Wake up with VSiN Daily Morning Bets, a quick 15-minute podcast posted at 7 a.m. ET highlighting the top games and biggest line moves of the day. For a full breakdown of Monday’s betting action be sure to catch the VSiN Market Insights Podcast at 3 p.m. ET.
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In the meantime, let’s examine where smart money is leaning for Monday’s MLB action...
6:40 p.m. ET: Toronto Blue Jays (-155, 8) at Miami Marlins
The Blue Jays (39-34) just dropped two of three at the Rangers, losing 11-7 on Sunday as +125 road dogs. Meanwhile, the Marlins (41-31) just swept the Nationals, winning 4-2 yesterday as -160 road favorites. In tonight’s Interleague series opener, Toronto goes with righty Jose Berrios (7-4, 3.28 ERA) and Miami sends out fellow righty Bryan Hoeing (1-1, 3.12 ERA). This line opened with the Blue Jays listed as a -150 road favorite and the Marlins a +135 home dog. Sharps are buying low on Toronto after a pair of losses, steaming the Jays up from -150 to -155. Toronto is receiving 60% of bets but 70% of money, signaling modest public support but also heavy smart money. Road Interleague favorites are 69-35 (66%) this year, producing a 13% ROI. AL East favorites playing non-AL East teams are 121-49 (71%) with a 16% ROI. Berrios has a 1.37 ERA in three June starts. The Jays are 7-1 in Berrios’ last eight starts. The total is 8 with the over juiced to -120, signaling some over liability and a possible rise up to 8.5.
7:10 p.m. ET: Colorado Rockies at Cincinnati Reds (-160, 10)
The Rockies (29-45) have lost five straight games and just got swept at the Braves, losing 14-6 on Sunday as +250 road dogs. On the flip side, the Reds (37-35) have won eight straight games and just swept the Astros, winning 9-7 yesterday as +130 road dogs. In tonight’s series opener, Colorado hands the ball to lefty Austin Gomber (4-6, 7.29 ERA) and Cincinnati counters with fellow southpaw Brandon Williamson (1-0, 5.40 ERA). This line opened with the Reds listed as a -150 home favorite and the Rockies a +135 road dog. Sharps are riding the hot hand, steaming Cincinnati up from -150 to -160. The Reds are receiving 88% of bets and 90% of money, indicating a heavy combination of both Pro and Joe support. Home favorites off a win receiving 5-cents of steam or more are 115-56 (67%) this season, producing a 9% ROI. The Reds are 14-9 against lefties this season (as opposed to 23-26 against righties). Colorado is in a fade spot, going 26-39 as a dog and 13-26 on the road. Pros also hit the over, raising the total from 9.5 to 10. The over is getting 63% of bets but 92% of money, a notable sharp bet discrepancy. Both teams are 4-2 to the over in their last six games.
