MLB Picks Today:
Expert baseball handicapper Greg Peterson shares his top MLB picks today for Sunday, July 27.
Check out Greg’s Daily MLB Lines and his Baseball Betting Show Podcast. Also, check out our MLB Betting Splits and our new tools from Ballpark Pal, including Strikeout Prop Projections and the MLB YRFI Report.
Top MLB Resources:
1:35 PM Eastern
Colorado Rockies vs. Baltimore Orioles
Rockies starting pitcher Austin Gomber has struggled this season with a 6.03 ERA and 1.8 home runs allowed per nine innings. However, his ERA improves to 3.86 on the road, with fewer than 1.3 home runs allowed per nine innings. Still, the Rockies offense ranks 29th in road run production, averaging just three runs per game away from home. Orioles starting pitcher Tomoyuki Sugano has a 4.54 ERA with 1.7 home runs allowed per nine innings this season.
Pick: Rockies vs. Orioles Under 10 Runs
(Greg’s Handicapped Total: 8.6)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Boston Red Sox
It has been a tough season for Red Sox starting pitcher Walker Buehler, who holds a 5.72 ERA with 1.8 home runs and 3.8 walks allowed per nine innings. Dodgers starter Dustin May has had his own issues, with a 4.73 ERA, 1.4 home runs, and 3.9 walks per nine innings. He is backed by a Dodgers offense that leads the league with 5.3 runs per game.
Pick: Dodgers Moneyline -126 and Under 10.5 Runs
(Greg’s Handicap: Dodgers -142 and Total: 9.8)
2:10 PM Eastern
Oakland Athletics vs. Houston Astros
Astros starting pitcher Colton Gordon has a 4.53 ERA this season with 1.7 home runs allowed per nine innings, which increases to a 4.78 ERA at home. Athletics starter JT Ginn has split time between starting and relieving, posting a 4.50 ERA while allowing 2.1 home runs per nine innings. He’s supported by a bullpen with a 5.44 ERA—29th in the league.
Pick: Astros Moneyline -121 and Over 8.5 Runs
(Greg’s Handicap: Astros -153 and Total: 8.7)
2:15 PM Eastern
San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Cardinals starter Michael McGreevy is averaging just 5.4 strikeouts per nine innings but owns a solid 3.49 ERA, with only two home runs and three walks allowed in 28 1/3 innings this season. Padres starter Stephen Kolek is also a pitch-to-contact arm, posting a 4.28 ERA with 6.6 strikeouts per nine innings, while limiting home runs (0.9 HR/9) and walks (2.8 BB/9). He’s backed by a bullpen with the best ERA in the league (3.10), though the Padres lineup ranks 28th in home runs per at-bat, compared to the Cardinals at 22nd.
Pick: Padres Moneyline +116 and Under 9 Runs
(Greg’s Handicap: Padres +103 and Total: 8.7)
2:35 PM Eastern
Atlanta Braves vs. Texas Rangers
Rangers starter Jack Leiter has shown improvement recently, allowing three earned runs or fewer in five straight starts and 10 of his past 12, for a 4.27 ERA on the season. Braves starter Bryce Elder has struggled with a 5.63 ERA, along with 1.7 home runs and 3.3 walks allowed per nine innings. He’ll face a Rangers lineup that entered Saturday tied for second in league scoring for July, averaging over 5.7 runs per game through 19 games.
Pick: Rangers Moneyline -108
(Greg’s Handicap: Rangers -138)
