The following MLB betting trends are a collection of analytical data, betting systems and strength ratings featured on VSiN and qualified for the MLB games of Wednesday, October 29, 2025. This report is meant to emulate the process that Steve Makinen and other members of the VSiN Analytics team undergo when handicapping each day’s MLB board.

 

AJ’s Angles

These are the top MLB betting trends and systems for today’s games, handpicked by VSiN Analyst AJ Makinen. 

Trend: LAD are 6-0 SU in their last six playoff games following up a loss
Trend Match (PLAY): LA DODGERS (-207 vs TOR) 

DK MLB Betting Splits system #9: Majority handle bettors have endured two consecutive terrible playoff seasons in 2023 and 2024, with a combined record of 38-43 (46.9%) for -18.84 units and an ROI of -23.3%. These are typically high bet volume games, so bettors have lost big in October.
System Match (FADE): TORONTO (+168 at LAD)

The MLB postseason is a 12-team tournament made up of four rounds, with each round being played as a series with progressively more games the deeper you get. Perhaps unlike any other sport, because of the huge 162-game regular season schedule, the stakes of each and every MLB postseason game are enhanced tremendously, and as such, some different or additional handicapping strategies should be employed. With that in mind, one of the key factors in getting ready for these games is to know the history and the trends/systems that have developed in recent years. Let’s dig into the key betting results from recent MLB playoff seasons to see if we can uncover nuggets that will help make these playoffs a profitable one.

Series wins status

– Home field has also proven somewhat advantageous in series that are even, as hosts in this situation have gone 92-83 on run lines (+21.49 units, ROI: 12.3%) since 2015.
System Match (PLAY): LA DODGERS (-1.5 vs TOR)

Stats from the last game trends

–  Teams that are favored in an MLB postseason game after having lost the last outing while scoring two runs or fewer are just 53-64 SU (-33.20 units, ROI: -28.4%) and 38-79 on run lines (-32.06 units, ROI: -27.4%) since 2012.
System Match (FADE): LA DODGERS

Totals angles

–  The last four MLB postseasons have been very good for Over bettors, as that side of the total has gone on totals is split 100-95-2, Overs have produced a return of +20.97 units, an ROI of 10.8%. Total odds have been heavily shaded towards Unders in recent postseasons.
System Match (PLAY OVER): TOR-LAD (o/u at 8)

MLB World Series Betting Systems

Over the last 20+ years of World Series action, several nice betting systems have emerged. You know you’re going to bet the games, so why not arm yourself with key data that has won recently?

WORLD SERIES system #1:
Home field advantage hasn’t meant a lot in recent World Series action, with hosts on a 21-31 slide in the last 52 opportunities dating back to 2016 (-19.48 units, -37.5% ROI)
System Match (FADE): LA DODGERS (-207 vs TOR) 

WORLD SERIES system #5:
World Series teams have struggled putting back-to-back wins together recently, going 11-25 in the game following up a WS win (-19.91 units, -55.3% ROI)
System Match (FADE): TORONTO (+168 at LAD) 

WORLD SERIES system #8:
Incredibly, since the start of the 2014 World Series, teams that scored two or fewer runs in the prior game are on an incredible 24-11 surge. (+14.69 units, 42% ROI)
System Match (PLAY): LA DODGERS (-207 vs TOR) 

MLB Streak Systems

The following systems and qualifying plays are from the 2023 midseason article titled Handicapping MLB Streaks, detailing 14 different systems for betting teams on winning or losing streaks. 

NO QUALIFYING STREAK PLAYS TODAY

MLB Bullpen Systems

The following systems and qualifying plays are from the weekly update series on handicapping MLB teams using Steve Makinen’s bullpen strength ratings. 

