MLB Picks Today:
Expert baseball handicapper Greg Peterson shares his top MLB picks today for Sunday, May 25.
Check out Greg’s Daily MLB Lines and his Baseball Betting Show Podcast. Also, check out our MLB Betting Splits.
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1:35 PM Eastern
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Brewers starting pitcher Logan Henderson has allowed three runs across 16 innings in his three starts, racking up 23 strikeouts. He faces a Pirates lineup that ranks last in the league in scoring, averaging just three runs per game. Pittsburgh gives Bailey Falter the start; he owns a 3.50 ERA, with 6.5 strikeouts and three walks per nine innings.
Pick: Brewers Moneyline -125 (Greg’s Handicap: Brewers -148)
San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationals
Giants starter Robbie Ray has a 2.67 ERA, but a 3.43 FIP and is averaging 4.3 walks per nine innings. On the other side, Mike Soroka takes the mound for Washington with a 5.95 ERA and 1.8 home runs allowed per nine innings. He’s backed by a bullpen that owns a 6.27 ERA, ranking 29th in the league.
Pick: Over 8 Runs (Greg’s Handicapped Total: 8.7)
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox
Red Sox starter Walker Buehler enters with a 4.00 ERA and has allowed three runs or fewer in each of his past five starts. Orioles starter Dean Kremer has a 5.50 ERA, allowing 1.6 home runs per nine innings, and is backed by a bullpen with a 5.67 ERA, which ranks 27th in the league.
Pick: Red Sox Moneyline -125 (Greg’s Handicap: Red Sox -171)
1:40 PM Eastern
Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds
Cubs starter Ben Brown holds a 5.44 ERA, but a 3.49 FIP with 11.3 strikeouts per nine innings points to positive regression. He’s supported by the top-scoring offense in the National League. Reds starter Nick Lodolo has seen a significant drop in strikeout rate this season (7.5 K/9), though he holds a career-best 3.22 ERA.
Picks: Cubs Moneyline -115 and Over 9 Runs (Greg’s Handicap: Cubs -128, Total 9.6)
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Rays starter Ryan Pepiot has a 3.99 ERA and 4.73 FIP, allowing 1.6 home runs per nine innings. Chris Bassitt is having a career year with a 2.83 ERA, 9.6 strikeouts, and 1.7 walks per nine innings. The Blue Jays lineup ranks third in road run creation (3.6 runs per game), while the Rays rank 24th in home scoring (3.9 runs per game).
Pick: Blue Jays Moneyline +105 (Greg’s Handicap: Blue Jays -104)
2:10 PM Eastern
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros
Astros rookie Colton Gordon has allowed six runs across 9 2/3 innings in his first career starts. He faces a Mariners lineup averaging 5.1 runs per game on the road, which ranks sixth in the league. Luis Castillo starts for Seattle with a 3.20 ERA and a 3.52 FIP, though his strikeout rate is at a career-low seven per nine innings.
Picks: Mariners Moneyline -123 and Over 8 Runs (Greg’s Handicap: Mariners -143, Total 8.7)
2:15 PM Eastern
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Cardinals starter Sonny Gray is giving up a career-high 1.4 home runs per nine innings and enters with a 4.01 ERA. D-backs starter Brandon Pfaadt has allowed at least three runs in four of his past five starts and is surrendering 1.7 home runs per nine innings. Arizona’s offense ranks fifth in scoring at 5.1 runs per game.
Picks: Cardinals Moneyline -118 and Over 7.5 Runs (Greg’s Handicap: Cardinals -127, Total 8.3)
4:05 PM Eastern
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Oakland Athletics
Phillies starter Jesús Luzardo owns a 1.95 ERA with just two home runs allowed over 10 starts and has given up two runs or fewer in each of his past five outings. Athletics starter Gunnar Hoglund carries a 5.06 ERA through four career starts and is backed by a lineup averaging just over 4.3 runs per game at home.
Pick: Under 10 Runs (Greg’s Handicapped Total: 9.2)
7:10 PM Eastern
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets
Mets starter Kodai Senga has been dominant, posting a 1.43 ERA and allowing just one home run across 10 starts. The Mets bullpen ranks third in ERA at 2.89. Dodgers starter Landen Knack has a 6.17 ERA and is allowing 1.9 home runs per nine innings, though he owns a lifetime 3.86 ERA on the road compared to 4.69 at home.
Pick: Under 8.5 Runs (Greg’s Handicapped Total: 8.2)
