Wake up with VSiN Daily Morning Bets, a quick 15-minute podcast posted at 7 a.m. ET highlighting the top games and biggest line moves of the day. For a full breakdown of Wednesday’s betting action be sure to catch the VSiN Market Insights Podcast at 3 p.m. ET.
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In the meantime, let’s examine where smart money is leaning for Wednesday’s MLB action…
3:37 p.m. ET: Toronto Blue Jays (-175, 8.5) at Oakland Athletics
The Blue Jays (77-62) have taken the first two games of this series, winning Monday’s opener 6-5 as -190 road favorites and then winning again 7-1 on Tuesday as -190 road favorites. In this late afternoon series finale, the Blue Jays hand the ball to lefty Hyun Jin Ryu (3-1, 2.48 ERA) and the Athletics (42-97) counter with fellow lefty JP Sears (3-11, 4.60 ERA). This line opened with Toronto listed as a -165 road favorite and Oakland a +150 home dog. Pros have laid the chalk with the Jays to complete the sweep, steaming Toronto up from -165 to -175. The Jays are receiving 90% of bets and 97% of money, signaling a heavy combination of both Pro and Joe support. Non-division road favorites off a win are 173-117 (60%) this season. AL East favorites playing teams outside the division are 218-123 (64%). Teams who made the playoffs the previous season are 49-10 (83%) against the Athletics, producing a 20% ROI. The Jays have the better bats (hitting .261 vs .224) and superior pitching (team ERA 3.70 vs 5.64). Oakland is 41-95 (30%) as a dog, 23-47 (33%) at home, 13-26 (33%) against lefties and 7-24 (23%) against the AL East. Toronto also enjoys a motivational edge, as the Jays currently holds the final AL Wild Card spot while Oakland has long been eliminated from playoff contention. The Jays are 5-0 in Ryu’s last five starts. Ryu has a 1.29 ERA on the road compared to 3.60 at home. Sears posted an 8.25 ERA in five August starts. Oakland is just 5-18 in his last 23 starts.
9:38 p.m. ET: Baltimore Orioles (-130, 8.5) at Los Angeles Angels
The Orioles (87-51) have won the first two games of this series, taking the opener 6-3 as -185 road favorites and then winning again yesterday 5-4 as -180 road favorites. In tonight’s series finale, the Orioles start righty Kyle Gibson (13-8, 5.15 ERA) and the Angels (64-75) go with lefty Patrick Sandoval (7-11, 4.19 ERA). This line opened with Baltimore listed as a -125 road favorite and Los Angeles a +105 home dog. Pros have pounced on the Orioles laying a short chalk price, driving Baltimore up from -125 to -130. The Orioles are receiving 86% of bets and 90% of money, signaling heavy support from both the public and respected wiseguys. Sweet spot short road favorites -125 to -155 are 188-110 (63%) this season, producing a 9% ROI. Non division road favorites off a win are 173-117 (60%). Baltimore is 18-5 (78%) as a road favorite and 29-15 (66%) against lefties. The Orioles have the better bats (hitting .257 vs .250) and better pitching (team ERA 4.03 vs 4.73). Los Angeles is just 1-5 in Sandoval’s last six starts. Sandoval has a 4.45 ERA at home compared to 3.97 on the road. The Orioles also have the motivational edge as they sit 3.5-games up in the AL East while the Angels are 13-games back in the AL Wild Card race and have waived several veterans in favor of young call ups, thereby waiving the white flag.
