MLB Picks Today:

Expert baseball handicapper Greg Peterson shares his top MLB picks today for Sunday, August 3.

Check out Greg’s Daily MLB Lines and his Baseball Betting Show Podcast. Also, check out our MLB Betting Splits and our new tools from Ballpark Pal, including Strikeout Prop Projections and the MLB YRFI Report.

 

1:37 PM Eastern

Kansas City Royals vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Royals starting pitcher Seth Lugo has a 3.03 ERA, but a concerning 4.47 fielding independent pitching (FIP), with 7.9 strikeouts and 1.4 home runs allowed per nine innings. Blue Jays starting pitcher Chris Bassitt has a 4.24 ERA and a 4.01 FIP, with 8.9 strikeouts and 2.2 walks per nine innings. He’s supported by a lineup that entered the series leading the American League in home scoring with 5.35 runs per game.

Pick: Blue Jays Moneyline -132 and Over 8 Runs
(Greg’s Handicap: Blue Jays -152, Total 8.7)


1:40 PM Eastern

Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians

Guardians starting pitcher Joey Cantillo owns a 4.14 ERA but has struggled with command, issuing five walks and recording 11.3 strikeouts per nine innings. Twins starting pitcher Jose Urena has a 5.40 ERA with 2.5 home runs and just 4.9 strikeouts per nine innings. He’s now pitching for his fourth team in 2025 and is backed by a bullpen that was stripped at the trade deadline and ranks 23rd in ERA at 4.37.

Pick: Guardians Run Line -1.5 +130 and Over 8 Runs
(Greg’s Handicap: Guardians -1.5 +112, Total 8.8)


4:10 PM Eastern

St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres

Cardinals starter Andre Pallante is pitching to a lot of contact, with a 4.62 ERA and just 5.8 strikeouts per nine innings. He’s backed by a lineup that ranks 29th in runs scored since the beginning of July. Padres starter Dylan Cease is piling up strikeouts with 11.6 per nine innings, but his 1.3 home runs and 3.6 walks allowed per nine have hurt him, contributing to a 4.79 ERA. Still, his 3.65 FIP suggests positive regression is coming, and he’s supported by the league’s top bullpen with a 2.96 ERA.

Pick: Padres vs. Cardinals Under 8 Runs
(Greg’s Handicapped Total 7.8)


7:00 PM Eastern

Detroit Tigers vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Tigers starter Charlie Morton makes his first start since being traded from the Orioles. He has a 5.42 ERA with 1.4 home runs and 4.3 walks allowed per nine innings. He’ll face a Phillies lineup that ranks third in the National League in home scoring with 5.1 runs per game. Phillies starter Cristopher Sanchez has had an excellent season, posting a 2.55 ERA with 9.6 strikeouts and only 0.7 home runs allowed per nine innings. However, he faces a Detroit lineup that ranks sixth in road scoring with over 4.7 runs per game.

Pick: Over 8 Runs
(Greg’s Handicapped Total: 8.6)

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Greg Peterson
Greg, originally from Wisconsin and a UW Oshkosh alumnus, is widely recognized in the sports media industry, particularly for his expertise in college basketball, which earned him the nickname "Hoops" from Brent Musburger. He has worked with Vanderbilt and Oregon's flagship stations and joined VSIN in 2017. Greg contributes to various channels, hosting "The Baseball Betting Show" and "Coast To Coast Hoops" podcasts, and writes for DK Nation, building on his experience with over 500 articles for the New York Post. Known for his analytical approach, he produces daily spreadsheets for college basketball and MLB games, focusing on educating bettors about the importance of betting on numbers rather than teams.