In the third round of the 2025 U.S. Open at Oakmont Country Club, Sam Burns continued to stun the golf world, shooting a 69 on Saturday and taking a one-shot lead into the final round. If Burns can hold the lead on Sunday, he would be the eighth first-time winner at Oakmont. Play is set to begin at 7:52 a.m. ET, with the final pairing of Burns and Adam Scott set to tee off at 2:15 p.m. ET.
U.S. Open fourth-round tee times
VSiN’s golf experts offered their third-round observations and fourth-round predictions . . .
Kelley Bydlon
We’re down to the final round at the U.S. Open, and it looks like it will be a tight race down the stretch. Sam Burns (-4) has a one-shot lead over Adam Scott and J.J. Spaun. Burns is pretty correctly priced at +170 in my opinion, as he was my highest rated golfer of the ones that remain in contention. However, if you’re looking for a longer shot play, Viktor Hovland at +700, only three shots back, is pretty attractive to me. I’ve made a couple of live top 10 bets on him through the tournament, so I will stick to those, but I do think he’s live to win the thing. I would not look any further down the board for an outright bet. I think it’s down to one of those four golfers under par.
Some fourth-round matchups I like:
Xander Schauffele -115 > Rory McIlroy
Matt Youmans
I bet Burns +315 at Circa Sports with the hope he can erase a few losing bets on this tournament. Burns and J.J. Spaun have been finding fairways and staying hot on the greens, a winning formula which sounds simple yet has perplexed all of the world’s top players this week at Oakmont. This tournament has been a handicapping riddle. I’m also holding Cameron Young at 115-1 as a pre-tournament play, but Young is seven strokes back (tied for ninth) and hoping for a miracle is not my style. Young has no shot, but I would say any one of eight other players could win Sunday.
According to @JustinRayGolf, players with a one-shot lead after 54 holes have won 42% of the time in all majors in the past 40 years. As for Burns, who leads Spaun and Adam Scott by one stroke, he’s unlikely to choke under pressure while trying to win his first major. Scott is a player almost everyone loves and he’ll be the fan favorite, but Burns and Spaun are good guys who will have fans behind them as well. I still believe Burns will close the deal.
