Betting Splits and MLB Sharp Money Picks for Saturday August 12

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Today the weekend kicks off with a loaded slate of 16 MLB games. You can track the latest odds and betting percentages for every matchup using our VSiN Betting Splits

 

In the meantime, let’s examine where smart money is leaning for Saturday’s MLB slate…

 

7:05 p.m. ET: Oakland Athletics at Washington Nationals (-140, 9.5)

The Nationals (51-66) took Friday night’s Interleague series opener 8-2, cruising as -120 home favorites. In tonight’s rematch, the Athletics (33-83) hand the ball to righty Luis Medina (3-8, 5.47 ERA) and the Nationals counter with fellow righty Jake Irvin (3-5, 4.93 ERA). This line opened with Washington listed as a -125 home favorite and Oakland a +110 road dog. Sharps have pounced on the Nats laying a short chalk price at home, steaming Washington up from -125 to -140. The Nats are receiving roughly 70% of bets and dollars, indicating both Pro and Joe support in their favor. Washington has classic "interleague favorite" value, as the lack of familiarity benefits the better team. Interleague favorites off a win are 172-103 (63%) this season with a 4% ROI. The Nats have the better bats (hitting .258 vs .222) and superior pitching (team ERA 4.89 vs 5.80). The Nats also have a better bullpen, sporting a -7 rating compared to -25 for Oakland. The Athletics are 15-42 on the road, the worst road record in MLB. Washington is 5-1 in Irvin’s last six starts. 

 

7:15 p.m. ET: Milwaukee Brewers (-165, 8.5) at Chicago White Sox

The Brewers (63-54) won last night’s Interleague series opener 7-6 in extra innings, taking care of business as -180 road favorites. In tonight’s rematch, the Brewers start righty Brandon Woodruff (1-1, 1.65 ERA) and the White Sox (47-70) go with fellow righty Jesse Scholtens (1-4, 3.06 ERA). This line opened with Milwaukee listed as a -155 road favorite and Chicago a +130 home dog. Pros are once again backing the Brew Crew, steaming Milwaukee up from -155 to -165. The Brewers are receiving 77% of bets and 79% of money, signaling heavy support from both the public and wiseguys. Interleague road favorites off a win are 58-36 (62%) this season with a 4% ROI. Both teams are hitting roughly .236. The difference comes on the mound, with Milwaukee sporting a 4.05 ERA compared to 4.59 for Chicago. The Brewers also have a massive bullpen edge (rating +13 vs -10). Woodruff has made three starts since returning from the injured list and given up two earned runs of less in all three starts. The Brewers are 36-26 as a favorite, 30-27 on the road and 48-36 against righties. The White Sox are 28-52 as a dog, 25-31 at home and 33-54 against righties.