MLB Picks Today:
Expert baseball handicapper Greg Peterson shares his top MLB picks today for Tuesday, May 27.
Check out Greg’s Daily MLB Lines and his Baseball Betting Show Podcast. Also, check out our MLB Betting Splits.
Top MLB Resources:
6:10 PM Eastern
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cleveland Guardians
Guardians starting pitcher Tanner Bibee owns a 3.57 ERA overall this season but has been at his best at home with a 1.46 ERA. Dodgers starter Dustin May has a 4.09 ERA but a slightly lower fielding-independent pitching (FIP) and allows just 1.1 home runs per nine innings. He faces a lineup that entered Monday ranked 28th in the league in home scoring, averaging just 3.45 runs per game.
Picks: Dodgers -125 Moneyline and Under 8.5 Runs (Greg’s Handicap: Dodgers -137, Total 8.3)
6:35 PM Eastern
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Baltimore Orioles
Cardinals starter Andre Pallante owns a 4.18 ERA with just 5.6 strikeouts and 3.2 walks per nine innings. He faces an Orioles lineup ranked 25th in scoring at 3.8 runs per game. Orioles starter Tomoyuki Sugano has a 3.08 ERA but a 4.81 FIP, with 1.5 home runs and only 4.9 strikeouts per nine innings. He’s backed by a bullpen that ranks 27th with a 5.46 ERA.
Pick: Cardinals Moneyline -105 (Greg’s Handicap: Cardinals -116)
6:40 PM Eastern
San Francisco Giants vs. Detroit Tigers
Giants starter Logan Webb has shown major home/road splits throughout his career, posting a 2.68 ERA and 0.4 home runs per nine innings at home, compared to a 4.08 ERA and 0.8 home runs per nine on the road. Tigers starter Jack Flaherty holds a 4.39 ERA and allows 1.9 home runs per nine innings but is supported by a lineup that ranks fourth in the league in run creation at over 5.1 runs per game.
Picks: Tigers Moneyline +106 and Over 7 (Greg’s Handicap: Tigers -107, Total 7.3)
8:05 PM Eastern
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Texas Rangers
Blue Jays starter Bowden Francis leads the league in home runs allowed (15), with a 5.54 ERA and a 6.50 FIP. Rangers starter Nathan Eovaldi has a 1.60 ERA and allows just 0.5 home runs per nine innings. However, he’s backed by a bullpen that ranks 19th with a 4.17 ERA, while the Blue Jays’ bullpen ranks 13th with a 3.71 ERA.
Pick: Over 7.5 Runs (Greg’s Handicap: Total 8.3)
9:40 PM Eastern
Washington Nationals vs. Seattle Mariners
Nationals starter Mitchell Parker has allowed at least three runs in five straight starts and holds a 4.39 ERA with 5.9 strikeouts and 4.1 walks per nine innings. Mariners starter Logan Evans has a 3.33 ERA but a 4.93 FIP and allows 1.7 home runs per nine innings. He’s backed by a bullpen that ranks ninth with a 3.43 ERA, while the Nationals’ bullpen ranks 29th with a 6.13 ERA.
Pick: Mariners Run Line -1.5 +145 (Greg’s Handicap: Mariners -1.5 -102)
Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres
Padres starter Stephen Kolek holds a 2.84 ERA with a 4.03 FIP, allowing 1.1 home runs per nine innings. San Diego backs him with a bullpen ranked 10th in the league with a 3.47 ERA. Marlins starter Max Meyer has a 4.15 ERA and allows 1.4 home runs per nine innings, and the Miami bullpen ranks 25th with a 4.91 ERA.
Picks: Padres Run Line -1.5 +125 and Over 7.5 Runs (Greg’s Handicap: Padres -1.5 -112, Total 8.3)
