Today the weekend wraps up with a loaded slate of 15 MLB games. You can track the latest odds and percentages for every matchup using our VSiN Betting Splits.
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In the meantime, let’s examine where smart money is leaning for Sunday’s MLB slate…
2:35 p.m. ET: Seattle Mariners at Texas Rangers (-145, 8)
The Rangers (37-20) have taken the first two games of this three-game series, winning the opener 2-0 as -110 home favorites and then winning again 16-6 on Saturday as -150 home favorites. In this afternoon’s series finale, the Mariners (29-29) start righty Bryce Miller (3-2, 3.00 ERA) and the Rangers counter with fellow righty Nathan Eovaldi (7-2, 2.42 ERA). This line opened with Texas listed as a -135 home favorite and Seattle a +125 road dog. Sharps seem to be thinking "if it ain’t broke, don’t fix it" and have steamed the Rangers up from -135 to -145. Texas is receiving 85% of bets and 90% of money, signaling a heavy combination of both Pro and Joe support. Home favorites off a win receiving 5-cents of steam or more are 94-46 (67%) this season. Home favorites off a blowout win of 9-runs of more are 15-9 (63%). Texas has a significant edge at the plate, hitting .276 compared to .228 for Seattle. The Rangers are 21-10 as a favorite, 25-14 against righties and 18-8 at home. We could also be looking at a lower scoring game, as the total is 8 with the under juiced to -115, signaling a possible dip down to 7.5. Eovaldi posted a 0.96 ERA in five May starts, with Texas going 4-1 in those games.
4:05 p.m. ET: Baltimore Orioles at San Francisco Giants (-110, 8)
This is the rubber match of a three-game Interleague series. The Orioles (36-22) won the opener 3-2, cashing as +140 road dogs. Then the Giants (29-29) bounced back with a 4-0 win yesterday as -135 home favorites. In this late afternoon series finale, Baltimore hands the ball to righty Tyler Wells (3-2, 3.29 ERA) and San Francisco goes with fellow righty Anthony DeSclafani (4-4, 3.48 ERA). This line opened with the Giants listed as a -120 home favorite and the Orioles a +100 road dog. Pros have pounced on Baltimore in a bounce-back spot, dropping the line down toward a pick’em. The Orioles are receiving 60% of bets but nearly 70% of money, signaling modest public support but also respected sharp action. The Orioles are 15-6 (71%) after a loss this season. AL East teams vs non-AL East teams are 125-72 (64%). Baltimore is 15-12 as a dog and 21-13 against righties. San Francisco is 12-16 as a favorite and 18-23 against righties. The total is 8 with the over juiced to -115, signaling a possible rise up to 8.5. The forecast calls for mid 60s with 10 MPH winds blowing out to dead center. The over is receiving 54% of bets but 67% of money, a sharp bet discrepancy.
