Week 0 College Football Power Ratings:
The long, challenging, and exciting summer of preparation for the 2025 college football season can finally be put into action this week. Week 0 is here, our first chance to see what some of these teams look like following yet another crazy offseason of transfers and coaching changes. It really does make the process of creating college football power ratings so much more difficult, but the hope is always going to be that the extra research and evaluation proves fruitful.
This year’s power ratings came together differently for me than those in the past. Usually I go through each team by position group, place my values on those units, add ‘em all up, and go with it. This season, I surveyed the power ratings of friends and respected bettors in the business, and then sprinkled in some of my own adjustments based on the teams I like more than the market and the teams I like less than the market.
A shortcut? Maybe, but my belief is that these people are more tuned in to all of the happenings of the offseason, the rankings of incoming and transfer classes, returning production, and all of the ingredients that go into the proverbial soup. Obviously I still did my own research, especially for the four conferences that I wrote up for our VSiN 2025 College Football Betting Guide. I just leaned a little more on the smart minds who are able to put more of their time into CFB pursuits, as my role here with VSiN forces me to be up on nearly all the sports that are in season.
The reality is that having a good base is critically important, but it’s even more important to be able to make the proper adjustments as the season goes along. We’re all going into college football seasons a little bit blind at this point. But, reading and reacting to results, market moves and trends, and being adaptable to get ahead of line moves and make sharp wagers in the following weeks is how to truly have a successful season.
So, as always, I’ll be posting these college football power ratings updates on Sunday nights or Monday mornings as we go forward. I take the difference in rating between the two teams, add my home-field advantage value into the formula, and then try to beat line moves early in the week or use these as a deciding factor later in the week.
Like I’ve said before, I consider Sunday, Monday, and Tuesday CFB handicapping to be more on the quantitative side. Starting Wednesday and beyond, the handicap becomes more qualitative, as things like the weather forecast and injury reports get clearer. I do rely less on my power ratings as the week goes along and more on the news and the X’s and O’s of the game.
But, I do believe that this is a good resource and a valuable starting point for me and I’m happy to share it with all of you as well.
Week 0 College Football Power Ratings
Rank | Team | PR | HFA |
1 | Ohio State | 91 | 3.5 |
2 | Texas | 91 | 3.5 |
3 | Penn State | 90 | 3.5 |
4 | Georgia | 89.5 | 3 |
5 | Alabama | 89.5 | 3.5 |
6 | Clemson | 87 | 2.5 |
7 | Notre Dame | 86.5 | 3 |
8 | Oregon | 86 | 3.5 |
9 | LSU | 85.5 | 3.5 |
10 | Michigan | 84 | 3 |
11 | Texas A&M | 83.5 | 2 |
12 | Florida | 82.5 | 2 |
13 | Oklahoma | 82 | 3 |
14 | Tennessee | 81.5 | 3.5 |
15 | Mississippi | 80.5 | 3 |
16 | South Carolina | 79.5 | 2.5 |
17 | Arizona State | 79.5 | 2 |
18 | Indiana | 79 | 2.5 |
19 | Miami (Florida) | 79 | 2 |
20 | Louisville | 79 | 3.5 |
21 | Auburn | 78.5 | 2 |
22 | USC | 77.5 | 3 |
23 | Kansas State | 77.5 | 3.5 |
24 | SMU | 77 | 3.5 |
25 | Baylor | 77 | 2 |
26 | TCU | 77 | 3 |
27 | Texas Tech | 76.5 | 3 |
28 | Illinois | 76.5 | 2 |
29 | Iowa State | 76 | 2 |
30 | Missouri | 75 | 3.5 |
31 | Nebraska | 75 | 2 |
32 | Washington | 74.5 | 3.5 |
33 | Iowa | 74 | 3 |
34 | Utah | 74 | 3 |
35 | Georgia Tech | 73.5 | 2 |
36 | Arkansas | 73 | 2 |
37 | Kansas | 72.5 | 2.5 |
38 | Boise State | 72 | 3.5 |
39 | BYU | 72 | 2 |
40 | Minnesota | 72 | 2 |
41 | Wisconsin | 72 | 2 |
42 | Virginia Tech | 71.5 | 2 |
43 | Vanderbilt | 71.5 | 1.5 |
44 | Florida State | 71 | 2 |
45 | UCLA | 69.5 | 2 |
46 | Pittsburgh | 69.5 | 2 |
47 | Colorado | 69 | 2 |
48 | Cincinnati | 69 | 1.5 |
49 | Duke | 69 | 3.5 |
50 | Boston College | 68.5 | 2 |
51 | Houston | 68.5 | 2 |
52 | Tulane | 68 | 2.5 |
53 | Kentucky | 68 | 2 |
