Player props have become one of the NBA’s most entertaining ways to bet, offering value beyond the standard spread or total. Each night, this column highlights the best opportunities on the board using matchup data, recent performances, and betting trends to find edges. Keep reading for some of the top OptaAI player prop projections for Friday, November 13. Then, right below those, you’ll see the player props I’m personally taking. Also, make sure you check out our live VSiN programming for more. Our hosts and analysts should be all over the NBA, which is why it pays to be a VSiN Pro subscriber.
Noteworthy Wednesday OptaAI Player Prop Edges
Check out the OptaAI Player Props NBA pages for more of these! VSiN Pro subscribers can find 50+ player prop ideas on a daily basis! We’ll list the top edges in some of the biggest markets below, but there will always be a lot more to uncover on the pages themselves.
Scoot Henderson Over 10.5 Points (-102) vs. Kings
Our OptaAI player prop projections have him finishing with 15.08 points, suggesting these odds should be -772 — a +38.0% edge to the Over.
Keaton Wagler Over 2.5 Rebounds (-153) vs. Thunder
Our OptaAI player prop projections have him finishing with 4.52 rebounds, suggesting these odds should be -483 — a +22.4% edge to the Under.
Onyeka Okongwu Over 2.5 Assists (-119) vs. Bulls
Our OptaAI player prop projections have him finishing with 4.33 assists, suggesting these odds should be -415 — a +26.3% edge to the Over.
Friday Player Prop Best Bets
Below you’ll find my official plays on the player prop market for Friday. These are the ones that make the VSiN Pro Picks page and count towards my season-long record.
CJ McCollum Over 14.5 Points (-118 – 1.5 units) & Alt Points 19+ (+199 – 0.5 units) & Alt Points 23+ (+475 – 0.25 units) & Alt Points 25+ (+800 – 0.1 units) vs. Bulls
Hawks at Bulls – 8:00 pm ET
McCollum no longer starts for Atlanta, but Quin Snyder will ride him if he’s on a heater. Tonight, we might see exactly that.
McCollum is coming off a 21-point performance against the Lakers on Nov. 9, and he now gets an incredible matchup against the Bulls. I’m on the Over of 245.5 in this game, and Chicago has a lot to do with that. The Bulls rank last in the league in defensive rating and first in pace. They seem desperate to get into shootouts, even though they lack the personnel to win them consistently.
The matchup looks even better under the hood. According to PropsMadness, the Bulls are miserable defending in transition, can’t guard in isolation, and have struggled to defend McCollum’s favorite shot zones.
It will take serious shot-making for McCollum to climb this ladder in his new bench role, but I feel really good about him scoring 15 tonight. If he gets there, we’ll be playing with house money.
Ty Jerome Over 5.5 Assists (+120) vs. Pelicans
Grizzlies at Pelicans – 8:00 pm ET
Jerome has mostly killed opponents with elite shot-making this season. He’s drilling stepback threes, making impossible-looking runners, and surprising defenders by getting all the way to the basket. Tonight, though, I like him to record at least six assists.
The Pelicans have a good shot at winning, but I expect a high-scoring affair. That should benefit Jerome as he looks to put up numbers, and a big assist total is on the table. New Orleans is allowing 28.8 assists per game, more than all but two teams in the NBA, which speaks to how disorganized the defense is.
Jerome averages just 4.9 assists per game, but he also averages 10.2 potential assists and 7.3 adjusted assists. If his teammates knock down the shots they should make, his assist numbers will climb. Perhaps it all starts tonight.
Keegan Murray Over 1.5 Made Threes (+130) & Alt Threes 3+ (+427 – 0.25 units) vs. Trail Blazers
Blazers at Kings – 10:00 pm ET
Murray is just returning to action for Sacramento, but it’s hard to believe you can get Over 1.5 triples at plus money. He knocked down multiple threes against a good Orlando defense on Tuesday, and his attempts should only increase as he gets more comfortable.
His minutes should rise, too. After playing 24 minutes last game, a bump into the high 20s is a reasonable expectation on Friday — especially with Precious Achiuwa out.
It won’t be easy for Murray to free himself up against a stout Blazers defense, but some prices are too good to pass up. This is one of them.
Late Additions
Nothing yet.
More NBA Content
My NBA sides/totals for Friday, November 13!
Check out the Harwood Handicappers YouTube channel! I’ll likely be dishing out more player props every Monday, Wednesday, and Friday when I go LIVE on YouTube to run through each slate.
