Today’s MLB Betting Trends:
The following MLB betting trends are a collection of analytical data, betting systems and strength ratings featured on VSiN and qualified for the MLB games of Friday, October 31, 2025. This report is meant to emulate the process that Steve Makinen and other members of the VSiN Analytics team undergo when handicapping each day’s MLB board.
AJ’s Angles
These are the top MLB betting trends and systems for today’s games, handpicked by VSiN Analyst AJ Makinen.
Trend: LAD is 19-6 (+10.61 units) as a smaller favorite within -115 to -165 line range with starter Yoshinobu Yamamoto since the start of the 2024 season
Trend Match (PLAY): LA DODGERS (-151 at TOR)
WORLD SERIES system #2: Dating back to 2007, World Series home underdogs of +120 or more have gone just 2-8 (-5.22 Units, -52.2% ROI)
System Match (FADE): TORONTO (+124 vs LAD)
MLB Postseason Trends and Systems
The MLB postseason is a 12-team tournament made up of four rounds, with each round being played as a series with progressively more games the deeper you get. Perhaps unlike any other sport, because of the huge 162-game regular season schedule, the stakes of each and every MLB postseason game are enhanced tremendously, and as such, some different or additional handicapping strategies should be employed. With that in mind, one of the key factors in getting ready for these games is to know the history and the trends/systems that have developed in recent years. Let’s dig into the key betting results from recent MLB playoff seasons to see if we can’t uncover nuggets that will help make these playoffs a profitable one.
Overall MLB Postseason Trends
Line angles
– Road favorites of -140 or higher are on a 35-21 SU run since 2001 (+3.05 units, ROI: +5.4%)
System Match (PLAY): LA DODGERS (-151 at TOR)
Series wins status
– For teams leading in a series, home field advantage has meant quite a lot, as these hosts are 75-53 SU (+12.45 units, ROI: 9.7%) and 66-62 on run lines (+13.04 units, ROI: 10.2%) since 2013.
System Match (PLAY): TORONTO
Stats from last game trends
– Teams that are favored in an MLB postseason game after having lost the last outing while scoring two runs or fewer are just 53-65 SU (-35.26 units, ROI: -29.9%) and 38-80 on run lines (-33.07 units, ROI: -28%) since 2012.
System Match (FADE): LA DODGERS
Totals angles
– The last four MLB postseasons have been very good for Over bettors, as that side of the total is split 100-96-2, Overs have produced a return of +19.95 units, an ROI of 10.2%. Total odds have been heavily shaded towards Unders in recent postseasons.
System Match (PLAY OVER): LAD-TOR (o/u at 7.5)
MLB World Series Betting Systems
Over the last 20+ years of World Series action, several nice betting systems have emerged. You know you’re going to bet the games, so why not arm yourself with key data that has won recently?
WORLD SERIES system #1:
Home field advantage hasn’t meant a lot in recent World Series action, with hosts on a 21-32 slide in the last 53 opportunities dating back to 2016 (-21.54 Units, -40.6% ROI)
System Match (FADE): TORONTO (+124 vs LAD)
WORLD SERIES system #2:
Dating back to 2007, World Series home underdogs of +120 or more have gone just 2-8 (-5.22 Units, -52.2% ROI)
System Match (FADE): TORONTO (+124 vs LAD)
WORLD SERIES system #5:
World Series teams have struggled putting back-to-back wins together recently, going 12-25 in the game following up a WS win (-18.24 Units, -49.3% ROI)
System Match (FADE): TORONTO (+124 vs LAD)
WORLD SERIES system #8:
Incredibly, since the start of the 2014 World Series, teams that scored two or fewer runs in the prior game are on an incredible 24-12 surge. (+12.63 Units, 35.1% ROI)
System Match (PLAY): LA DODGERS (-151 at TOR)
MLB Extreme Stats Systems
The following systems and qualifying plays are from the article titled MLB Extreme Stats Systems, detailing 8 different betting systems for betting teams based upon noteworthy stats they accumulated in their previous game
Road teams that didn’t score well last game are a bad bet in the next outing
You’re going to want to consider fading teams playing on the road that scored two runs or fewer in their last contest. They have proven to be bankroll-busting options over their last 4+ seasons. These road teams are just 1,974-2,516 (44%) for -246.05 units and an ROI of -5.5% since the start of the 2019 season.