54 | Rutgers | 68 | 2 |
55 | UTSA | 67.5 | 3.5 |
56 | North Carolina State | 67 | 2 |
57 | North Carolina | 67 | 2 |
58 | Navy | 67 | 2 |
59 | Mississippi State | 67 | 2 |
60 | UCF | 66 | 2 |
61 | Syracuse | 66 | 2.5 |
62 | West Virginia | 66 | 2 |
63 | Michigan State | 66 | 2 |
64 | Virginia | 65 | 2 |
65 | Arizona | 65 | 2 |
66 | Memphis | 64.5 | 2.5 |
67 | California | 64 | 2 |
68 | James Madison | 64 | 3 |
69 | Maryland | 63.5 | 2 |
70 | Oklahoma State | 63 | 2 |
71 | South Florida | 63 | 1.5 |
72 | Northwestern | 62.5 | 1.5 |
73 | San Jose State | 62 | 2.5 |
74 | UNLV | 61.5 | 2.5 |
75 | Louisiana-Lafayette | 61 | 2 |
76 | Oregon State | 60.5 | 3.5 |
77 | Army | 60 | 2.5 |
78 | Stanford | 60 | 1 |
79 | Liberty | 60 | 3 |
80 | Toledo | 60 | 3 |
81 | Fresno State | 60 | 2 |
82 | North Texas | 59.5 | 2 |
83 | Texas State | 59 | 2 |
84 | Wake Forest | 59 | 2 |
85 | Old Dominion | 59 | 1.5 |
86 | East Carolina | 59 | 2 |
87 | Ohio | 59 | 3.5 |
88 | Buffalo | 59 | 2 |
89 | Connecticut | 58.5 | 2.5 |
90 | Georgia Southern | 58 | 3.5 |
91 | South Alabama | 58 | 2 |
92 | Air Force | 58 | 2 |
93 | Washington State | 56 | 3 |
94 | Colorado State | 56 | 2 |
95 | Western Kentucky | 56 | 2.5 |
96 | Coastal Carolina | 56 | 2 |
97 | Appalachian State | 55.5 | 2 |
98 | Hawai’i | 55.5 | 2 |
99 | Miami (Ohio) | 55 | 2.5 |
100 | Northern Illinois | 55 | 1 |
101 | Arkansas State | 55 | 2 |
102 | Wyoming | 54.5 | 2 |
103 | Troy | 54 | 3 |
104 | Bowling Green | 54 | 2 |
105 | Purdue | 54 | 1 |
106 | Louisiana Tech | 52.5 | 2 |
107 | San Diego State | 52.5 | 2 |
108 | Louisiana-Monroe | 52 | 2 |
109 | Marshall | 52 | 3 |
110 | Georgia State | 52 | 1 |
111 | Western Michigan | 52 | 2 |
112 | Nevada | 51 | 1 |
113 | Jacksonville State | 51 | 3.5 |
114 | Florida Atlantic | 51 | 2 |
115 | Southern Mississippi | 51 | 2 |
116 | Rice | 50.5 | 3 |
117 | Utah State | 50.5 | 2 |
118 | Sam Houston State | 50 | 1.5 |
119 | UAB | 48.5 | 2.5 |
120 | Temple | 48.5 | 2 |
121 | Central Michigan | 48.5 | 2 |
122 | New Mexico | 48 | 2 |
123 | Florida International | 48 | 2 |
124 | UTEP | 48 | 2 |
125 | Missouri State | 47.5 | 2 |
126 | Charlotte | 47.5 | 1 |
127 | Eastern Michigan | 47.5 | 2 |
128 | Delaware | 47 | 3 |
129 | Middle Tennessee | 46.5 | 2 |
130 | Akron | 46 | 2 |
131 | New Mexico State | 45.5 | 2.5 |
132 | Tulsa | 44 | 1 |
133 | Ball State | 43.5 | 2.5 |
134 | Massachusetts | 42 | 1 |
135 | Kennesaw State | 42 | 1.5 |
136 | Kent State | 37.5 | 1 |
As the season goes along, I’ll write up my weekly adjustments (up/downs) for teams and also give a little more context to the biggest of the line moves. In the past, I’ve relied a lot more on my priors and all of my offseason research to avoid making drastic adjustments too early, but in the portal era, and with some of the things that Steve Makinen talked about in his College Football Stability Scores article, I’m expecting to be more aggressive this season.
I’ll talk more about that process next week, especially because it will be easy to hone in on the nine FBS teams in action and with just four box scores to evaluate.
My Week 0 College Football Lines
(note: games are ordered by rotation number)
Date | Away Team | Home Team | Line |
8/23 | Iowa State | Kansas State (N – Dublin) | -1.5 |
Sam Houston State | Western Kentucky | -8.5 | |
Fresno State | Kansas | -15 | |
Stanford | Hawaii | +2.5 |
Some mild deviations from the market, but these are all tough games. A game in Dublin has inherent landmines. Hawaii flipped to a favorite, as my number mirrors the opening number instead of the current one, but starting on the island is tricky. If the price keeps dropping on Kansas, I might be a player there. I tend to agree with the Western Kentucky move and those two teams may be adjustments for me for next week.
It’s okay to treat some games as fact-finding missions, especially if it’s a team that you feel less sure about than others. Keep that in mind, as we’ll all be very excited about the start of the season, but it is a time to be smart about your bankroll.
I’ll be posting this weekly Power Ratings update all season long, including my lines on the games. Keep it locked in right here at VSiN and bookmark our weekly College Football Hub to get all of our written content every week during CFB season.