Week 15 College Football Power Ratings:

Conference championship weekend has arrived. That means we only have nine games on the slate, but they are nine very important games. Five have big College Football Playoff implications and the other ones will determine the champions of the Sun Belt, MAC, Conference USA, and the AAC.

I’ve updated my Power Ratings going into this week, including updates on teams whose seasons are over. I try to use my Power Ratings as a guide for evaluating teams for the next season, but that may be a futile endeavor with the transfer portal and all of the roster turnover. Plus, we have a ton of coaching openings already.

 

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Nevertheless, the ratings are updated and I’ll be able to put together some early bowl game numbers, but, as we know, the dynamics of those games will change with opt-outs and coaches moving on to different programs.

Here are my Week 15 College Football Power Ratings

RankTeamPRHFA
1Oregon903.5
2Ohio State88.53.5
3Texas88.53.5
4Georgia85.53
5Notre Dame85.53.5
6Alabama843.5
7Penn State843.5
8Mississippi83.53.5
9Indiana831.5
10Tennessee823.5
11SMU813.5
12South Carolina812.5
13Clemson803
14Miami (Florida)792
15Texas A&M793
16Colorado78.52
17Kansas782
18Louisville783.5
19Florida77.52
20Baylor772
21Arizona State76.52
22Auburn76.52
23Iowa State762
24LSU763.5
25USC75.52
26Michigan75.53.5
27Virginia Tech74.52
28Kansas State743.5
29TCU73.52.5
30Tulane73.52
31Boise State732.5
32BYU732
33Georgia Tech731
34Washington732
35UCF72.53
36Minnesota722
37Oklahoma723.5
38Texas Tech71.52.5
39Vanderbilt71.51
40UNLV712
41Missouri70.52
42Kentucky702.5
43Arkansas69.52
44California69.52
45Cincinnati68.52
46Iowa68.52.5
47Nebraska68.52
48Duke683
49Texas State682
50Virginia682
51Army67.52
52Illinois67.52
53Syracuse67.52.5
54West Virginia67.53
55Boston College671.5
56North Carolina State673.5
57Utah66.53.5
58Washington State66.52.5
59UCLA662
60Wisconsin662
61North Carolina65.52.5
62Rutgers65.52
63Memphis652
64UTSA653.5
65Houston642
66James Madison643.5
67Louisiana-Lafayette643
68Marshall642
69Pittsburgh642
70Maryland63.52
71South Alabama63.52.5
72Arizona632
73Navy632
74Oklahoma State633.5
75San Jose State622
76Wake Forest622.5
77Mississippi State61.52
78Old Dominion61.52
79South Florida612
80Jacksonville State602.5
81Stanford601
82East Carolina59.52
83Fresno State59.52.5
84Michigan State59.52.5
85North Texas59.52
86Northwestern591.5
87Ohio592
88Air Force582.5
89Bowling Green582
90Miami (Ohio)583
91Northern Illinois581.5
92Connecticut57.52
93Florida State57.52
94Georgia Southern57.52
95Liberty57.53
96Appalachian State572.5
97Colorado State571
98New Mexico56.51
99Oregon State56.53.5
100Western Kentucky562.5
101Sam Houston State55.52
102Troy55.52.5
103Arkansas State552
104Toledo552.5
105Rice54.52
106Coastal Carolina542.5
107Nevada53.51.5
108Louisiana-Monroe532
109Utah State532
110Hawai’i52.52
111Buffalo521
112Georgia State522
113Louisiana Tech522
114San Diego State522
115Charlotte51.51
116Purdue51.52
117Akron501
118UAB502.5
119Western Michigan502
120Wyoming49.52.5
121Florida International48.51
122Eastern Michigan482
123Massachusetts46.51
124Florida Atlantic45.52
125Temple452
126Central Michigan44.52
127UTEP43.52
128Ball State42.52
129New Mexico State422.5
130Southern Mississippi402
131Middle Tennessee39.52
132Kennesaw State382
133Tulsa37.51
134Kent State28.52

Here are this week’s Power Ratings adjustments:

Up: Buffalo +2, Akron +2.5, Memphis +2, Minnesota +1.5, Oregon State +1.5, San Jose State +1.5, Nebraska +1, Georgia Tech +2.5, East Carolina +1.5, UTSA +1.5, South Carolina +1, Boston College +2, NC State +1, Florida +2.5, Central Michigan +1.5, North Texas +1.5, Tennessee +1.5, UMass +2, Syracuse +1.5, Marshall +2, UAB +3.5, Wake Forest +1.5, FIU +1.5, Arizona State +3.5, BYU +1.5, Air Force +2.5, Baylor +3.5, Louisville +3.5, Missouri +1, Louisiana +1.5, UTEP +2, USC +1.5, Texas +2, Michigan +3

Down: Kent State -3, Toledo -2.5, Tulane -2, Bowling Green -1.5, Wisconsin -2.5, Mississippi -1, Stanford -1.5, Iowa -5.5, Georgia -1.5, Colorado State -1, Navy -1.5, Army -1.5, Pitt -4, North Carolina -1, Florida State -4, Northern Illinois -1.5, Temple -3, UConn -1.5, Miami (FL) -2.5, Charlotte -2.5, App State -1, Duke -1.5, Ohio State -2.5, Michigan State -2, Middle Tennessee -2, UCLA -2, Tulsa -3.5, SMU -1, Kentucky -2, New Mexico State -2, Washington State -3, Notre Dame -1.5, New Mexico -2.5

Here are my Week 15 College Football Lines

DateAway TeamHome TeamLine
12/6TulaneArmy+4
Western KentuckyJacksonville State-6.5
UNLVBoise State-4.5
12/7Iowa StateArizona State (N – Arlington)-0.5
OhioMiami (OH) (N – Detroit)+1
GeorgiaTexas (N – Atlanta)-3
MarshallLouisiana-3
ClemsonSMU (N – Charlotte)-1
Penn StateOregon (N – Indy)-6

Some games to consider based on the differences between the betting market and my lines

Jacksonville State -4 (-6.5) vs. Western Kentucky: I’ve thought that Jacksonville State was the class of the conference for a while now. They had nothing to play for last week and still almost beat Western Kentucky. Tyler Huff is a great dual-threat QB, despite an ugly passing effort last week. The Gamecocks ran for 229 yards and 5.3 yards per carry in a game that didn’t matter to them.

Ohio +2.5 (-1) vs. Miami (OH): I understand why Miami is favored here. They won 30-20 in the first game and it really wasn’t as close as the final score would indicate. Miami was -3.5 at home in that one. Admittedly, I’ve had a hard time rating all the MAC teams this season.

Oregon -3.5 (-6) vs. Penn State: Oregon has been the No. 1 team for me for a while and I think they have a tremendous coaching advantage here. This one is my favorite play of the week.

I’ll be posting this weekly Power Ratings update all season long, including my lines on the games. Keep it locked in right here at VSiN and bookmark our weekly College Football Hub to get all of our written content every week during CFB season.

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