MLB Picks Today:
Expert baseball handicapper Greg Peterson shares his top MLB picks today for Thursday, July 31.
Check out Greg’s Daily MLB Lines and his Baseball Betting Show Podcast. Also, check out our MLB Betting Splits and our new tools from Ballpark Pal, including Strikeout Prop Projections and the MLB YRFI Report.
1:05 PM Eastern
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees
Yankees starting pitcher Marcus Stroman has a 6.09 ERA overall this season but has performed much better since coming off the injured list, allowing three earned runs or fewer in four of his past five starts. Rays starting pitcher Ryan Pepiot has a 3.42 ERA, but a 4.41 fielding independent pitching (FIP) mark, with 1.5 home runs and three walks allowed per nine innings.
Picks: Yankees Moneyline -109 and Over 8.5 Runs (Greg’s Handicap: Yankees -122 and Total 8.9)
7:10 PM Eastern
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds
The Braves acquired starting pitcher Carlos Carrasco for this start. He last pitched on May 4 and owns a 5.91 ERA with two home runs allowed per nine innings. Reds starting pitcher Andrew Abbott has a 2.09 ERA, allowing just 0.9 home runs and 2.3 walks per nine innings, with two runs or fewer allowed in 15 of his 18 starts this season. He faces a Braves lineup that ranks 22nd in the league in scoring at 4.2 runs per game.
Pick: Reds Run Line -1.5 +130 (Greg’s Handicap: Reds -1.5 +117)
