Player props have become one of the NBA’s most entertaining ways to bet, offering value beyond the standard spread or total. Each night, this column highlights the best opportunities on the board using matchup data, recent performances, and betting trends to find edges. Keep reading for some of the top OptaAI player prop projections for Tuesday, November 10. Then, right below those, you’ll see the player props I’m personally taking. Also, make sure you check out our live VSiN programming for more. Our hosts and analysts should be all over the NBA, which is why it pays to be a VSiN Pro subscriber.
Noteworthy Tuesday OptaAI Player Prop Edges
Check out the OptaAI Player Props NBA pages for more of these! VSiN Pro subscribers can find 50+ player prop ideas on a daily basis! We’ll list the top edges in some of the biggest markets below, but there will always be a lot more to uncover on the pages themselves.
Keaton Wagler Over 9.5 Points (-104) vs. Suns
Our OptaAI player prop projections have him finishing with 14.97 points, suggesting these odds should be -1314 — a +42.0% edge to the Over.
Donovan Clingan Under 10.5 Rebounds (+100) vs. Thunder
Our OptaAI player prop projections have him finishing with 9.00 rebounds, suggesting these odds should be -240 — a +20.6% edge to the Under.
Scoot Henderson Oer 2.5 Assists (+136) vs. Thunder
Our OptaAI player prop projections have him finishing with 3.15 assists, suggesting these odds should be -156 — a +18.5% edge to the Over.
Tuesday Player Prop Best Bets
Below you’ll find my official plays on the player prop market for Tuesday. These are the ones that make the VSiN Pro Picks page and count towards my season-long record.
Brayden Burries Over 1.5 Made Threes (+115) vs. Knicks
Bucks at Knicks – 7:30 pm ET
Burries hasn’t shot the three-ball well this season. The rookie is knocking down only 22.2% of his triples on the year, and that number simply has to rise. Burries is pretty clearly a solid shooter — last year, he shot 39.1% from deep at Arizona and 80.5% from the line. Some better shooting should be coming right around the corner, and I expect him to knock down some shots tonight.
Teams are attempting 40.7 threes per game against New York this year, the sixth-highest mark in the league. The Knicks give up a ton of triples, and that’s partly by design. I do think Burries will fall into that trap and launch plenty. He had already been taking just about five threes per game over his previous five.
As long as Burries gets up five or six threes in this game, it’s hard not to like his chances of making two at plus-money odds.
Mitchell Robinson Over 5.5 Rebounds (-120) vs. 76ers
Celtics at 76ers- 8:00 pm ET
Robinson has pulled down at least seven rebounds in three consecutive games, making a major impact on the glass despite playing only 17.7 minutes per game in those contests.
The hope tonight is that the matchup with the 76ers gets him a bit more playing time. Robinson was up for the challenge of battling inside with Joel Embiid when he was a member of the Knicks, and you’d have to think the Celtics know that. We’ll see if they respond by giving him some more run.
Philadelphia is also a below-average rebounding team, so Robinson’s activity on both ends of the floor should lead to him finishing with at least six rebounds. OptaAI actually has Robinson projected for 6.49, which is a small edge to the Over.
Darryn Peterson Over 18.5 Points (+100 – 1.5 units) & Alt Points 23+ (+230 – 0.5 units) & Alt Points 27+ (+525 – 0.25 units) & Alt Points 30+ (+1060 – 0.1 units) vs. Heat
Heat at Jazz – 9:00 pm ET
My “Ladder of the Day” for Tuesday calls for Peterson to light up the Heat. Peterson is coming off a 26-point performance against the Timberwolves, and I wouldn’t be too surprised if he goes from one career high to another.
The Heat are No. 5 in the NBA when it comes to defending at the rim, but they’re a bottom-five team defending the floater area, long twos, and above-the-break threes. Those three areas make up 83% of Peterson’s shot diet. Peterson is also a pull-up assassin, and Miami ranks 26th in the NBA defending pull-up jumpers.
The Heat just aren’t doing a good job of containing lethal off-the-dribble scorers, and Peterson has the skill set to take advantage.
Considering all of that, Peterson seems like a good threat to score at least 19 points tonight, but I’m playing him all the way up to 30. It also doesn’t hurt that Lauri Markkanen is listed as questionable. If he can’t go, Peterson will be asked to do a lot tonight.
Late Additions
Nothing yet.
More NBA Content
My NBA sides/totals for Tuesday, November 10!
Check out the Harwood Handicappers YouTube channel! I’ll likely be dishing out more player props every Monday, Wednesday, and Friday when I go LIVE on YouTube to run through each slate.
