VSiN Analytics College Football Report for Week 3

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VSiN Analytics College Football Report for Week 3

The following is a collection of analytical data, betting systems and strength ratings featured on VSiN and qualified for the college football games of Week 3. This report is meant to emulate the process that Steve Makinen and other members of the VSiN Analytics team undergo when handicapping each week’s college football board.

 

College Football Stability Score plays for Week 3

These college football Stability Scores provide a quantitative way to determine each team’s level of stability compared with how they finished the prior season. It is one of the foremost strategies Makinen employs every year to find value early. The thought is that teams in more stable year-to-year situations are better bets early while those that have undergone a lot of change in the offseason should be faded.

Steve keeps a handy chart on the Stability Scores of each FBS team and publishes them weekly for Week 0-3. He has found that a Stability Mismatch score of 8 is the minimum on which he will consider a play for this thought process (18-18 ATS on the year but has produced 11 straight years of winners). This week’s qualifying plays are below.

College Football Betting Splits | College Football Odds

THURSDAY

NAVY at MEMPHIS (-14.5)

Stability Advantage: MEMPHIS by 8

SATURDAY

FLORIDA STATE (-27.5) at BOSTON COLLEGE

Stability Advantage: FLORIDA STATE by 11

LOUISVILLE at INDIANA (+10)

Stability Advantage: INDIANA by 9

LSU (-10) at MISSISSIPPI STATE

Stability Advantage: LSU by 11

BOWLING GREEN at MICHIGAN (-39.5)

Stability Advantage: MICHIGAN by 11

NEW MEXICO STATE (+1) at NEW MEXICO

Stability Advantage: NEW MEXICO STATE by 12

WESTERN MICHIGAN at IOWA (-28)

Stability Advantage: IOWA by 13

SOUTH ALABAMA (+7) at OKLAHOMA STATE

Stability Advantage: SOUTH ALABAMA by 8

OKLAHOMA (-27) at TULSA

Stability Advantage: OKLAHOMA by 16

GEORGIA STATE (-7.5) at CHARLOTTE

Stability Advantage: GEORGIA STATE by 11

MIAMI OHIO (+16) at CINCINNATI

Stability Advantage: MIAMI OHIO by 13

NORTH TEXAS at LOUISIANA TECH (-3)

Stability Advantage: LOUISIANA TECH by 9

NORTHERN ILLINOIS (+11.5) at NEBRASKA

Stability Advantage: NORTHERN ILLINOIS by 14

VANDERBILT (-4.5) at UNLV

Stability Advantage: VANDERBILT by 10

LOUISIANA (+1) at UAB

Stability Advantage: LOUISIANA by 15

SYRACUSE (-2.5) at PURDUE

Stability Advantage: SYRACUSE by 9

COLORADO STATE (+22.5) at COLORADO

Stability Advantage: COLORADO STATE by 16

Strategies using CFB DraftKings Betting Splits data

VSiN.com’s BETTING SPLITS pages are among our most touted features and a fantastic resource for bettors. We have built these pages using the data DraftKings provides to us detailing the breakdowns of the money and ticket splits for point spreads, moneylines and totals. In an article published in the 2023 College Football Betting Guide, Makinen outlined 13 systematic strategies for successfully using the DK Betting Splits Data that developed in the ’22 season. Here are the systems and qualifying plays for this week’s games (records are shown heading into the 2023 season) as of Tuesday. These can AND WILL change, so continue to track and qualify the systems up until kickoff for best usage. There will be an updated betting splits article on Saturday morning.

DK Betting Splits system #1: When 80% or more of the HANDLE was on a particular side of an ATS wager, this majority group was just 40-47 ATS (46%). In other words, if you saw the big GREEN lights on the VSiN betting splits HANDLE page 80% or higher, it was best to fade it.

System matches (FADE ALL): FLORIDA STATE, PENN STATE, KANSAS STATE, IOWA STATE, WAKE FOREST, FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL, DUKE, WESTERN MICHIGAN, NORTH CAROLINA, OREGON STATE, ALABAMA, OKLAHOMA, APPALACHIAN STATE, TULANE, MIAMI OHIO, TENNESSEE, TOLEDO, UAB, SYRACUSE, CLEMSON, TCU, COLORADO, FRESNO STATE, KANSAS, ARIZONA

DK Betting Splits system #2: When 75%+ of the number of BETS were on a particular side of an ATS wager, this majority group was just 66-76 ATS (46.5%). Again, if you see the big GREEN lights on the VSiN betting splits # of BETS page 75% or higher, it was best to fade it.

