Today’s MLB Betting Trends:
The following MLB betting trends are a collection of analytical data, betting systems and strength ratings featured on VSiN and qualified for the MLB games of Monday, October 27, 2025. This report is meant to emulate the process that Steve Makinen and other members of the VSiN Analytics team undergo when handicapping each day’s MLB board.
AJ’s Angles
These are the top MLB betting trends and systems for today’s games, handpicked by VSiN Analyst AJ Makinen.
WORLD SERIES system #8: Incredibly, since the start of the 2014 World Series, teams that scored two or fewer runs in the prior game are on an incredible 24-10 surge. (+15.69 Units, 46.1% ROI)
System Match (PLAY): TORONTO (+167 at LAD)
Trend: Tyler Glasnow’s teams are 42-14 (+9.34 units) as a favorite of -166 or higher in the last six seasons
Trend Match (PLAY): LA DODGERS (-206 vs TOR)
MLB Postseason Trends and Systems
The MLB postseason is a 12-team tournament made up of four rounds, with each round being played as a series with progressively more games the deeper you get. Perhaps unlike any other sport, because of the huge 162-game regular season schedule, the stakes of each and every MLB postseason game are enhanced tremendously, and as such, some different or additional handicapping strategies should be employed. With that in mind, one of the key factors in getting ready for these games is to know the history and the trends/systems that have developed in recent years. Let’s dig into the key betting results from recent MLB playoff seasons to see if we can’t uncover nuggets that will help make these playoffs a profitable one.
Overall MLB Postseason Trend
Series wins status
– Home field has also proven somewhat advantageous in series that are even, as hosts in this situation have gone 92-82 on run lines (+22.52 units, ROI: 12.9%) since 2015.
System Match (PLAY): LA DODGERS (-1.5 vs TOR)
MLB World Series Betting Systems
Over the last 20+ years of World Series action, several nice betting systems have emerged. You know you’re going to bet the games, so why not arm yourself with key data that has won recently?
WORLD SERIES system #1:
Home field advantage hasn’t meant a lot in recent World Series action, with hosts on a 20-30 slide in the last 50 opportunities dating back to 2016 (-18.42 Units, -36.8% ROI)
System Match (FADE): LA DODGERS (-206 vs TOR)
WORLD SERIES system #4:
Overall, on totals, there has been a very slight lean to the Over in World Series games over the last 16 years. However, in games with totals of eight or higher, Under holds an edge of 20-15 in that span (+2.45 Units, 7% ROI)
System Match (PLAY UNDER): TOR-LAD (o/u at 8.5)
WORLD SERIES system #5:
World Series teams have struggled putting back-to-back wins together recently, going 10-24 in the game following up a WS win (-18.85 Units, -55.4% ROI)
System Match (FADE): LA DODGERS (-206 vs TOR)
WORLD SERIES system #8:
Incredibly, since the start of the 2014 WS, teams that scored two or fewer runs in the prior game are on an incredible 24-10 surge. (+15.69 Units, 46.1% ROI)
System Match (PLAY): TORONTO (+167 at LAD)
MLB Extreme Stats Systems
The following systems and qualifying plays are from the article titled MLB Extreme Stats Systems, detailing 8 different betting systems for betting teams based upon noteworthy stats they accumulated in their previous game
Road teams that didn’t score well last game are a bad bet in the next outing
You’re going to want to consider fading teams playing on the road that scored two runs or fewer in their last contest. They have proven to be bankroll-busting options over their last 4+ seasons. These road teams are just 1974-2515 (44%) for -245.05 units and an ROI of -5.5% since the start of the 2019 season.
System Match (FADE): TORONTO (+167 at LAD)
Home teams that did score well last game are also actually a bad bet in the next outing
Going back another season to 2018, home teams coming off a game in which they scored five runs or more are winning more often than not at 4005-3483 (53.5%), but they have been a loser for bettors at -503.02 units and an ROI of -6.7%.
