Best Bets on Today’s NBA Player Props Market
If you’re looking for some plays for the Friday, March 31st NBA slate, we have you covered in every way possible. As always, we’ll have best bets to give you some ideas of what to back when it comes to moneylines, spreads and totals. However, we’re tackling player props here, and we’re targeting Jalen Brunson, Spencer Dinwiddie and Jaren Jackson Jr. tonight. Keep reading to find out how we’re betting on all of them.
MORE: Check out our Pro Picks page for everything our experts have on March 31
Here are our favorite NBA prop bets for Friday, March 31:
New York Knicks at Cleveland Cavaliers (-3.5, 220.5)
The Cavaliers are one of the best defensive teams in the NBA, but they’ll be without Jarrett Allen and Isaac Okoro in tonight’s game. Those are two of the guys that are directly responsible for making this defense go, so there will be a lot of pressure on Evan Mobley to play a perfect game on that end of the floor here. And given the amount of bad defenders the Cavaliers have on the perimeter, it’s unfair to put it all on the second-year big man.
One player that we like to benefit from Cleveland’s absences is Jalen Brunson. The Knicks guard is averaging 23.6 points per game this season, but he has had his fair share of games in which he has scored at least 25 points. And overall, Brunson has hit the over on his point total in 39 of the 66 games he has played this season, according to our Daily Prop Analyzer.
Brunson is just a remarkably talented scorer, as he can get it done at all three levels. He should have no trouble getting good looks against Darius Garland and Donovan Mitchell here, and we also see him forcing the issue more. With Julius Randle out for the remainder of the regular season, the Knicks are going to need some guys to rise to the occasion offensively. One of the quick fixes is Brunson hunting his shot a bit more. And he should absolutely do that in this specific matchup.
Bet: Brunson Over 24.5 Points (-125)
Atlanta Hawks (-1.5, 240.5) at Brooklyn Nets
Tonight’s meeting between the Hawks and Nets has an absurdly high total, so it seems like a good time to go back to the over on Spencer Dinwiddie’s assists. Dinwiddie has had at least 10 assists in seven of his last 10 games, and he’s averaging 15.5 potential assists per game in the month of March. That last number is especially important when playing the over 9.5, as it shows he’s doing a good job of setting his teammates up. If the shots don’t fall, you can live with that.
Dinwiddie has now gone over his assist total in 48 of the 74 games he has played this season, according to our Daily Prop Analyzer. This has just been a very profitable bet all season, and it’s hard to see him not making a run at this number against a Hawks team that doesn’t play any defense. Over the last 15 games, the Hawks are allowing more assists per game to opponents than all but three teams.
Bet: Dinwiddie Over 9.5 Assists (+110)
Los Angeles Clippers at Memphis Grizzlies (-5.5, 236.5)
Jaren Jackson Jr. has gone under his rebound total in 30 of the 58 games he has played this season, but this is a lower number than usual for him. In fact, Jackson has gone over 6.5 rebounds in 32 of the 58 games he has played this year, according to our Daily Prop Analyzer. So, this is a number that is easier for him to reach. And that’s especially true given the surrounding circumstances with this Memphis team.
With Brandon Clarke and Steven Adams out for the Grizzlies, Jackson has been tasked with doing more on the glass. But fortunately for Memphis, the big man has been delivering. Since the start of March, Jackson is averaging 6.9 rebounds per game. And he has had at least seven boards in nine of his last 12 games.
Now, Jackson will be playing a Clippers team that has Ivica Zubac up front. Zubac is a load around the basket and that will mean that Jackson has to lock in as a rebounder here. If he doesn’t, it’ll be very difficult for Memphis to win this game. With that in mind, we’re betting on the Grizzlies All-Star to do his job in this spot.
Bet: Jackson Jr. Over 6.5 Rebounds (-135)
Did you know that you can parlay these three picks together at +558 odds? Try out our VSiN Parlay Calculator HERE!
