Every night of the 2025-26 NBA season gives us a fresh set of games and numbers to pick apart. This daily column digs into the best sides and totals on the board, using in-depth basketball analysis, betting trends, and our VSiN NBA betting splits to spot value. We’ll also be tackling these slates relentlessly on our live VSiN programming, which is why basketball fans should really consider a VSiN Pro subscription. Below you’ll find some NBA picks and predictions for November 13.
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Atlanta Hawks at Utah Jazz – 9:00 pm ET
The Hawks pummeled the Kings last night, extending their winning streak to three. Atlanta has also won six of the last eight, and the team has looked very comfortable playing without an injured Trae Young. However, the Hawks are just 9-12 straight-up and 6-15 against the spread as road favorites of 6 or fewer points under Quin Snyder. They’re also 17-22 SU and 17-20-2 ATS when playing the second leg of a back-to-back with him on the sidelines. And if that’s not enough, the Hawks are just 2-5 SU and ATS when coming off a road blowout win of 20 or more in that span.
Utah’s home net rating (+7.6) is also higher than Atlanta’s road net rating (+7.0), and it’d probably be an even bigger discrepancy if the Hawks didn’t win by 33 in Sacramento. And under Will Hardy, the Jazz are 27-12-1 ATS as home underdogs of 6 or fewer, so these are the types of games in which this team tends to pick things up.
Atlanta’s defense will undoubtedly be tough for Utah to crack, but it is a little hard to ignore that Lauri Markkanen and Keyonte George will be the two toughest players to cover in this game. That might be underselling Jalen Johnson a bit. However, when talking about strictly individual shot creation, the Jazz have the Hawks beat. And I do think that a good offensive performance from Utah would make life difficult on Atlanta. While things have looked alright without Young so far, the Hawks are lacking an on-ball presence when the star isn’t out there. That’s what did them in when they lost to the Raptors on November 7th.
Utah also has a better overall shot profile than Atlanta. And generally speaking, playing a home team that plays better basketball should result in a profitable outcome. We’ll just need to hope Utah doesn’t go cold.
I’m also taking a piece of the moneyline tonight. Since 2017, home teams that are playing their third game in four nights are 61-23 SU when facing teams that are playing their fifth game in seven nights. Also, in that same time span, road teams are 227-297 SU when playing their third game in four nights during a stretch in which they’ve won six or seven of their last eight games. That also includes a 1-2 record this season.
Bet: Jazz +2.5 (-110) & Jazz ML (+120 – 0.5 units)
2025-26 Record (All Plays): 71-70 (-4.99 units)