System Match (FADE): LA DODGERS (-206 vs TOR)
Team/Pitcher Situational MLB Betting Trend Spots
The following situational trends and qualifying plays look at how today’s teams and starting pitchers have performed in similar spots.
(925) TORONTO (102-73) at (926) LOS ANGELES-NL (103-71)
Trend: Max Scherzer’s teams are 37-17 (+13.32 units) on the road vs NL opponents in the last six seasons
Trend: TOR was the best team in MLB this season in night games (65-39, +21.51 units)
Trends Match (PLAY): TORONTO (+167 at LAD)
Trend: LAD is 8-1 SU (+6.15 units) in their last nine home playoff games
Trend: Tyler Glasnow’s teams are 42-14 (+9.34 units) as a favorite of -166 or higher in the last six seasons
Trend: Tyler Glasnow’s teams are just 4-8 (-5.05 units) in October starts in the last six seasons
Trends Match: 2 PLAYS, 1 FADE of LA DODGERS (-206 vs TOR)
MLB Bullpen System
The following systems and qualifying plays are from the weekly update series on handicapping MLB teams using Steve Makinen’s bullpen strength ratings.
Fade better bullpen overpriced favorites of -190 or higher when win percentage difference of teams is <19%
In the last three regular seasons in which the team with the Steve Makinen better rated bullpen was listed as a favorite of -190 or higher and had a winning percentage less than 19% higher than the opponent, that team has owned a 427-241 record, but for -131.5 units. This has been an ROI of -19.7%! The 2025 record was 120-59 for -13.28 units (2-1 for +0.06 units in the 2025 playoffs).
System Match (FADE): LA DODGERS (-206 vs TOR)
Strategies Using MLB DraftKings Betting Splits Data
One of the most touted features on the VSiN.com website, and a feature that we believe to be a fantastic resource for bettors, is the betting splits pages. These are the pages that we have built utilizing the data that DraftKings so graciously provides to us, detailing the breakdowns of the money & ticket splits for point spreads, money lines, and totals.
In an article published on the VSiN.com website prior to opening day, Steve Makinen outlined 10 different systematic strategies for successfully using the DK Betting Splits Data that were developed in the 2023/2024 season. Here are the systems and qualifying plays for today’s game as of 10:30 a.m. ET. These can and will change, so continue to track and qualify the systems up until first pitch for best usage.
DK MLB Betting Splits system #6: Majority handle bettors have been at their worst overall in interleague games since the start of 2023, going 910-839 (52%) but for -206.24 units and an ROI of -11.8%. This is about four full percentage points worse for return and an indication that bettors have trouble gauging the strengths/motivations of the teams when playing unfamiliar opponents.
System Match (FADE): LA DODGERS (-206 vs TOR)
DK MLB Betting Splits system #9: Majority handle bettors have endured two consecutive terrible playoff seasons in 2023 and 2024, with a combined record of 38-43 (46.9%) for -18.84 UNITS and an ROI of -23.3%. These are typically high bet volume games, so bettors have lost big in October.
System Match (FADE): LA DODGERS (-206 vs TOR)
MLB Streak Systems
The following systems and qualifying plays are from the 2023 midseason article titled Handicapping MLB Streaks, detailing 14 different systems for betting teams on winning or losing streaks.
NO QUALIFYING STREAK PLAYS TODAY
Today’s MLB Strength Ratings
The following are taken from today’s MAKINEN DAILY RATINGS page under the MLB tab on VSiN.com.
Today’s UNDERPRICED UNDERDOG (15 points or more) according to the Makinen Strength Ratings projections:
Ratings Match: TORONTO +167 (+26 diff)
Today’s TOTAL PROJECTION FAVORING UNDER (0.5 runs or more) according to the Makinen Strength Ratings projections:
Ratings Match: TOR-LAD UNDER 8.5 (-0.5)