System matches (FADE ALL): FLORIDA STATE, PENN STATE, KANSAS STATE, IOWA STATE, WISCONSIN, WAKE FOREST, NOTRE DAME, DUKE, NORTH CAROLINA, OREGON STATE, RUTGERS, ALABAMA, OKLAHOMA, APPALACHIAN STATE, OHIO STATE, TULANE, TENNESSEE, NEBRASKA, OKLAHOMA STATE, TOLEDO, UAB, VANDERBILT, SYRACUSE, CLEMSON, TCU, OREGON, COLORADO, KANSAS, ARIZONA

DK Betting Splits system #3: When the majority of the HANDLE was on ROAD FAVORITES for an ATS wager, this majority group was just 58-85 ATS (40.6%). More recreational bettors love road favorites because they are usually the better team. The point spread is the great equalizer.

System matches (FADE ALL): FLORIDA STATE, LIBERTY, PENN STATE, LOUISVILLE, LSU, KANSAS STATE, IOWA STATE, WAKE FOREST, ALABAMA, OKLAHOMA, TULANE, WASHINGTON, TENNESSEE, VANDERBILT, SYRACUSE, TCU, FRESNO STATE, KANSAS

DK Betting Splits system #4: Similar to #3 above, when the majority NUMBER of BETS was on ROAD FAVORITES for an ATS wager, this majority group was just 59-75 ATS (44.0%). Bet volume usually covers more public action, and again, recreational bettors love road favorites but don’t typically fare well long term.

System matches (FADE ALL): FLORIDA STATE, LIBERTY, PENN STATE, LSU, KANSAS STATE, IOWA STATE, WAKE FOREST, ALABAMA, OKLAHOMA, TULANE, WASHINGTON, GEORGIA STATE, TENNESSEE, VANDERBILT, SYRACUSE, TCU, FRESNO STATE, KANSAS

DK Betting Splits system #5: When the majority of the HANDLE was on ROAD UNDERDOGS for an ATS wager, this majority group was 100-82 ATS (54.9%). Now, 54.9% is less than the usual systems I like to present to readers, but this is a nice advantage against the usual majority win rates and goes to show that being on the “smart” side of majority handle can pay off. Remember, higher handle feels less “public” than higher bet counts.

System matches (PLAY ALL): UTAH STATE, UMASS, FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL, WESTERN MICHIGAN, MIAMI OHIO, SOUTH ALABAMA, AKRON, WYOMING

DK Betting Splits system #6: When the majority NUMBER of BETS was on ROAD UNDERDOGS for an ATS wager, this majority group was 98-75 ATS (56.6%). This is even better than the handle numbers in #5 actually and suggests that following public bettors getting behind road dogs can be an actionable strategy.

System matches (PLAY ALL): UTAH STATE, FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL, WESTERN MICHIGAN

DK Betting Splits system #7: When the majority of NUMBER of BETS backed a team in an ATS wager in NON-SATURDAY games, their 2022 season record was 72-46 (61%)! This goes to show that public bettors can be better performers with fewer games to choose from. A lot of times their mistake proves to be taking too many games on a Saturday.

System matches (PLAY ALL): MEMPHIS, MARYLAND, TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO, UTAH STATE

DK Betting Splits system #9: When the majority of the HANDLE backed a team in an FBS vs. FBS contest for an ATS wager, but the line moved towards the OPPOSITE team, this majority group was just 38-49 ATS (43.7%). This can be a tricky one to avoid, as it can be referred to as a trap in booking circles. The theory is that the more money a team gets on it, the more likely the line moves toward that team. This is the opposite scenario, and usually the public loses.

System matches (FADE ALL): MEMPHIS, TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO, MARYLAND, FLORIDA STATE, LOUISVILLE, PENN STATE, ALABAMA, DUKE, WESTERN MICHIGAN, OHIO STATE, NEBRASKA, TENNESSEE, AKRON, ARKANSAS, WEST VIRGINIA, OLE MISS, CLEMSON

DK Betting Splits system #10: The average college football total last year was 54.5. In games where the totals reached 57 or higher and oddsmakers thus expected them to be a little more explosive, when majority HANDLE bettors favored the UNDER, they were relatively sharp, going 35-21 (62.5%). This is pretty rare, as it occurred in only 56 of 776 games.

