MLB Picks Today:
Expert baseball handicapper Greg Peterson shares his top MLB picks today for Tuesday, May 27.
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6:10 PM Eastern
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cleveland Guardians
Guardians starting pitcher Tanner Bibee owns a 3.57 ERA overall this season but has been at his best at home with a 1.46 ERA. Dodgers starter Dustin May has a 4.09 ERA but a slightly lower fielding-independent pitching (FIP) and allows just 1.1 home runs per nine innings. He faces a lineup that entered Monday ranked 28th in the league in home scoring, averaging just 3.45 runs per game.
Picks: Dodgers -125 Moneyline and Under 8.5 Runs (Greg’s Handicap: Dodgers -137, Total 8.3)
6:35 PM Eastern
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Baltimore Orioles
Cardinals starter Andre Pallante owns a 4.18 ERA with just 5.6 strikeouts and 3.2 walks per nine innings. He faces an Orioles lineup ranked 25th in scoring at 3.8 runs per game. Orioles starter Tomoyuki Sugano has a 3.08 ERA but a 4.81 FIP, with 1.5 home runs and only 4.9 strikeouts per nine innings. He’s backed by a bullpen that ranks 27th with a 5.46 ERA.
Pick: Cardinals Moneyline -105 (Greg’s Handicap: Cardinals -116)
6:40 PM Eastern
San Francisco Giants vs. Detroit Tigers
Giants starter Logan Webb has shown major home/road splits throughout his career, posting a 2.68 ERA and 0.4 home runs per nine innings at home, compared to a 4.08 ERA and 0.8 home runs per nine on the road. Tigers starter Jack Flaherty holds a 4.39 ERA and allows 1.9 home runs per nine innings but is supported by a lineup that ranks fourth in the league in run creation at over 5.1 runs per game.
Picks: Tigers Moneyline +106 and Over 7 (Greg’s Handicap: Tigers -107, Total 7.3)
8:05 PM Eastern
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Texas Rangers
Blue Jays starter Bowden Francis leads the league in home runs allowed (15), with a 5.54 ERA and a 6.50 FIP. Rangers starter Nathan Eovaldi has a 1.60 ERA and allows just 0.5 home runs per nine innings. However, he’s backed by a bullpen that ranks 19th with a 4.17 ERA, while the Blue Jays’ bullpen ranks 13th with a 3.71 ERA.
Pick: Over 7.5 Runs (Greg’s Handicap: Total 8.3)
9:40 PM Eastern
Washington Nationals vs. Seattle Mariners
Nationals starter Mitchell Parker has allowed at least three runs in five straight starts and holds a 4.39 ERA with 5.9 strikeouts and 4.1 walks per nine innings. Mariners starter Logan Evans has a 3.33 ERA but a 4.93 FIP and allows 1.7 home runs per nine innings. He’s backed by a bullpen that ranks ninth with a 3.43 ERA, while the Nationals’ bullpen ranks 29th with a 6.13 ERA.
Pick: Mariners Run Line -1.5 +145 (Greg’s Handicap: Mariners -1.5 -102)
Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres
Padres starter Stephen Kolek holds a 2.84 ERA with a 4.03 FIP, allowing 1.1 home runs per nine innings. San Diego backs him with a bullpen ranked 10th in the league with a 3.47 ERA. Marlins starter Max Meyer has a 4.15 ERA and allows 1.4 home runs per nine innings, and the Miami bullpen ranks 25th with a 4.91 ERA.
Picks: Padres Run Line -1.5 +125 and Over 7.5 Runs (Greg’s Handicap: Padres -1.5 -112, Total 8.3)
