MLB Picks Today:
Expert baseball handicapper Greg Peterson shares his top MLB picks today for Thursday, August 7.
Check out Greg’s Daily MLB Lines and his Baseball Betting Show Podcast. Also, check out our MLB Betting Splits and our new tools from Ballpark Pal, including Strikeout Prop Projections and the MLB YRFI Report.
12:05 PM Eastern
Athletics vs. Washington Nationals
This game features two of the worst bullpens in baseball, with the Athletics’ 5.28 ERA ranking 28th and the Nationals dead last at 5.98. Nationals starting pitcher Mitchell Parker has a 5.35 ERA with only 5.9 strikeouts per nine innings, while Athletics starter Jacob Lopez has a 3.99 ERA with 3.9 walks and 1.4 home runs allowed per nine innings.
Pick: Athletics vs. Nationals Over 9 Runs (Greg’s Handicapped Total: 9.2)
4:10 PM Eastern
Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Sox
White Sox starting pitcher Shane Smith has a 4.25 ERA this season, with 8.4 strikeouts and 4.1 walks per nine innings. He’s backed by an offense that ranks 27th in road scoring, averaging fewer than 3.7 runs per game. On the other side, Mariners starter Logan Gilbert holds a 3.45 ERA, supported by an excellent 2.75 fielding independent and 12.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The Mariners lineup ranks 11th in overall scoring with over 4.5 runs per game.
Picks: Mariners Run Line -1.5 (-115) and Under 7.5 Runs (Greg’s Handicaps: Mariners -1.5 (-123), Total 7.4)
6:40 PM Eastern
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Paul Skenes has been dominant this season, posting a 2.02 ERA with 10 strikeouts and just 0.5 home runs allowed per nine innings. However, he’s backed by the league’s lowest-scoring offense, averaging only 3.55 runs per game. The Reds, meanwhile, rank eighth in road scoring with over 4.6 runs per game. Starting pitcher Brady Singer has a 4.36 ERA and 3.4 walks per nine innings allowed, but he’s held opponents to three runs or fewer in 12 of his last 14 starts.
Picks: Reds Moneyline +155 and Under 7 Runs (Greg’s Handicaps: Reds +155, Total 6.8)