System matches (PLAY UNDER): Georgia Southern-Wisconsin (o/u at 63.5), Tennessee-Florida (o/u at 58.5), Georgia Tech-Ole Miss (o/u at 63), Kansas-Nevada (o/u at 59.5)

DK Betting Splits system #11: On games with totals of 45 or lower, 70%+ super majority HANDLE bettors siding with the UNDER were 15-8 (65.2%). Because not many public bettors embrace betting UNDERs, this didn’t produce a lot of plays but the super handle majority were sharp.

System matches (PLAY UNDER): Iowa State-Ohio (o/u at 44.5), Florida International-UConn (o/u at 42.5), Western Michigan-Iowa (o/u at 43), NIU-Nebraska (o/u at 43)

DK Betting Splits system #12: On games with totals of 45 or lower, 75%+ super majority number of BETS bettors bucking the low total and siding with the OVER were 22-13 (62.9%). Again, not a ton of plays here but the more public option of number of BETS was pretty good when going against the grain.

System match (PLAY OVER): Virginia Tech-Rutgers (o/u at 39.5)

DK Betting Splits system #13: On games where the HANDLE has a majority on totals and the # of BETS has the opposite majority, the majority HANDLE plays went 112-93 (54.6%). This could be described as more sharp action being displayed by the majority handle.

(PLAY OVER when there are opposite majorities and HANDLE favors OVER)

(PLAY UNDER when there are opposite majorities and HANDLE favors UNDER)

College Football Revenge Handicapping

The following are methodologies for handicapping revenge situations in college football, including the best and worst teams in revenge mode, and the best betting systems uncovered. REVENGE is defined as having lost a game to a specific opponent in the prior or current season only.

Best and Worst College Football Revenge Teams (since ’16)

Best

* NAVY is 12-20 SU and 20-12 ATS (62.5%) in revenge mode since ’16

System match: PLAY NAVY (+16 at Memphis)

* TULANE is 16-20 SU and 22-13 ATS (63%) in revenge mode since ’16

System match: PLAY TULANE (-11 at Southern Miss)

Worst

* NEW MEXICO is 6-30 SU and 12-22 ATS (35%) in revenge mode since ’16

System match: FADE NEW MEXICO (-1 vs. New Mexico State)

* MASSACHUSETTS is 2-16 SU and 6-12 ATS (33%) in revenge mode since ’16

System match: FADE MASSACHUSETTS (+10 at Eastern Michigan)

College football revenge systems

Neutral field underdogs are great in revenge

Home/Road revenge line range angles that have thrived

Double-digit road favorites have been solid producers in the revenge role, going 44-32 ATS (57.9%) since 2016.

System match: PLAY TULANE (-11 at Southern Miss)

Revenge teams that lost as double-digit favorites last time out

Teams looking to avenge outright losses where they were double-digit favorites have struggled, going just 84-107 ATS (44%) since 2016.

System matches: FADE TULANE (-11 at Southern Miss), FADE AIR FORCE (-10 vs. Utah State), FADE NORTHWESTERN (+19.5 at Duke), FADE GEORGIA STATE (-7.5 at Charlotte)

Extreme stat next game CFB betting systems

Huge week-to-week point spread movement

CFB teams that see their point spread in one game being at least 52 points worse than the prior game have performed very well in that follow-up contest since 2012, going 83-55 ATS (60.1%).

System match (PLAY ALL): NAVY +14.5 (at Memphis), BOWLING GREEN +40.5 (at Michigan), WESTERN KENTUCKY +28 (at Ohio State), LOUISIANA-MONROE +36 (at Texas A&M), FLORIDA +6.5 (vs. Tennessee), GEORGIA TECH +19 (at Ole Miss), WYOMING +29.5 (at Texas)

Upset losses as huge favorites snowball

Teams that lose in a college football game as favorites of 19.5 points or more have gone just 37-61 SU and 33-61-4 ATS (35.1%) in the follow-up game since 2012.

System match: FADE BUFFALO (+3.5 vs. Liberty)

Not taking advantage enough of turnovers can be a red flag

CFB FBS teams that benefited from a +5 turnover differential or greater but failed to score 44+ points in that game have responded by going just 31-50 ATS (38.3%) in their next contest since ’12.

