Player props have become one of the NBA’s most entertaining ways to bet, offering value beyond the standard spread or total. Each night, this column highlights the best opportunities on the board — from points and rebounds to assists and combo lines — using matchup data, recent performance, and betting trends to find edges. Keep reading for the top NBA player prop picks for October 28. Also, make sure you check out our live VSiN programming for more. Our hosts and analysts will be all over the NBA, which is why it pays to be a VSiN Pro subscriber.
MORE: Check out the VSiN Pro Picks page for more bets from our talented hosts and analysts!
Noteworthy OptaAI Player Prop Edges for Tuesday
Below you’ll find some of the projections that stood out when looking at our OptaAI NBA Player Prop projections. Subscribers have access to hundreds of others on a daily basis!
VJ Edgecombe Under 19.5 Points (-117) vs. Wizards
76ers at Wizards – 7:00 pm ET
Edgecombe has been the most impressive rookie in the league thus far, averaging 24.5 points per game and exploding for 26+ twice already. However, our OptaAI player projections have him going for only 15.27 tonight. That 4.23 edge to the Under is the biggest margin in the points column. I sure hope the projections are right, as I have the Wizards as one of my Tuesday sides/totals!
Collin Sexton Over 24.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-122)
Hornets at Heat – 7:30 pm ET
The OptaAI player prop projections have Sexton finishing with a total of 27.60 combined points, rebounds, and assists tonight. That’s a slight edge to the Over, but this is one I’m actually going to play myself (so you’ll see it on the Pro Picks page). Sexton is averaging only 18.7 points, 4.3 assists, and 1.7 rebounds per game this season, but the Hornets will be without Brandon Miller again. Tre Mann is also questionable. That means this could be another game in which Charlotte has to lean on Sexton’s ability to put pressure on the rim and make shots.
Ivica Zubac Under 10.5 Rebounds (+106)
Clippers at Warriors – 11:00 pm ET
Our OptaAI projections have Zubac finishing with only 7.27 rebounds against the Warriors tonight, and that’s a number that really stood out. Zubac is averaging only 6.7 rebounds per game this season, and the presence of Brook Lopez means Ty Lue doesn’t have to overextend his starting center. However, Zubac did average 15.8 rebounds per game in four meetings with Golden State last season. And the Warriors still don’t have a massive body to throw on him.
Tuesday Player Prop Best Bets
Below you’ll find my official plays on the player prop market for Tuesday. These are the ones that make the VSiN Pro Picks page and count towards my season-long record.
Chet Holmgren Over 17.5 Points (-126) vs. Kings
Kings at Thunder – 8:00 pm ET
Holmgren has scored at least 18 points in three of the four games Oklahoma City has played this year, and he looks like he took full advantage of the offseason. Not only does the big man look awesome attacking off the bounce, but he’s shooting 42.1% from 3 so far. He’s also doing it on a career-high 6.0 attempts per game, and he has even showed off a stepback jumper that wasn’t quite there last season.
Holmgren is now averaging 23.0 points per game on the season, making his total of 17.5 look low in a meeting with the Kings tonight. Sacramento should be one of the worst defensive teams in the league this year, and the team is weak when it comes to defending bigs.
Holmgren also happened to score 18 when he faced the Kings last year. I don’t see him struggling to hit that mark again. The only thing I’m worried about is Oklahoma City opting to rest him with this being the second leg of a back-to-back. But if Holmgren doesn’t play, bets will simply be voided.
AJ Green Over 2.5 Made 3s (+105) vs. Knicks
Knicks at Bucks – 8:00 pm ET
AJ Green has made at least three 3s in each of Milwaukee’s three games this season. The 26-year-old is averaging 13.3 points per game after signing a big extension before the year, and he’s really taking advantage of his full-time starting gig. Tonight, I don’t see any reason not to take him to make three more triples. Through three games, only two teams in the league are allowing more made 3s than New York’s 15.7 per game. Green might not be able to create much for himself against a talented group of Knicks perimeter defenders, but he can definitely lose them and get himself open for some catch-and-shoot opportunities — especially if New York puts Jalen Brunson him.
Green also made 2.3 triples per game on 43.8% 3-point shooting against the Knicks last season. He did that in a smaller role with the team. And Our OptaAI projections have him going for 3.24 makes tonight.
2025-26 Player Props: 11-9 (+2.14 units)
