GEORGIA STATE
* Road teams are 8-2 ATS in the Appalachian State-Georgia State series over the last decade
Trend Match (PLAY): APPALACHIAN STATE (-2.5 at Georgia State)
(139) CLEMSON at (140) BOSTON COLLEGE
* Road teams are 8-2-1 ATS in the Clemson-BC series
Trend Match (PLAY): CLEMSON (-14 at Boston College)
(143) VIRGINIA TECH at (144) GEORGIA TECH
* Road teams are on a 14-3 ATS surge in this ACC series
Trend Match (PLAY): VIRGINIA TECH (+14.5 at Georgia Tech)
(151) MIAMI OHIO at (152) AKRON
* Road teams are 10-2 ATS in the last 12 of the Miami OH-Akron series
Trend Match (PLAY): MIAMI OH (-11.5 at Akron)
(159) BALL STATE at (160) WESTERN MICHIGAN
* Over the total is 8-1 in the BALL STATE-WESTERN MICHIGAN series since 2016
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): BALL STATE-WESTERN MICHIGAN (o/u at 43.5)
(169) NEW MEXICO at (170) BOISE STATE
* Under the total is 7-0 in the last seven of this rivalry in Boise
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): NEW MEXICO-BOISE STATE (o/u at 59.5)
(193) TCU at (194) KANSAS STATE
* Under the total is 8-1 in the last nine of the TCU-KSU series
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): TCU-KANSAS STATE (o/u at 55.5)
(203) AIR FORCE at (204) UNLV
* Over the total is 11-3 in the last 14 of this series
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): AIR FORCE-UNLV (o/u at 65.5)
(205) UTAH STATE at (206) HAWAII
* UTAH STATE is 8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS in the series versus Hawaii since 2011
Trend Match (PLAY): UTAH STATE (+1.5 at Hawaii)
(209) PURDUE at (210) MINNESOTA
* Underdogs are 7-4 SU and 9-2 ATS in the last 11 of this rivalry
Trend Match (PLAY): PURDUE (+8.5 at Minnesota)
