MLB Picks Today:
MLB picks today, featuring Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers.
Expert baseball handicapper Greg Peterson shares his top MLB picks for Thursday, October 16.
Check out Greg’s Daily MLB Lines and his Baseball Betting Show Podcast. Also, check out our MLB Betting Splits and our new tools from Ballpark Pal, including Strikeout Prop Projections and the MLB YRFI Report.
6:08 PM Eastern
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Dodgers starting pitcher Tyler Glasnow owns a 2.94 ERA between the regular season and postseason, allowing two runs or fewer in eight of his past nine starts. However, his 3.76 fielding independent pitching (FIP) and 4.4 walks per nine innings during the regular season could spell trouble against a Brewers lineup that leads the National League in road scoring with over 5.1 runs per game.
The Dodgers counter with a lineup that leads the league in run creation at home, averaging more than 5.5 runs per game. They’ll face a combination of the Brewers’ bullpen and José Quintana, who is expected to either start or serve in a bulk role. Quintana has pitched only once since September 14 and posted a 3.96 ERA during the regular season, with 6.1 strikeouts and 3.4 walks per nine innings for a 4.81 FIP.
Picks: Dodgers Run Line -1.5 (+112) and Over 7.5 Runs (Greg’s Handicap: Dodgers -1.5 -103, Total 7.7)
8:33 PM Eastern
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners
Blue Jays starting pitcher Max Scherzer is making his first start since September 24. While he brings plenty of postseason experience, he also carries a 5.19 ERA with two home runs allowed per nine innings this season. Mariners starter Luis Castillo enters in much better form, having allowed just two total runs over his past five starts (excluding his relief appearance in Game Five of the Divisional Series against the Detroit Tigers). Between the regular season and postseason, Castillo owns a 3.42 ERA, though it comes with a career-low eight strikeouts per nine innings. He’ll face a Blue Jays lineup that leads the league in scoring since the All-Star Break, averaging 5.5 runs per game.
Picks: Mariners Moneyline -130 and Over 7.5 Runs (Greg’s Handicap: Mariners -134, Total 7.7)