System match: FADE SOUTH FLORIDA (+32 vs. Alabama)

Ride teams off of uber-dominant performances

Over the course of the last decade, CFB teams that scored 58 or more points in a game while allowing fewer than 10 have carried on the momentum well in the next outing, going 129-86 ATS (60%).

System match: PLAY LSU (-10 at Mississippi State), PLAY PENN STATE  (-15 at Illinois)

*Conflict: SAN JOSE STATE  and TOLEDO both qualify but play each other this week

This week’s College Football Strength Ratings

The following are taken from today’s MAKINEN WEEKLY RATINGS page under the NFL tab on VSiN.com. Listed by team, current line, and difference between rating and current line (in parentheses).

This week’s Top 10 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:

Ratings matches: 1. SOUTH CAROLINA +27.5 (+5.3), 2. NORTH TEXAS +4.5 (+5.0), 3. MICHIGAN STATE  +16 (+4.3), 4. NEVADA +28 (+4.1), 5. MISSISSIPPI STATE  +10 (+4.0), 6. VIRGINIA TECH +6.5 (+3.4), 7. LOUISIANA-MONROE +36 (+3.1), 8 (tie). INDIANA +10 (+1.9) and FLORDIA ATLANTIC +24 (+1.9), 10. BUFFALO +3.5 (+1.5)

This week’s Top 10 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:

Ratings matches: 1. TOLEDO -8 (+6.8), 2. IOWA STATE  -2.5 (+5.2), 3. OLE MISS -19.5 (+4.5), 4. ALABAMA -32 (+4.4), 5. OHIO STATE  -28 (+4.0), 6. KENTUCKY -26 (+3.3), 7. EASTERN MICHIGAN -9.5 (+3.2), 8. OKLAHOMA -27.5 (+2.9), 9. ARKANSAS -8.5 (+2.8), 10. CINCINNATI -14.5 (+2.7)

This week’s Top 10 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:

Ratings matches: 1. SAN DIEGO STATE  +24.5 (+6.1), 2. LOUISIANA-MONROE +36 (+4.7), 3. NEVADA +28 (+4.6), 4. SOUTH CAROLINA +27.5 (+4.5), 5. MICHIGAN STATE  +16 (+4.3), 6. NORTH TEXAS +4.5 (+3.8), 7. FLORIDA ATLANTIC +24 (+3.6), 8. UNLV +4 (+2.3), 9. BUFFALO +3.5 (+2.2), 10. GEORGIA SOUTHERN +19 (+2.1)

This week’s Top 10 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:

Ratings matches: 1. ALABAMA -32 (+6.4), 2. NEW MEXICO -1 (+6.2), 3. CINCINNATI -14.5 (+4.9), 4 (tie). MICHIGAN -39.5 (+3.9) and OHIO STATE  -28 (+3.9), 6. AIR FORCE -10 (+3.8), 7(tie). TEXAS -29.5 (+3.7) and OREGON -37.5 (+3.7), 9. UCONN -8.5 (+3.3), 10. KANSAS STATE  -4.5 (+3.2)

This week’s Top 10 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:

Ratings matches: 1. FLORIDA STATE-BOSTON COLLEGE OVER 49 (+5.9), 2. GEORGIA TECH-OLE MISS OVER 63 (+4.7), 3. WESTERN MICHIGAN-IOWA OVER 43 (+4.4), 4 (tie). SOUTH CAROLINA-GEORGIA OVER 54.5 (+4.3) and BYU-ARKANSAS OVER 47.5 (+4.3), 6. ARMY-UTSA OVER 45.5 (+4.1), 7 (tie). FIU-UCONN OVER 42.5 (+3.8) and EAST CAROLINA-APPALACHIAN STATE OVER 49.5 (+3.8), 9. NIU-NEBRASKA OVER 43 (+3.7), 10. JAMES MADISON-TROY OVER 47.5 (+3.3)

This week’s Top 10 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:

Ratings matches: 1. TCU-HOUSTON UNDER 64.5 (-10.3), 2. HAWAII-OREGON UNDER 68.5 (-7.9), 3. SYRACUSE-PURDUE UNDER 58.5 (-5.0), 4. NORTH TEXAS-LOUISIANA TECH UNDER 67.5 (-4.8), 5. WAKE FOREST-OLD DOMINION UNDER 61.5 (-4.6), 6. PENN STATE -ILLINOIS UNDER 48 (-4.3), 7(tie). LOUISIANA-UAB UNDER 59.5 (-4.2) and BOWLING GREEN-MICHIGAN UNDER 53.5 (-4.2), 9. VANDERBILT-UNLV UNDER 60 (-3.7), 10. SAN DIEGO STATE-OREGON STATE  UNDER 48.5 (-3.5)

