Today the weekend kicks off with a loaded 16-game MLB slate. You can track the latest odds and betting percentages for every matchup using our VSiN Betting Splits, which come directly from DraftKings and are updated every 10-minutes.
In the meantime, let’s examine where smart money is leaning for a trio of games today.
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1:05 p.m. ET: Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees (-160, 8)
The Yankees (59-40) won Friday night’s series opener 6-1, taking care of business as -170 home favorites. In this afternoon’s rematch, the Rays (48-49) send out righty Taj Bradley (4-4, 2.90 ERA) and the Yankees rebuttal with lefty Nestor Cortes (4-8, 3.67 ERA). This line opened with New York listed as a -140 home favorite and Tampa Bay a +130 road dog. Pros have laid the chalk with the Yankees at home, steaming New York up from -140 to -160. The Yankees are receiving roughly 80% of moneyline bets and dollars, signaling heavy unified action from both Pros and Joes in addition to a 20-cent steam move in their favor. Saturday favorites with a winning record are 89-51 (64%) with an 8% ROI this season. New York has the far better offense, hitting.247 with 140 homers and 494 runs scored compared to Tampa Bay hitting just .235 with 87 homers and 377 runs scored. The Yankees have correlative betting value as a favorite in a low total game (8), with the fewer amount of expected runs scored more likely to come from the better team who is expected to win. Tampa Bays is 21-22 on the road. New York is 26-19 at home. Bradley has a 6.20 ERA on the road compared to 1.50 at home. Cortes has a 1.81 ERA at home compared to 6.04 on the road.
4:07 p.m. ET: Los Angeles Angels at Oakland Athletics (-150, 9)
The Athletics (38-61) dominated last night’s series opener 13-3, cruising as -120 home favorites. In this late afternoon rematch, the Angels (41-56) start righty Jack Kochanowicz (0-1, 12.00 ERA) and the Athletics turn to fellow righty Mitch Spence (5-6, 4.75 ERA). This line opened with Oakland listed as a -125 home favorite and Los Angeles a +115 road dog. Sharps are riding the hot hand and have gotten down hard on the Athletics, steaming Oakland up from -125 to -150. The Athletics are receiving 73% of moneyline bets and dollars, signaling one-way support from both wiseguys and the betting public in addition to a big 25-cent steam move in their favor. When two teams who are both below .500 play each other, the favorite is 196-135 (59%) with a 1% ROI this season. The Athletics are 8-2 (80%) as a favorite this season, producing a 44% ROI. Kochanowicz is making his 2nd career start. He lasted just 3 innings and gave up 4 earned runs in an 11-0 loss to the Mariners in his debut. Spence has a 3.99 ERA at home compared to 5.88 on the road. The Athletics will lean on their bats in this one, hitting .285 over their last 10 games compared to the Angels hitting just .228 over their last 10 games.
7:15 p.m. ET: Arizona Diamondbacks (-140, 8) at Chicago Cubs
The Diamondbacks (50-48) took yesterday’s series opener 5-2, cashing as +125 road dogs. In tonight’s rematch, the Diamondbacks hand the ball to righty Zac Gallen (6-5, 3.87 ERA) and the Cubs (47-52) counter with fellow righty Kyle Hendricks (2-7, 6.78 ERA). This line opened with Arizona listed as a -130 road favorite and Chicago a +120 home dog. Sharps have pounced on the Snakes laying short chalk on the road, steaming Arizona up from -130 to -140. Arizona is receiving roughly 70% of moneyline bets and dollars, indicating both Pro and Joe support in addition to a 10-cent steam move in their favor. The Diamondbacks have a big edge at the plate, hitting .255 with 487 runs scored compared to the Cubs hitting just .235 with 417 runs scored. Road favorites receiving steam 10-cents of more are 55-35 (61%) with a 3% ROI this season. Saturday favorites with a winning record are 89-51 (64%) with an 8% ROI. Arizona also has value as a non-division favorite off a win (112-84, 57%, 1% ROI), with the lack of familiarity benefiting the better team who is carrying momentum. The Cubs are just 2-9 in Hendricks’ last 11 starts.
