MLB Picks Today:
MLB picks today, including Mariners vs. Tigers and Blue Jays vs. Yankees.
Expert baseball handicapper Greg Peterson shares his top MLB picks for Tuesday, October 7.
Check out Greg’s Daily MLB Lines and his Baseball Betting Show Podcast. Also, check out our MLB Betting Splits and our new tools from Ballpark Pal, including Strikeout Prop Projections and the MLB YRFI Report.
4:08 PM Eastern
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers
Mariners starting pitcher Logan Gilbert owns a 3.44 ERA despite recording 11.9 strikeouts per nine innings, as home runs have been an issue — he’s allowing 1.4 per nine innings. Most of his struggles have come on the road, where he’s posted a 4.74 ERA with 1.7 home runs per nine. Tigers starting pitcher Jack Flaherty has a 4.64 ERA this season but a lower 3.85 fielding independent mark, with 1.3 home runs, 3.3 walks, and 10.5 strikeouts per nine innings. He’s backed by a Tigers lineup that ranks seventh in home scoring, averaging 4.9 runs per game.
Picks: Tigers Moneyline +113 and Over 7.5 Runs (Greg’s Handicap: Tigers -114 and Total 7.6)
8:08 PM Eastern
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees
Yankees starting pitcher Carlos Rodón enters having allowed three runs or fewer in 11 straight starts, with a combined 3.13 ERA between the regular season and postseason. However, his regular-season fielding independent pitching (FIP) sits higher at 3.78, with more than one home run and 3.4 walks allowed per nine innings. He faces a Blue Jays lineup that has led the league in scoring since the All-Star Break, averaging over 5.5 runs per game including the playoffs. Blue Jays starter Shane Bieber will have to contend with a Yankees offense that leads MLB in both overall scoring (5.2 runs per game) and home runs. Bieber has allowed 1.8 home runs per nine innings this season while posting a 3.59 ERA and 4.47 FIP.
Picks: Blue Jays Moneyline +131 and Over 7.5 Runs (Greg’s Handicap: Blue Jays +124 and Total 7.7)
