Tuley’s Takes Today: Sunday betting recaps, updated MLB stats, Monday Best Bets 7/25


Sunday was another action-filled day for sports bettors, though I’m still mostly focused on baseball until football season gets here. It was also hopefully the day when my illness (mostly sore throat, slight cough, no COVID) finally started to subside.
It mostly ended – as my Sundays often do – with a fun appearance on “The Lookahead,” so I certainly encourage any of my followers to tune in at 10:15 p.m. ET/7:15 p.m. PT on Sunday nights or in the archives.
My betting results didn’t go as well as I lost my Best Bet on the Padres %plussign% 105 at the Mets on Sunday Night Baseball. I’ve done a pretty good job lately of picking out starting pitchers and felt good about my bet as San Diego’s Joe Musgrove took a no-hitter into the 5th inning and took a shutout into the 6th inning, but it didn’t even let me cash my first 5-inning bet as the score was 0-0. The Mets’ bats woke up and we ended up losing 8-5. In my other bet on the Giants, the bullpen also let us down as the Dodgers beat them 7-4.
Let’s recap the rest of the Sunday MLB card and then try to find some live dogs (or, spoiler alert, pick-’em games) on Monday.

Sunday’s recaps


MLB: Faves went 10-5 Sunday with biggest upsets by Angels (%plussign% 190 in 9-1 win at Braves), Reds (%plussign% 143 in 6-3 win vs. Cardinals) and Royals (%plussign% 135 in 4-2 win vs. Rays). Dodgers (-230) beat Giants 7-4 for sweep and 8th straight overall. Road teams led 9-6. Overs went 10-5.

More MLB: Faves lead 850-561 SU (60.2 percent) on the season with 23 pick-'ems (faves usually win around 59 percent; still ahead of pace, gap had been narrowing but back above 60 percent). Home teams lead just 745-689 (52 percent, but usually closer to 54 percent). Unders dip to 704-661-67 (51.6 percent).

Monday’s Takes

Angels -105 at Royals: Actually, as I said on “The Lookahead” on Sunday night, since the dogs haven’t been barking for me lately, I’m going to go with a pick-’em! We get Noah Syndergaard vs. Zach Greinke, so that’s also a pretty even matchup, but even though the Angels have been underforming all year (except Shoetai Ohtani, who has done everything he can to carry the team), I still have them as the better team here so I’ll lay the low juice. I alluded to this next point earlier, but I’ve also been splitting my bets on MLB dogs between 1st 5 and game money lines, so I’ll probably do that as well here. My other recommended MLB play for Monday is, coincidentally, also a pick-’em with the Guardians -105 at the reeling Red Sox..

Good luck today (and every day!).