System Match (FADE): LA DODGERS (-151 at TOR)
Home teams that did score well last game are also actually a bad bet in the next outing
Going back another season to 2018, home teams coming off a game in which they scored 5 runs or more are winning more often than not at 4006-3484 (53.5%), but they have been a loser for bettors at -504.08 units and an ROI of -6.7%.
System Match (FADE): TORONTO (+124 vs LAD)
MLB Streak Systems
The following systems and qualifying plays are from the 2023 midseason article titled Handicapping MLB Streaks, detailing 14 different systems for betting teams on winning or losing streaks.
NO QUALIFYING STREAK PLAYS TODAY
MLB Bullpen Systems
The following systems and qualifying plays are from the weekly update series on handicapping MLB teams using Steve Makinen’s bullpen strength ratings.
Worse bullpen teams continue to struggle in extending winning streaks
I have found that fading teams with a lesser SM bullpen ratings that were looking to extend winning streaks is also a strong strategy. In the 2023 and 2024 regular seasons, on two-game winning streaks, the teams with worse Steve Makinen Bullpen Ratings in a matchup have gone 428-485 for -78.6 units, an ROI of -8.6%. For 2025, they were an uncustomary 220-211 for +18.9 units (ROI 4.4%) (2-2, +0.12 units in the 2025 playoffs).
System Match (FADE): TORONTO (+124 vs LAD)
Strategies Using MLB DraftKings Betting Splits Data
One of the most touted features on the VSiN.com website, and a feature that we believe to be a fantastic resource for bettors, is the betting splits pages. These are the pages that we have built utilizing the data that DraftKings so graciously provides to us, detailing the breakdowns of the money & ticket splits for point spreads, money lines, and totals.
In an article published on the VSiN.com website prior to opening day, Steve Makinen outlined 10 different systematic strategies for successfully using the DK Betting Splits Data that were developed in the 2023/2024 season. Here are the systems and qualifying plays for today’s games as of 10:00 AM ET. These can AND WILL change, so continue to track and qualify the systems up until first pitch for best usage.
DK MLB Betting Splits system #6: Majority handle bettors have been at their worst overall in interleague games since the start of 2023, going 910-839 (52%) but for -206.24 units and an ROI of -11.8%. This is about four full percentage points worse for return and an indication that bettors have trouble gauging the strengths/motivations of the teams when playing unfamiliar opponents.
System Match (FADE): TORONTO (+124 vs LAD)
DK MLB Betting Splits system #9: Majority handle bettors have endured two consecutive terrible playoff seasons in 2023 and 2024, with a combined record of 38-43 (46.9%) for -18.84 UNITS and an ROI of -23.3%. These are typically high bet volume games, so bettors have lost big in October.
System Match (FADE): TORONTO (+124 vs LAD)
Today’s MLB Strength Ratings
The following MLB betting trends are taken from today’s MAKINEN DAILY RATINGS page under the MLB tab on VSiN.com.
Today’s UNDERPRICED FAVORITES (10 points or more) according to the Makinen Strength Ratings projections:
Ratings Match: LA DODGERS -151 (+12 diff)
Today’s BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER (0.3 runs or more) according to the Makinen Strength Ratings projections:
System Match: LAD-TOR OVER 7.5 (+0.4)
Team/Pitcher Situational MLB Betting Trend Spots
The following situational MLB betting trends and qualifying plays look at how today’s teams and starting pitchers have performed in similar spots.
(931) LOS ANGELES-NL (104-73) at (932) TORONTO (104-74)
Trend: LA Dodgers are 6-1 SU (+3.94 units) in their last seven playoff games following up a loss
Trend: LAD is 19-6 (+10.61 units) as a smaller favorite within -115 to -165 line range with starter Yoshinobu Yamamoto since the start of the 2024 season
Trend: LAD is 10-1 (+8.40 units) in their last 11 road games
Trends Match (PLAY): LA DODGERS (-151 at TOR)
Trend: TOR was best team in MLB this season in night games (67-40, +23.85 units)
Stat: Kevin Gausman has a 2.55 ERA this postseason through 24.2 IP
Trend/Stat Match (PLAY): TORONTO (+124 vs LAD)
Trend: TOR is 8-1 on the run line in their last nine games versus NL opponents
Trend Match (PLAY): TORONTO (+1.5 vs LAD)
