MLB Picks Today

Expert baseball handicapper Greg Peterson shares his top MLB picks today for the Monday, July 14 Home Run Derby.

Check out Greg’s Daily MLB Lines and his Baseball Betting Show Podcast. Also, check out our MLB Betting Splits and our new tools from Ballpark Pal, including Strikeout Prop Projections and the MLB YRFI Report.

 

The 2025 Home Run Derby is going to take place in Atlanta on Monday and Braves slugger Matt Olson will be in his home ballpark trying to win the title.

Olson made one prior appearance in the Home Run Derby in 2021, where he lost a Round One matchup to Trey Mancini by a score of 24-23, but in this format all he needs to do is be in the top four to advance to the next round.

Braves Eddie Pérez, a former MLB catcher, will pitch to Olson in the Home Run Derby and Olson has a leg up with having a former catcher pitch to him for knowing the sweet spot.

With Olson competing in his home ballpark and the lone player in the field that has done an MLB Home Run Derby before, that gives him value to win the trophy on Monday.

Matt Olson Home Run Derby Champion +800 (Greg’s Handicap +578)

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Greg Peterson
Greg, originally from Wisconsin and a UW Oshkosh alumnus, is widely recognized in the sports media industry, particularly for his expertise in college basketball, which earned him the nickname "Hoops" from Brent Musburger. He has worked with Vanderbilt and Oregon's flagship stations and joined VSIN in 2017. Greg contributes to various channels, hosting "The Baseball Betting Show" and "Coast To Coast Hoops" podcasts, and writes for DK Nation, building on his experience with over 500 articles for the New York Post. Known for his analytical approach, he produces daily spreadsheets for college basketball and MLB games, focusing on educating bettors about the importance of betting on numbers rather than teams.