Player props have become one of baseball’s most entertaining ways to bet, offering value well beyond the moneyline, run line, or game total. Each day, this column highlights the best opportunities on the board — from strikeouts and hits to total bases and pitcher outs recorded — using matchup data, recent form, and betting trends to identify edges. Keep reading for the top MLB player prop picks for April 11. Also, make sure you check out our live VSiN programming for more. Our hosts and analysts will be all over the MLB, which is why it pays to be a VSiN Pro subscriber.
MORE: Check out the VSiN Pro Picks page for more bets from our talented hosts and analysts!
Saturday Player Prop Best Bets
Below you’ll find my official plays on the player prop market for Saturday. These are the ones that make the VSiN Pro Picks page and count towards my season-long record. On Saturdays and Sundays, I’m going to keep these much shorter to cut down on my workload a little.
Kodai Senga Over 16.5 Outs Recorded (-107) vs. Athletics
Athletics at Mets – 4:10 pm ET
Senga has recorded at least 17 outs in his first two starts of the year, and he has looked really sharp for the Mets. He now faces an A’s offense that is 24th in baseball in wRC+ (87) this year. This feels like a strong enough matchup, so I’m riding the hot hand.
Brandon Williamson Over 15.5 Outs Recorded (+120) vs. Reds
Angels at Reds – 4:10 pm ET
Williamson just recorded 20 outs in an outing against the Marlins. He now faces an Angels team that was tied for 25th in MLB in wRC+ in 2025. And while Los Angeles was a little better against lefties than righties, the team wasn’t exactly strong against southpaws. That makes the plus-money odds on Williamson to go 5.1 innings pretty enticing.
Michael Wacha Over 17.5 Outs Recorded (-114 – 1.5 units) vs. White Sox
White Sox at Royals – 4:10 pm ET
I have been a little cold over the last couple of days, but the one area I have found success is going Over on Royals starters outs recorded against the White Sox. I’m not going away from it here. Wacha has recorded at least 18 outs in his last six starts against the White Sox.
Nick Martinez Over 4.5 Strikeouts (-110) vs. Yankees
Yankees at Rays – 6:10 pm ET
Martinez only had four strikeouts in his first start of the year, but I like him to reach five against my Yankees. New York was one of the five worst teams in baseball in strikeout rate (23.4%) against right-handed pitching last season.
Max Muncy Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (+120) vs. Rangers
Rangers at Dodgers – 9:10 pm ET
Muncy hit three bombs against the Rangers on Friday. That might mean he’s due for some regression tonight, but I can’t turn down plus-money odds for him to go Over 1.5 HRR. Last year, he averaged 2.3 HRR in home games against right-handed pitching.
Additional Picks
Bryce Harper Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-129) vs. Diamondbacks
Brandon Marsh Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-125) vs. Diamondbacks
Jose Fernandez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (+105) vs. Phillies
Braxton Ashcraft Over 4.5 Strikeouts (-134) vs. Cubs
Byron Buxton Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-130) vs. Blue Jays
Chris Bassitt Over 15.5 Outs Recorded (-105) vs. Giants
Noteworthy OptaAI Player Prop Edges
Check out the BRAND NEW OptaAI Player Props MLB pages for more of these! VSiN Pro subscribers can find 50+ player prop ideas on a daily basis! We’ll list the top edges in some of the biggest markets below, but there will always be a lot more to uncover on the pages themselves.
Jose Fernandez Over 1.5 Total Bases (+175) vs. Phillies
Our OptaAI player prop projections have him going for 1.95 total bases, suggesting these odds should be -138 — a +21.6% edge to the Over.
Kerry Carpenter Over 1.5 Total Bases (+164) vs. Marlins
Our OptaAI player prop projections have him finishing with 1.97 total bases, suggesting these odds should be -142 — a +20.7% edge to the Over.
Carlos Cortes Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-140) vs. Mets
Our OptaAI player prop projections have him projected for 1.55 combined hits, runs, and RBIs, suggesting these odds should be -369 — a +20.4% edge to the Over.
