Betting Splits and MLB Sharp Money Picks for Saturday August 12

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Today the weekend kicks off with a loaded slate of 16 MLB games. You can track the latest odds and betting percentages for every matchup using our VSiN Betting Splits

 

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In the meantime, let’s examine where smart money is leaning for Saturday’s MLB slate…

 

7:05 p.m. ET: Oakland Athletics at Washington Nationals (-140, 9.5)

The Nationals (51-66) took Friday night’s Interleague series opener 8-2, cruising as -120 home favorites. In tonight’s rematch, the Athletics (33-83) hand the ball to righty Luis Medina (3-8, 5.47 ERA) and the Nationals counter with fellow righty Jake Irvin (3-5, 4.93 ERA). This line opened with Washington listed as a -125 home favorite and Oakland a +110 road dog. Sharps have pounced on the Nats laying a short chalk price at home, steaming Washington up from -125 to -140. The Nats are receiving roughly 70% of bets and dollars, indicating both Pro and Joe support in their favor. Washington has classic "interleague favorite" value, as the lack of familiarity benefits the better team. Interleague favorites off a win are 172-103 (63%) this season with a 4% ROI. The Nats have the better bats (hitting .258 vs .222) and superior pitching (team ERA 4.89 vs 5.80). The Nats also have a better bullpen, sporting a -7 rating compared to -25 for Oakland. The Athletics are 15-42 on the road, the worst road record in MLB. Washington is 5-1 in Irvin’s last six starts. 

 

7:15 p.m. ET: Milwaukee Brewers (-165, 8.5) at Chicago White Sox

The Brewers (63-54) won last night’s Interleague series opener 7-6 in extra innings, taking care of business as -180 road favorites. In tonight’s rematch, the Brewers start righty Brandon Woodruff (1-1, 1.65 ERA) and the White Sox (47-70) go with fellow righty Jesse Scholtens (1-4, 3.06 ERA). This line opened with Milwaukee listed as a -155 road favorite and Chicago a +130 home dog. Pros are once again backing the Brew Crew, steaming Milwaukee up from -155 to -165. The Brewers are receiving 77% of bets and 79% of money, signaling heavy support from both the public and wiseguys. Interleague road favorites off a win are 58-36 (62%) this season with a 4% ROI. Both teams are hitting roughly .236. The difference comes on the mound, with Milwaukee sporting a 4.05 ERA compared to 4.59 for Chicago. The Brewers also have a massive bullpen edge (rating +13 vs -10). Woodruff has made three starts since returning from the injured list and given up two earned runs of less in all three starts. The Brewers are 36-26 as a favorite, 30-27 on the road and 48-36 against righties. The White Sox are 28-52 as a dog, 25-31 at home and 33-54 against righties.