This week’s Top 10 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:

Ratings matches: 1. NORTH TEXAS +4.5 (+6.2), 2. MICHIGAN STATE +16 (+4.6), 3 (tie). SOUTH CAROLINA +27.5 (+4.5) and LOUISIANA-MONROE +36 (+4.5), 5. VIRGINIA TECH +6.5 (+4.2), 6. CENTRAL MICHIGAN +34 (+3.8), 7. UTAH STATE  +10 (+3.5), 8. NEVADA +28 (+3.1), 9. MISSISSIPPI STATE  +10 (+2.0), 10. BUFFALO +3.5 (+1.9)

This week’s Top 10 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:

Ratings matches: 1. IOWA STATE  -2.5 (+7.8), 2. ALABAMA -32 (+7.0), 3. OLE MISS -19.5 (+5.6), 4. NEW MEXICO -1 (+5.5), 5 (tie). TULANE -12.5 (+5.0) and TOLEDO -8 (+5.0), 7. IOWA -28.5 (+4.9), 8. OKLAHOMA -27.5 (+4.8), 9. EASTERN MICHIGAN -9.5 (+4.4), 10. OHIO STATE  -28 (+4.3)

This week’s Top 10 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:

Ratings matches: 1. BYU-ARKANSAS OVER 47.5 (+9.5), 2. ARMY-UTSA OVER 45.5 (+7.1), 3. JAMES MADISON-TROY OVER 47.5 (+7.0), 4. TULANE-SOUTHERN MISS OVER 49.5 (+6.8), 5. NIU-NEBRASKA OVER 43 (+5.4), 6. FLORIDA STATE-BOSTON COLLEGE OVER 49 (+5.2), 7. WESTERN MICHIGAN-IOWA OVER 43 (+4.8), 8. LOUISVILLE-INDIANA OVER 52 (+4.7), 9. PITT-WEST VIRGINIA OVER 50.5 (+4.1), 10. KANSAS STATE -MISSOURI OVER 49 (+3.9)

This week’s Top 10 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:

Ratings matches: 1. VANDERBILT-UNLV UNDER 60 (-9.9), 2. HAWAII-OREGON UNDER 68.5 (-7.9), 3. WAKE FOREST-OLD DOMINION UNDER 61.5 (-6.0), 4. LOUISIANA-UAB UNDER 59.5 (-5.8), 5. SYRACUSE-PURDUE UNDER 58.5 (-5.3), 6. BOWLING GREEN-MICHIGAN UNDER 53.5 (-5.0), 7 (tie). OKLAHOMA-TULSA UNDER 60 (-3.4) and TCU-HOUSTON UNDER 64.5 (-3.4), 9. SAN JOSE STATE-TOLEDO UNDER 58.5 (-2.9), 10. LOUISIANA-MONROE-TEXAS A&M UNDER 53.5 (-2.7)

Top College Football Team Situational Trends

These are some of the top situational trends that have developed with teams in recent years of action:

* ARIZONA STATE is 18-9 (66.7%) ATS as Underdog since ’18

System match: PLAY ARIZONA STATE (+3 vs. Fresno State)

* ARKANSAS is 0-9 (0.0%) ATS coming off SU Win since ’20

System match: FADE ARKANSAS (-10 vs. BYU)

* BOSTON COLLEGE is 17-6 (73.9%) ATS in Conference games since ’20

System match: PLAY BOSTON COLLEGE (+27.5 vs. Florida State)

* BOWLING GREEN is 9-28 (24.3%) ATS as Underdog since ’19

* BOWLING GREEN is 2-12 (14.3%) ATS in Non-Conference games since ’19

System match: FADE BOWLING GREEN (+39.5 at Michigan)

* BUFFALO is 17-5 (77.3%) ATS at Home since ’19

System match: PLAY BUFFALO (+3.5 vs. Liberty)

* DUKE is 28-11 (71.8%) ATS in Non-Conference games since ’14

System match: PLAY DUKE (-18.5 vs. Northwestern)

