Every night of the 2025-26 NBA season gives us a fresh set of games and numbers to pick apart. This daily column digs into the best sides and totals on the board, using in-depth basketball analysis, betting trends, and our VSiN NBA betting splits to spot value. We’ll also be tackling these slates relentlessly on our live VSiN programming, which is why basketball fans should really consider a VSiN Pro subscription. Below you’ll find some NBA picks and predictions for November 11.
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Boston Celtics at Philadelphia 76ers – 8:00 pm ET
The Celtics are coming off a good win over the Magic, but this is still a team having a bit of an identity crisis. Boston is still looking to launch a ton of 3s, ranking second in the NBA in attempts per game (44.8). However, the Celtics are shooting just 32.7% from behind the 3-point line. They’re not creating the type of quality looks they got last year, which shouldn’t be surprising with Jayson Tatum, Jrue Holiday, Kristaps Porzingis, and Al Horford all out or traded.
Boston is also missing the presence of Porzingis and Horford defensively. Opponents shot only 64.7% at the rim against the Celtics last season. This season, opponents are shooting 67.8% at the basket. Boston has slid from fifth in the league to 17th, and the team isn’t doing a good job of guarding corner 3s either. All of that should play into the hands of Philadelphia.
The Sixers’ electric backcourt duo of Tyrese Maxey and VJ Edgecombe should live in the paint tonight, and they might not be met with too much resistance at the rim. Philadelphia also has a ton of reliable 3-point shooters to kick out to when Boston collapses.
Joel Embiid will be out for the Sixers, taking away a player that could have dominated against a weak Celtics center rotation. But I’m playing Philly because of my belief in the perimeter firepower, and you’re going to get a better price than I did because of the Embiid injury.
Bet: Sixers ML (-115)
Golden State Warriors at Oklahoma City Thunder – 8:00 pm ET
Under Steve Kerr, the Warriors are 64-39-4 against the spread when playing teams with winning percentages of 70% or higher. Golden State always gets up for the big ones, which we saw when this veteran group took down Denver early in the year. The Nuggets are second in the NBA in net rating (13.0), trailing only this Thunder team (13.5). And I don’t see any reason the Warriors can’t give the defending champions a game — even with this one being played at the Paycom Center.
Golden State hasn’t quite matched the No. 1 defense the team had after acquiring Jimmy Butler last year, but the team is top-10 in both points allowed per 100 possessions (112.8) and raw defensive rating (111.4). The Warriors should be able to do a decent job of containing the Thunder, who will be without Jalen Williams, Lu Dort, and Aaron Wiggins. They can focus most of their attention on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Chet Holmgren, as long as they’re also showing a healthy amount of respect to Oklahoma City’s spot-up shooters — like the red-hot Isaiah Joe (42.3% from 3 on 8.7 attempts per game).
Offensively, not having to deal with those injured wings is just as important. The Thunder will still have plenty of good defenders, but Dort and Williams are two of the best ones they have to offer. And missing key defensive pieces like that against a Stephen Curry team is not what you want.
I just think this is the type of game in which Golden State’s competitive bunch will get up and try to send a message. That’s why I’m taking the 7.5 as a bigger play. I’m also taking some moneyline.
Bet: Warriors +7.5 (-108 – 1.5 units) & Warriors ML (+245 – 0.5 units)
Indiana Pacers at Utah Jazz – 9:00 pm ET
I put this play in Monday night and talked about it on Cashing Out with Dustin Swedelson. It’s just hard to imagine Lauri Markkanen playing for the Jazz here. Last year, Utah was very careful with him in back-to-back situations, and Markkanen played 35 minutes in a loss to Minnesota last night.
If Markkanen isn’t out there, I’m not sure the Jazz have what it takes to keep up with the Pacers. Indiana is starting to get some guys back, including Andrew Nembhard. That gives the Pacers a scorer and facilitator at the point guard spot, and that’s somebody that can attack a Jazz defense that should finish near the bottom of the league with no Walker Kessler (out for season) defending the rim.
I won’t go too deep on this game because the current number isn’t close to where I got it, but I would take Indiana up to -140 or so. I think this is a great spot for a Pacers team that can badly use a win.
Bet: Pacers ML (-118)
2025-26 Sides/Totals: 30-23 (+4.96 units)
