Today a new week begins with a smaller than usual 10 game MLB slate to choose from. Let’s examine where smart money is leaning for a trio of matchups using our VSiN MLB Betting Splits, which are updated every 5 minutes and come directly from DraftKings and Circa Sports.
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7:05 p.m. ET: Los Angeles Angels at New York Yankees (-195, 9.5)
The Angels (8-8) just took two of three against the Reds, winning yesterday’s series finale 9-6 as -115 road favorites. On the other hand, the Yankees (8-7) have dropped five straight and just got swept by the Rays, losing 5-4 yesterday as -145 road favorites.
In tonight’s series opener, the Angels start lefty Yusei Kikuchi (0-2, 6.75 ERA) and the Yankees turn to righty Will Warren (1-0, 3.07 ERA).
This line opened with New York listed as a -175 home favorite and Los Angeles a +155 road dog.
Sharps aren’t scared off by the expensive price and have laid the wood with the Yankees, steaming New York up from -175 to -195.
At DraftKings, the Yankees are taking in 84% of moneyline bets and 91% of moneyline dollars. At Circa, New York is receiving only 44% of moneyline bets but a whopping 97% of moneyline dollars. Both books are showing a sharp “low bets, higher dollars” bet split in favor of the Bronx Bombers, especially from the wiseguys in the desert.
New York has betting system value as a non-division favorite, with the lack of familiarity benefiting the “better” team who is expected to win. The Yankees also have the better bullpen (2.98 ERA vs 4.05).
Kikuchi is 0-2 in his last two starts, allowing 9 earned runs in 10.1 innings pitched (7.84 ERA). Kikuchi went 1-8 with a 5.04 ERA on the road in 2025.
Conversely, Warren has allowed 4 earned runs in 10.1 innings pitched in his last two starts (3.48 ERA). Warren went 7-4 with a 3.50 ERA at home in 2025.
7:15 p.m. ET: Miami Marlins at Atlanta Braves (-145, 8.5)
The Marlins (8-8) just got swept by the Tigers, dropping yesterday’s series finale 8-2 as +160 road dogs. Meanwhile, the Braves (10-6) just took two of three against the Guardians, cruising 13-1 yesterday as -200 home favorites.
In tonight’s series opener, the Marlins tap righty Eury Perez (1-1, 5.06 ERA) and the Braves counter with fellow righty Grant Holmes (1-1, 2.55 ERA).
This line opened with Atlanta listed as a -135 home favorite and Miami a +115 road dog.
Sharps have pounced on the Braves laying modest chalk at home, steaming Atlanta up from -135 to -145. Some shops are even inching up toward -155.
At Circa, Atlanta is taking in only 63% of moneyline bets but a lopsided 91% of moneyline dollars, a sizable “low bets, higher dollars” wiseguy split from the sharps in Vegas.
Atlanta has a big edge at the plate, hitting .274 with 90 runs scored compared to Miami hitting .249 with 70 runs scored.
Perez has posted a 6.00 ERA over his last two starts, allowing 6 earned runs in 9 innings pitched. In 2025, Perez posted an ERA of 5.33 on the road compared to 2.93 at home.
On the other hand, Holmes has registered a 1.42 ERA over his last two starts, allowing only 2 earned runs in 12.2 innings pitched. In 2025, he posted a 2.93 ERA at home compare to 5.51 on the road.
The Braves are 6-3 at home. The Marlins are 1-5 on the road.
10:10 p.m. ET: New York Mets at Los Angeles Dodgers (-165, 8.5)
The Mets (7-9) have lost five in a row and just got swept by the Athletics, losing 1-0 yesterday as -175 home favorites. Meanwhile, the Dodgers (11-4) just took two of three against the Rangers but couldn’t complete the sweep, falling 5-2 yesterday as -130 home favorites.
In tonight’s series opener, the Mets start lefty David Peterson (0-2, 6.14 ERA) and the Dodgers tap fellow lefty Justin Wrobleski (1-0, 4.00 ERA).
This line opened with Los Angeles listed as a -155 home favorite and New York a +135 road dog.
Wiseguys have pounced on the Dodgers at home, driving Los Angeles up from -155 to -165.
At Circa, Los Angeles is taking in 71% of moneyline bets and a hefty 82% of moneyline dollars, a notable “low bets, higher dollars” sharp split in their favor from the pros in Vegas.
Since 2022, the Dodgers have gone 83-42 (66%) with a 14% ROI as a home favorite priced -175 or less.
Los Angeles has the far better bats, hitting .290 with a .495 OBP and 91 runs scored scored compared to New York hitting .236 with a .353 OBP and 61 runs scored.
The Dodgers have also hit better against lefties (.286 vs .236).
Peterson has posted a 9.64 ERA in his last two starts, allowing 10 earned runs in 9.1 innings pitched.
Los Angeles also enjoys a schedule spot advantage, as the Dodgers continue a homestand and don’t have to travel while the Mets played in New York yesterday and now must fly cross country to California.
