Tuley’s Takes Today: Monday betting recaps, updated stats, Tuesday Best Bets in MLB 8/16

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Monday was back to work for the week in the Tuley’s Takes home office as we had a nearly full MLB card and opening lines for NFL Preseason Week 2.
I also had a doctor’s appointment to update my prescriptions, so that was fun. I also had to take my son Maddux, who is an 8th grader and grew 4 inches the past year according to his recent doctor visit, to after-school practice for the Las Vegas Youth Orchestra (an all-star team of the best from all over the city).
While he was practicing, I was able to run over to the Westgate SuperBook and sweat out some of my MLB 1st 5 inning wagers. I was able to watch my plays on the Marlins 1st 5 %plussign% 120 (vs. the Padres) and Rays 1st 5 %plussign% 200 (vs. the Yankees) cash before I had to run back to pick him up at 6 p.m. ET. Another play of mine, Mets 1st 5 %plussign% 130 vs. the Braves, was losing 3-0 before going into a rain delay, so I was praying for more rain to hopefully get a push. Alas, they resumed play and I lost that play along with my supposed Best Bet of the day on the Brewers 1st 5 %plussign% 140 (vs. the Dodgers), so we ended up 2-2 but with a tidy profit with our dogs, especially thanks to the 2-1 on the Rays.
Let’s recap the rest of Monday’s (full-game) betting results in MLB (and repeating the NFL stats from the weekend) and then look for more plays on Tuesday. We’ll add our NFL Preseason Week 2 plays in Wednesday’s editions of Tuley’s Takes, both here in the daily edition along with the regularly scheduled weekly edition in Point Spread Weekly.

Monday’s recaps

 

MLB: Faves went 8-6 with upsets by the Rays (%plussign% 200 at Yankees, who fell to 3-12 in last 15 games and 8-16 since the All-Star Break), Tigers (%plussign% 175, Game 2 at Guardians to snap 8-game losing streak), Orioles (%plussign% 140 at Blue Jays), Marlins (%plussign% 126 vs. Padres), Nationals (%plussign% 122 vs. Cubs) and White Sox (%plussign% 110 vs. Astros). Home teams also went 8-6. Unders 9-5.

More MLB: Faves lead 1,030-677 SU (60.3 percent) on the season with 26 pick-'ems (faves usually win around 59 percent; still ahead of pace; gap had been narrowing but now back over 60 percent). Home teams lead 919-813 (53.1 percent, usually closer to 54 percent but on the rise). Unders lead 850-791-89 (51.8 percent).

NFL preseason (ICYMI): Dogs finished 8-7 SU and 9-6 ATS in Preseason Week 1 with 1 pick-'em (Dolphins-Buccaneers). Home/road teams split 8-8 SU with home teams leading 9-7 ATS. Overs went 13-3. Including neutral-site HOF Game the week before, faves/dogs are tied 8-8 SU overall with 1 PK but dogs lead 9-7 ATS. Overs lead 14-3.

Tuesday’s Takes

Tigers 1st 5 %plussign% 165 at Guardians: As mentioned above, the Tigers snapped their 8-game losing streak in the nightcap of their doubleheader Monday against the Guardians, so they’re in a swagger spot and we look for them to keep the momentum at least early into Tuesday’s game. Garrett Hill (2-3, 4.66 ERA, 1.36 WHIP) isn’t our favorite pitcher to back, but he shouldn’t be this big of a dog vs. Zach Plesac (2-10, 4.32 ERA, 1.32 WHIP). We have this a lot closer to pick-’em, so we’ll take the 1st 5 line as well as the game ML around %plussign% 180.

Mets 1st 5 %plussign% 120 at Braves: The Mets let us down Monday, but let’s come back with them as Taijuan Walker (10-3, 3.4 ERA, 1.20 WHIP) got shelled last week by the Braves, but he looked back in form in his next start vs. the Reds. Also, according to our VSiN colleague Scott Seidenberg, the Mets are an MLB-best 31-9 this season after a loss. The only other 1st 5 dog I’m considering for Tuesday is the Rays/Springs 1st 5 %plussign% 140 at the struggling Yankees (it helps with the confidence to make this play after cashing at %plussign% 200 on Monday.   

Good luck today (and every day!).

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