Today we wrap up the month of March with a 14 game MLB slate to choose from. Let’s examine where smart money is leaning for a trio of matchups using our VSiN MLB Betting Splits, which are updated every 5 minutes and come directly from DraftKings and Circa Sports.
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6:40 p.m. ET: Chicago White Sox at Miami Marlins (-150, 8.5)
The White Sox (1-3) took last night’s Interleague series opener 9-4, cashing as +125 road dogs.
In tonight’s rematch, the White Sox hand the ball to righty Erick Fedde (4-13, 5.49 ERA in 2025) and the Marlins (3-1) counter with fellow righty Janson Junk (6-4, 4.17 ERA).
This line opened with Miami listed as a -145 home favorite and Chicago a +125 road dog.
Sharps have jumped on the Fish to get back on track, driving the Marlins up from -145 to -150, with several shops inching up to Miami -155 or even -160.
At DraftKings, Miami is taking in 71% of moneyline bets and 72% of moneyline dollars. At Circa, the Marlins are receiving 83% of moneyline bets and a whopping 98% of moneyline dollars. Both books are showing a one-way Pro and Joe bet split in favor of the home chalk.
We’ve also seen big money lay the run-line (-1.5 at +145) with Miami, as the Marlins are taking in 53% of spread bets and a hefty 91% of spread dollars at DraftKings.
When both teams missed the playoffs the previous season, as is the case here, the Interleague favorite is 103-62 (62%) with a 4% ROI since 2025.
The Marlins have the better bats (hitting .270 vs .221) and superior pitching (team ERA 3.75 vs 8.45).
Miami is hitting .263 against righties this season (5th) while the White Sox are hitting .243 (10th).
The Fish also have the better bullpen, sporting a team ERA of 0.69 compared to 10.19 (dead last) for the Southsiders.
Pros have also hit the under, as the total opened at 8.5 and is being juiced up under 8.5 (-115 or -120) with a few other shops falling down to 8.
At DraftKings, the under is taking in 36% of bets and 51% of dollars. At Circa, the under is receiving 50% of bets and a whopping 98% of dollars, a massive sharp split in favor of a lower scoring game.
7:15 p.m. ET: Athletics at Atlanta Braves (-160, 9)
The Braves (3-1) won last night’s Interleague series opener 4-0, taking care of business as -130 home favorites.
In tonight’s rematch, the Athletics (0-4) turn to righty Aaron Civale (4-9, 4.85 ERA in 2025) and the Braves trot out lefty Jose Suarez (2-0, 1.86 ERA in 2025).
This line opened with Atlanta listed as a -145 home favorite and the Athletics a +125 road dog.
Sharps are riding the hot hand and have laid the wood with Atlanta, driving the Braves up from -145 to -160.
At Circa, the Braves are only taking in 42% of moneyline bets yet the line has moved in their direction. This signals sharp wiseguy reverse line movement in favor of the Braves at home.
Home favorites in Game 2 of a series after winning the opener are 53-29 (65%) with a 5% ROI since 2025. When both teams missed the playoffs the previous season, as is the case here, the Interleague favorite is 103-62 (62%) with a 4% ROI since 2025.
The Braves have the better batting average (.279 vs .170) and team ERA (1.50 vs 4.63).
Sharps have also leaned over, as the total opened at 9 and is being juiced up over 9 (-115).
At DraftKings, the over is taking in 42% of bets and 53% of dollars. At Circa, the over is taking in 33% of bets but 58% of dollars. Both books are showing a sharp split in favor of a higher scoring game.
7:40 p.m. ET: Los Angeles Angels at Chicago Cubs (-140, 7)
The Cubs (2-2) took last night’s Interleague series opener 7-2, cruising as -190 home favorites.
In tonight’s rematch, the Angels (2-2) tap righty Jose Soriano (1-0, 0.00 ERA) and the Cubs start fellow righty Jameson Taillon (11-7, 3.68 ERA in 2025).
This line opened with Chicago listed as a -135 home favorite and Los Angeles a +115 road dog.
Wiseguys have pounced on the Cubs laying modest chalk at Wrigley, driving Chicago up from -135 to -140, with several books approaching -145.
At DraftKings, Chicago is taking in 78% of moneyline bets and 81% of moneyline dollars, a heavy one-way split from both sharps and the betting public.
Home favorites in Game 2 of a series after winning the opener are 53-29 (65%) with a 5% ROI since 2025. Non-division home favorites off a win -150 or less with a line move in their direction are 104-67 (61%) with an 8% ROI since 2025.
Chicago has correlative betting value as a favorite in a super low total game (7), with the fewer amount of expected runs scored more likely to come from the “better” team who is expected to win the game.
Sharps are leaning toward a lower scoring game tonight, as the under is taking in 24% of bets and 47% of dollars at DraftKings.
Weather is a clear factor here, as the forecast calls for low 50s/high 40s with 10-15 MPH winds blowing directly toward home plate and possibly some rain.