* FLORIDA STATE is 6-15 (28.6%) ATS in Road/Neutral games since ’19

* FLORIDA STATE is 3-12 (20.0%) ATS in Conference games since ’21

System match: FADE FLORIDA STATE (-27.5 at Boston College)

* FRESNO STATE is 21-9 (70%) UNDER the total since ’21

* FRESNO STATE is 15-5 (75%) ATS coming off SU Win since ’21

System matches: PLAY UNDER in FRESNO STATE-ARIZONA STATE (o/u at 51), PLAY FRESNO STATE  (-3 at Arizona State)

* KANSAS is 1-8 (11.1%) ATS as Favorite since ’18

System match: FADE KANSAS (-27.5 at Nevada)

* LOUISVILLE is 2-8 (20%) ATS in Non-Conference games since ’21

System match: FADE LOUISVILLE (-10 at Indiana)

* LSU is 19-8 (70.4%) ATS in Road/Neutral games since ’19

System match: PLAY LSU (-10 at Mississippi State)

* MARYLAND is 13-6 (68.4%) ATS in Non-Conference games since ’17

System match: PLAY MARYLAND (-14 vs. Virginia)

* MISSISSIPPI STATE is 21-7 (75%) UNDER the total since ’21

* MISSISSIPPI STATE is 12-4 (75%) ATS at Home since ’21

System match: PLAY UNDER in LSU-MISSISSIPPI STATE (o/u at 53.5), PLAY MISSISSIPPI STATE (+10 vs. LSU)

* NEBRASKA was 0-7 (0.0%) ATS at Home in ’22

System match: FADE NEBRASKA (-11 vs. Northern Illinois)

* NEW MEXICO is 3-14 (17.6%) ATS as Favorite since ’18

System match: FADE NEW MEXICO (-1 vs. New Mexico State)

* OLD DOMINION is 5-14 (26.3%) ATS at Home since ’19

System match: FADE OLD DOMINION (+14 vs. Wake Forest)

* OREGON STATE is 22-7 (75.9%) ATS coming off SU Win since ’16

System match: PLAY OREGON STATE (-24 vs. San Diego State)

* PENN STATE is 24-9 (72.7%) ATS coming off SU Win since ’19

System match: PLAY PENN STATE (-15 at Illinois)

* PURDUE is 14-4 (77.8%) ATS as Underdog since ’20

System match: PLAY PURDUE (+2.5 vs. Syracuse)

* S ALABAMA is 12-31 (27.9%) ATS coming off SU Win since ’14

System match: FADE SOUTH ALABAMA (+7.5 at Oklahoma State)

* SAN DIEGO STATE is 35-14 (71.4%) UNDER the total since ’19

System match: PLAY UNDER in SAN DIEGO STATE-OREGON STATE (o/u at 46.5)

* TEMPLE is 11-3 (78.6%) ATS coming off SU Loss since ’20

System match: PLAY TEMPLE (vs. Norfolk State)

* TEXAS A&M is 16-4 (80%) ATS in Non-Conference games since ’18

System match: PLAY TEXAS A&M (-36.5 vs. LA-Monroe)

* TULANE is 36-14 (72%) ATS as Favorite since ’14

System match: PLAY TULANE (-11.5 at Southern Miss)

* TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO is 1-11 (8.3%) ATS at Home since ’21

System match: FADE TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO (-9 vs. Army)

* UAB is 15-3 (83.3%) ATS at Home since ’20

System match: PLAY UAB (-1 vs. Louisiana)

* UCLA is 7-17 (29.2%) ATS in Non-Conference games since ’15

System match: FADE UCLA (vs. NC Central)

* UNLV is 17-5 (77.3%) ATS in Non-Conference games since ’17

System match: PLAY UNLV (+4.5 vs. Vanderbilt)

Top College Football Head-to-Head Series Trends

These are the top head-to-head series trends between teams from recent years’ action:

NORTHWESTERN at DUKE

* UNDERDOGS are 9-1 ATS in last 10 of Northwestern-Duke series

System match: PLAY NORTHWESTERN (+19.5 at Duke)

SOUTH CAROLINA at GEORGIA

* ROAD TEAMS are 5-2 SU and 7-0 in South Carolina-Georgia rivalry since ’16

System match: PLAY SOUTH CAROLINA ATS (+27.5 at Georgia)