Tuley’s Takes: Friday MLB Best Bets 7/28

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Thursday Best Bet recaps

Thursday only had five MLB games on the schedule, but it was a busy day in and out of the Tuley’s Takes home office as I signed up some football contest proxy clients and finished my picks for the VSiN College Football Betting Guide (due out next Thursday, Aug. 3).

 

As for my Best Bets here, it was a break even day. Remember the “Seinfeld” episode where he keeps breaking even? He has one friend who is up and the other is down. He plays poker and breaks even. He throws away $20, then finds $20.
Even Steven.
Well, that was me on Thursday. I made the right call to pass on the Angels in Game 1 of their doubleheader in Detroit and watched as Shohei Ohtani shut down the Tigers in a complete-game, 1-hit shutout. I did lose my supposed Best Bet of the day in Game 2 as the Angels jumped all over the Tigers again and led 7-2 after 5 innings, but then I won with the Guardians First 5 +100 (even money) as they held onto lead 4-3 after 5.
Even Steven.
Our official First 5 plays went 1-1 to completely break even and we still stand a dismal 18-31-5 in July for a net loss of $970 based on $100 flat bets, according to the VSiN Pro Picks page.
Let’s go with two more F5 plays on Friday’s full 15-game card.

Friday MLB Best Bets

Rangers First 5 Innings +150 at Padres: I know the Padres are sending out Joe Musgrove (9-3, 3.25 ERA), but I don’t see why oddsmakers have made them so big of a favorite over the Rangers and Dane Dunning (8-3, 3.18 ERA). The Rangers continue to lead the majors in team batting average (.275), on-base percentage (.343) and runs per game (5.87) while the Padres continue to underachieve.

Angels First 5 Innings +160 at Blue Jays: The Angels are carrying a lot of momentum after announcing they were not trading Shohei Ohtani and then sweeping a doubleheader from the Tigers on Thursday (with Ohtani throwing a complete-game, 1-hit shutout in the opener. They also traded with the White Sox for Lucas Giolito (6.6, 3.79 ERA), who makes his first start for the Angels.