Fade better bullpen overpriced favorites of -190 or higher when win percentage difference of teams is <19%
In the last three regular seasons in which the team with the Steve Makinen better rated bullpen was listed as a favorite of -190 or higher and had a winning percentage less than 19% higher than the opponent, that team has owned a 427-241 record, but for -131.5 units. This has been an ROI of -19.7%! The 2025 record was 120-59 for -13.28 units (3-2 for -1.00 unit in the 2025 playoffs).
System Match (FADE): LA DODGERS (-207 vs TOR) 

Overpriced better bullpen without a big starting pitcher edge angle was the 2023 regular season’s most lucrative system
In combining starting pitcher differences in looking at games with -190 favorites or higher, there was a huge opportunity to be selective in fading overpriced favorites. Specifically, when the starting pitcher difference between the better Steve Makinen rated bullpen team was less than 20, those big favorites have gone 242-160, but for -117.36 units in the 2023-25 regular seasons. That represents an ROI of -29.2%, very solid results. In 2025, these teams were measurably better but still lost -1.48 units for the season (1-1 for -1.06 units in the 2025 playoffs).
System Match (FADE): LA DODGERS (-207 vs TOR)

Strategies Using MLB DraftKings Betting Splits Data

One of the most touted features on the VSiN.com website, and a feature that we believe to be a fantastic resource for bettors, is the betting splits pages. These are the pages that we have built utilizing the data that DraftKings so graciously provides to us, detailing the breakdowns of the money & ticket splits for point spreads, money lines, and totals. In an article published on the VSiN.com website prior to opening day, Steve Makinen outlined 10 different systematic strategies for successfully using the DK Betting Splits Data that were developed in the 2023/2024 season. Here are the systems and qualifying plays for today’s games as of 10:15 a.m. ET. These can and will change, so continue to track and qualify the systems up until first pitch for best usage. 

DK MLB Betting Splits system #2: Majority bets groups have proven to be reasonably successful when not too many of them hop on a side since the beginning of the 2023 season, and in fact, the benchmark was 60%+. When the majority percentage figure of bets landed in the 51%-59% range, these groups have gone 538-479 (52.9%) for -9.0 units and an ROI of -0.9%. This is no longer positive after two full seasons, but it is an improvement of almost 7% on the overall numbers, and a return that would easily keep bettors afloat, considering this angle has included 1,017 total games. Following smaller majorities can be a sound strategy.
System Match (CONSIDER PLAYING): LA DODGERS 

DK MLB Betting Splits system #6: Majority handle bettors have been at their worst overall in interleague games since the start of 2023, going 910-839 (52%) but for -206.24 units and an ROI of -11.8%. This is about four full percentage points worse for return and an indication that bettors have trouble gauging the strengths/motivations of the teams when playing unfamiliar opponents.
System Match (FADE): TORONTO 

DK MLB Betting Splits system #9: Majority handle bettors have endured two consecutive terrible playoff seasons in 2023 and 2024, with a combined record of 38-43 (46.9%) for -18.84 units and an ROI of -23.3%. These are typically high bet volume games, so bettors have lost big in October.
System Match (FADE): TORONTO

Today’s MLB Strength Ratings

The following MLB betting trends are taken from today’s MAKINEN DAILY RATINGS page under the MLB tab on VSiN.com. 

Today’s UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS (10 points or more) according to the Makinen Strength Ratings projections:
Ratings Match: TORONTO +168 (+13 diff) 

Today’s TOTAL PROJECTION FAVORING UNDER (0.4 runs or more) according to the Makinen Strength Ratings projections:
Ratings Match: TOR-LAD UNDER 8 (-0.4)

Team/Pitcher Situational MLB Betting Trend Spots

The following situational MLB betting trends and qualifying plays look at how today’s teams and starting pitchers have performed in similar spots. 

(929) TORONTO (103-74) at (930) LOS ANGELES-NL (104-72)
Trend: TOR was best team in MLB this season in night games (66-40, +22.18 units)
Stat: Rookie Trey Yesavage has a 4.26 ERA in 19 IP this postseason, also a 3.21 ERA in 14 IP this regular season
Stat/Trend Match: 1 PLAY, 1 FADE of TORONTO (+168 at LAD) 

Trend: TOR has covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as road underdogs
Trends Match (PLAY): TORONTO (+1.5 at LAD) 

Stat: Blake Snell has a 2.42 ERA in 26 IP this postseason, also a 4.80 ERA in 15 IP in his three total World Series appearances
Trend: LAD is 9-2 SU (+5.09 units) in their last 11 home playoff games
Trend: LAD has won 10 of their last 11 games (+7.94 units) on the second half of a back-to-back
Trend: LAD are 6-0 SU in their last six playoff games following up a loss
Stat/Trends Match (PLAY): LA DODGERS (-207 vs TOR)

Trend: TOR is on a 6-0-1 Over run in the last seven road games versus NL opponents
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): TOR-LAD (o/u at 8)

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