Jeff Siegel’s Horse Racing Picks for 11/5


Xpressbet writer Jeff Siegel offers his top plays for Saturday.

Keeneland Race 3 (Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Sprint, 11:50 a.m. ET)
#8 Goodnight Olive (3-1)


Ghostzapper filly has much in her favor and offers excellent wagering value at 3-1 on the morning line if you can get it. After finishing a strong second in her debut in the spring of 2021, she has been untouchable since, winning her next five races, each with complete authority and by daylight, most recently the Grade 1 Ballerina Stakes at Saratoga at this same seven-furlong trip. Freshened for more than two months but with a solid and healthy work tab in the interim, she has the type of tactical speed that is ideal for this extended sprint distance plus a runaway win in her only start over the Keeneland main track.

Keeneland Race 10 (Breeders’ Cup Turf, 4:40 p.m. ET)
#5 Rebel’s Romance (3-1)

Began his career running exclusively on dirt or all-weather surfaces in England and Dubai but since being switched to grass, the Dubawi gelding has won all four of his starts, each a group stakes race, most recently back-to-back Group 1s in Germany. On pure form he’s every bit as good as last year’s BC Turf winner Yibir, so at 3-1 on the morning line he’s a strong play in the Win pool and in the various rolling exotics. 

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