Every night of the 2025-26 NBA season gives us a fresh set of games and numbers to pick apart. This daily column digs into the best sides and totals on the board, using in-depth basketball analysis, betting trends, and our VSiN NBA betting splits to spot value. We’ll also be tackling these slates relentlessly on our live VSiN programming, which is why basketball fans should really consider a VSiN Pro subscription. Below you’ll find some NBA picks and predictions for November 20.
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Atlanta Hawks at San Antonio Spurs – 8:00 pm ET
The Spurs are currently without Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, and Dylan Harper. They’re extremely shorthanded entering this contest, and I’m not sure much should be made of their Wembanyama-less wins over the Kings and Grizzlies. Those teams have been miserable to start the year.
As of right now, San Antonio is relying heavily on De’Aaron Fox’s offense. That’s obviously not a bad thing. Sacramento built an elite offense on the back of Fox’s on-ball creation. However, in this specific matchup, I’m not sure it’s going to work. Atlanta has two awesome on-ball defenders to throw at Fox: Nickeil Alexander-Walker and Dyson Daniels. The Hawks also have competent defensive wings to stay at home on some of the Spurs’ spot-up shooters.
Of course, Atlanta is currently without Trae Young, but that might be a good thing for this matchup. The Hawks are fourth in the NBA in defensive rating (109.5) since the electric guard went down, and this is a game they’re more likely to win with a strong defensive performance. Realistically, with Wembanyama and Castle out, getting good looks offensively shouldn’t be a problem for Quin Snyder’s team.
The Hawks have also been pretty good on the road this season, going 7-2 straight-up and 6-3 against the spread. San Antonio is also just 8-10 SU in home games with lines of +3 to -3 over the last two seasons. On top of that, the Spurs are are just 11-15 SU when facing teams that score 116.0 or more points per game in that span, and they’re also 8-15 SU versus teams that average 9.0 or more steals per game.
This is a game I’m confident Atlanta will win, but I’m taking 1.5 because the prices aren’t far off between the spread and moneyline.
Bet: Hawks +1.5 (-115 – 1.5 units)
